• 제목/요약/키워드: Meteorological Variable

검색결과 156건 처리시간 0.025초

크리깅 기법 기반 재생에너지 환경변수 예측 모형 개발 (Development of Prediction Model for Renewable Energy Environmental Variables Based on Kriging Techniques)

  • 최영도;백자현;전동훈;박상호;최순호;김여진;허진
    • KEPCO Journal on Electric Power and Energy
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    • 제5권3호
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    • pp.223-228
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    • 2019
  • In order to integrate large amounts of variable generation resources such as wind and solar reliably into power grids, accurate renewable energy forecasting is necessary. Since renewable energy generation output is heavily influenced by environmental variables, accurate forecasting of power generation requires meteorological data at the point where the plant is located. Therefore, a spatial approach is required to predict the meteorological variables at the interesting points. In this paper, we propose the meteorological variable prediction model for enhancing renewable generation output forecasting model. The proposed model is implemented by three geostatistical techniques: Ordinary kriging, Universal kriging and Co-kriging.

동절기 기후인자와 염해 오손간의 상관관계 분석 (Analysis on the Correlation between the Meteorological Factors of the Winter Season and the Salt Pollution)

  • 김재훈;김도영;김주한;김필환;한상옥;박강식
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2004년도 하계학술대회 논문집 C
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    • pp.1802-1804
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    • 2004
  • In seashore, outdoor insulators are polluted due to salty wind and the pollution causes the flashover and failure of electric equipments. As well known, the pollution has a close relation with meteorological factors such as wind velocity, precipitation, wind direction, relative humidity, dew point, etc. In this paper we statistically analyzed the correlation between the pollution and the meteorological factors including snowfall and freezing. The multiple regression analysis was used for the statistical analysis; daily measured equivalent salt deposit density(dependent variable) and the meteorological data(independent variable) were used. From the results of this investigation, we verified the influence of snowfall and freezing on the ESDD, which has been overlooked in the preceding investigation.

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옥외 절연물의 오손도 예측 기법 및 프로그램 개발 (Development of an Expert Technique and Program to Predict the Pollution of Outdoor Insulators)

  • 김재훈;김주한;한상옥
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제56권1호
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    • pp.28-34
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    • 2007
  • Recently, with the rapid growth of industry, environmental condition became worse. In addition to outdoor insulators in seashore are polluted due to salty wind. Also this pollution causes the flashover and failure of electric equipments. Especially the salt contaminant is one of the most representative pollutants, and known as the main source of the accident by contamination. As well known, the pollution has a close relation with meteorological factors such as wind velocity, wind direction, temperature, relative humidity, precipitation and so on. In this paper we have statistically analyzed the correlation between the pollution and the meteorological factors. The multiple regression analysis was used for the statistical analysis; daily measured equivalent salt deposit density(dependent variable) and the weather condition data(independent variable) were used. Also we have developed an expert program to predict the pollution deposit. A new prediction system using this program called SPPP(salt pollution prediction program) has been used to model accurately the relationship between ESDD with the meteorological factors.

Analysis of Time Series Models for Ozone Concentrations at the Uijeongbu City in Korea

  • Lee, Hoon-Ja
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.1153-1164
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    • 2008
  • The ozone data is one of the important environmental data for measurement of the atmospheric condition of the country. In this article, the Autoregressive Error (ARE) model have been considered for analyzing the ozone data at the northern part of the Gyeonggi-Do, Uijeongbu monitoring site in Korea. The result showed that both overall and monthly ARE models are suited for describing the ozone concentration. In the ARE model, seven meteorological variables and four pollution variables are used as the as the explanatory variables for the ozone data set. The seven meteorological variables are daily maximum temperature, wind speed, relative humidity, rainfall, dew point temperature, steam pressure, and amount of cloud. The four air pollution explanatory variables are Sulfur dioxide(SO2), Nitrogen dioxide(NO2), Cobalt(CO), and Promethium 10(PM10). Also, the high level ozone data (over 80ppb) have been analyzed four ARE models, General ARE, HL ARE, PM10 add ARE, Temperature add ARE model. The result shows that the General ARE, HL ARE, and PM10 add ARE models are suited for describing the high level of ozone data.

