• 제목/요약/키워드: Model Assessment

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베이지안 네트워크를 이용한 아차사고 평가 모델 개발 및 주요 원인 도출 (Development of Near miss Assessment Model Using Bayesian Network and Derivation of Major Causes)

  • 하선영;이미정;백종배
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제38권4호
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    • pp.54-59
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    • 2023
  • The relationship between near misses and major accidents can be confirmed using the ratios proposed by Heinrich and Bird. Systematic reviews of previous national and international studies did not reveal the assessment process used in near-miss management systems. In this study, a model was developed for assessing near misses and major factors were derived through case application. By reviewing national and international literature, 14 factors were selected for each dimension of the P2T (people, procedure, technology) model. To identify the causal relationship between accidents and these factors, a near-miss assessment model was developed using a Bayesian network. In addition, a sensitivity analysis was conducted to derive the major factors. To verify the validity of the model, near-miss data obtained from the ethylene production process were applied. As a result, "PE2 (education)," "PR1 (procedure)," and "TE1 (equipment and facility not installed)" were derived as the major factors causing near misses in this process. If actual workplace data are applied to the near-miss assessment model developed in this study, results that are unique to the workplace can be confirmed. In addition, scientific safety management is possible only when priority is given through sensitivity analysis.

생물 군집의 회복력 및 저항력 : 하천생태계 건전성 평가를 위한 응용성 (Resilience and Resistance of Biological Community : Application for Stream Ecosystem Health Assessment)

  • 노태호
    • 환경정책연구
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.91-110
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    • 2002
  • Ecosystem health assessment is an emerging concept regarded as a useful diagnostic tool for evaluating ecosystems. The stability of ecosystem is the main theme in the assessment. Generally, two components - resilience and resistance - are involved in the mechanism of ecosystem stability. In this study, relative degrees of the resistance and the resilience were quantified for most aquatic Insects Inhabiting running waters in Korea. A total of 34 groups were newly categorized based on previous studies, and a conceptual model has been produced. The model was applied for the aquatic insect communities inhabiting different streams and demonstrated that each stream ecosystem possessed different degrees of stability. This study also indicated that it was possible to compare stabilities of different ecosystems using relative degrees of resilience and resistance. Using the conceptual model, suitable conservation and management strategies could be recommended in ecological assessments. The model can be used as a stepping-stone for developing more comprehensive methodology that objectively diagnoses and evaluates the ecosystem stability.

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GIS 공간유형분석 모형을 이용한 경관 규모 생태계의 평가기법 (Landscape Scale Ecosystem Assessment Modelling Using Spatial Pattern Analysis of GIS: A Case Study of Yongin, Korea)

  • 손학기;김원주;박종화
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.233-241
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    • 2000
  • The objective of this study were to develop landscape scale ecosystem assessment model, and apply the model for the assessment of the state and change of ecosystem of the study area, Yongin, Korea. Since natural ecosystem of the site has been deteriorated significantly during recent extensive residential development, it is essential to correctly assess ecosystem of the study site. Traditional ecosystem assessment mainly utilizing intensive field survey requires high cost, but the outcome rarely represents spatial pattern of the regional ecosystems. Ecosystem assesment of landscape scale based on landscape ecology can resolve most of the shortfalls of the traditional approach. The research method can be summarized as follows. First, extensive literature review on such topics as spatial pattern of ecosystem, ecosystem assessment of landscape scale, ecological analysis was carried out. Second, a model for the ecosystem assessment of landscape scale emphasizing spatial pattern of ecosystem was developed. This model evaluates three indicators; ecological integrity and biological diversity, watershed integrity, and landscape resilience of 11 watersheds in the study area. Finally, ecological assessment utilizing two sets of indicators, enhancement of and disturbance of ecosystem stability, was carried out. This assessment method is based on Environmental Monitoring and Assessment Program´s Landscape component(EMAP-L) of EPA(1994). The results of this study are as follows. First, the ecosystem assessment of landscape scale of the study area of Yongin, Korea, showed that escosystems of Tanchun01 and Chungmichun01 watersheds had the worst state in the study site in 1991. On the other hand, the ecosystems of Jinwechun01, Kyunganchun02, and Bokhachun01 watersheds had the most stable ecosystem in 1991. Second, ecosystems of Tanchun01, Shingal reservoir, and Kyunganchun01 watersheds were evaluated to be the worst state in the study site in 1996. And, ecosystems of Jinwechun01 and Gosam reservoir watersheds had the most stable ecosystem. Third, ecosystem of Tanchun01 watershed which incudes Suji residential development project site changed the most drastically between 1991 and 1996. The ecosystem of the watershed the most drastically deteriorated due to it´s proximity to Seoul and Bundang new town.

