• Title/Summary/Keyword: Mission Reliability Prediction

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Fault Tolerance Design of Uplink Command Processor (상향링크 명령 처리기의 결함 허용 설계)

  • Gu, Cheol Hoe
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.95-100
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    • 2003
  • Electronic equipment used in satellites are demanding extremely high reliability, so they should be designed to have immunity for some critical faults by using redundancy component. Generally, Communication satellites are assigned to meet the 15 years mission lifetime, of the analysis about faults must be performed to electronic equipments of satellite. This paper is a summary of the fault tolerance design research of command processor, the improvement of reliability and trade-off study of fault tolerance design result. The reliability prediction value of the satellite component used in this research was taken from Koreasat 3 and Kompsat 1. It is important to perform many trade-off studies for fault tolerance design, especially to choose the most proper fault tolerance method for the specified fault scenario.

Reliability Design Analysis for Underwater Buriend PBA Based on PoF (고장물리 기반 수중 매설형 PBA에 대한 신뢰성 설계 연구)

  • Kim, Ji-Young;Lee, Ki-Won;Yoon, Hong-Woo;Lee, Seung-Jin;Heo, Jun-Ki;Kwon, Hyeong-Ahn
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.280-288
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: PBA buried in underwater requires high reliability because of its mission critical characteristic and harsh operational environment during its life cycle. Therefore, various reliability improvement activities are necessary. The defect on PBA manufacturing process have been studied, as a result, many activities and standards have been presented. However, there are less studies regarding failure pattern on physical features based on design. In this paper, we studied a possible failure patten based on physical features that is related with manufacturing process of PBA. And reliability improvement design based on PoF (Physical of Failure) were intruduced in this paper. Methods: A reliability prediction simulation were performed on the components A and B of the H system using Sherlock Software which is a PoF commercial tool from DFR solution. Solder fatigue and PTH fatigue analysis based on thermal cycling profiles and random vibration was analyzed on three earthquake response spectrum. Result: It was validated that life time and reliability improvement design through solder fatigue and PTH fatigue analysis in case of component. For compoenet B, random vibration fatigue was additionally analyzed and validated reliability for earthquakes profile. Conclusion: In design stage prior to manufacturing, PoF can be analyzed, and it is possible to make a reliability improvement/validated design using design data. This study can be applied in every design step and contribute to make more stable development product.

Reliability Analysis with Space Radiation of Low-Cost COTS Small Satellite (우주방사능 효과를 고려한 저가 COTS 소형위성의 신뢰성 분석)

  • Jeong, Ji-Wan;Jang, Yeong-Geun;Mun, Byeong-Yeong
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.56-67
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    • 2006
  • The reliability and failure mode effect analysis are effective means to achieve efficient and cost-reduction design for satellite development. The failure rate of COTS (Commercial-Off-The-Shelf) parts required for reliability analysis is not usually provided from the manufacturer. Space environment factors based on empirical data obtained from MIL-HDBK-217F can be applicable to the reliability calculation. As a radiation environment factor, the occurrence rate of SEL (Single Event Latch-up) is additionally incorporated for the failure rate prediction. In this paper, the statistical reliability analysis method for low-cost small satellite using COTS parts is suggested. This statistical reliability analysis was applied to HAUSAT-2 small satellite whose electronic boxes are consisted of many COTS parts to calculate the system reliability at the end of design mission life.

A Study on the Prediction of Weapon System Availability Using Agent Based Modeling and simulation (에이전트 기반 모델링 및 시뮬레이션을 이용한 무기체계 가용도 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Se-Hoon;Choi, Myoung-Jin
    • Journal of Korea Society of Digital Industry and Information Management
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.25-34
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    • 2021
  • Availability is one of the important factor for developing weapon system, because it indicates the mission capability and sustainable life cycle management of weapon system. Recently, as weapon system becomes more advanced and more complex, availability estimation becomes more important to reduce the life cycle cost of weapon system. Modeling and simulation(M&S) is useful method to describe the availability of complex weapon system applying operational environment and maintenance plan. Especially agent based model(ABM) has the strength to describe interactions between agents and environments in complex system. Therefore, this paper presents the availability estimation of weapon system using agent based model. The sample data of part list and reliability analysis is applied to build availability estimation model. User agent and mechanic agent are developed to illustrate the behavior of operation and maintenance using formal specification. Storage reliability is applied to describe failure of each parts. The experimental result shows that this model is quite useful to estimate availability of weapon system. This model may estimate more reasonable availability, if full scale data of weapon system and real field data of operation is provided.

