• 제목/요약/키워드: Maximum Sustainable Yield:MSY

검색결과 24건 처리시간 0.021초

생물경제학적 어업자원 관리정책에 관한 연구 (Bioeconomic Management Policy for Fisheries Resources)

  • 표희동;권석재
    • 수산해양교육연구
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.84-98
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    • 2004
  • Due to a publicly owned resources, the overexploitation of the fisheries resources can result in externalities in the form of reduced future levels of yield. These problems can be theoretically improved through effective management of the fishery. The paper illustrates maximum sustainable yield(MSY), maximum economic yield(MEY) and F0.1 level of fishing mortality as the concept of optimal yield, and it theoretically shows that MSY is more appropriate for the optimal yield than MEY where prices increase even though MEY achieves the maximization of economic rent in a fishery assuming constant prices. And the paper presents several fisheries management tools and policies such as input controls, output controls and taxes. As the traditional approach to fishery management, input controls involve restrictions on the physical inputs into the production process(e.g. capital, time or technology) and output controls involve limits on the quantity of fish that can be landed. To introduce user cost into the harvest decisions of rent-seeking fishers, taxation, as a bioeconomic management policy of the fisheries, directly addresses the problems associated with the resource being unpriced. As most fisheries management plans, however, have increasing fisher income as an objective, taxes have not been introduced into any fisheries management policies despite their theoretical attraction.

잉여생산량을 추정하는 모델과 파라미터 추정방법의 비교 (Comparison of models for estimating surplus productions and methods for estimating their parameters)

  • 권유정;장창익;표희동;서영일
    • 수산해양기술연구
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    • 제49권1호
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    • pp.18-28
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    • 2013
  • It was compared the estimated parameters by the surplus production from three different models, i.e., three types (Schaefer, Gulland, and Schnute) of the traditional surplus production models, a stock production model incorporating covariates (ASPIC) model and a maximum entropy (ME) model. We also evaluated the performance of models in the estimation of their parameters. The maximum sustainable yield (MSY) of small yellow croaker (Pseudosciaena polyactis) in Korean waters ranged from 35,061 metric tons (mt) by Gulland model to 44,844mt by ME model, and fishing effort at MSY ($f_{MSY}$) ranged from 262,188hauls by Schnute model to 355,200hauls by ME model. The lowest root mean square error (RMSE) for small yellow croaker was obtained from the Gulland surplus production model, while the highest RMSE was from Schnute model. However, the highest coefficient of determination ($R^2$) was from the ME model, but the ASPIC model yielded the lowest coefficient. On the other hand, the MSY of Kapenta (Limnothrissa miodon) ranged from 16,880 mt by ASPIC model to 25,373mt by ME model, and $f_{MSY}$, from 94,580hauls by ASPIC model to 225,490hauls by Schnute model. In this case, both the lowest root mean square error (RMSE) and the highest coefficient of determination ($R^2$) were obtained from the ME model, which showed relatively better fits of data to the model, indicating that the ME model is statistically more stable and robust than other models. Moreover, the ME model could provide additional ecologically useful parameters such as, biomass at MSY ($B_{MSY}$), carrying capacity of the population (K), catchability coefficient (q) and the intrinsic rate of population growth (r).

연령구조평가모델 하의 MSY 계산에서 Steepness와 자연사망률의 영향 분석 (The Influence of Steepness and Natural Mortality Rate on the MSY Calculation in an Age-structured Model)

  • 윤정현;김진우;강희중;현상윤
    • 한국수산과학회지
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    • 제57권3호
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    • pp.292-301
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    • 2024
  • It is challenging to simultaneously estimate parameters in a stock-recruitment relationship, steepness, and natural mortality rate with the other parameters within an age-structured assessment model even in a data-rich situation. Such a problem leads to uncertainty in estimates of management references such as maximum sustainable yield (MSY), which are affected by those components. The objective of this study was to evaluate the effects of those parameters on MSY by analyzing the process of estimating the MSY. For illustration, we used two data sets: The chub mackerel Scomber japonicus in the Korean waters and the yellowtail flounder Limanda ferruginea in the Southern New England-Mid Atlantic. As a result, the natural mortality rate influenced spawning stock biomass per recruit, yield per recruit, and MSY, while steepness affected MSY. A sensitivity analysis enabled us to estimate the natural mortality rate and steepness. The optimal set of steepness and natural mortality was 1.0 and 0.37 per year for the chub mackerel, and 0.35, and 0.8 per year for the yellowtail flounder, respectively.