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교구를 활용한 수학적 과정의 평가모델 개발에 관한 연구 -중학교 수학을 중심으로- (A Study on the Development of the Model for the Process-focused Assessment Using Manipulatives -Focused on Middle School Mathematics-)

  • 고상숙;한혜숙;이창연
    • 한국수학교육학회지시리즈E:수학교육논문집
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.581-609
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    • 2013
  • 제 7차 교육과정이후 학생들의 수학 학습을 돕기 위해서 다양한 평가 방법으로 학습 과정 및 수학 수준 등에 대하여 진단해야하는 평가의 중요성이 꾸준히 논의되었다. 본 연구는 2009 개정교육과정에서 강조하는 수학적 과정인 문제해결, 추론, 의사소통 능력을 향상시키기 위해서 교구를 활용한 평가모델을 개발하는 것이다. 우선 교구를 활용한 평가에 적합한 평가원리를 설정하여 각 영역별로 문항과 채점기준표를 개발하고 예비 연구를 실시한 결과 관찰체크리스트의 필요성이 제기되었다. 나아가 예비 연구를 바탕으로 수정된 평가모델을 사용하여 평가를 실시한 결과, 수학적 과정인 각 영역별 특성에 따른 채점기준표에 의해 학생들의 수학적 사고과정을 구체적으로 파악할 수 있어서 목표지향평가가 용이해짐을 알 수 있었다.

자연환경 보전을 위한 통합 평가모형 - 내셔널 트러스트 후보지 선정을 중심으로 - (The Integrated Assessment Model for the Conservation of Natural Environment - Focused on Site Selection for the National Trust -)

  • 정성관;유주한
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.87-98
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    • 2003
  • The main purpose of this study is to propose the integrated assessment model for the rational and effective selection of proposed sites in National Trust (NT) and conserve the ruined natural environment by excessive land development. The results of this study are as follows; 1) The specialists thought that rare and endangered species were very important in plant and animal, in case of landscape and environment, naturality and water quality were too important. 2) In the result of the correlation measure on the indicator of assessment, 'erosion of soil'and 'air pollutant'was highly correlative. Secondly, 'suspended solids' and 'erosion of soil'was high correlation. 3) In the result of forming the factors into the integrated indicators, they were classified into conditional, stable, valuable and potential factors and the purpose of this formation is to evaluate proposed sites in NT objectively and rationally with organic assessment. 4) In the integrated assessment model, the degree of explanation was observed approximately 36.4% and the important factor was the conditional factor, but we have to consider all factors for the effective and objective assessment. Therefore we organically have to apply and use them for the assessment of proposed sites in NT. It turns out to offer raw data on the land conservation and carry out the role of the instrument of measurement. As for future directions, the follow are proposed: 1) adaptation of real proposed site, 2) verification of effect and problem, 3) practical survey for diverse types as mountain, coast and inland.

