• 동아시아경상학회지
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• 제5권1호
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• pp.33-49
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• 2017

This article can see the analysis of the monetary market of Russia at the present stage, its main segments. An assessment is given to the regulation of mechanism by liquidity, the transactions of the Bank of Russia on the provision of liquidity and on absorption of liquidity, the transaction of fixed action and the transaction in the public market are analyzed. To determine the tendency of development of the monetary market and its segments. In the work using the methods of multivariate statistics, the tools of financial mathematics. To be analyzed the amount of data from the 2015 -2016 year, the 2013 year. (daily data). Hypothesis 1. The dynamics of the money market of Russia at the present stage of development of domestic economy is rather stable. Hypothesis 2.The many transactions of regulation to decrease the liquidity of by monetary movement, the control function. Also in the article consider the contour of the financial transaction. This article reveals the theoretical bases of analysis of profitability of credit operations.

• 아태비즈니스연구
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• 제13권4호
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• pp.135-149
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• 2022

Purpose - The primary objective of this article is to investigate the impact of U.S. monetary policy on institutional / individual / foreign investor reactions in the Korean stock market. Design/methodology/approach - This study employs a high frequency event study methodology to identify U.S. monetary policy shocks and quantify the impact of identified shocks on investor reactions. The dependent variable in the regression model is net stock purchase, while the explanatory variables are U.S. monetary policy shocks. The model is estimated for the period 2000-2019, including 156 FOMC meetings. Findings - Foreign investors immediately sell stocks in response to contractionary U.S. monetary shocks. They do not, however, react to anticipated changes in monetary policy rates, confirming the rationality of foreign investors. Individual investors demonstrate the opposite response, indicating that a non-trivial proportion of individual investors are irrational. Research implications or Originality - This study adds to the current literature on the effect of U.S. monetary policy on the Korean stock market. This study demonstrates a heterogeneous response to U.S. monetary policy shocks, validating the rational investment behavior of foreign investors, while individual investors exhibit a certain degree of irrationality. Methodologically, this study adds to the literature by quantifying the impact of U.S. monetary policy employing a sharper identification method allowing a simple and consistent estimation.

• 대한안전경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한안전경영과학회 2005년도 추계학술대회
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• pp.537-557
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• 2005

The estimate on volatility of stock price is related with optimum of portfolio and Important for allocation of capital asset. If the volatility of stock price is varied according to macroeconomic variables on monetary policy and industrial production, it will assist capital asset to allocate. This paper is related with stock market volatilities on macroeconomic variables in U.S. and Europe, Korea. And, it Is pertain to vary in time of this variables. Thus, this paper is related with volatilities of monetary and physical macroeconomic variables on basis of statistics. And, it is ranged front capital investment to portfolio allocation. Also, this paper takes out of sample forecast and study more after this. In case Germany, France, Italy and the Netherlands, the relative importance of monetary policy and Industrial production Is different from these countries. In case Italy and the Netherlands, monetary policy is primary factor at stabilizing for volatility of stock price. In case Korea, increasing monetary policy and industrial production is positively affected stock market. It is that the positive effect of stock price is caused by mollifying monetary policy and economic growth. Specially, this conclusion is similar to US. In Korea, gradual increase in monetary and industrial production is necessary to stability of stock market. It is different to previous results on basis of increasing stock price of money in long period.

• 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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• 제21권12호
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• pp.189-196
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• 2016

In this paper, I propose monetary penalties imposed on firms sanctioned by the Financial Supervisory Service for fraudulent financial reporting in accounting and auditing enforcement release(FSS-sanctioned fraud firms) should be disclosed to the notes of financial statement of the firms. Disclosing to the notes of financial statement for FSS-sanctioned fraud firms is an effective way to inform all the related parties of the information which affects the value of the corporation. Even though monetary penalties can affect the value of the firms, however, this study suggests that monetary penalties imposed on the fraud firms have a question on the effectiveness of the sanctions. In addition, this study finds that the magnitude of the market reactions between the fraud firms imposed by monetary penalties and the fraud firms imposed by non-monetary penalties has no difference. Based on these results, the information of FSS-sanctioned fraud firms should be disclosed to the notes of financial statements to have the market react effectively.

• Asian Journal of Business Environment
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• 제9권3호
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• pp.5-9
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• 2019

Purpose - This paper examines whether fiscal and monetary expansion would affect output in Australia. Research design, data, and methodology - An extended IS-LM model which describes the equilibrium in the goods market and the money market is applied. The real effective exchange rate and the real stock price are included in order to determine whether there may be any substitution or wealth effect. The sample consists of Annual data ranging from 1990 to 2018. The GARCH process is used in empirical work to correct for potential autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity. Results - Expansionary fiscal policy reduces output; whereas, expansionary monetary policy raises output. In addition, real appreciation of the Australian dollar, a lower U.S. interest rate, a higher real stock price or a lower expected inflation would increase output. The finding that expansionary fiscal policy has a negative impact on real GDP suggests that the negative crowding-out effect on private spending dominates the positive impact. Conclusions - Fiscal prudence needs to be pursued. Real depreciation of the Australian dollar hurts output. Monetary tightening in the U.S. generates a negative effect on Australia's output. A healthy stock market is conducive to economic growth as higher stock prices tend to result in the wealth and other positive effects, increasing consumption and business spending.

