• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.10 no.1
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• pp.203-210
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• 2003

In a standard Metropolis-type Monte Carlo simulation, the proposal distribution cannot be easily adapted to "local dynamics" of the target distribution. To overcome some of these difficulties, Duane et al. (1987) introduced the method of hybrid Monte Carlo(HMC) which combines the basic idea of molecular dynamics and the Metropolis acceptance-rejection rule to produce Monte Carlo samples from a given target distribution. In this paper, using the HMC within Gibbs sampler, an asymptotical estimate of the smoothing mean and a general solution to state space modeling in Bayesian framework is obtaineds obtained.

• Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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• 2002.05a
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• pp.100-105
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• 2002

Now operating of many urban railway lines are currently in progress in tile Seoul, but the inadequate consideration of links between different lines could create inconvenience as the public transport. This paper is studied about the connection design of urban-railway service convinced for other metropolis railways forms and propose the base pilot plan of the railway network linking system in Seoul Metropolis.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.11 no.4
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• pp.196-206
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• 2011

The development of projection technology produces series of discussions associated to various form of visual immersing possibilities by the way of projecting image directly to the obscure surface surrounded us. Besides, the significance can be found in terms of that this kind of image projection offers chance to citizens to enjoy high standard images and makes people consider media environment of city. Video art as the digital technology grafts penetrates formative space of city by projecting images. The certain thing about questions how the media has status in city is that media is now not existing for self neither for abstractly and virtual reality is existing in the general appearance of metropolis. This paper treats media environment of city and the meaning of image projection as from of video art in the city. It accesses about the meaning of video form visual art in big city- new reality, the virtual and the real, immersion and interactivity. And media reality of metropolis defines that there is not one major discourse in the gigantic text -metropolis rather they are different discourses each other simultaneously compatible in the gigantic text -metropolis and in fact, they affect each other and interact.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2008.05a
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• pp.1121-1124
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• 2008

저수분석(low flow analysis)은 수자원공학에서 중요한 분야 중 하나이며, 특히 저수량 빈도분석(low flow frequency analysis)의 결과는 저수(貯水)용량의 설계, 물 수급계획, 오염원의 배치 및 관개와 생태계의 보존을 위한 수량과 수질의 관리에 중요하게 사용된다. 그러므로 본 연구에서는 저수량 빈도분석을 위한 점빈도분석을 수행하였으며, 특히 빈도분석에 있어서의 불확실성을 탐색하기 위하여 Bayesian 방법을 적용하고 그 결과를 기존에 사용되던 불확실성 탐색방법과 비교하였다. 본 논문의 I편에서는 Bayesian 방법 중 사전분포(prior distribution)와 우도함수(likelihood function)의 복잡성에 상관없이 계산이 가능한 Bayesian MCMC(Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo) 방법과 Metropolis-Hastings 알고리즘을 사용하기 위한 여러과정의 이론적 배경과 Bayesian 방법에서 가장 중요한 요소인 사전분포를 구축하고 이를 비교 및 평가하였다. 고려된 사전분포는 자료에 기반하지 않은 사전분포와 자료에 기반한 사전분포로써 두 사전분포를 이용하여 Metropolis-Hastings 알고리즘을 수행하고 그 결과를 비교하여 저수량 빈도분석에 합리적인 사전분포를 선정하였다. 또한 알고리즘의 수행과정에서 필요한 제안분포(proposal distribution)를 적용하여 그에 따른 알고리즘의 효율성을 채택률(acceptance rate)을 산정하여 검증해 보았다. 사전분포의 분석 결과, 자료에 기반한 사전분포가 자료에 기반하지 않은 사전분포보다 정확성 및 불확실성의 표현에 있어서 우수한 결과를 제시하는 것을 확인할 수 있었고, 채택률을 이용한 알고리즘의 효용성 역시 기존 연구자들이 제시하였던 만족스러운 범위를 가지는 것을 알 수 있었다. 최종적으로 선정된 사전분포는 본 연구의 II편에서 Bayesian MCMC 방법의 사전분포로 이용되었으며, 그 결과를 기존 불확실성의 추정방법의 하나인 2차 근사식을 이용한 최우추정(maximum likelihood estimation)방법의 결과와 비교하였다.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• v.13 no.4
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• pp.1583-1588
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• 2012