생태관광자원으로서의 우포늪의 지속가능성 평가모형 (The Sustainability Assessment Model for Upo Wetland as a Eco-Tourism Resources)

  • 류정섭;이재달
    • 환경정책연구
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.3-25
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    • 2012
  • 생태생태관광자원의 지속가능성을 평가하기 위해 생태관광과 관련한 전문가 집단 135명을 대상으로 설문조사하여 지속가능성에 크게 영향을 미치는 중요요인에 대한 가중치의 산정, 평가지표의 개발 및 수리적 평가모형을 정의하여 우포늪을 대상으로 평가를 실행하였다. 그 결과 현재 상태의 우포늪에 대한 지속가능성 등급수준을 확인하였으며, 등급수준의 상향을 위해 세부항목별 향상방안을 제시하였다. 본 논문은 우포늪을 대상으로 하였으나, 생태관광자원의 지속가능성 평가에 대한 구체적인 연구모형과 방법을 제시함으로써 보다 과학적이며 체계적으로 지속가능성을 평가할 수 있는 근거를 마련하였다는 점에서 의미가 크다.

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대형 공공연구인프라의 운영 효율성 제고를 위한 운영 및 유지관리비 평가모델 개발 기초연구 (A Basic Study on the Development of O&M Cost Assessment Model to Improve Operational Efficiency of Large Public Research Infrastructures (CAM))

  • 최선아;손승현;이성호;오엄중;한범진
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2021년도 봄 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.93-94
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    • 2021
  • The Korean government has invested a tremendous amount of money in the last 10 years to build large public research infrastructures (LPRI). For efficient operation and maintenance of LPRI built with expensive equipment and professional engineers, reasonable budget needs to be allocated. However, it is difficult to fulfill sustainable operation and maintenance (O&M) because there is no standard on budgeting for efficient LPRI operation, including expensive equipment and manpower allocation. There have been a lot of cost assessment studies regarding O&M of high-demand facilities such as hospitals, hotels and residential buildings, but a very few on sustainable O&M of LPRI. Therefore, mid/long-term budget establishment plans for efficient LPRI O&M are required from the initial planning stage and a cost assessment model to support the plans should be developed. The objective of this paper is to propose a cost assessment model for sustainable operation and maintenance of large public research infrastructures. To do so, actual O&M data of 6 LPRI types in operation are collected, and regression analysis model (RAM) is used for development and evaluation a cost assessment model. The study result will support sustainable operation of LPRI from a business perspective and be used as basic data for continuous development of cost assessment models to establish budgets for LPRI operation from an academic perspective.

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공개소프트웨어 서비스 평가모델(BSEM)에 관한 개념적 연구 (Behavior-Structure-Evolution Evaluation Model(BSEM) for Open Source Software Service)

  • 이승창;박훈성;서응교
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.57-70
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    • 2015
  • Purpose - Open source software has high utilization in most of the server market. The utilization of open source software is a global trend. Particularly, Internet infrastructure and platform software open source software development has increased rapidly. Since 2003, the Korean government has published open source software promotion policies and a supply promotion policy. The dynamism of the open source software market, the lack of relevant expertise, and the market transformation due to reasons such as changes in the relevant technology occur slowly in relation to adoption. Therefore, this study proposes an assessment model of services provided in an open source software service company. In this study, the service level of open source software companies is classified into an enterprise-level assessment area, the service level assessment area, and service area. The assessment model is developed from an on-site driven evaluation index and proposed evaluation framework; the evaluation procedures and evaluation methods are used to achieve the research objective, involving an impartial evaluation model implemented after pilot testing and validation. Research Design, data, and methodology - This study adopted an iteration development model to accommodate various requirements, and presented and validated the assessment model to address the situation of the open source software service company. Phase 1 - Theoretical background and literature review Phase 2 - Research on an evaluation index based on the open source software service company Phase 3 - Index improvement through expert validation Phase 4 - Finalizing an evaluation model reflecting additional requirements Based on the open source software adoption case study and latest technology trends, we developed an open source software service concept definition and classification of public service activities for open source software service companies. We also presented open source software service company service level measures by developing a service level factor analysis assessment. The Behavior-Structure-Evolution Evaluation Model (BSEM) proposed in this study consisted of a rating methodology for calculating the level that can be granted through the assessment and evaluation of an enterprise-level data model. An open source software service company's service comprises the service area and service domain, while the technology acceptance model comprises the service area, technical domain, technical sub-domain, and open source software name. Finally, the evaluation index comprises the evaluation group, category, and items. Results - Utilization of an open source software service level evaluation model For the development of an open source software service level evaluation model, common service providers need to standardize the quality of the service, so that surveys and expert workshops performed in open source software service companies can establish the evaluation criteria according to their qualitative differences. Conclusion - Based on this evaluation model's systematic evaluation process and monitoring, an open source software service adoption company can acquire reliable information for open source software adoption. Inducing the growth of open source software service companies will facilitate the development of the open source software industry.

