• Title/Summary/Keyword: Mean basin precipitation

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The analysis of differences of mean basin precipitation between TM and radar using correlation with basin characteristics and rainfall patterns (TM과 레이더를 이용한 유역평균강수량 차이와 유역특성 및 강우형태와의 상관성)

  • Park, Jaeheyon;Sung, Janghyun;Cho, Yohan;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.7
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    • pp.469-480
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    • 2020
  • This study analyzed the differences of mean basin precipitation between TM and radar based on the 51 standard basins in Han river and Nakdong river when large scale of heavy rains occurred in 2018. The result shows that the differences between radar and TM are -65.05 ~ 26.09% and -82.00 ~ 3.80% for accumulated and 10 min. maximum mean basin precipitation, respectively. The correlation analysis between the differences of estimated mean basin precipitation and basin characteristics such as average altitude of basin, area of basin, and shape factor of basin presents that there is no clear correlation between them. And the differences of point precipitation also shows the similar tendency with those of mean basin precipitation. In order to find out the correlation between them and meteorological conditions such as rainfall patterns, the reflectivity of radars according to the observation angles is analyzed at the selected basins, and then it is found that the differences of mean basin precipitation between TM and radar is more dominated by the meteorological conditions than by the topographic conditions such as basin characteristics.

Evapotranspiration and Water Balance in the Basin of Nakdong River (낙동강유역의 증발산량과 물수지)

  • 조희구;이태영
    • Water for future
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.81-92
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    • 1975
  • Calculation of the monthly water balance for Nakdong River basin for the period from 1958 to 1968 is made by determining three components independently: precipitation, runoff and evapotranspiration. The areal precipitation is computed by the Thiessen method using the records of nine meteorological stations in the basin, and the runoff is the flow gauged at Jindong which is located on the most downstream. For the computation of evapotranspiration, the Morton method is adopted because this method is relatively fit best in the calculation of water balance among the Morton, Penman and Thornthwaite methods. The values of Morton evapotransp iration are corrected by the factor of 0.82 in the basin in order to bring the error to zero. The areal evapotranspiration is the arithmetic mean of the Morton estimates at the stations. Mean water balance components in the Nakdong river basin are 1117.0mm, 600.6mm and 516.4m for precipitation, runoff and evapotranspiration respectively. Accordingly, the mean runoff ratio comes out to be 0.54. The smallest values of runoff coefficient are due for Daegu area, while the largest ones are for the southwest of the basin with the higher rainfall and high elevations there. The amount of runoff obtained by both Thornthwaite and Budyko methods for water balance computations indicate 59 and 60 per cent of actual values which are lower than the expected. An attempt is made to find the best reliable rainfall-runoff relation among the four methods proposed by Schreiber, 01'dekop, Budyko and Sellers. The modified equation of Schreiber type for annual runoff coefficient could be obtained with the smallest mean error of 11 per cent.

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Characterization Of Rainrate Fields Using A Multi-Dimensional Precipitation Model

  • Yoo, Chul-sang;Kwon, Snag-woo
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.147-158
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    • 2000
  • In this study, we characterized the seasonal variation of rainrate fields in the Han river basin using the WGR multi-dimensional precipitation model (Waymire, Gupta, and Rodriguez-Iturbe, 1984) by estimating and comparing the parameters derived for each month and for the plain area, the mountain area and overall basin, respectively. The first-and second-order statistics derived from observed point gauge data were used to estimate the model parameters based on the Davidon-Fletcher-Powell algorithm of optimization. As a result of the study, we can find that the higher rainfall amount during summer is mainly due to the arrival rate of rain bands, mean number of cells per cluster potential center, and raincell intensity. However, other parameters controlling the mean number of rain cells per cluster, the cellular birth rate, and the mean cell age are found invariant to the rainfall amounts. In the application to the downstream plain area and upstream mountain area of the Han river basin, we found that the number of storms in the mountain area was estimated a little higher than that in the plain area, but the cell intensity in the mountain area a little lower than that in the plain area. Thus, in the mountain area more frequent but less intense storms can be expected due to the orographic effect, but the total amount of rainfall in a given period seems to remain the same.

