• Title/Summary/Keyword: Markov Chain Approach

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Estimation of Defect Clustering Parameter Using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (Markov Chain Monte Carlo를 이용한 반도체 결함 클러스터링 파라미터의 추정)

  • Ha, Chung-Hun;Chang, Jun-Hyun;Kim, Joon-Hyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.99-109
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    • 2009
  • Negative binomial yield model for semiconductor manufacturing consists of two parameters which are the average number of defects per die and the clustering parameter. Estimating the clustering parameter is quite complex because the parameter has not clear closed form. In this paper, a Bayesian approach using Markov Chain Monte Carlo is proposed to estimate the clustering parameter. To find an appropriate estimation method for the clustering parameter, two typical estimators, the method of moments estimator and the maximum likelihood estimator, and the proposed Bayesian estimator are compared with respect to the mean absolute deviation between the real yield and the estimated yield. Experimental results show that both the proposed Bayesian estimator and the maximum likelihood estimator have excellent performance and the choice of method depends on the purpose of use.

다수의 동일한 입력원을 갖는 ATM Multiplexer의 정확한 셀 손실 확률 분석

  • Choi, Woo-Yong;Jun, Chi-Hyuck
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 1995.04a
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    • pp.435-444
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    • 1995
  • We propose a new approach to the calculation of the exact cells loss probability in a shared buffer ATM multiplexer, which is loaded with homogeneous discrete-time ON-OFF sources. Renewal cycles are identified in regard to the state of input sources and the buffer state on each renewal circle is modelled as a K(shared buffer size)-state Markov chain. We also analyze the behavior of queue build-up at the shared buffer whose distribution together with the steady-state probabilities of the Markov chain leads to the exact cell loss probability. Our approach to obtaining the exact cell loss probability seems to be more efficient than most of other existing ones since our underlying Markov chain has less number of states.

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A Study on the Fatigue Reliability of Structures by Markov Chain Model (Markov Chain Model을 이용한 구조물의 피로 신뢰성 해석에 관한 연구)

  • Y.S. Yang;J.H. Yoon
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.228-240
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    • 1991
  • Many experimental data of fatigue crack propagation show that the fatigue crack propagation process is stochastic. Therefore, the study on the crack propagation must be based on the probabilistic approach. In the present paper, fatigue crack propagation process is assumed to be a discrete Markov process and the method is developed, which can evaluate the reliability of the structural component by using Markov chain model(Unit step B-model) suggested by Bogdanoff. In this method, leak failure, plastic collapse and brittle fracture of the critical component are taken as failure modes, and the effects of initial crack distribution, periodic and non-periodic inspection on the probability of failure are considered. In this method, an equivalent load value for random loading such as wave load is used to facilitate the analysis. Finally some calculations are carried out in order to show the usefulness and the applicability of this method. And then some remarks on this method are mentioned.

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Markov Model-Driven in Real-time Faulty Node Detection for Naval Distributed Control Networked Systems (마코브 연산 기반의 함정 분산 제어망을 위한 실시간 고장 노드 탐지 기법 연구)

  • Noh, Dong-Hee;Kim, Dong-Seong
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.20 no.11
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    • pp.1131-1135
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    • 2014
  • This paper proposes the enhanced faulty node detection scheme with hybrid algorithm using Markov-chain model on BCH (Bose-Chaudhuri-Hocquenghem) code in naval distributed control networked systems. The probabilistic model-driven approach, on Markov-chain model, in this paper uses the faulty weighting interval factors, which are based on the BCH code. In this scheme, the master node examines each slave-nodes continuously using three defined states : Good, Warning, Bad-state. These states change using the probabilistic calculation method. This method can improve the performance of detecting the faulty state node more efficiently. Simulation results show that the proposed method can improve the accuracy in faulty node detection scheme for real-time naval distributed control networked systems.

A Bayesian Wavelet Threshold Approach for Image Denoising

  • Ahn, Yun-Kee;Park, Il-Su;Rhee, Sung-Suk
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.109-115
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    • 2001
  • Wavelet coefficients are known to have decorrelating properties, since wavelet is orthonormal transformation. but empirically, those wavelet coefficients of images, like edges, are not statistically independent. Jansen and Bultheel(1999) developed the empirical Bayes approach to improve the classical threshold algorithm using local characterization in Markov random field. They consider the clustering of significant wavelet coefficients with uniform distribution. In this paper, we developed wavelet thresholding algorithm using Laplacian distribution which is more realistic model.

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A Bayesian Approach to Assessing Population Bioequivalence in a 2 ${\times}$ 2 Crossover Design

  • Oh, Hyun-Sook;Ko, Seoung-Gon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2002.05a
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    • pp.67-72
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    • 2002
  • A Bayesian testing procedure is proposed for assessment of bioequivalence in both mean and variance which ensures population bioequivalence under normality assumption. We derive the joint posterior distribution of the means and variances in a standard 2 ${\times}$ 2 crossover experimental design and propose a Bayesian testing procedure for bioequivalence based on a Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. The proposed method is applied to a real data set.

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Reliability Estimation of a Two Mixture Exponential Model Using Gibbs sampler

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Kim, Pyong-Koo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Quality Management Conference
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    • 1998.11a
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    • pp.225-232
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    • 1998
  • A Markov Chain Monte Carlo method with data augmentation is developed to compute the features of the posterior distribution. This data augmentation approach facilitates the specification of the transitional measure in the Markov Chain. Bayesian analysis of the mixture exponential model discusses using the Gibbs sampler. Parameter and reliability estimators are obtained. A numerical study is provided.

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A Bayesian Approach for Accelerated Failure Time Model with Skewed Normal Error

  • Kim, Chansoo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.268-275
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    • 2003
  • We consider the Bayesian accelerated failure time model. The error distribution is assigned a skewed normal distribution which is including normal distribution. For noninformative priors of regression coefficients, we show the propriety of posterior distribution. A Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm(i.e., Gibbs Sampler) is used to obtain a predictive distribution for a future observation and Bayes estimates of regression coefficients.

Hierarchical Bayes Analysis of Smoking and Lung Cancer Data

  • Oh, Man-Suk;Park, Hyun-Jin
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.115-128
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    • 2002
  • Hierarchical models are widely used for inference on correlated parameters as a compromise between underfitting and overfilling problems. In this paper, we take a Bayesian approach to analyzing hierarchical models and suggest a Markov chain Monte Carlo methods to get around computational difficulties in Bayesian analysis of the hierarchical models. We apply the method to a real data on smoking and lung cancer which are collected from cities in China.

Bayesian Analysis for a Functional Regression Model with Truncated Errors in Variables

  • Kim, Hea-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.77-91
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    • 2002
  • This paper considers a functional regression model with truncated errors in explanatory variables. We show that the ordinary least squares (OLS) estimators produce bias in regression parameter estimates under misspecified models with ignored errors in the explanatory variable measurements, and then propose methods for analyzing the functional model. Fully parametric frequentist approaches for analyzing the model are intractable and thus Bayesian methods are pursued using a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling based approach. Necessary theories involved in modeling and computation are provided. Finally, a simulation study is given to illustrate and examine the proposed methods.