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경기도 수원시 미세먼지 농도의 시계열모형 연구 (Analysis of time series models for PM10 concentrations at the Suwon city in Korea)

  • 이훈자
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제21권6호
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    • pp.1117-1124
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    • 2010
  • 미세먼지 농도는 국가의 중요한 환경 척도 중의 하나이다. 본 연구에서는 경기도 남부에 위치한 수원시 2003년-2009년 미세먼지 농도를 주위에서 쉽게 구할 수 있는 대기자료와 기상자료를 이용하여 자기회귀오차모형으로 월별로 분석하였다. 미세먼지 농도 분석을 위한 대기자료는 이산화황, 이산화질소, 일산화탄소, 오존 등을 사용했고, 기상자료로는 일 최고온도, 풍속, 상대습도, 강수량, 일사량, 운량을 사용하였다. 분석 결과, 자기회귀오차모형으로 월별 미세먼지 농도를 13%-49% 정도 설명할 수 있다.

시간 고해상도 라디오존데 관측 자료를 이용한 WRF 모델 행성경계층고도 정확도 평가 (Accuracy Assessment of Planetary Boundary Layer Height for the WRF Model Using Temporal High Resolution Radio-sonde Observations)

  • 강미선;임윤규;조창범;김규랑;박준상;김백조
    • 대기
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.673-686
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    • 2016
  • Understanding limitation of simulation for Planetary Boundary Layer (PBL) height in mesoscale meteorological model is important for accurate meteorological variable and diffusion of air pollution. This study examined the accuracy for simulated PBL heights using two different PBL schemes (MYJ, YSU) in Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model during the radiosonde observation period. The simulated PBL height were verified using atmospheric sounding data obtained from radiosonde observations that were conducted during 5 months from August to December 2014 over the Gumi weir in Nakdong river. Four Dimensional Data Assimilation (FDDA) using radiosonde observation data were conducted to reduce error of PBL height in WRF model. The assessment result of PBL height showed that RMSE with YSU scheme were lower than that with MYJ scheme in the day and night time, respectively. Especially, the WRF model with YSU scheme produced lower PBL height than with the MYJ scheme during night time. The YSU scheme showed lower RMSE than the MYJ scheme on sunny, cloudy and rainy day, too. The experiment result of FDDA showed that PBL height error were reduced by FDDA and PBL height at the nudging coefficient of $3.0{\times}10^{-1}$ (YSU_FDDA_2) were similar to observation compared to the nudging coefficient of $3.0{\times}10^{-4}$ (YSU_FDDA_1).

MODIS 총일차생산성 산출물의 오차요인 분석: 입력기상자료의 영향 (Errors of MODIS product of Gross Primary Production by using Data Assimilation Office Meteorological Data)

  • 강신규;김영일;김영진
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.171-183
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    • 2005
  • In order to monitor the global terrestrial carbon cycle, NASA (National Aeronautics and Space Administration) provides 8-day GPP images by use of satellite remote-sensing reflectance data from MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) at l-km nadir spatial resolution since December, 1999. MODIS GPP algorithm adopts DAO (Data Assimilation Office) meteorological data to calculate daily GPP. By evaluating reliability of DAO data with respect to surface weather station data, we examined the effect of errors from DAO data on MODIS GPP estimation in the Korean Peninsula from 2001 to 2003. Our analyses showed that DAO data underestimated daily average temperature, daily minimum temperature, and daily vapor pressure deficity (VPD), but overestimated daily shortwave radiation during the study period. Each meteorological variable resulted in different spatial patterns of error distribution across the Korean Peninsula. In MODIS GPP estimation, DAO data resulted in overestimation of GPP by $25\%$ for all biome types but up to $40\%$ for forest biomes, the major biome type in the Korean Peninsula. MODIS GPP was more sensitive to errors in solar radiation and VPD than in temperatures. Our results indicate that more reliable gridded meteorological data than DAO data are necessary for satisfactory estimation of MODIS GPP in the Korean Peninsula.

