• Title/Summary/Keyword: Meteorological

Search Result 5,165, Processing Time 0.029 seconds

Economic Benefit Analysis of Urban Meteorological Information Service Using Contingent Valuation Method (조건부가치측정법을 이용한 도시기상정보서비스의 경제적 편익 분석)

  • Cho, Youngsang;Koo, Yoonmo;Lee, Jongsu;Lee, Joong-Woo
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
    • /
    • v.20 no.4
    • /
    • pp.643-662
    • /
    • 2011
  • As the concentration of people in urban area become severe and abnormal meteorological disasters such as regional torrential rains, heavy snows, sweltering heat, and so on have been increasing, the interest on the urban meteorological information service, which considers the specific characteristics of metropolitan areas in weather forecasting, are also increasing. The urban meteorological information service is one of up-to-date technologies which observes urban weather in a more microscale perspective compared to the present weather forecasting system and provides useful meteorological information which is specialized for metropolises in real time. Therefore, urban meteorological information service is expected to contribute to the increase in quality of life for citizens and to the development of industry in urban areas. In this study, we estimate the economic benefit of the urban meteorological information service using contingent valuation method with survey data of the citizens who are expected to be the direct customers of this new information service. As a result, we conclude that the household is willing to pay 5,963 Korean won per year on average, during a period of five years, for receiving this meteorological information service, and this willingness-to-pay is varied by the socio-economic characteristics of head of the household.

  • PDF

Analytical Study on Relationships and Characteristics of Global Solar Irradiance and Meteorological Data measured in Daegu during 1985 to 2014 (1985년부터 2014년까지 대구의 측정 수평면전일사량과 기상 데이터의 경향 및 상관관계 분석 연구)

  • Cho, Min-Cheol;Lim, Haeun;Kwak, Jae-eun;Kang, Jun-Mo;Hwang, Dong-Hyun;Kim, Jeongbae
    • Journal of Institute of Convergence Technology
    • /
    • v.7 no.2
    • /
    • pp.7-12
    • /
    • 2017
  • At present, the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) measures the horizontal solar irradiation and meteorological data with time in 33 areas. Among these measured data, this study analyzed the tendency of applying the new analysis method by using the horizontal solar irradiation and meteorological data with the time which was measured in many regions across the country for thirty years from 1985 to 2014. The method applied to the analysis is to compare the value of the annual total horizontal solar irradiance and meteorological data for one year with the value of those for the previous year of each year, and give +1 when it is higher, and -1 when it is lower. The characteristics and relationships the horizontal solar irradiation and meteorological data in Daegu were evaluated and analyzed. Through the analysis results, the analysis method applied in this study could be well describe the characteristics and relationships of the solar irradiance and meteorological data during some years.

Derivation of Typical Meteorological Year of Daejeon from Satellite-Based Solar Irradiance (위성영상 기반 일사량을 활용한 대전지역 표준기상년 데이터 생산)

  • Kim, Chang Ki;Kim, Shin-Young;Kim, Hyun-Goo;Kang, Yong-Heack;Yun, Chang-Yeol
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
    • /
    • v.38 no.6
    • /
    • pp.27-36
    • /
    • 2018
  • Typical Meteorological Year Dataset is necessary for the renewable energy feasibility study. Since National Renewable Energy Laboratory has been built Typical Meteorological Year Dataset in 1978, gridded datasets taken from numerical weather prediction or satellite imagery are employed to produce Typical Meteorological Year Dataset. In general, Typical Meteorological Year Dataset is generated by using long-term in-situ observations. However, solar insolation is not usually measured at synoptic observing stations and therefore it is limited to build the Typical Meteorological Year Dataset with only in-situ observation. This study attempts to build the Typical Meteorological Year Dataset with satellite derived solar insolation as an alternative and then we evaluate the Typical Meteorological Year Dataset made by using satellite derived solar irradiance at Daejeon ground station. The solar irradiance is underestimated when satellite imagery is employed.

Assessment of Performance on the Asian Dust Generation in Spring Using Hindcast Data in Asian Dust Seasonal Forecasting Model (황사장기예측자료를 이용한 봄철 황사 발생 예측 특성 분석)