• East Asian Economic Review
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• 제27권2호
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• pp.115-143
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• 2023

In this paper, we address how the monetary authority should react to financial market status and exchange rate movements in a small open economy New Keynesian model with financial frictions due to asymmetric information between savers and borrowers. We show that the small economy with financial frictions is more susceptible to the exogenous shocks under the fixed exchange rate regime than under the flexible exchange regime. The small economy experiences a more prolonged and deeper economic recession under the fixed exchange rate regime than under the flexible exchange rate regime. The monetary policy taking into account external finance premium is better than the interest rate rule without considering the financial market status.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• 제27권2호
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• pp.239-251
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• 2005

본 연구는 거시경제정책이 주식시장에 미치는 영향을 외환위기 전후와 주식시장 개방 전후의 시기를 비교하여 분석하였다. 이를 위해 SUR(Seemingly Unrelated Regression) 계량분석기법을 이용, 1982년 1월부터 2004년 12월까지의 월별 자료를 분석하였다. 분석결과 다음과 같은 증거들을 발견하였다. 첫째, 전체 분석기간 동안 재정정책에 대한 정보들은 주식시장에 잘 반영되었으나 통화정책들은 그렇지 못하다는 것을 발견하였다. 둘째, 거시경제정책이 주식시장에 영향을 미치는 과정에서 외환위기가 변수로 작용한 것으로 나타났다. 구체적으로는, 외환위기 이전과 비교하여 재정정책의 충격들은 외환위기 이후 주식시장의 가격형성에 잘 반영되고 있으나 통화정책의 충격들이 주식시장에 미치는 영향은 즉각적이지 않고 시간이 걸리는 것으로 나타났다. 셋째, 주식시장 개방 이전에는 과거의 거시경제정보들이 주식시장의 가격형성에 영향을 주었으나 이러한 현상을 개방 이후에는 발견할 수 없었다. 이와 같은 결과는 주식시장 개방이 시장의 참가자들에게 적극적인 거시경제정보의 분석과 활용을 유도하는 방향으로 작용하였다는 것을 시사한다.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제8권2호
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• pp.791-800
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• 2021

Along with the trend of financial globalization, Vietnam has undergone a process of increasing financial integration. The great capital inflow poses a problem for the monetary policy's ability to follow a planned target during the changes in the global financial markets. This paper aims to examine the impact of financial integration on monetary policy independence in Vietnam and investigate the role of foreign exchange reserves on this relationship. The research borrows from Mundell-Fleming's Trilemma theory. The results show that increasing financial integration reduces the independence of monetary policy in the short term, and foreign exchange reserves have not shown an apparent role in Vietnam. In addition, increasing exchange rate stability has a negative impact on the independence of monetary policy, but it has an impact on growing market confidence and partly supporting the management process of monetary policy in the short term. Therefore, in the long run, Vietnam needs to allow exchange rate flexibility more, but there should not be sudden changes; the size of foreign exchange reserves should be strengthened to facilitate the implementation of an independent monetary policy with an obvious impact in the context of an increasing scale of international capital flows in the future.

• East Asian Economic Review
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• 제22권3호
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• pp.307-336
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• 2018

This paper proposes a monetary aggregate "Liquidity" that could serve as a useful indicator for gauging the appropriateness of monetary policy. If liquidity rises above a certain threshold, it is signaling that monetary policy is losing traction due to structural and other impediments even when the inflation gap remains open. This indicator supplements the financial cycle approach but adds value by providing a benchmark that is derived from the national account, and not based on its own trend. Over the last two decades, each time this measure rose above the threshold range, it was followed by a decline in GDP growth. The latter was greater when accompanied by a high physical asset value to GDP, e.g., an elevated property market.

• 국제지역연구
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• 제13권1호
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• pp.103-122
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• 2009

본 연구는 예상환율변화율, 예상인플레이션 차이, 및 이자율 차이를 활용하여 한국의 외환시장, 실물시장, 및 화폐시장 간의 상호관계를 분석하였으며, 계량경제기법으로는 합리적 기대가설과 GARCH-M 모형을 적용하였다. 또한, 국제 Fisher 효과를 분석하여 국내외의 실질이자율이 국가간 자본유출입에 미치는 영향도 분석하였다. 분석결과에 의하면 한국의 경우 외환시장의 효율성을 실물시장 및 화폐시장간의 유기적인 관계로 이해하기에는 한계가 있지만 외환시장에서 결정되는 환율은 국가간 실질이자율의 충격에 영향을 받는 것으로 판명되었다. 따라서 외환시장의 안정성을 확보하기 위해서는 국가간 실질이자율의 차이를 안정적으로 유지하는 정책을 수행하여야 할 것이다.