층화추출법에 의한 해양기상환경의 표본추출 타당성 연구 (Feasibility Study on Sampling Ocean Meteorological Data using Stratified Method)

  • 한송이;조용진
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제28권3호
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    • pp.254-259
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    • 2014
  • The infrared signature of a ship is largely influenced by the ocean environment of the operating area, which has been known to cause large changes in the signature. As a result, the weather condition has to be clearly set for an analysis of the infrared signatures. It is necessary to analyze meteorological data for all the oceans where the ship is supposed to be operated. This is impossibly costly and time consuming because of the huge size of the data. Therefore, the creation of a standard environmental variable for an infrared signature research is necessary. In this study, we compared and analyzed sampling methods to represent ocean data close to the Korean peninsula. In order to perform this research, we collected ocean meteorological records from KMA (Korea Meteorological Administration), and sampled these in numerous ways considering five variables that are known to affect the infrared signature. Specifically, a simple random sampling method for all the data and 1-D, 2-D, and 3-D stratified sampling methods were compared and analyzed by considering the mean square errors for each method.

도시의 지표형태학적 특성에 기반한 지면미기후 분석: 기온추정 및 평가 (Surface Micro-Climate Analysis Based on Urban Morphological Characteristics: Temperature Deviation Estimation and Evaluation)

  • 이채연;안승만;김규랑;권혁기;민재식
    • 대기
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.445-459
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    • 2016
  • Air temperature deviation (ATD) is one of major indicators to represent spatial distribution of urban heat island (UHI), which is induced from the urbanization. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the accuracy of air temperature deviation about Climate Analysis Seoul (CAS) workbench, which had developed by National Institute Meteorological Science and TU Berlin. Comparison and correlation analysis for CAS ATD including meso-scale air temperature deviation, local-scale air temperature deviation, total air temperature deviation, surface heat flux deviation, cold air production deviation among meso-scale numerical modelling variable in 'Seoul Region', micro-scale numerical modelling in 'Detail Region', and CAS workbench variable using observation data in ground stations. Comparison between night time OBS ATD and CAS ATD show that have most close values. Most of observations ($dT_{max}$ and $dT_{min}$) have highly positive ($dT_{SHP}$, $dT_{CA}$, MD, TD, $f_{BS}$, $f_{US}$, $f_{WS}$, $h_B$) and negative ($f_{VS}$, $f_{TV}$, $h_V$, Z) correlations. However, CAS workbench needs further improvement of both observational framework and analytical framework to resolve the problems; (1) night time OBS ATD of has closer values in compare with at high rise mountain area and (2) correlations are very dependable to meteorological scale.

한반도 태양에너지 연구를 위한 일사량 자료의 TMY 구축 (The Generation of Typical Meteorological Year for Research of the Solar Energy on the Korean Peninsula)

  • 지준범;이승우;최영진;이규태
    • 신재생에너지
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.14-23
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    • 2012
  • The TMY (Typical Meteorological Year) for the solar energy study is generated using observation data with 22 solar sites from KMA (Korea Meteorological Administration) during 11 years (2000-2010). The meteorological data for calculation the TMY are used solar radiation, temperature, dew point temperature, wind speed and humidity data. And the TMY is calculated to apply the FS (Finkelstein and Schafer) statistics and RMSE (Root Mean Squared Error) methods. FS statistics performed with each point and each variable and then selected top five candidate TMM months with statistical analysis and normalization. Finally TMY is generated to select the highest TMM score with evaluation the average errors for the 22 whole points. The TMY data is represented average state and long time variations with 22 sites and meteorological data. When TMY validated with the 11-year daily solar radiation data, the correlation coefficient was about 0.40 and the highest value is 0.57 in April and the lowest value is 0.23 in May. Mean monthly solar radiation of TMY is 411.72 MJ which is 4 MJ higher than original data. Average correlation coefficient is 0.71, the lowest correlation is 0.43 in May and the highest correlation is 0.90 in January. Accumulated annual solar radiation by TMY have higher value in south coast and southwestern region and have relatively low in middle regions. And also, differences between TMY and 11-year mean of is distributed lower 100 MJ in Kyeongbuk, higher 200 MJ in Jeju and higher 125 MJ in Jeonbuk and Jeonnam, respectively.