  • Kang, Misun;Lee, Woojeong;Chang, Pil-Hun;Kim, Mi-Gyeong;Boo, Kyung-On
    • Atmosphere
    • /
    • v.32 no.2
    • /
    • pp.149-162
    • /
    • 2022
  • This study investigated the prediction skill of the Asian dust seasonal forecasting model (GloSea5-ADAM) on the Asian dust and meteorological variables related to the dust generation for the period of 1991~2016. Additionally, we evaluated the prediction skill of those variables depending on the combination of the initial dates in the sub-seasonal scale for the dust source region affecting South Korea. The Asian dust and meteorological variables (10 m wind speed, 1.5 m relative humidity, and 1.5 m air temperature) from GloSea5-ADAM were compared to that from Synoptic observation and European Centre for medium range weather forecasts reanalysis v5, respectively, based on Mean Bias Error (MBE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), and Anomaly Correlation Coefficient (ACC) as evaluation criteria. In general, the Asian dust and meteorological variables in the source region showed high ACC in the prediction scale within one month. For all variables, the use of the initial dates closest to the prediction month led to the best performances based on MBE, RMSE, and ACC, and the performances could be improved by adjusting the number of ensembles considering the combination of the initial date. ACC was as high as 0.4 in Spring when using the closest two initial dates. In particular, the GloSea5-ADAM shows the best performance of Asian dust generation with an ACC of 0.60 in the occurrence frequency of Asian dust in March when using the closest initial dates for initial conditions.

Development of GK2A Convective Initiation Algorithm for Localized Torrential Rainfall Monitoring (국지성 집중호우 감시를 위한 천리안위성 2A호 대류운 전조 탐지 알고리즘 개발)

  • Park, Hye-In;Chung, Sung-Rae;Park, Ki-Hong;Moon, Jae-In
    • Atmosphere
    • /
    • v.31 no.5
    • /
    • pp.489-510
    • /
    • 2021
  • In this paper, we propose an algorithm for detecting convective initiation (CI) using GEO-KOMPSAT-2A/advanced meteorological imager data. The algorithm identifies clouds that are likely to grow into convective clouds with radar reflectivity greater than 35 dBZ within the next two hours. This algorithm is developed using statistical and qualitative analysis of cloud characteristics, such as atmospheric instability, cloud top height, and phase, for convective clouds that occurred on the Korean Peninsula from June to September 2019. The CI algorithm consists of four steps: 1) convective cloud mask, 2) cloud object clustering and tracking, 3) interest field tests, and 4) post-processing tests to remove non-convective objects. Validation, performed using 14 CI events that occurred in the summer of 2020 in Korean Peninsula, shows a total probability of detection of 0.89, false-alarm ratio of 0.46, and mean lead-time of 39 minutes. This algorithm can be useful warnings of rapidly developing convective clouds in future by providing information about CI that is otherwise difficult to predict from radar or a numerical prediction model. This CI information will be provided in short-term forecasts to help predict severe weather events such as localized torrential rainfall and hail.

Calculations of Surface PM2.5 Concentrations Using Data from Ceilometer Backscatters and Meteorological Variables (운고계 후방산란 강도와 기상변수 자료를 이용한 지표면 PM2.5 농도 계산)

  • Jung, Heejung;Um, Junshik
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
    • /
    • v.31 no.1
    • /
    • pp.61-76
    • /
    • 2022
  • In this study, surface particulate matter (PM2.5) concentrations were calculated based on empirical equations using measurements of ceilometer backscatter intensities and meteorological variables taken over 19 months. To quantify the importance of meteorological conditions on the calculations of surface PM2.5 concentrations, eight different meteorological conditions were considered. For each meteorological condition, the optimal upper limit height for an integration of ceilometer backscatter intensity and coefficients for the empirical equations were determined using cross-validation processes with and without considering meteorological variables. The results showed that the optimal upper limit heights and coefficients depended heavily on the meteorological conditions, which, in turn, exhibited extensive impacts on the estimated surface PM2.5 concentrations. A comparison with the measurements of surface PM2.5 concentrations showed that the calculated surface PM2.5 concentrations exhibited better results (i.e., higher correlation coefficient and lower root mean square error) when considering meteorological variables for all eight meteorological conditions. Furthermore, applying optimal upper limit heights for different weather conditions revealed better results compared with a constant upper limit height (e.g., 150 m) that was used in previous studies. The impacts of vertical distributions of ceilometer backscatter intensities on the calculations of surface PM2.5 concentrations were also examined.

A Study on Filling the Spatio-temporal Observation Gaps in the Lower Atmosphere by Guaranteeing the Accuracy of Wind Observation Data from a Meteorological Drone (기상드론 바람관측자료의 정확도 확보를 통한 대기하층 시공간 관측공백 해소 연구)

