• Title/Summary/Keyword: Multiple Linear Regression Model

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Determination of Research Octane Number using NIR Spectral Data and Ridge Regression

  • Jeong, Ho Il;Lee, Hye Seon;Jeon, Ji Hyeok
    • Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.37-42
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    • 2001
  • Ridge regression is compared with multiple linear regression (MLR) for determination of Research Octane Number (RON) when the baseline and signal-to-noise ratio are varied. MLR analysis of near-infrared (NIR) spectroscopic data usually encounters a collinearity problem, which adversely affects long-term prediction performance. The collinearity problem can be eliminated or greatly improved by using ridge regression, which is a biased estimation method. To evaluate the robustness of each calibration, the calibration models developed by both calibration methods were used to predict RONs of gasoline spectra in which the baseline and signal-to-noise ratio were varied. The prediction results of a ridge calibration model showed more stable prediction performance as compared to that of MLR, especially when the spectral baselines were varied. . In conclusion, ridge regression is shown to be a viable method for calibration of RON with the NIR data when only a few wavelengths are available such as hand-carry device using a few diodes.

Forecasting Energy Consumption of Steel Industry Using Regression Model (회귀 모델을 활용한 철강 기업의 에너지 소비 예측)

  • Sung-Ho KANG;Hyun-Ki KIM
    • Journal of Korea Artificial Intelligence Association
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.21-25
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study was to compare the performance using multiple regression models to predict the energy consumption of steel industry. Specific independent variables were selected in consideration of correlation among various attributes such as CO2 concentration, NSM, Week Status, Day of week, and Load Type, and preprocessing was performed to solve the multicollinearity problem. In data preprocessing, we evaluated linear and nonlinear relationships between each attribute through correlation analysis. In particular, we decided to select variables with high correlation and include appropriate variables in the final model to prevent multicollinearity problems. Among the many regression models learned, Boosted Decision Tree Regression showed the best predictive performance. Ensemble learning in this model was able to effectively learn complex patterns while preventing overfitting by combining multiple decision trees. Consequently, these predictive models are expected to provide important information for improving energy efficiency and management decision-making at steel industry. In the future, we plan to improve the performance of the model by collecting more data and extending variables, and the application of the model considering interactions with external factors will also be considered.

A New Deletion Criterion of Principal Components Regression with Orientations of the Parameters

  • Lee, Won-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.55-70
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    • 1987
  • The principal components regression is one of the substitues for least squares method when there exists multicollinearity in the multiple linear regression model. It is observed graphically that the performance of the principal components regression is strongly dependent upon the values of the parameters. Accordingly, a new deletion criterion which determines proper principal components to be deleted from the analysis is developed and its usefulness is checked by simulations.

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Development of Statistical Model and Neural Network Model for Tensile Strength Estimation in Laser Material Processing of Aluminum Alloy (알루미늄 합금의 레이저 가공에서 인장 강도 예측을 위한 회귀 모델 및 신경망 모델의 개발)

  • Park, Young-Whan;Rhee, Se-Hun
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.24 no.4 s.193
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    • pp.93-101
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    • 2007
  • Aluminum alloy which is one of the light materials has been tried to apply to light weight vehicle body. In order to do that, welding technology is very important. In case of the aluminum laser welding, the strength of welded part is reduced due to porosity, underfill, and magnesium loss. To overcome these problems, laser welding of aluminum with filler wire was suggested. In this study, experiment about laser welding of AA5182 aluminum alloy with AA5356 filler wire was performed according to process parameters such as laser power, welding speed and wire feed rate. The tensile strength was measured to find the weldability of laser welding with filler wire. The models to estimate tensile strength were suggested using three regression models and one neural network model. For regression models, one was the multiple linear regression model, another was the second order polynomial regression model, and the other was the multiple nonlinear regression model. Neural network model with 2 hidden layers which had 5 and 3 nodes respectively was investigated to find the most suitable model for the system. Estimation performance was evaluated for each model using the average error rate. Among the three regression models, the second order polynomial regression model had the best estimation performance. For all models, neural network model has the best estimation performance.

Detection of Change-Points by Local Linear Regression Fit;

  • Kim, Jong Tae;Choi, Hyemi;Huh, Jib
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.31-38
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    • 2003
  • A simple method is proposed to detect the number of change points and test the location and size of multiple change points with jump discontinuities in an otherwise smooth regression model. The proposed estimators are based on a local linear regression fit by the comparison of left and right one-side kernel smoother. Our proposed methodology is explained and applied to real data and simulated data.

