• Title/Summary/Keyword: Mean Load

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Short-Term Load Forecast in Microgrids using Artificial Neural Networks (신경회로망을 이용한 마이크로그리드 단기 전력부하 예측)

  • Chung, Dae-Won;Yang, Seung-Hak;You, Yong-Min;Yoon, Keun-Young
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.66 no.4
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    • pp.621-628
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    • 2017
  • This paper presents an artificial neural network (ANN) based model with a back-propagation algorithm for short-term load forecasting in microgrid power systems. Owing to the significant weather factors for such purpose, relevant input variables were selected in order to improve the forecasting accuracy. As remarked above, forecasting is more complex in a microgrid because of the increased variability of disaggregated load curves. Accurate forecasting in a microgrid will depend on the variables employed and the way they are presented to the ANN. This study also shows numerically that there is a close relationship between forecast errors and the number of training patterns used, and so it is necessary to carefully select the training data to be employed with the system. Finally, this work demonstrates that the concept of load forecasting and the ANN tools employed are also applicable to the microgrid domain with very good results, showing that small errors of Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) around 3% are achievable.

Structural analysis and optimization of large cooling tower subjected to wind loads based on the iteration of pressure

  • Li, Gang;Cao, Wen-Bin
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.46 no.5
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    • pp.735-753
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    • 2013
  • The wind load is always the dominant load of cooling tower due to its large size, complex geometry and thin-wall structure. At present, when computing the wind-induced response of the large-scale cooling tower, the wind pressure distribution is obtained based on code regulations, wind tunnel test or computational fluid dynamic (CFD) analysis, and then is imposed on the tower structure. However, such method fails to consider the change of the wind load with the deformation of cooling tower, which may result in error of the wind load. In this paper, the analysis of the large cooling tower based on the iterative method for wind pressure is studied, in which the advantages of CFD and finite element method (FEM) are combined in order to improve the accuracy. The comparative study of the results obtained from the code regulations and iterative method is conducted. The results show that with the increase of the mean wind speed, the difference between the methods becomes bigger. On the other hand, based on the design of experiment (DOE), an approximate model is built for the optimal design of the large-scale cooling tower by a two-level optimization strategy, which makes use of code-based design method and the proposed iterative method. The results of the numerical example demonstrate the feasibility and efficiency of the proposed method.

Prediction on Variation of Building Heating and Cooling Energy Demand According to the Climate Change Impacts in Korea (우리나라의 기후 변화 영향에 의한 건물 냉난방에너지 수요량 변화의 예측)

  • Kim, Ji-Hye;Kim, Eui-Jong;Seo, Seung-Jik
    • Proceedings of the SAREK Conference
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    • 2006.06a
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    • pp.789-794
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    • 2006
  • The potential impacts of climate change on heating and cooling energy demand were investigated by means of transient building energy simulations and hourly weather data scenarios for Inchon. Future trends for the 21 st century was assessed based oil climate change scenarios with 7 global climate models(GCMs), We constructed hourly weather data from monthly temperatures and total incident solar radiation ($W/m^2$) and then simulated heating and cooling load by Trnsys 16 for Inchon. For 2004-2080, the selected scenarios made by IPCC foresaw a $3.7-5.8^{\circ}C$rise in mean annual air temperature. In 2004-2080, the annual cooling load for a apartment with internal heat gains increased by 75-165% while the heating load fell by 52-71%. Our analysis showed widely varying shifts in future energy demand depending on the season. Heating costs will significantly decrease whereas more expensive electrical energy will be needed of air conditioning during the summer.

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Biomechanical Effect of In-line Skating Wrist Guards on the Prevention of Wrist Fracture

