• 제목/요약/키워드: Maximum Probability

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Probabilistic study on buildings with MTMD system in different seismic performance levels

  • Etedali, Sadegh
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제81권4호
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    • pp.429-441
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    • 2022
  • A probabilistic assessment of the seismic-excited buildings with a multiple-tuned-mass-damper (MTMD) system is carried out in the presence of uncertainties of the structural model, MTMD system, and the stochastic model of the seismic excitations. A free search optimization procedure of the individual mass, stiffness and, damping parameters of the MTMD system based on the snap-drift cuckoo search (SDCS) optimization algorithm is proposed for the optimal design of the MTMD system. Considering a 10-story structure in three cases equipped with single tuned mass damper (STMS), 5-TMD and 10-TMD, sensitivity analyses are carried out using Sobol' indices based on the Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) method. Considering different seismic performance levels, the reliability analyses are done using MCS and kriging-based MCS methods. The results show the maximum structural responses are more affected by changes in the PGA and the stiffness coefficients of the structural floors and TMDs. The results indicate the kriging-based MCS method can estimate the accurate amount of failure probability by spending less time than the MCS. The results also show the MTMD gives a significant reduction in the structural failure probability. The effect of the MTMD on the reduction of the failure probability is remarkable in the performance levels of life safety and collapse prevention. The maximum drift of floors may be reduced for the nominal structural system by increasing the TMDs, however, the complexity of the MTMD model and increasing its corresponding uncertainty sources can be caused a slight increase in the failure probability of the structure.

최대 엔트로피 방법을 이용한 비선형 불규칙 파고의 확률분포함수 (Probability Distribution of Nonlinear Random Wave Heights Using Maximum Entropy Method)

  • 안경모
    • 한국해안해양공학회지
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    • 제10권4호
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    • pp.204-210
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    • 1998
  • 최대 엔트로피 방법을 이용하여 강한 비정규분포과정의 특성을 갖는 비선형 불규칙 파고의 확률밀도 함수를 유도하였다. 파랑의 파고가 쇄파고(또는 수심)에 의해 제한되고 파고의 1, 2차 모멘트만 주어졌을 경우, 유도된 확률밀도함수는 $H_{b}$ (쇄파고), $H_{m}$(평균파고), $H_{rms}$(파고의 제곱평균평방근)의 매개변수로 폐합형(closed form)으로 표시된다. 파고의 3차 이상의 모멘트가 주어진 경우에는 최대 엔트로피를 갖는 확률밀도함수의 매개변수를 구하기 위해서 비선형 적분 방정식 계를 Newton-Raphson 방법을 이용하여 수치적으로 구하였다. 최대 엔트로피 방법을 이용하여 유도된 파고의 확률밀도함수를 비정규분포의 특성이 강한 실측자료와 비교하였다. 실측자료는 폭풍시 중간수심과 천해에서 측정된 쇄파고에 가까운 자료로서 강한 비선형 불규칙 파랑의 특성을 지니며, 이 경우에도 유도된 확률밀도함수가 측정된 파고의 막대그래프와 잘 일치하였다. 강한 비선형 불규칙파의 특성을 갖는 파랑의 파고일 경우에도 파고의 1, 2차 모멘트만으로도 파고의 분포를 잘 나타낼 수 있었다. 최대 엔트로피 방법을 이용하여 구해진 파고의 확률분포함수는 해안구조물의 설계파를 결정하는 극치파고분포와 파고의 통계적인 특성을 추정하는데 매우 유용하게 이용될 수 있다.

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부정합된 최대 상관값을 이용한 초기 동기 임계치 결정 기법 (Threshold detection technique for code acquisition using maximum mismatched correlation value)

  • 유영환;김종헌;강성철;강창언
    • 한국통신학회논문지
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    • 제21권7호
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    • pp.1803-1813
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    • 1996
  • This paper describes an automatic threshold decision using a maximum mismatched correlation value in the direct sequence spread spectrum (DS-SS) system. For received PN codes with different single-to-noise ratio (SNR), this scheme is able to detect a desired threshold value in the search mode, i.e. a maximum mismstched correlation value, so that value is utilized as a threshold for the verification mode. Performance of the proposed scheme in both the additive white gaussian noise (AWGN) and frequency-selective Rayleigh fading channels is analyzed through the Monte Carlo simulation. And hardware implementation of this scheme using a DSP processor is demonstrated. The proposed acquisition shceme is compared to the conventional constant threshold (CT) scheme, and significant improvement of performance is shown. Analysis of system performance in the verification mode is presented, and key quantities such as the false alarm probability and the detection probability are derived in a AWGN channel.