생물경제모형을 이용한 참조기의 자원평가에 관한 연구 - 단일어종·다수어업 사례를 중심으로 (A Stock Assessment of Yellow Croaker using Bioeconomic Model: a Case of Single Species and Multiple Fisheries)

  • 심성현;남종오
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제37권2호
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    • pp.161-177
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    • 2015
  • This study analyzes the stock assessment of yellow croaker caught mainly by the Korean stow net and gill net fisheries focusing on single species and multiple fisheries. This study standardizes fishing efforts for the two fisheries using the general linear model and uses a surplus production model based on the exponential growth model. The Clarke Yoshimoto Pooley model estimates a maximum sustainable yield(MSY), an allowable biological catch(ABC), fishing efforts for MSY($E_{MSY}$) and for ABC($E_{ABC}$). The bio-economic model is used to estimate the maximum economic yield(MEY) and fishing efforts for MEY($E_{MSY}$). Also, the study employs an economic analysis to estimate the economic interaction between stow net and gill net fisheries. The economic analysis shows the profit accruing to the two fisheries from estimated ABC. Finally, the study compares TACs based on single species and single fishery to TAC based on single species and multiple fisheries. The study proposes that the TAC assessment is necessary for single species and multiple fisheries in order to preserve resources.

우리나라 근해 어업의 잠재적 감척규모분석에 관한 연구 (Analyzing Potential Vessel Buyback Scale of Offshore Fisheries in Korea)

  • 표회동;최새힘
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.311-322
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    • 2005
  • Fisheries buyback programs in Korea have been implemented since 1994, and their scales are estimated to be the present value of 930 billion won for the last 9 yens since 1994. The paper attempts to identify the patterns of each fish species, of which their yields can be steadily increased or significant]y decreased, and to evaluate its effective level and the optimal level for buyback programs by means of fishing capacity analysis. The paper distinguishes fish species, that there is no need to reduce the fishing efforts, such as anchovies, mackerels, squids, Spanish mackerels, and herrings, because MSY exceeds yields, from fish species to control overfishing such as file fish, yellow corvenias, young pollack, hair tail, snow crab, and pollack. The paper also suggests that 65% of the fishing efforts (total tonnages) should be cut back at the national aggregate level in order to restore fish stocks.

카리브호수 카펜타 자원량 추정을 위한 최대엔트피모델과 분석적 모델의 비교분석 (A Comparative Analysis of Maximum Entropy and Analytical Models for Assessing Kapenta (Limnothrissa miodon) Stock in Lake Kariba)

  • 이타이 텐다우펜유;표희동
    • 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.613-639
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    • 2017
  • 카리브호수의 카펜타 자원량을 추정하기 위해 최대엔트로피(ME)모델과 분석적 모델이 적용된다. ME모델을 이용하여 25,372톤의 최대지속가능 어획량(MSY)과 MSY의 어획노력량인 109,731의 어획일수(fishing nights)를 추정하였는데, 이는 현재 어획노력량 수준이 과잉투자됨으로써 1988년 이후 2009년 현재까지 자원량을 감소시키는 요인인 것을 나타낸다. 분석적 모델은 매년의 생물학적 허용 어획량(ABC)과 연간 1.21의 어획사망계수(일반적 어획사망계수인 0.927 보다 큰)를 추정한다. 이 두 모델은 1982년 기준년도의 자원량 추정에 적용할 수 있는 유사한 자원량을 추정한다. ME모델에 의하면 1988년의 최대 자원량(156,047톤)에 대해 1/3수준이하 까지 점점 하락하는 결과를 추정하였는데, 이는 최근의 어획량이 MSY 수준 이하이지만 ABC수준보다 높게 나타나 남획된 것을 암시한다. 다시 말해서, 분석적 모델은 ME모델에서의 MSY보다 더 보수적인 ABC를 제공함으로써, 보수적인 어업관리정책(총허용어획량제도, 어획노력감소정책 등)을 적극적으로 고려해야함을 내포하고 있다.

우리나라 멸치자원량추정을 위한 잉여생산모델과 최대엔트로피모델의 비교분석 (A Comparative Analysis of Surplus Production Models and a Maximum Entropy Model for Estimating the Anchovy's Stock in Korea)

  • 표희동
    • 수산해양교육연구
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.19-30
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    • 2006
  • For fishery stock assessment and optimum sustainable yield of anchovy in Korea, surplus production(SP) models and a maximum entropy(ME) model are employed in this paper. For determining appropriate models, five traditional SP models-Schaefer model, Schnute model, Walters and Hilborn model, Fox model, and Clarke, Yoshimoto and Pooley (CYP) model- are tested for effort and catch data of anchovy that occupies 7% in the total fisheries landings of Korea. Only CYP model of five SP models fits statistically significant at the 10% level. Estimated intrinsic growth rates are similar in both CYP and ME models, while environmental carrying capacity of the ME model is quite greater than that of the CYP model. In addition, the estimated maximum sustainable yield(MSY), 213,287 tons in the ME model is slightly higher than that of CYP model (198,364 tons). Biomass for MSY in the ME model, however, is calculated 651,000 tons which is considerably greater than that of the CYP model (322,881 tons). It is meaningful in that two models are compared for noting some implications about any significant difference of stock assessment and their potential strength and weakness.