  • Lim, Tae-Hong;Linda M. McGrady;Peter Hoepfner;Craig C. Young;William G. Raasch;Han, Jung-Soo
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • v.15 no.7
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    • pp.1072-1076
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    • 2001
  • A biomechanical study was conducted in this study to investigate if in-line skating wrist guards can effectively reduce the impact forces so as to protect the wrist from fracture. The forearm specimens with and without wrist guards were dropped using a specially designed sled to simulate the impact on the wrist while falling. A force plate was used to measure the total impact force on the dropping weight whereas a load cell was attached to the proximal end of the specimen and used to quantify the impact transmitted through the wrist joint. From the non-destructive tests, mean peak force measured from a force plate showed no difference between the guarded and unguarded groups whereas mean impulse of the guarded group was significantly greater than that of the unguarded group (p<0.01). Comparing the peak force and impulse measured from the load cell, the peak force of the guarded group was significantly less than that of the unguarded group (p<0.001), while the impulse values were similar. When the specimens were dropped from a higher position (2.5ft ve. 1ft), all unguarded specimens had severe wrist fractures whereas fracture was found in three out of 5 guarded specimens. Comparison of mean peak forces and impulses showed as significant difference between the guarded and unguarded groups only in the mean impulse measured from the force plate. These results suggest that the wrist guard may protect the wrist by attenuating the peak force transmitted to radius and ulnar although it may not be effective when the wrist is subjected to an impact sufficiently large to cause fractures.

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MEAN LOAD EFFECT ON FATIGUE OF WELDED JOINTS USING STRUCTURAL STRESS AND FRACTURE MECHANICS APPROACH

  • Kim, Jong-Sung;Kim, Cheol;Jin, Tae-Eun;Dong, P.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.38 no.3
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    • pp.277-284
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    • 2006
  • In order to ensure the structural integrity of nuclear welded structures during design life, the fatigue life has to be evaluated by fatigue analysis procedures presented in technical codes such as ASME B&PV Code Section III. However, existing fatigue analysis procedures do not explicitly consider the presence of welded joints. A new fatigue analysis procedure based on a structural stress/fracture mechanics approach has been recently developed in order to reduce conservatism by erasing uncertainty in the analysis procedure. A recent review of fatigue crack growth data under various mean loading conditions using the structural stress/fracture mechanics approach, does not consider the mean loading effect, revealed some significant discrepancies in fatigue crack growth curves according to the mean loading conditions. In this paper, we propose the use of the stress intensity factor range ${\Delta}K$ characterized with loading ratio R effects in terms of the structural stress. We demonstrate the effectiveness in characterizing fatigue crack growth and S-N behavior using the well-known data. It was identified that the S-N data under high mean loading could be consolidated in a master S-N curve for welded joints.

A Study on the Equivalent Static Wind Load Estimation of Large Span Roofs (대스팬 지붕구조물의 등가정적 풍하중 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Myung-Ho;Kim, Ji-Young;Kim, Dae-Young;Kim, Sang-Dae
    • Journal of Korean Association for Spatial Structures
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    • v.6 no.1 s.19
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    • pp.83-90
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    • 2006
  • The GF(Gust Factor) method is usually used as a method to evaluate equivalent static wind loads for general structures. The GF method is performed on the assumption that the shape of the equivalent static wind load profile is typically similar to that of mean wind loads. The shape of fluctuating wind loads could be quite different with that of the mean wind loads in case of large-span structures. So, the effect of higher modes as well as first mode must be considered to evaluate the wind loads. In this study, the ACS (Advanced Conditional Sampling) method is suggested to evaluate of equivalent static wind loads after investigating about GF and LRC method. The An method ran derive effective static wind loads by combining wind pressures and inertia forces of a structure chosen at a maximum load effect. The maximum load effect is assessed with the time history analysis using pressure data measured in wind tunnel tests. Equivalent static wind loads evaluated using ACS, GF, and LRC methods are compared to verify the effectiveness of ACS method.

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Relationship Analysis of Reference Evapotranspiration and Heating Load for Water-Energy-Food Nexus in Greenhouse (물-에너지-식량 넥서스 분석을 위한 시설재배지의 기준작물증발산량과 난방 에너지 부하 관계 분석)