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Exact Outage Probability Analysis of Proactive Relay Selection in Cognitive Radio Networks with MRC Receivers

  • Ho-Van, Khuong
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.288-298
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    • 2016
  • Proactive relay selection in cognitive radio networks has recently received considerable attention. However, its outage probability analysis is limited to partially-identical fading distributions, uncorrelation among received signal-to-noise ratios (SNRs), and no direct channel. This paper completes this literature deficiency by generalizing the existing analysis for non-identical fading distributions, correlation among received SNRs, and with direct channel. Numerous results demonstrate that relay selection with a direct channel achieves a higher diversity order and superior performance than that without a direct channel at virtually no cost of power and bandwidth. Further, proactive relay selection suffers an error floor at either a large maximum transmit power or large maximum interference power; however, the error floor level can be significantly remedied with an increase in the number of relays.

효율적 환경탐사를 위한 이동로봇 경로 계획기 (Mobile Robot Path Planner for Environment Exploration)

  • 배정연;이수용;이범희
    • 로봇학회논문지
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.9-16
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    • 2006
  • The Mobile robots are increasingly being used to perform tasks in unknown environments. The potential of robots to undertake such tasks lies in their ability to intelligently and efficiently search in an environment. An algorithm has been developed for robots which explore the environment to measure the physical properties (dust in this paper). While the robot is moving, it measures the amount of dust and registers the value in the corresponding grid cell. The robot moves from local maximum to local minimum, then to another local maximum, and repeats. To reach the local maximum or minimum, simple gradient following is used. Robust estimation of the gradient using perturbation/correlation, which is very effective when analytical solution is not available, is described. By introducing the probability of each grid cell, and considering the probability distribution, the robot doesn't have to visit all the grid cells in the environment still providing fast and efficient sensing. The extended algorithm to coordinate multiple robots is presented with simulation results.

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Wakeby Distribution and the Maximum Likelihood Estimation Algorithm in Which Probability Density Function Is Not Explicitly Expressed

  • Park Jeong-Soo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.443-451
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    • 2005
  • The studied in this paper is a new algorithm for searching the maximum likelihood estimate(MLE) in which probability density function is not explicitly expressed. Newton-Raphson's root-finding routine and a nonlinear numerical optimization algorithm with constraint (so-called feasible sequential quadratic programming) are used. This algorithm is applied to the Wakeby distribution which is importantly used in hydrology and water resource research for analysis of extreme rainfall. The performance comparison between maximum likelihood estimates and method of L-moment estimates (L-ME) is studied by Monte-carlo simulation. The recommended methods are L-ME for up to 300 observations and MLE for over the sample size, respectively. Methods for speeding up the algorithm and for computing variances of estimates are discussed.

Secure Performance Analysis Based on Maximum Capacity

  • Zheng, Xiuping;Li, Meiling;Yang, Xiaoxia
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • 제16권6호
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    • pp.1261-1270
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    • 2020
  • The physical security layer of industrial wireless sensor networks in the event of an eavesdropping attack has been investigated in this paper. An optimal sensor selection scheme based on the maximum channel capacity is proposed for transmission environments that experience Nakagami fading. Comparing the intercept probabilities of the traditional round robin (TRR) and optimal sensor selection schemes, the system secure performance is analyzed. Simulation results show that the change in the number of sensors and the eavesdropping ratio affect the convergence rate of the intercept probability. Additionally, the proposed optimal selection scheme has a faster convergence rate compared to the TRR scheduling scheme for the same eavesdropping ratio and number of sensors. This observation is also valid when the Nakagami channel is simplified to a Rayleigh channel.