Investigation of Structural Reliability on Solder Joint According to Heater Set-point of the Lunar Lander (달 착륙선의 히터 작동온도 설정에 따른 솔더 접합부의 구조적 신뢰성 분석)

  • Jeon, Young-Hyeon;Park, Tae-Yong;Lee, Jang-Joon;Kim, Jung-Hoon;Oh, Hyun-Ung
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.167-174
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    • 2018
  • The heater is applied to the lunar lander for securing its survivability under severe lunar thermal environment during 14 days of night time. For this, the heater on/off set-points shall be determined to minimize the power consumption due to the limited power generation of lunar lander during night time. In addition, the temperature changes of the lander according to the heater set-point is also an important factor because it is related to thermo-mechanical reliability on solder joint of on-board electronics. In this study, we investigated thermo-mechanical reliability on solder joint according to the heater set-point by using commercial reliability and a life prediction tool of Sherlock based on the thermal analysis results of lunar lander that is a year of the mission lifetime.

Reliability Prediction of Failure Modes due to Pressure in Solid Rocket Case (고체로켓 케이스 내압파열 고장모드의 신뢰도예측)

  • Kim, Dong-Seong;Yoo, Min-Young;Kim, Hee-Seong;Choi, Joo-Ho
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.635-642
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, an efficient technique is developed to predict failure probability of three failure modes(case rupture, fracture and bolt breakage) related to solid rocket motor case due to the inner pressure during the mission flight. The overall procedure consists of the steps: 1) design parameters affecting the case failure are identified and their uncertainties are modelled by probability distribution, 2) combustion analysis in the interior of the case is carried out to obtain maximum expected operating pressure(MEOP), 3) stress and other structural performances are evaluated by finite element analysis(FEA), and 4) failure probabilities are calculated for the above mentioned failure modes. Axi-symmetric assumption for FEA is employed for simplification while contact between bolted joint is accounted for. Efficient procedure is developed to evaluate failure probability which consists of finding first an Most Probable Failure Point(MPP) using First-Order Reliability Method(FORM), next making a response surface model around the MPP using Latin Hypercube Sampling(LHS), and finally calculating failure probability by employing Importance Sampling.

Construction of Gridded Wind-stress Products over the World Ocean by Tandem Scatterometer Mission

  • Kutsuwada Kunio;Kasahara Minoru;Morimoto Naoki
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2004.10a
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    • pp.192-195
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    • 2004
  • Products of gridded surface wind and windstress vectors over the world ocean have been constructed by satellite scatterometer data with highly temporal and spatial resolutions. Even if the ADEOS-II/SeaWinds has supplied surface wind data only for short duration in Apr. to Oct. 2003 to us, it permits us to construct a product with higher resolution together with the Qscat/SeaWinds. In addition to our basic product with its resolution of $1^{\circ}\times1^{\circ}$ in space and daily in time, we try to construct products with $1/2^{\circ}\times1/2^{\circ}$ and semi- and quarter-daily resolution. These products are validated by inter-comparison with in-situ data (TAO and NDBC buoys), and also compared with numerical weather prediction(NWP) ones (NCEP reanalysis). Result reveals that our product has higher reliability in the study area than the NCEP's. For the open ocean regions in the middle and high latitudes where there are no in-situ data, we find that there are clear differences between them. Especially in the southern westerly region of 400-600S, the' wind-stress magnitudes by the NCEP are significantly larger than the others, suggesting that they are overestimated. We also calculate wind-stress curl field that is an important factor for ocean dynamics and focus its spatial character in the northwestern Pacific around Japan. Positive curl areas are found to cover from southwest to northeast in our focus region and almost correspond to the Kuroshio path. It is suggested that the vorticity field in the lower atmosphere is related to the upper oceanic one, and thus an aspect of air-sea interaction process.

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A Study on the Prediction of Failure Rate of Airforce OO Guided Missile Based on Field Failure Data (야전운용제원에 기반한 공군 OO유도탄 고장률 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Cheonkyu;Ma, Jungmok
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.7
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    • pp.428-434
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    • 2020
  • The one-shot weapon system is destroyed after only one mission. So, the system requires high reliability. Guided missiles are one-shot weapon systems that have to be analyzed by storage reliability since they spend most of their life in storage. The analysis results depend on the model and the ratio of correct censored data. This study was conducted to propose a method to more accurately predict the future failure rate of Air force guided missiles. In the proposed method, the failure rate is predicted by both MTTF (Mean Time To Failure) and MTBF (Mean Time Between Failure) models and the model with a smaller error from the real failure rate is selected. Next, with the selected model, the ratio of correct censored data is selected to minimize the error between the predicted failure rate and the real failure rate. Based on real field data, the comparative result is determined and the result shows that the proposed sampling rate can predict the future failure rate more accurately.