• 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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• 제6권2호
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• pp.115-134
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• 2006

This paper deals with OO aircraft mission reliability prediction. To demonstrate user-required mission reliability, it is calculated with use general formulae which are used in reliability engineering. The mission reliability of OO aircraft is calculated in considering conversion factor (CF) on the each subsystems' MTBF. The prediction results are explained only the state at present time. Because these data are not real data in operational environments. Therefore, in the case of OO aircraft, it has to be needed collecting the real and renewal data which are operational and empirical. After that, continuing the data upgrading, it is easily closed to the more exact reliability value.

• 시스템엔지니어링학술지
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• 제16권1호
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• pp.9-17
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• 2020

Currently, Storage Reliability is analyzed when predicting the reliability of guided missile. However, Mission Reliability and Logistics Reliability should be analyzed according to the definition of reliability in MIL-STD-785B. Therefore, it is necessary to accurately predict the reliability of guided missile based on the definition of reliability. In this paper, we proposed improved the reliability procedure and model for guided missile based on which the definition of reliability considering the mission profile. The proposed model can calculate the final failure rate by applying the ratio of the dormant and storage according to the mission profile. The proposed model has been confirmed to be more accurate than the existing model compared to the actual failure rate value. The results of this study can be useful for applying the reliability prediction to any guided missile.

• 한국항공우주학회지
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• 제44권2호
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• pp.172-180
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• 2016

극초소형 위성으로 분류되는 큐브위성의 경우, 저가/단기간 개발목표 충족을 위해 일반적으로 진동 및 열 환경 규격을 만족하는 상용부품을 선정하여 제작하고 최소한의 검증시험을 통해 발사 및 궤도 운용을 실시한다. 하지만 제한된 회수로 지상에서 실시된 환경시험만으로 장시간에 걸친 궤도상 열진공과 같은 물리적 부하 환경에 노출된 임무보드의 신뢰성을 보장할 수 없다. 본 논문에서는 현재 자동차 분야에서 탑재 전자기기 신뢰도 예측에 폭넓게 활용중인 신뢰성 수명예측 상용도구인 Sherlock을 적용하여 큐브위성용으로 제작된 전자보드를 대상으로 발사 및 궤도환경에서의 고장 메커니즘 별 수명예측 및 임무기간동안의 신뢰도를 분석하였다.

• 한국경영과학회지
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• 제18권1호
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• pp.71-78
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• 1993

A Baysian approach is proposed is estimating the mission failure rates by criticalities. A mission failure which occurs according to a Poisson process with unknown rate is assumed to be classified as one of the criticality levels with an unknown probability. We employ the Gamma prior for the mission failure rate and the Dirichlet prior for the criticality probabilities. Posterior distributions of the mission rates by criticalities and predictive distributions of the time to failure are derived.

• Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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• 제26권4호
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• pp.635-642
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• 2009

This paper describes the Flight Dynamics Automation (FDA) system for COMS Flight Dynamics System (FDS) and its test result in terms of the performance of the automation jobs. FDA controls the flight dynamics functions such as orbit determination, orbit prediction, event prediction, and fuel accounting. The designed FDA is independent from the specific characteristics which are defined by spacecraft manufacturer or specific satellite missions. Therefore, FDA could easily links its autonomous job control functions to any satellite mission control system with some interface modification. By adding autonomous system along with flight dynamics system, it decreases the operator's tedious and repeated jobs but increase the usability and reliability of the system. Therefore, FDA is used to improve the completeness of whole mission control system's quality. The FDA is applied to the real flight dynamics system of a geostationary satellite, COMS and the experimental test is performed. The experimental result shows the stability and reliability of the mission control operations through the automatic job control.

• 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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• 제17권2호
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• pp.92-102
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• 2017

Purpose: Reliability prediction standards consider environmental conditions, such as temperature, humidity and vibration in order to predict the reliability of the electronics components. There are many types of standards, and each standard has a different failure rate prediction model, and requires different environmental conditions. The purpose of this study is to make a sensitivity analysis by changing the temperature which is one of the environmental conditions. By observing the relation between the temperature and the failure rate, we perform the sensitivity analysis for standards including MIL-HDBK-217F, RiAC-HDBK-217Plus and FIDES. Methods: we establish environmental conditions in accordance with maneuver weapon systems's OMS/MP and mission scenarios then predict the reliability using MIL-HDBK-217F, RiAC-HDBK-217Plus and FIDES through the case of DC-DC Converter. Conclusion: Reliability prediction standards show different sensitivities of their failure rates with respect to the changing temperatures.

• Journal of Power Electronics
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• 제6권2호
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• pp.104-113
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• 2006

Satellites have provided the impetus for the orderly development of reliability engineering research and analysis because they tend to have complex systems and hence acute problems. They were instrumental in developing mathematical models for reliability, as well as design techniques to permit quantitative specification, prediction and measurement of reliability. Reliability engineering is based on implementing measures which insure an item will perform its mission successfully. The discipline of reliability engineering consists of two fundamental aspects; $(1^{st})$ paying attention to details, and $(2^{nd})$ handling uncertainties. This paper uses some of the basic concepts, formulas and examples of reliability theory in application. This paper emphasizes the practical reliability analysis of a Low Earth Orbit (LEO) Micro-satellite power subsystem. Approaches for specifying and allocating the reliability of each element of the power system so as to meet the overall power system reliability requirements, as well as to give detailed modeling and predicting of equipment/system reliability are introduced. The results are handled and analyzed to form the final reliability results for the satellite power system. The results show that the Electric Power Subsystem (EPS) reliability meets the requirements with quad microcontrollers (MC), two boards working as main and cold redundant while each board contains two MCs in a hot redundant.

• 항공우주기술
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• 제2권1호
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• pp.44-53
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• 2003

신뢰성 예측의 목적은 시스템의 임무를 달성하기까지 기대되는 신뢰성을 평가하여 시스템의 설계가 할당된 요구조건을 만족하도록 이루어졌는지를 확인하는 것이다. 또한 FMECA를 통하여는 설계상의 잠재적인 위험요소를 식별하여 설계의 개선 및 공정의 개선을 도모 할 수 있다. 본 기술 논문은 아리랑 위성 2호기에 대해서 수행된 신뢰성 및 FMECA 결과를 요약하고 있다.

• 항공우주기술
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• 제4권2호
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• pp.71-78
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• 2005

FMECA의 목적은 위성체의 설계 시에 임무 수행에 치명적인 영향을 줄 수 있는 부품이나 구성을 밝혀내어 이를 설계에 이용하기 위한 것이다. 이러한 분석을 통하여 위성체의 운용 또는 생산 중에 예상되는 모든 고장 형태(Failure Mode)를 확인하고, 해당 고장 형태의 임무에 대한 영향을 검토하여 이러한 고장 형태가 허용될 수 있는 것인지를 결정하고 이를 보완하기위한 설계 변경 또는 관리가 이루어지게 된다. 본 기술 논문에서는 현재 개발 중인 위성에 대하여 수행된 FMECA의 절차와 결과를 수록하였다.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제28권4호
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• pp.875-888
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• 2017

The Rayleigh distribution has been commonly used in life time testing studies of the probability of surviving until mission time. We focus on a reliability function of the Rayleigh distribution and deal with prior distribution on R(t). This paper is an effort to obtain Bayes estimators of rayleigh distribution with three different prior distribution on the reliability function; a noninformative prior, uniform prior and inverse gamma prior. We have found the Bayes estimator and predictive density function of a future observation y with each prior distribution. We compare the performance of the Bayes estimators under different sample size and in simulation study. We also derive the most plausible region, prediction intervals for a future observation.