• Title/Summary/Keyword: Model based Method

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A Study of Decision-making Support Method based on System Dynamics for Reservoir Risk Judgment (시스템 다이내믹스 기반의 저수지 위험판단 의사결정지원 방안 연구)

  • Duckgil Kim;Jiseong You;Hayoung Jang;Daewon Jang
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.279-284
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    • 2024
  • Recently, the frequency and intensity of torential rains caused by climate change are increasing, and the damage to reservoir collapse in local governments continues to occur. Most local government reservoirs are aged reservoirs that have been built for more than 50 years, and there is a high risk of collapse due to recent heavy rainfall. In order to prevent reservoir collapse or overflow caused by heavy rainfall, a decision-making support system that can judge risks due to changes in storage capacity is needed. In this study, a reservoir discharge simulation model was constructed using a system dynamics technique that can dynamically represent causal relationships between various variables. Through discharge simulation, the change in storage capacity due to rainfall was analyzed, and the operation time and termination time of the discharge facility to prevent overflow of the reservoir were analyzed. Using the results of this study, it is possible to determine the timing of the overflow of the reservoir due to torrential rain, and also the capacity and operation timing of the discharge facility to prevent overflow can be known. hrough this, it is expected that local governments will be able to judge the risk of damage to reservoirs and establish a preliminary response plan to prevent damage.

Study on the shielding performance of bismuth oxide as a spent fuel dry storage container based on Monte Carlo simulation

  • Guo-Qiang Zeng;Shuang Qi;Peng Cheng;Sheng Lv;Fei Li;Xiao-Bo Wang;Bing-Hai Li;Qing-Ao Qin
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.56 no.8
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    • pp.3307-3314
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    • 2024
  • For traditional spent fuel shielding materials, due to physical and chemical defects and cost constraints, they have been unable to meet the needs. Therefore, this paper carries out the first discussion on the application and performance of bismuth in neutron shielding by establishing Monte Carlo simulation on the neutron flux model of shielded spent fuel. Firstly, functional fillers such as bismuth oxide, lead oxide, boron oxide, gadolinium oxide and tungsten oxide are added to the matrices to compare the shielding rates of aluminum alloy matrix and silicone rubber matrix. The shielding rate of silicone rubber mixture is higher than aluminum alloy mixture, reaching more than 56%. The optimal addition proportion of bismuth oxide and lead oxide is 30%, and the neutron radiation protection efficiency reaches 60%. Then, the mass attenuation coefficients of bismuth oxide, lead oxide, boron oxide, gadolinium oxide and tungsten oxide in silicone rubber matrix are simulated with the change of functional fillers proportion and neutron energy. This simulation result shows that the mixture with functional fillers has good shielding performance for low energy neutrons, but poor shielding effect for high energy neutrons. Finally, in order to further evaluate the possibility of replacing lead oxide with bismuth oxide as shielding material, the half-value layers and various properties of bismuth oxide and lead oxide are compared. The results show that the shielding properties of bismuth oxide and lead oxide are basically the same, and the mechanical properties, heat resistance, radiation resistance and environmental protection of bismuth oxide are better than that of lead oxide. Therefore, in the case of neutron source strengths in the range of 0.01-6 MeV and secondary gamma rays produced below 2.5 MeV, bismuth can replace lead in neutron shielding applications.

The Impact of Moving to Opportunity Across Life Stages on College Graduates' Wage Performance (생애주기별 기회로의 이동이 대졸 청년 임금 소득에 미치는 영향)

  • Ho Kwon Choi;In Kwon Park
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.75-93
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    • 2024
  • This study examines the impact of moving to an opportunity-rich area on an individual's wage income to identify the relationship between regional disparities in opportunities throughout a person's life cycle and life outcomes. Based on the Graduate Occupational Mobility Survey (GOMS) provided by the Korea Employment Information Service, individuals with similar life experience prior to regional mobility were selected and analyzed using the Propensity Score Matching (PSM) method. Specifically, the life cycle was classified into stages such as pre-high school, university entrance period, and employment period. Then, a path model was established to analyze regional mobility, education, employment, and wage income by life cycle stage. The analysis results indicate that the life cycle stage where regional mobility had the greatest impact on an individual's economic performance, that is, the stage where the impact of opportunity disparities was most unequal, was the university entrance period. Additionally, moving to an opportunity-rich area was a critical factor that cumulatively affected subsequent life. Hence, pre-high school mobility was also noteworthy as it induced life in the central area later on. Lastly, while parental income itself was influential, but when combined with regional mobility, it could act as a means of transferring wealth to the next generation. These results suggest that the state should strive to alleviate the regional imbalance around universities by fostering universities outside the capital region and reduce the possibility of the influence of parents' socio-economic background on regional mobility.