Fine needle aspiration (FNA) cytology is well accepted as a safe, reliable, minimal invasive and cost-effective method for diagnosis of salivary gland lesions. This study evaluated the accuracy and diagnostic performance of FNA cytology in Thailand. A consecutive series of 290 samples from 246 patients during January 2001-December 2009 were evaluated from the archive of the Anatomical Pathology Department of our institution and 133 specimens were verified by histopathologic diagnoses, obtained with material from surgical excision or biopsy. Cytologic diagnoses classified as unsatisfactory, benign, suspicious for malignancy and malignant were compared with the histopathological findings. Among the 133 satisfactory specimens, the anatomic sites were 70 (52.6%) parotid glands and 63 (47.4 %) submandibular glands. FNA cytological diagnoses showed benign lesions in 119 cases (89.5 %), suspicious for malignancy in 3 cases (2.2 %) and malignant in 11 cases (8.3%). From the subsequent histopathologic diagnoses, 3/133 cases of benign cytology turned out to be malignant lesions, the false negative rate being 2.2 % and 1/133 case of malignant cytology turned out to be a benign lesion, giving a false positive rate was 0.8%. The overall accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value were 97.0% (95% CI, 70.6%-99.4%), 81.3% (95% CI, 54.4%-96.0%), 99.1% (95% CI, 95.4%-100%), 92.9% (95% CI, 66.1%-99.8), 97.5% (95% CI, 92.8%-99.5%), respectively. This study indicated that FNA cytology of salivary gland is a reliable and highly accurate diagnostic method for diagnosis of salivary gland lesions. It not only provides preoperative diagnosis for therapeutic management but also can prevent unnecessary surgery.

• Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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• v.32 no.4
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• pp.367-376
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• 2016

Urban greenery is an important component of urban environment and is fast gaining prominence especially in the developing countries. The destruction of urban trees has resulted to the degradation of the environment, thus the introduction of green Kumasi project by Kumasi Metropolitan Assembly, Ashanti Region of Ghana. The composition and diversity of urban trees gives rise to adequate management and monitoring, thus an inventory of urban trees of the Metropolis was conducted to document complete information on its density, diversity, composition and distribution. A total tree population of 1,101 was enumerated in the principal roads of the Metropolis. The ten most encountered tree species accounted for 61.04% of all the individual tree populations with Mangifera indica being dominant. The dominant families: Fabaceae, Moraceae and Arecaceae constitute 38.57% of the tree population. Diversity of the tree species was very high. The minimum diversity criteria were met on analysis of the diversity of this population. The proportion of exotic species was high with 65.71% of the trees belonging to the introduced species. It is recommended that greater emphasis should be placed on the planting of indigenous trees in future tree planting exercise.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.19 no.2
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• pp.237-246
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• 2012

Bayesian methods have been recently used to identify multiple change-points. However, the studies for small data are limited. This paper suggests the Bayesian noncentral t distribution change-point model for small data, and applies the Metropolis-Hastings-within-Gibbs Sampling algorithm to the proposed model. Numerical results of simulation and real data show the performance of the new model in terms of the quality of the resulting estimation of the numbers and positions of change-points for small data.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• v.87 no.1
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• pp.1-18
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• 2023

The paper presents a Bayesian Finite element (FE) model updating methodology by utilizing modal data. The dynamic condensation technique is adopted in this work to reduce the full system model to a smaller model version such that the degrees of freedom (DOFs) in the reduced model correspond to the observed DOFs, which facilitates the model updating procedure without any mode-matching. The present work considers both the MPV and the covariance matrix of the modal parameters as the modal data. Besides, the modal data identified from multiple setups is considered for the model updating procedure, keeping in view of the realistic scenario of inability of limited number of sensors to measure the response of all the interested DOFs of a large structure. A relationship is established between the modal data and structural parameters based on the eigensystem equation through the introduction of additional uncertain parameters in the form of modal frequencies and partial mode shapes. A novel sampling strategy known as the Metropolis-within-Gibbs (MWG) sampler is proposed to sample from the posterior Probability Density Function (PDF). The effectiveness of the proposed approach is demonstrated by considering both simulated and experimental examples.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.41 no.1
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• pp.35-47
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• 2008

The low flow analysis is an important part in water resources engineering. Also, the results of low flow frequency analysis can be used for design of reservoir storage, water supply planning and design, waste-load allocation, and maintenance of quantity and quality of water for irrigation and wild life conservation. Especially, for identification of the uncertainty in frequency analysis, the Bayesian approach is applied and compared with conventional methodologies in at-site low flow frequency analysis. In the first manuscript, the theoretical background for the Bayesian MCMC (Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo) method and Metropolis-Hasting algorithm are studied. Two types of the prior distribution, a non-data- based and a data-based prior distributions are developed and compared to perform the Bayesian MCMC method. It can be suggested that the results of a data-based prior distribution is more effective than those of a non-data-based prior distribution. The acceptance rate of the algorithm is computed to assess the effectiveness of the developed algorithm. In the second manuscript, the Bayesian MCMC method using a data-based prior distribution and MLE(Maximum Likelihood Estimation) using a quadratic approximation are performed for the at-site low flow frequency analysis.

• Proceedings of KHEA Conference
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• 1997.07a
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• pp.75-75
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• 1997