Predicting the Soluble Solids of Apples by Near Infrared Spectroscopy (I) - Multiple Linear Regression Models - (근적외선을 이용한 사과의 당도예측 (I) - 다중회귀모델 -)

  • ;W. R. Hruschka;J. A. Abbott;;B. S. Park
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.561-570
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    • 1998
  • The MLR(Multiple Linear Regression) models to estimate soluble solids content non-destructively were presented to make a selection of optimal photosensor utilized to measure the soluble solids content of apples. Visible and NIR absorbance in the 400 to 2498 nanometer(nm) wavelength region, soluble solids content(sugar content), hardness, and weight were measured for 400 apples(gala). Spectrophotometer with fiber optic probe was utilized for spectrum measurement and digital refractometer was used for soluble solids content. Correlation between absorbance spectrum and soluble solids content was analyzed to pick out the optimal wavelengths and to develop corresponding prediction model by means of MLR. For the coefficient of determination($R^2$) to be over 0.92, the MLR models out of the original absorbance were built based on 7 wavelengths of 992, 904, 1096, 1032, 880, 824, 1048nm, and the ones of the second derivative absorbance based on 5 wavelengths of 784, 1056, 992, 808, 872nm. The best model of the second derivative absorbance spectrum had $R^2$=0.91, bias= -0.02bx, SEP=0.28bx for unknown samples.

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MLR & ANN approaches for prediction of compressive strength of alkali activated EAFS

  • Ozturk, Murat;Cansiz, Omer F.;Sevim, Umur K.;Bankir, Muzeyyen Balcikanli
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.559-567
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    • 2018
  • In this study alkali activation of Electric Arc Furnace Slag (EAFS) is studied with a comprehensive test program. Three different silicate moduli (1-1,5-2), three different sodium concentrations (4%-6%-8%) for each silicate module, two different curing conditions (45%-98% relative humidity) for each sodium concentration, two different curing temperatures ($400^{\circ}C-800^{\circ}C$) for each relative humidity condition and two different curing time (6h-12h) for each curing temperature variables are selected and their effects on compressive strength was evaluated then regression equations using multiple linear regressions methods are fitted. And then to select the best regression models confirm with using the variables, the regression models compared between itself. An Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models that use silicate moduli, sodium concentration, relative humidity, curing temperature and curing time variables, are formed. After the investigation of these ANN models' results, ANN and multiple linear regressions based models are compared with each other. After that, an explicit formula is developed with values of the ANN model. As a result of this study, the fluctuations of data set of the compressive strength were very well reflected using both of the methods, multiple linear regression with quadratic terms and ANN.

유전자 알고리듬을 이용한 다중이상치 탐색

  • Go Yeong-Hyeon;Lee Hye-Seon;Jeon Chi-Hyeok
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.173-179
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    • 2000
  • Genetic algorithm(GA) is applied for detecting multiple outliers. GA is a heuristic optimization tool solving for near optimal solution. We compare the performance of GA and the other diagnostic measures commonly used for detecting outliers in regression model. The results show that GA seems to have better performance than the others for the detection of multiple outliers.

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A Study on the Factors Affecting the Arson (방화 발생에 영향을 미치는 요인에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Young-Chul;Bak, Woo-Sung;Lee, Su-Kyung
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.69-75
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    • 2014
  • This study derives the factors which affect the occurrence of arson from statistical data (population, economic, and social factors) by multiple regression analysis. Multiple regression analysis applies to 4 forms of functions, linear functions, semi-log functions, inverse log functions, and dual log functions. Also analysis respectively functions by using the stepwise progress which considered selection and deletion of the independent variable factors by each steps. In order to solve a problem of multiple regression analysis, autocorrelation and multicollinearity, Variance Inflation Factor (VIF) and the Durbin-Watson coefficient were considered. Through the analysis, the optimal model was determined by adjusted Rsquared which means statistical significance used determination, Adjusted R-squared of linear function is scored 0.935 (93.5%), the highest of the 4 forms of function, and so linear function is the optimal model in this study. Then interpretation to the optimal model is conducted. As a result of the analysis, the factors affecting the arson were resulted in lines, the incidence of crime (0.829), the general divorce rate (0.151), the financial autonomy rate (0.149), and the consumer price index (0.099).

Solar Radiation Estimation Using Cloud Cover and Hours of Bright Sunshine (운량과 일조시간에 의한 태양자원 예측)

  • Jo, Dok-Ki;Yun, Chang-Yeol;Kim, Kwang-Deuk;Kang, Young-Heack
    • 한국태양에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2012.03a
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    • pp.126-129
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    • 2012
  • In this work a new correlation has been made to predict the solar radiation for 16 different areas over Korea by estimating the regression coefficients taking into account cloud hours of bright sunshine. Particularly, the multiple linear regression model proposed shows reliable results for estimating the global radiation on a horizontal surface with monthly average deviation of -0.26 to +0.53% and each station annual average deviation of -1.61 to +1.7% from measured values.

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