Impact of Earnings Quality on Long-term Performance in the IPO firms : Based on the Mediation Effect of Share Price's Disparate ratio (회계이익의 질이 IPO기업의 장기성과에 미치는 영향 : 적정주가 괴리율의 매개효과를 중심으로)

  • 이진훤;이포상
    • 산업혁신연구
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.133-163
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    • 2020
  • This study is designed to see whether overpriced IPO is caused from firm's earnings management, and how effects this to IPO firm's long-term performance. To examine addressed above, we take a look into how firm's earning quality listing on Korea Exchange in 2007 through 2016 is related with long-term stock performance post IPO. Especially, we measure how associated the disparate ratio between offer price and fair price with earnings quality and long-term performance. To examine these three factors, 'three-step mediated regression analysis method' is used. Earnings quality's calculated by discretionary accruals. Disparate ratio is calculated with offer price and estimating share price's rate measured by applying relative valuation model. To sum up, it is as follows. At first, as earnings quality gets high, the disparate ratio between offer price and fair price gets reduced. Secondly, as earnings quality gets high, firm's long term stock performance follows high. At last, as the disparate ratio between offer price and fair price gets increased, firm's long-term stock performance gets decreased. Moreover, mediation effect of the disparate ratio between offer price and fair price is partially found. Thus, it addresses that raised earnings revision before listing is resulted in overpricing of the IPO, and it also leads to poor long term stock performance. This study contributes that empirical analysis is applied to examine long-term under performance using disparate ratio between offer price and fair price. Moreover, this is useful not only to alert investors to risky investing pattern, but to provide informative reference to financial institutions in making policies or decisions about IPO.

A study on the underwater radiated noise reduction method based on air injection technology with Air Lubrication System (공기윤활장치를 접목한 공기분사 기술 기반의 수중방사소음 저감 기법 연구)

  • Jaehyuk Lee;Hongju Gu;Jaekwon Jung;Heeyeol Jung;Manhwan Kim;Junghae Kim;Euijin Jeon;Seungmin Kwon
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.43 no.5
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    • pp.484-493
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    • 2024
  • This paper discusses the process and results of experimental research aimed at reducing Underwater Radiated Noise (URN) using air injection technology. Air Lubrication System (ALS) is an air injection technology mainly installed and operated to improve the propulsion efficiency of large commercial ship, such as LNGC. Recently, research institutes have been studying the potential of reducing URN using ALS. This paper performs an experiment as part of such research. The experiment was conducted in the Large Cavitation Tunnel (LCT), and the major devices applied in the experiment fall into two categories: ALS, which is directly applied to the model in use for LNGC and a modified air injection belt developed from the Masker-Air System (MAS), which is being developed to reduce URN of naval ships. The environmental conditions for the experiment mainly include the air injection flow rate and flow speed in the LCT. The flow rate was set to the actual air injection conditions of ALS, and the flow speed was adjusted to two different levels, considering the actual speeds of LNGC. The noise reduction performance was confirmed by calculating insertion loss with and without air injection.

Application and Development of Teaching-Learning Plan for 'Sustainable Residence Created with Neighbor' ('이웃과 더불어 만드는 지속가능한 주거생활' 교수.학습 과정안 개발 및 적용)

  • Park, Mi-Ra;Cho, Jae-Soon
    • Journal of Korean Home Economics Education Association
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this study was to develop a teaching-learning process plan for sustainable residing creating with neighbors and to apply it to the housing section of Technology-Home Economics according to the 2007 Revised Curriculum. Teachinglearning method solving practical problems was used for the teaching-learning process plans of 6-session lessons according to the ADDIE model. In the development stage, 17 activity materials and 15 teaching learning materials (6 reading texts, 6 moving pictures, 2 internet and 1 image materials) were developed. for the 6-session lessons, based on the stages of solving practical problems. The plans applied to the 3 classes of 8, 9, and 10th grade of the H. junior and senior high school in Myun district in Kyungbook during Sept. 1st to 14th, 2009. The results showed that students actively participated when the contents and materials were related to their own experience. The 6-session lessons about sustainable residing creating with neighbors was significantly increased the sense of community between before and after. Each of the 4 stages of the teachinglearning method solving practical problems were highly participated by the students. The satisfaction with the contents and methods of the 6-session lessons were evaluated over medium to somewhat higher levels. The practical activities to solve the community space and programs were got positive comments. Problem solving process and presentation and discussion were needed to learn more. Those results might support that the teachinglearning process plan this research developed. would be appropriate to the lessons for sustainable residing creating with neighbors.