최대강우 패턴 변화를 고려한 인천지방 확률강우강도식의 제안 (Suggestion of Probable Rainfall Intensity Formula Considering the Pattern Change of Maximum Rainfall at Incheon City)

  • 한만신;최계운;정연중;안경수
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제39권6호
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    • pp.521-531
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    • 2006
  • 본 논문은 최근 발생한 집중호우와 이상강우를 고려하며 인천지역에서 사용중인 확률강우강도식에 대한 새로운 확률강우강도식을 제안하였으며, 기상청 자료를 이용하여 지속시간 10분$\sim$24시간까지의 임의시간 연최대강우량을 산정하였다. 강우지속기간별 확률강우량을 추정하기 위하여 개의 확률분포형을 적용하였으며 Chi-square 검정방법, Kolmogorov-Smirnov 검정방법, framer Von Mises 검정방법으로 적합도 검정과 함께 최근 강우에 대한 경향을 분석하고 실제 발생한 강우 중에서 최대 발생 강우량을 고려하여 적정분포인 GEV 분포를 확률 분포형으로 선정하였다. 확률강우강도식은 최소자승법을 사용하여 Talbot형, Sherman형, Japanese형, 통합형 I 및 II 형태로 산정하였고, 지역내 하수도 및 하천의 지속시간을 감안하여 확률강우강도식을 결정하였다. 또한 정확성을 고려하여 통합형 I을 선택하였고 지속시간에 따른 강우강도식의 확률강우와 관측치를 감안한 강도식을 인천지역의 강우강도식으로 제안하였다.

자망 선택성에서 다항식을 사용한 경우의 Kitahara에 의한 최소제곱법과 최우법의 차이 (The difference of selectivity of gill net between least square method with polynomials in Kitahara's and maximum likelihood analysis)

  • 박해훈;;배봉성;안희춘;황선재
    • 수산해양기술연구
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    • 제46권3호
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    • pp.223-231
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    • 2010
  • This paper showed the difference between the selectivity of gill net by least square method with polynomials in Kitahara's and that by maximum likelihood analysis for Japanese sandfish and Korean flounder. Catch experiments for Japanese sandfish using commercial vessels off the eastern coast of Korea were conducted with six different mesh sizes between October and December 2007 and those for Korean flounder with five different mesh sizes between 2008 and 2009. The mesh size of 50% probability of catch corresponding to biological maturity length of fish was not different between that by least square method and that by maximum likelihood analysis for Japanese sandfish, however, a little different for Korean flounder, that is, those mesh sizes of 50% probability of catch for biological maturity length of Korean flounder were 10.6cm and 10.1cm by least square method and maximum likelihood analysis, respectively.

Probability-based prediction of residual displacement for SDOF using nonlinear static analysis

  • Feng, Zhibin;Gong, Jinxin
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제22권6호
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    • pp.571-584
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    • 2022
  • The residual displacement ratio (RDRs) response spectra have been generally used as an important means to evaluate the post-earthquake repairability, and the ratios of residual to maximum inelastic displacement are considered to be more appropriate for development of the spectra. This methodology, however, assumes that the expected residual displacement can be computed as the product of the RDRs and maximum inelastic displacement, without considering the correlation between these two variables, which inevitably introduces potential systematic error. For providing an adequately accurate estimate of residual displacement, while accounting for the collapse resistance performance prior to the repairability evaluation, a probability-based procedure to estimate the residual displacement demands using the nonlinear static analysis (NSA) is developed for single-degree-of-freedom (SDOF) systems. To this end, the energy-based equivalent damping ratio used for NSA is revised to obtain the maximum displacement coincident with the nonlinear time history analysis (NTHA) results in the mean sense. Then, the possible systematic error resulted from RDRs spectra methodology is examined based on the NTHA results of SDOF systems. Finally, the statistical relation between the residual displacement and the NSA-based maximum displacement is established. The results indicate that the energy-based equivalent damping ratio will underestimate the damping for short period ranges, and overestimate the damping for longer period ranges. The RDRs spectra methodology generally leads to the results being non-conservative, depending on post-yield stiffness. The proposed approach emphasizes that the repairability evaluation should be based on the premise of no collapse, which matches with the current performance-based seismic assessment procedure.