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Hourly Water Level Simulation in Tancheon River Using an LSTM (LSTM을 이용한 탄천에서의 시간별 하천수위 모의)

  • Park, Chang Eon
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.66 no.4
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    • pp.51-57
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    • 2024
  • This study was conducted on how to simulate runoff, which was done using existing physical models, using an LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) model based on deep learning. Tancheon, the first tributary of the Han River, was selected as the target area for the model application. To apply the model, one water level observatory and four rainfall observatories were selected, and hourly data from 2020 to 2023 were collected to apply the model. River water level of the outlet of the Tancheon basin was simulated by inputting precipitation data from four rainfall observation stations in the basin and average preceding 72-hour precipitation data for each hour. As a result of water level simulation using 2021 to 2023 data for learning and testing with 2020 data, it was confirmed that reliable simulation results were produced through appropriate learning steps, reaching a certain mean absolute error in a short period time. Despite the short data period, it was found that the mean absolute percentage error was 0.5544~0.6226%, showing an accuracy of over 99.4%. As a result of comparing the simulated and observed values of the rapidly changing river water level during a specific heavy rain period, the coefficient of determination was found to be 0.9754 and 0.9884. It was determined that the performance of LSTM, which aims to simulate river water levels, could be improved by including preceding precipitation in the input data and using precipitation data from various rainfall observation stations within the basin.

Analysis of Future Trends for Refractory Dissolved Organic Carbon in the Nakdong River Basin using Elasticity Theory (탄성도 이론을 이용한 낙동강유역 난분해성 용존 유기탄소 미래 추세 분석)

  • Park, Yoonkyung;Choi, Daegyu;Lee, Jae Woon;Kang, Limseok;Kim, Sangdan
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.476-488
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    • 2013
  • Refractory Dissolved Organic Carbon (RDOC) is becoming more important index on management of water quality, water regulation as well as ecosystem management. We analyzed trends of RDOC using elasticity in the Nakdong river basin. If climate elasticity of streamflow is positive, change of streamflow can be defined by the proportional change in a climatic variable such as precipitation and temperature. Elasticity of streamflow to precipitation and elasticity of RDOC to precipitation were estimated in the present, and we also analyzed the variation of elasticity in the future using climate change scenarios, RCP 8.5/ 4.5. Mean streamflow elasticity is 1.655, and mean RDOC elasticity is 1.983. RDOC is more sensitive to precipitation change than streamflow. The variation of RDOC is directly proportion to precipitation in all scenarios, but the Load of RDOC is dependent on precipitation as well as others. There is a need for additional correlation analysis between RDOC and other factors for accurate prediction.

Spatiotemporal distribution of downscaled hourly precipitation for RCP scenarios over South Korea and its hydrological responses

  • Lee, Taesam;Park, Taewoong;Park, Jaenyoung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.247-247
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    • 2015
  • Global Climate Model (GCM) is too coarse to apply at a basin scale. The spatial downcsaling is needed to used to permit the assessment of the hydrological changes of a basin. Furthermore, temporal downscaling is required to obtain hourly precipitation to analyze a small or medium basin because only few or several hours are used to determine the peak flows after it rains. In the current study, the spariotemporal distribution of downscaled hourly precipitation for RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios over South Korea is presented as well as its implications over hydrologica responses. Mean hourly precipitation significantly increases over the southern part of South Korea, especially during the morning time, and its increase becomes lower at later times of day in the RCP8.5 scenario. However, this increase cannot be propagated to the mainland due to the mountainous areas in the southern part of the country. Furthermore, the hydrological responses employing a distributed rainfall-runoff model show that there is a significant increase in the peak flow for the RCP8.5 scenario with a slight decrease for the RCP4.5 scenario. The current study concludes that the employed temporal downscaling method is suitable for obtaining the hourly precipitation data from daily GCM scenarios. In addition, the rainfall runoff simulation through the downscaled hourly precipitation is useful for investigating variations in the hydrological responses as related to future scenarios.