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Quantitative Analysis of Magnetization Transfer by Phase Sensitive Method in Knee Disorder (무릎 이상에 대한 자화전이 위상감각에 의한 정량분석법)

  • Yoon, Moon-Hyun;Sung, Mi-Sook;Yin, Chang-Sik;Lee, Heung-Kyu;Choe, Bo-Young
    • Investigative Magnetic Resonance Imaging
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.98-107
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    • 2006
  • Magnetization Transfer (MT) imaging generates contrast dependent on the phenomenon of magnetization exchange between free water proton and restricted proton in macromolecules. In biological materials in knee, MT or cross-relaxation is commonly modeled using two spin pools identified by their different T2 relaxation times. Two models for cross-relaxation emphasize the role of proton chemical exchange between protons of water and exchangeable protons on macromolecules, as well as through dipole-dipole interaction between the water and macromolecule protons. The most essential tool in medical image manipulation is the ability to adjust the contrast and intensity. Thus, it is desirable to adjust the contrast and intensity of an image interactively in the real time. The proton density (PD) and T2-weighted SE MR images allow the depiction of knee structures and can demonstrate defects and gross morphologic changes. The PD- and T2-weighted images also show the cartilage internal pathology due to the more intermediate signal of the knee joint in these sequences. Suppression of fat extends the dynamic range of tissue contrast, removes chemical shift artifacts, and decreases motion-related ghost artifacts. Like fat saturation, phase sensitive methods are also based on the difference in precession frequencies of water and fat. In this study, phase sensitive methods look at the phase difference that is accumulated in time as a result of Larmor frequency differences rather than using this difference directly. Although how MT work was given with clinical evidence that leads to quantitative model for MT in tissues, the mathematical formalism used to describe the MT effect applies to explaining to evaluate knee disorder, such as anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) tear and meniscal tear. Calculation of the effect of the effect of the MT saturation is given in the magnetization transfer ratio (MTR) which is a quantitative measure of the relative decrease in signal intensity due to the MT pulse.

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The Effect of Meta-Features of Multiclass Datasets on the Performance of Classification Algorithms (다중 클래스 데이터셋의 메타특징이 판별 알고리즘의 성능에 미치는 영향 연구)

  • Kim, Jeonghun;Kim, Min Yong;Kwon, Ohbyung
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.23-45
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    • 2020
  • Big data is creating in a wide variety of fields such as medical care, manufacturing, logistics, sales site, SNS, and the dataset characteristics are also diverse. In order to secure the competitiveness of companies, it is necessary to improve decision-making capacity using a classification algorithm. However, most of them do not have sufficient knowledge on what kind of classification algorithm is appropriate for a specific problem area. In other words, determining which classification algorithm is appropriate depending on the characteristics of the dataset was has been a task that required expertise and effort. This is because the relationship between the characteristics of datasets (called meta-features) and the performance of classification algorithms has not been fully understood. Moreover, there has been little research on meta-features reflecting the characteristics of multi-class. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to empirically analyze whether meta-features of multi-class datasets have a significant effect on the performance of classification algorithms. In this study, meta-features of multi-class datasets were identified into two factors, (the data structure and the data complexity,) and seven representative meta-features were selected. Among those, we included the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI), originally a market concentration measurement index, in the meta-features to replace IR(Imbalanced Ratio). Also, we developed a new index called Reverse ReLU Silhouette Score into the meta-feature set. Among the UCI Machine Learning Repository data, six representative datasets (Balance Scale, PageBlocks, Car Evaluation, User Knowledge-Modeling, Wine Quality(red), Contraceptive Method Choice) were selected. The class of each dataset was classified by using the classification algorithms (KNN, Logistic Regression, Nave Bayes, Random Forest, and SVM) selected in the study. For each dataset, we applied 10-fold cross validation method. 10% to 100% oversampling method is applied for each fold and meta-features of the dataset is measured. The meta-features selected are HHI, Number of Classes, Number of Features, Entropy, Reverse ReLU Silhouette Score, Nonlinearity of Linear Classifier, Hub Score. F1-score was selected as the dependent variable. As a result, the results of this study showed that the six meta-features including Reverse ReLU Silhouette Score and HHI proposed in this study have a significant effect on the classification performance. (1) The meta-features HHI proposed in this study was significant in the classification performance. (2) The number of variables has a significant effect on the classification performance, unlike the number of classes, but it has a positive effect. (3) The number of classes has a negative effect on the performance of classification. (4) Entropy has a significant effect on the performance of classification. (5) The Reverse ReLU Silhouette Score also significantly affects the classification performance at a significant level of 0.01. (6) The nonlinearity of linear classifiers has a significant negative effect on classification performance. In addition, the results of the analysis by the classification algorithms were also consistent. In the regression analysis by classification algorithm, Naïve Bayes algorithm does not have a significant effect on the number of variables unlike other classification algorithms. This study has two theoretical contributions: (1) two new meta-features (HHI, Reverse ReLU Silhouette score) was proved to be significant. (2) The effects of data characteristics on the performance of classification were investigated using meta-features. The practical contribution points (1) can be utilized in the development of classification algorithm recommendation system according to the characteristics of datasets. (2) Many data scientists are often testing by adjusting the parameters of the algorithm to find the optimal algorithm for the situation because the characteristics of the data are different. In this process, excessive waste of resources occurs due to hardware, cost, time, and manpower. This study is expected to be useful for machine learning, data mining researchers, practitioners, and machine learning-based system developers. The composition of this study consists of introduction, related research, research model, experiment, conclusion and discussion.