  • Kim, Kwihoon;Yoon, Pureun;Lee, Yoonhee;Lee, Sang-Hyun;Hur, Seung-Oh;Choi, Jin-Yong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.61 no.4
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    • pp.23-32
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    • 2019
  • Increasing crop production with the same amount of resources is essential for enhancing the economy in agriculture. The first prerequisite is to understand relationships between the resources. The concept of WEF (Water-Energy-Food) nexus analysis was first introduced in 2011, which helps to interpret inter-linkages among the resources and stakeholders. The objective of this study was to analyze energy-water nexus in greenhouse cultivation by estimating reference evapotranspiration and heating load. For the estimation, this study used the physical model to simulate the inside temperature of the agricultural greenhouse using heating, solar radiation, ventilated and transferred heat losses as input variables. For estimating reference evapotranspiration and heating load, Penman-Monteith equation and seasonal heating load equation with HDH (Heating Degree-Hour) was applied. For calibration and validation of simulated inside temperature, used were hourly data observed from 2011 to 2012 in multi-span greenhouse. Results of the simulation were evaluated using $R^2$, MAE and RMSE, which showed 0.75, 2.22, 3.08 for calibration and 0.71, 2.39, 3.35 for validation respectively. When minimum setting temperature was $12^{\circ}C$ from 2013 to 2017, mean values of evapotranspiration and heating load were 687 mm/year and 2,147 GJ/year. For $18^{\circ}C$, Mean values of evapotranspiration and heating load were 707 mm/year and 5,616 GJ/year. From the estimation, the relationship between water and heat energy was estimated as 1.0~2.6 GJ/ton. Though additional calibrations with different types of greenhouses are necessary, the results of this study imply that they are applicable when evaluating resource relationship in the greenhouse cultivation complex.

Development of Load Factors-Based Analysis Model of Optimum Reliability (하중계수에 기초한 최적신뢰성의 해석모델 개발)

  • 이증반;신형우
    • Computational Structural Engineering
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.113-124
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    • 1992
  • This study proposes a Load Factors-based Analysis Model of Optimum Reliability for the High way bridge, which is most common type of structural design, and also proposes the theoretical bases of optimum nominal safety factors as well as optimum load and resistance factors based on the expected total cost minimization. Major 2nd moment reliability analysis and design theories including both MFOSM(Mean First Order 2nd Moment) Methods and AFOSM(Advanced First Order 2nd Moment) Methods are summarized and compared, and it has been found that Lind-Hasofer's approximate and an approximate Log-normal type reliability for mula are well suited for the proposed optimum reliability study.

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A Study on Reliability of Current Ultimate Strength Design for Reinforced Concrete (현행(現行) 철근(鐵筋)콘크리트 극한강(極限强) 설계법(設計法)의 신뢰성(信賴性)에 관(關)한 연구(硏究))

  • Lee, Bong Hak
    • Journal of Industrial Technology
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    • v.2
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    • pp.3-11
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    • 1982
  • Reliability analysis methods have been employed in this study to determine the safety index ${\beta}$ for flexure associated with reinforced concrete designs that are in accordance with current USD code of Korea. In reliability analysis, the mean first-order second-moment methods are employed. The following specific conclusions can be drawn from this study; 1) Levels of safety for reinforced concrete design, measured by ${\beta}$, vary from 2.8 to 3.8 in flexure depending on the limit state, the ratio of live load to dead load and the uncertainties. 2) Target reliability ${\beta}$ associated with reinforced concrete beams in flexure is assumed to be 3.5~4.0 in Korea. 3) Load factors and resistance factors in flexure associated with the current provisions contained in USD code generally seem to be too high. The writer concluded the factors as following; ${\phi}=0.8,\;{\gamma}_D=1.1\;{\gamma}_L=1.75$.

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Numerical study of wind load on the high-rise building (고층건물에 작용하는 풍하중에 관한 수치 해석적 연구)

  • Song, C.S.;Park, S.O.;Kim, D.W.;Ha, Y.C.
    • 한국전산유체공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.03b
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    • pp.205-208
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    • 2008
  • The wind load on building surface is numerically investigated. The geometry of target building is a square cross section and aspect ratio (height (H) to width (d)) is 6. On building surface, the pressure was measured, compared to obtained value from numerical simulation. The numerical simulations were done using URANS with three different turbulence models such as v2-f model, k-${\omega}$model, and k-${\varepsilon}$ model, respectively. The v2-f model showed the best agreement with experimental data in simulating mean pressure coefficients on front, rear and side surface. But unsteady characteristics of pressure history measured on surface is shown a discrepancy between experiment and numerical simulation.

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