  • Seung-Hyeop Lee;Mi Eun Park;Hye-Rim Jeon;Mir Park
    • Atmosphere
    • /
    • v.33 no.5
    • /
    • pp.441-456
    • /
    • 2023
  • The mobile observation method, in which a meteorological drone observes while ascending, can observe the vertical profile of wind at 1 m-interval. In addition, since continuous flights are possible at time intervals of less than 30 minutes, high-resolution observation data can be obtained both spatially and temporally. In this study, we verify the accuracy of mobile observation data from meteorological drone (drone) and fill the spatio-temporal observation gaps in the lower atmosphere. To verify the accuracy of mobile observation data observed by drone, it was compared with rawinsonde observation data. The correlation coefficients between two equipment for a wind speed and direction were 0.89 and 0.91, and the root mean square errors were 0.7 m s-1 and 20.93°. Therefore, it was judged that the drone was suitable for observing vertical profile of the wind using mobile observation method. In addition, we attempted to resolve the observation gaps in the lower atmosphere. First, the vertical observation gaps of the wind profiler between the ground and the 150 m altitude could be resolved by wind observation data using the drone. Secondly, the temporal observation gaps between 3-hour interval in the rawinsonde was resolved through a drone observation case conducted in Taean-gun, Chungcheongnam-do on October 13, 2022. In this case, the drone mobile observation data every 30-minute intervals could observe the low-level jet more detail than the rawinsonde observation data. These results show that the mobile observation data of the drone can be used to fill the spatio-temporal observation gaps in the lower atmosphere.

The Seasonal Forecast Characteristics of Tropical Cyclones from the KMA's Global Seasonal Forecasting System (GloSea6-GC3.2) (기상청 기후예측시스템(GloSea6-GC3.2)의 열대저기압 계절 예측 특성)

  • Sang-Min Lee;Yu-Kyung Hyun;Beomcheol Shin;Heesook Ji;Johan Lee;Seung-On Hwang;Kyung-On Boo
    • Atmosphere
    • /
    • v.34 no.2
    • /
    • pp.97-106
    • /
    • 2024
  • The seasonal forecast skill of tropical cyclones (TCs) in the Northern Hemisphere from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) Global Seasonal Forecast System version 6 (GloSea6) hindcast has been verified for the period 1993 to 2016. The operational climate prediction system at KMA was upgraded from GloSea5 to GloSea6 in 2022, therefore further validation was warranted for the seasonal predictability and variability of this new system for TC forecasts. In this study, we examine the frequency, track density, duration, and strength of TCs in the North Indian Ocean, the western North Pacific, the eastern North Pacific, and the North Atlantic against the best track data. This methodology follows a previous study covering the period 1996 to 2009 published in 2020. GloSea6 indicates a higher frequency of TC generation compared to observations in the western North Pacific and the eastern North Pacific, suggesting the possibility of more TC generation than GloSea5. Additionally, GloSea6 exhibits better interannual variability of TC frequency, which shows relatively good correlation with observations in the North Atlantic and the western North Pacific. Regarding TC intensity, GloSea6 still underestimates the minimum surface pressures and maximum wind speeds from TCs, as is common among most climate models due to lower horizontal resolutions. However, GloSea6 is likely capable of simulating slightly stronger TCs than GloSea5, partly attributed to more frequent 6-hourly outputs compared to the previous daily outputs.

Evaluation of the Intensity Predictability of the Numerical Models for Typhoons in 2013 (2013년 태풍에 대한 수치모델들의 강도 예측성 평가)

  • Kim, Ji-Seon;Lee, Woojeong;Kang, KiRyong;Byun, Kun-Young;Kim, Jiyoung;Yun, Won-Tae
    • Atmosphere
    • /
    • v.24 no.3
    • /
    • pp.419-432
    • /
    • 2014
  • An assessment of typhoon intensity predictability of numerical models was conducted to develop the typhoon intensity forecast guidance comparing with the RSMC-Tokyo best track data. Root mean square error, box plot analysis and time series of wind speed comparison were performed to evaluate the each model error level. One of noticeable fact is that all models have a trend of error increase as typhoon becomes stronger and the Global Forecast System showed the best performance among the models. In the detailed analysis in two typhoon cases [Danas (1324) and Haiyan (1330)], GFS showed good performance in maximum wind speed and intensity trend in the best track, however it could not simulate well the rapid intensity increasing period. On the other hand, ECMWF and Hurricane-WRF overestimated the typhoon intensity but simulated track trend well.

Characteristics of daily mortality due to heat waves in Busan in July 1994 (1994년 7월 부산지역의 폭염으로 인한 일 사망률 특성 연구)

  • Lee, Dae-Geun;Kim, Jiyoung;Cho, Byoung-Cheol
    • Atmosphere
    • /
    • v.17 no.4
    • /
    • pp.463-470
    • /
    • 2007
  • This study aims to assess the impact of the hot summer weather on daily mortality in Busan. Daily total all-caused mortality in the entire population in Busan has been examined during 1991-2005. The daily deaths were standardized to account for the long-term trend in mortality and their seasonal and weekly cycles. We found the net increase (about 8.2%) of excess deaths during the extraordinary heat wave period in July of 1994. It corresponds to the excess deaths of 109.5 during the month. The abnormality of temperature extremes in July of 1994 and their impacts on human health were also investigated. Unusual heat wave appeared in the first ten days in July of 1994. The excess deaths are likely to be attributable to the record-breaking heat waves. The result suggests that unusual early heat waves would be dangerous, even for inhabitants who live in an acclimated region to the heat waves such as Busan.