• Title/Summary/Keyword: Military decision making process

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A Study on the Multi-Criteria Decision Making for Effect Analysis and Decision Making of Weapon System (무기체계의 효과분석과 의사결정을 위한 다기준분석 방법론의 연구)

  • Lim, Sung-Hoon;Cho, Ki-Hong;Park, Seung
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.12 no.5
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    • pp.557-562
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    • 2009
  • Weapon system currently considers the research about effect analysis including cost effectiveness methodology for a budget management and an achievement of the military strategy goal. So that, this study considers the theoretical background, strength and weakness of several Multi-Criteria Decision Making, and an effect analysis of weapon system. And AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) is selected for the best effect analysis methodology of weapon system. Therefore, we applied AHP to the case study of the new generation Multiple Launcher Rocket System, performing the analysis of cost effectiveness methodology. Using AHP and cost effectiveness methodology, we propose the actual and proper decision making result.

Research on make-or-buy decision making strategy using system dynamics: Focused on Korea's military improvement project (시스템 다이내믹스를 이용한 제조-구매 결정 전략: 한국의 방위력 개선 사업을 중심으로)

  • Choi, Jeong-Hwan;Ko, Seong-Pil;Lee, Jeong-Dong
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.159-182
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    • 2012
  • Strategic decision on the execution of national security improvement project is greatly important for the present and future national security. Though, the importance of strategic decision, decision making process has been executed under one-way thinking framework. This research provides a decision-making tool with make-or-buy approach for the national security improvement policy execution methods: foreign purchase and military R&D project, and, via simulation, confirms dynamic change of military capability index respect to change in ratio of foreign purchase and military R&D. A result shows that current ratio of foreign purchases and military R&D is insufficient for national security improvement policy goal. Applying the model from this research provides an appropriate ratio for short term and long term defense strategy and policy goal, and consequent result of increase in national security capability. Thus, this research model can be effectively utilized for national security improvement project.

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Corps-Level War-Game Model (군단급 워${\cdot}$게임모델)

  • Oh, Hyung-Jae
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.51-82
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    • 1977
  • Decision making is a function of many variables, but among these, human burden (soft-ware) and machine burden (hard-ware) are critical. Decision Maker is rather concerned with the soft-ware and just wants to have machine calculate the quantitative arithmetic involved in the decision-making study, because he is responsible for that decision whether or not he knows details about the techniques used by his staffs. From the point of these considerations, computer-assisted war game model has its significance in military decision making. The major outcome of this model is time-phased FEBA movement. FEBA is moved mainly by the ratio of the Index of Combat Effectiveness (ICE). To calculate ICE, Ground Forces are concerning the Index of Firepower (IFP) of individual weapons and in the case of Air Force, sorties are allocated into each sector, and added to the Ground Force IFP. With the ratio of total ICE, FEBA is moved according to the War Game Tables and process is repeated after consideration of casualties. This model is used by IBM-370/135 in MND computer room and also tested by IBM-3741/3717 established at ROKA HQ.

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National Defense Decision-Making : Prospects and New Directions (국방의사결정 : 전망과 대비방향)

  • Gwon Tae-Yeong
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.18-34
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    • 1990
  • In light of the recent developments of transitory nature, it is likely that national defense decision-making will be more difficult to make for years to come. In other words, sudden changes in security environment would call into question the basic assumptions on which we have built our national defense planning and increase the number of the uncertain factors in the decision-making process; the subdivision and ramification of national defense management would increase the factors for decision-making and complicate even further the mutual interactions among these factors; the accelerated pace of sophistication and diversification of weapon systems and military technology would increase the risk of failure and system costs geometrically; and the reduced level of acceptance among the people on the sanctification of national defense in proportion to the rapid progress toward a more democratic and industrial society would engender an increased criticism or checking role by the National Assembly or by the mass media. As the changes in national defense environment and conditions create an innumerable number of new tasks, this paper intends to suggest a few core policy measures to improve the quality of national defense decision-making. More specifically, it proposes to 1) eradicate entirely the bureaucratic behavior and tendencies; 2) utilize actively the brain staff for quality assurance of decision-making; 3) and introduce and apply as a whole set, a total system, or an incorporated pack age the PPBEES(Planning-Programming-Budgeting-Executing-Evaluating-System)/LCMM (Life-Cycle Management Model for System Acquision), the OR/SA(Operations Research/Systems Analysis), and DMIS (Defense Management Information System).