중·저준위 방사성폐기물 천층처분시설 근계영역의 2차원 통합성능평가 모델 개발 (Development of Two-Dimensional Near-field Integrated Performance Assessment Model for Near-surface LILW Disposal)

  • 방제헌;박주완;정강일
    • 방사성폐기물학회지
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    • 제12권4호
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    • pp.315-334
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    • 2014
  • 월성원자력환경센터 중저준위방사성폐기물 처분시설은 서로 다른 방식의 처분시설이 혼재하고, 월성 원자력발전소와도 인접해있다. 이와 같은 높은 복잡성으로 인해 처분시설 안전성 평가 시 보다 면밀한 현상이해가 필요하다. 기존 1단계 사일로 처분시설의 성능평가모델들에 포함된 불필요한 보수성을 줄이고 복합처분시설에 대한 보다 실제적인 성능을 파악하기 위해서는 다차원 수리/핵종이동 모델이 필요하다. 이와 함께 향후 복합처분시스템의 특성에 기인한 다양한 불확실성을 관리하고 파라미터의 중요도를 분석하기 위해 많은 계산이 필요할 것으로 예상하며, 이를 위해 보다 효율적인 성능평가 모델이 요구된다. 본 논문에서는 두 요건을 충족시키기 위해 수리성능 모델과 핵종이동 모델을 연계한 2단계 천층처분시설의 근계영역 2차원 통합성능평가 모델을 개발하였다. 수리 및 핵종이동은 PORFLOW와 GoldSim 전산 코드를 이용해 평가하였으며, GoldSim 핵종이동 모델은 PORFLOW 핵종이동 모델과의 벤치마크를 통해 검증하였다. GoldSim 모델은 계산효율이 뛰어났으며 기존의 모델에 비해 핵종이동거동을 이해하는데 용이하였다.

과제 중심 학습에서 어휘 능력의 구성요소와 평가 (Vocabulary assessment based on construct definition in task-based language learning)

  • 김연진
    • 영어어문교육
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.123-145
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study is to propose an efficient vocabulary assessment model in task-based language learning and to verify the viability of this assessment model. Bachman and Palmer (1996) pointed out the fact that many language tests focus on just one of the areas of language knowledge. However, researchers suggested that it is necessary to acknowledge the needs of several analytic scales, which can provide separate ratings for different components of the language ability to be tested. Although there were many studies which tried to evaluate the various aspects of vocabulary ability, most of them measured only one or two factors. Based on previous research, this study proposed an assessment model of general construct of vocabulary ability and tried to measure vocabulary ability in four separate areas. The subjects were two classes of university level Korean EFL students. They participated in small group discussion via synchronous CMC. One class used a lexically focused task, which was proposed by Kim and Jeong (2006) and the other class used a non-lexically focused task. The results showed that the students with a lexically focused task significantly outperformed those with a non-lexically focused task in overall vocabulary ability as well as four subdivisions of vocabulary ability. In conclusion, the assessment model of separate ratings is a viable measure of vocabulary ability and this can provide elaborate interpretation of vocabulary ability.

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