Assessment of Positioning Accuracy of UAV Photogrammetry based on RTK-GPS (RTK-GPS 무인항공사진측량의 위치결정 정확도 평가)

  • Lee, Jae-One;Sung, Sang-Min
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.63-68
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    • 2018
  • The establishment of Ground Control Points (GCPs) in UAV-Photogrammetry is a working process that requires the most time and expenditure. Recently, the rapid developments of navigation sensors and communication technologies have enabled Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) to conduct photogrammetric mapping without using GCP because of the availability of new methods such as RTK (Real Time Kinematic) and PPK (Post Processed Kinematic) technology. In this study, an experiment was conducted to evaluate the potential of RTK-UAV mapping with no GCPs compared to that of non RTK-UAV mapping. The positioning accuracy results produced by images obtained simultaneously from the two different types of UAVs were compared and analyzed. One was a RTK-UAV without GCPs and the other was a non RTK-UAV with different numbers of GCPs. The images were taken with a Canon IXUS 127 camera (focal length 4.3mm, pixel size $1.3{\mu}m$) at a flying height of approximately 160m, corresponding to a nominal GSD of approximately 4.7cm. As a result, the RMSE (planimetric/vertical) of positional accuracy according to the number of GCPs by the non-RTK method was 4.8cm/8.2cm with 5 GCPs, 5.4cm/10.3cm with 4 GCPs, and 6.2cm/12.0cm with 3 GCPs. In the case of non RTK-UAV photogrammetry with no GCP, the positioning accuracy was decreased greatly to approximately 112.9 cm and 204.6 cm in the horizontal and vertical coordinates, respectively. On the other hand, in the case of the RTK method with no ground control point, the errors in the planimetric and vertical position coordinates were reduced remarkably to 13.1cm and 15.7cm, respectively, compared to the non-RTK method. Overall, UAV photogrammetry supported by RTK-GPS technology, enabling precise positioning without a control point, is expected to be useful in the field of spatial information in the future.

Quantification of Protein and Amylose Contents by Near Infrared Reflectance Spectroscopy in Aroma Rice (근적외선 분광분석법을 이용한 향미벼의 아밀로스 및 단백질 정량분석)

  • Kim, Jeong-Soon;Song, Mi-Hee;Choi, Jae-Eul;Lee, Hee-Bong;Ahn, Sang-Nag
    • Korean Journal of Food Science and Technology
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    • v.40 no.6
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    • pp.603-610
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    • 2008
  • The principal objective of current study was to evaluate the potential of near infrared reflectance spectroscopy (NIRS) as a non-destructive method for the prediction of the amylose and protein contents of un-hulled and brown rice in broad-based calibration models. The average amylose and protein content of 75 rice accessions were 20.3% and 7.1%, respectively. Additionally, the range of amylose and protein content were 16.6-24.5% and 3.8-9.3%, respectively. In total, 79 rice germplasms representing a wide range of chemical characteristics, variable physical properties, and origins were scanned via NIRS for calibration and validation equations. The un-hulled and brown rice samples evidenced distinctly different patterns in a wavelength range from 1,440 nm to 2,400 nm in the original NIR spectra. The optimal performance calibration model could be obtained by MPLS (modified partial least squares) using the first derivative method (1:4:4:1) for un-hulled rice and the second derivative method (2:4:4:1) for brown rice. The correlation coefficients $(r^2)$ and standard error of calibration (SEC) of protein and amylose contents for the un-hulled rice were 0.86, 2.48, and 0.84, 1.13, respectively. The $r^2$ and SEC of protein and amylose content for brown rice were 0.95, 1.09 and 0.94, 0.42, respectively. The results of this study suggest that the NIRS technique could be utilized as a routine procedure for the quantification of protein and amylose contents in large accessions of un-hulled rice germplasms.