한국 근해 복수어구 및 다종어업 자원 평가모델 연구 II. 복수어구에 의한 단일 어종 자원의 이용 (A Study on the Multi-gear and Multi-species Fisheries Assessment Models in Korean Waters II. Single-species by Multiple Fisheries)

  • 서영일;장창익
    • 한국수산과학회지
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    • 제34권4호
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    • pp.359-364
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    • 2001
  • 복수어구에 의한 단일 어종 자원의 평가모델은 단일 어종에 대한 복수어구의 어획노력량이 다르므로 어업별 어획노력량을 하나의 노력단위로 표준화하여, Fox (1970)에 의한 잉여생산량모델에 적용함으로써, 최대지속적생산량, 최대경제적생산량 및 적정어획 노력량의 값을 추정하였다. 여기서는 참조기에 대한 대형기선저인 망쌍끌이어업과 근해안강망어업에 대해 적용하였고, 이 두 어업에 대한 경제성 분석을 통하여 순이익을 추정하였다. 참조기에 대한 어업별 순이익의 변동을 비교 분석한 결과 두 어업의 경제성은 근해안강망어업이 대형기선저인망쌍끌이어업 보다 더 나은 것으로 분석되었으며, 두 어업의 순이익을 같게 하기 위해서는 대형기 선저인망쌍끌이어업의 노력량을 현재보다 증가시키고 근해안강망 어업의 노력량은 낮춰야 한다.

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기후변화가 대형선망 고등어 어업의 최적탄소배출량에 미치는 영향분석 (A Study on the Optimal Emission of CO2 due to Climate Change : An Application for Large Purse Seine)

  • 최종두
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제39권3호
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    • pp.195-203
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this paper is to estimate the optimal $CO_2$ emission in the maximum economic yield (MEY), maximum sustainable yield (MSY), and open access (OA) using a bioeconomic model. The results are as follows; in the case of $E_{MEY}$, $E_{MSY}$, and $E_{OA}$ levels, $CO_2$ emissions are estimated at $150,704,746CO_2/kg$, $352,211,193CO_2/kg$, and $301,409,492CO_2/kg$ respectively. We show that the $E_{MEY}$ is more efficient than the other levels. That is, the level of $E_{MEY}$ signifies the optimal economic fishing usage as the most economically efficient usage for large purse seine fishery catching mackerel species. The emission of $CO_2$ in $E_{MEY}$ is the lowest level. Also, the impacts of climate changes such as ocean temperature increase, ocean acidification, and the combined impact thereof show that the biomass of mackerel decreases.

우리나라 기선권현망 멸치어업의 유류비 변동 영향분석 (Impact Analysis for Changes in Oil Cost of Anchovy Boat Seine Fishery in South Korea)

  • 윤상돈;남종오
    • 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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    • 제25권4호
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    • pp.517-543
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    • 2016
  • 본 연구의 목적은 우리나라 기선권현망 멸치어업의 유류비 변동에 대한 영향을 분석하는 데 있다. 연구의 분석 방법으로, 우선 최대지속적어획량(MSY)을 추정하기 위하여 지수잉여 생산모형을 이용한다. 다음으로, 자유어업하에서의 유류비 변동에 대한 기선권현망어업의 생산자 잉여를 추정하기 위하여 생물경제모형을 적용한다. 본 연구의 분석 결과, 면세유 미지급으로 인한 유류비 상승은 기선권현망어업의 멸치 공급에 대한 생산자 잉여에 부정적 영향을 초래하는 것으로 나타났다. 그러나 기선권현망 멸치어업의 유류비 상승이 경영 상태가 좋지 못한 어업인의 퇴출을 유도함으로써 상기 어업의 어획노력량을 최대지속적어획량 수준의 어획노력량($F_{MSY}$) 이하로 감소시켜 멸치 자원의 회복과 더불어 잔존 어업자의 생산자 잉여를 개선시키는 효과를 유인하는 것으로 나타났다.