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A Study on the Decision Making Models for Evaluating the Priorities in the Army Facility Enterprise (군 시설사업 우선순위선정을 위한 의사결정모형에 관한 연구)

  • 정성환;이상헌
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.37-55
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    • 2001
  • The main purpose of this study is to review the current system and to develop a decision support system for evaluating the priorities among those possible alternatives in the army facility enterprise. This paper also provides an information system which can be effectively applied to various criteria and stages in decision making process such as Planning and Programming phases in PPBEES. The model base of decision support systems uses the concepts of the analytic hierarchy process along with the supplementary techniques such as TOPSIS and 0-1 integer programming. Both AHP and TOPSIS are used scoring approaches in the Planning phase and IP is induced at the Programming phase to give GO/NO-GO solution for each project. We use Expert Choice, Excel and LINDO s/w's to implement a prototyped model. The proposed methodology in this paper enables the decision makers to evaluate the priority based on quantitative and qualitative data in a systematic way.

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A Fuzzy AHP based Decision making Model for ground operations (지상작전수립을 위한 Fuzzy-AHP 기반의 의사결정 모델 연구)

  • Lee, Young-Kyun;Kim, Ki-Ang;Na, Hong-Bum;Park, Jin-Woo
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.159-165
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    • 2008
  • The ROK army has equipped ATCIS (Army Tactical Control Information System) for the Corps echelon to visualize the battlefield and reduce the reaction time. Due to the information&surveillance equipment, uncertainty and variance of the battlefield have been decreased. However decision making for the ground operations has not changed as it depends on knowledge of the commander and staffs. The War game process to select and assess the best CoA (Course of Action) also depends on the pros and cons due to the limitation of time and capability. For the balanced development between intangible and tangible military strength, a new decision making process which is quantitative and useful for the military is needed. In this study, we suggest a Fuzzy-AHP based decision making model to improve troop leading procedure which is useful to evaluate and reflect intangible characteristics of the battlefield.

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Application of Analytic Hierarchy Process of Defense Innovation 2020 Advanced Topics in Plan Step of Defense Planning Management Afftair (국방기획 관리업무의 기획단계에서 국방개혁 2020 추진과제들에 대한 계층분석적 의사결정 적용)

  • Choi, Myoung-Seo;Lee, Hong-Chul;Cheon, Hyeon-Jae
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.212-222
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    • 2006
  • The defense innovation 2020 advanced topics which have to establish robust milatary are based on archiving defense innovation by selecting twenty-one main topics and eighties' sub-topics whose topics focus on defense innovation and defense circumstance in 2020. Although defense innovation 2020 which is to be advanced with defense basic policy need to decision making, it is specified in programming step by merging budget with plan. If the Defense Ministry archives decision making from initial plan step, although it archives group decision making in programming step at present, it will archive efficient affair. This study archives a group decision making of defense innovation 2020 advanced topics which were published in the Defense Ministry by applying Analytic Hierarchy Process in plan step. In addition, if the weights of the main topics are equal, the sub topics analyze how to be changed throughout sensitivity analysis and suggest the topics' priority rank throughout group decision making.

Group Decision Support with Analytic Hierarchy Process (계층적 분석기법을 활용한 그룹의사결정 지원)

  • An, Byung-Suk
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.83-96
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    • 2002
  • The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) is well suited to group decision making and offers numerous benefits as a synthesizing mechanism in group decisions. To date, the majority of AHP applications have been in group settings. One reason for this may be that groups often have an advantage over individual when there exists a significant difference between the importance of quality in the decision and the importance of time in which to obtain the decision. Another reason may be the best alternative is selected by comparing alternative solutions, testing against selected criteria, a task ideally suited for AHP. In general, aggregation methods employed in group AHP can be largely classified into two methods: geometric mean method and (weighted) arithmetic mean method. In a situation where there do not exist clear guidelines for selection between them, two methods do not always guarantee the same group decision result. We propose a simulation approach for building group consensus without efforts to make point estimates from individual diverse preference judgments, displaying possible disagreements as is natural in group members'different viewpoints.

A Study on the Selection of Alternatives for Flight Attendants to Adapt Flying Conditions using the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP를 이용한 공중승무원 비행환경 적응장비 획득방안 선정에 관한 연구)

  • Seol, Hyeon-Ju;Kim, Gyu-Ho;Jung, Hyun-Wook;Cho, Hwan-Kee;Hwang, Chang-Su
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.460-468
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study is propose an alternative for flight attendants to acquire equipment that could enhance the ability to adapt in flying conditions. Introducing and acquiring weapon system, such equipments should be deeply considered in multilateral aspects; reinforcements in the overall strategic status in the army, the ramifications that can contribute to military resources, and economic situations in the country. To do this, we first induced several criteria that can be used for evaluating alternatives. After that, we applied the analytic hierarchy process(AHP) approach to putting all factors into considerations in decision making for equipment acquirement. The results of this study are expected to have usefulness in formulating strategies and policies in selecting equipment acquisition alternatives for flight attendants.