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Development of the Annual Runoff Estimation Model (연유출량 추정모형 개발)

  • 김양수;정상만;서병하
    • Water for future
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.95-104
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    • 1991
  • The study was focused on developing a new model to estimate annual runoff. This model can be used to estimate the available water resources for ungaged catchments for long-term water resources development planning. Data used in the model development were daily rainfall and daily runoff of the sample basin with record length from 1945 to 1988 years in Korea. The sample basin selected by consideration whether the flow is virgin and quality of discharge data is good. As a result, 46 stage gaging station were selected. Annual runoff was determined by sum of daily runoff calculated by daily stage data of the sample basin. Also, the annual mean precipitation by using daily rainfall data was estimated and the annual runoff ratio for each sample basin was calculated, and the annual mean runoff ratio was estimated. The linear regression model was proposed and calibrated using auunal mean precipitation values and geomorphological characteristics of the basins. To verify reasonableness of this model, the regression model was applied to the gaging stations which have historical data.

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Development of Regional Regression Model for Estimating Flow Duration Curves in Ungauged Basins (미계측 유역의 유황곡선 산정을 위한 지역회귀모형의 개발)

  • Lee, Tae Hee;Lee, Min Ho;Yi, Jaeeung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.427-437
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    • 2016
  • The objective of this study is to develop the regional regression models based on the physiographical and climatological characteristics for estimating flow duration curve (FDC) in ungauged bsisns. To this end, the lower sections with duration from 185 to 355 days of FDCs were constructed from the 16 gauged streamflow data, which were fitted to the two-parameter logarithmic type regression equation. Then, the parameters of the equation were regionalized using the basin characteristics such as basin area, basin slope, drainage density, mean annual precipitation, mean annual streamflow, runoff curve number in order that the proposed regression model can be used for ungauged basin. From the comparison of the estimated by the regional regression model with the observed ones, the model with the combination of basin area, runoff curve number, mean annual precipitation showed the best performance.

Assessment of the Wetland Soil Development of Constructed Wetlands using Soil Properties of a Reference Wetland (시험유역 운영을 통한 강우-유출수의 비점오염물질 유출특성 분석)

  • Lee, Joo Heon;Kim, Chang Joo;Park, Min Jae;Shin, Jung Soo;Jang, Ho Won
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.181-192
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    • 2012
  • Dae Dong Stream basin has been selected and operated as a representative experimental basin of UNESCO IHP since year 2007. It is located at Daejeon Metropolitan city, Korea and hydrologic data such as precipitation, runoff, and water quality have been being collected and provided after establishing the monitoring plan as an experimental basin for city/disaster prevention. In this study, runoff characteristics for non-point sources of rainfall-runoff process from urban stream basins were analyzed using the flow and water quality data measured during the year 2011. As an operation result for the test subjected basin, rating curves at Panam Bridge and at Chulgap Bridge were prepared, and to compare runoff characteristics of non-point source by precipitation, by estimating the Event Mean Concentration(EMC) for 10 water quality items, runoff characteristics of non-point source per different observation points as per the precipitation, antecedent rainfall, and land utilization status were analyzed.

Verification of Precipitation Forecast Model and Application of Hydrology Model in Kyoungan-chun Basin (경안천 유역에 대한 강수예보모델의 검증 및 수문모형활용)

  • Choi, Ji-Hye;Kim, Young-Hwa;Nam, Kyung-Yeub;Oh, Sung-Nam
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.3 s.164
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    • pp.215-226
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    • 2006
  • In this study, we performed verification of VSRF (Very Short Range Forecast of precipitation) model and application of NWSPC (National Weather Service PC) rainfall-runoff model in Kyoungan-chun basin. We used two methods for verification of VSRF model. The first method is a meteorological verification that evaluates the special quality feature for rain amount between AWS and VSRF model over Kyoungan-chun basin, while second method is a hydrological verification that compares the calculated Mean Area Precipitation (MAP) between AWS and VSRF Quantitatively. This study examines the usefulness of VSRF precipitation forecasting model data in NWSPC hydrological model. As a result, correlation coefficient is over 0.6 within 3 hour lead time. It represents that the forecast results from VSRF are useful for water resources application.