• Title/Summary/Keyword: Market economy

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The Short-Term Fear Effects for Taiwan's Equity Market from Bad News Concerning Sino-U.S. Trade Friction

  • YANG, Shu Ya;LIN, Hsiu Hsu;LIU, Ying Sing
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.127-137
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    • 2021
  • Mainland China area has been a long-term, major trade rival and partner of Taiwan, accounting for more than 40% of Taiwan's total annual trade exports, and so Sino-US trade friction is expected to have a significant impact on Taiwan's economy in the future. This study focuses on major bad news of Sino-US trade frictions and how it generates short-term shocks for Taiwan's equity market and fear sentiment. It further explores the mutual interpretation relationship between price changes such as VIX, Taiwan's stock market index, and the VIX ETF to identify which factors have information leadership as leading indicators. The study period covers 750 trading days from 2017/1/3 to 2020/1/31. This study finds that, when a policy news is announced, the stock market index falls significantly, the change in the trading price (net value) of the VIX ETF rises significantly, and the overprice rate significantly drops, but VIX does not, showing that fear sentiment exists in the Taiwan's market. The net value of the VIX ETF shows an information advantage as a leading indicator. This study suggests that, when the world's two largest economies clash over trade, the impact on Taiwan's equity market is inevitable, and that short-term fear effects will arise.

Nominal Wage Rigidity and Employment Volatility (명목임금의 경직성과 고용변동성)

  • Hwang, Sanghyun;Lee, Jin-Young
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.137-151
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    • 2019
  • Using Korean Labor and Income Panel Study data, this paper estimates nominal wage rigidity in Korea by industry from 2005 to 2017 and evaluates the level of inefficiency of Korean labor market. And, after estimating employment volatility by industry using the Labor Force Survey at Establishments data for Korea, we combine the nominal wage rigidity and the employment volatility estimates and analyze the effect of nominal wage rigidity on employment volatility in Korea from 2011 to 2017. If the level of wage rigidity is high, it may be hard for the labor market to be in the equilibrium, and therefore, the market may have inefficiency. We find that the inefficiency of the labor market in Korea have increased from 2005 to 2017 and the industry of accommodation and food service activities has the highest level of inefficiency over the period. We also find that one-percent-point increase in wage rigidity increases employment volatility by 2.3-2.9 percent and the positive effect is bigger for workers with part-time and temporary jobs. The result implies that firms may adjust their labor costs by changing the number of casual workers, rather than permanent workers, when the labor market suffers from a high level of wage rigidity.

A comparative analysis on market and technology in water industry (물산업 시장과 기술 비교분석)

  • Park, Imsu
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.437-454
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    • 2021
  • This study investgates Korean water technology through the water market perspective and analyses its competitiveness. Based on the water technology classification, water technology competitiveness is analysed through the technological influence index and market dominance index which are based on the extracted water technology patents from the US, Europe, Korea, and Japan for the last decade. As a result, the Korean water technology patents were lack in influence and competitiveness in global market considering the large volume of patents. There are two most tech-influential industries in Korea; manufacturing industry consisting pipes, sterilization, disinfection, and advanced water purification equipment, and construction industry including seawater desalination and water resource development. Due to the domestic usage of the patents, the Korean water technology patents scored low in global market PFS(Patent Family Size) index compared to their CPP(Cites Per Patent) index. The study is meaningful in a way that the analysis on Korean water technology competitiveness using water technology classification system and patent analysis was conducted based on the perspective of the global water market.

Analyzing Asset Growth Factors in the Korean Stock Market: A Representativeness Heuristics Approach (국내 주식시장에서 대표성 어림짐작을 이용한 자산성장요인의 수익률 특성에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong-Hwan Lee;Sam-Ho Son;Su-Kyu Park
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.431-448
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    • 2024
  • Purpose - This study aims to explore the return characteristics of asset growth factors in the Korean stock marekt by employing the representativeness heuristic-a behavioral bias originally identified by Kahneman and Tversky(1972). Design/methodology/approach - Our empirical analysis, based on Korean stock market data from 2004 to 2023, compared the conditional probability of high asset growth companies achieving elevated returns to the overall probability. This assessment helps gauge the representativeness of potential 'future Google' companies. Additionally, we use regression models to explore investor behavior and market anomalies in the stock returns. Findings - The findings suggest that when dividing the sample period into phases with high and low representativeness measures, biases significantly impact asset growth factors. Specifically, during high representativeness preiods, stock price reversals were absent among high asset growth companies. Conversely, during low representativeness periods, stock price drifts become evident. Research implications or Originality - This research contributes to the field of behavioral finance by providing empirical evidence of the impact of cognitive biases on asset growth and stock returns in an emerging market like Korea. It highlights the need for investors and policymakers to consider psychological factors when analyzing market behaviors, potentially leading to more informed investment strategies and regulatory frameworks.

Key Factors in the Growth of Security Market and the future of Korean Security Industry (시큐리티 산업의 성장요인과 국내 시장전망)

  • Lee, Hyun-Hee
    • Korean Security Journal
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    • no.13
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    • pp.383-402
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    • 2007
  • World security market has continuously been growing since the 2000s. The growth rate seems to reach up to 7-8% annually. What is more, Korea is expected to be one of the most rapidly developing markets, Based of this view, this research investigates the principal drivers to have affected on the expansion of Korean security market over the past 20 years. In addition to that, this study also examines the influence of recent changes in the world economy and globalization, socio-demographic change, development of information technology on the future security market. The data reviewed in this study are official crime rates, socio-economic indicators, statistics from the National Police Agency and the business reports of a leading private security company. This study shows that several factors such as rising crime rates, lack of police capacities, national economic growth and rising household income have played important roles in development of Korean market. It is also expected to keep those positive affects on the future market. On the other side, in recent years, the security market seems to be increasingly affected by new social economic changes. Those are impact of last aging society, rapid increase of individual household and women's participation in labor market. These factors seem to increase personal and household needs for security service. World economy, globalization process and development of information technology are also deemed to give rise to social demands for surveillance, monitoring service and security in cyber space.

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A New Phase of China's Development Against the Background of "Trade War" with the US: View from Russia (Вступление Китая в новую фазу развития на фоне "торговой войны" с США: взгляд из России)

  • Lukonin, Sergey;Ignatev, Sergei
    • Analyses & Alternatives
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.111-141
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    • 2018
  • By the middle of 2018 there are signs of China's entry into a new period of development, characterized by a change in the old model: "market reforms-inner-party democratization - moderate foreign policy" to another: "market reforms - Xi Jinping personality cult - offensive foreign policy." This model contains the risks of arising of the contradiction between economic freedom and political-ideological rigidity which can lead to destabilization of the political life. However, in the current positive economic dynamics, these risks may come out, rather, in the medium and long term. Today, the political situation in China remains stable - despite growing dissatisfaction in scientific expert and educational circles due to increased control over the intellectual sphere by the authorities. The need for a new redistribution of power between central and provincial authorities could potentially disrupt political stability in the medium term, but, at the moment, is not a critical negative factor. The economic situation is positive-stable. Forecasts indicate a possible increase in China's GDP in 2018 at 6.5%. At the same time, there are negative expectations in connection with the Sino-US and potentially Sino-European "trade war". In the Chinese foreign policy, as a response to Western pressure, China increasingly uses the Russian direction of its diplomacy in the expanded version of Russia + SCO. The nuance here is seen in China's adjusted approach to the SCO: first of all, not as a mechanism for cooperation with Russia, but as an organization that allows using Russia's potential for pressure on the US in the Sino-US strategic rivalry. In the second half of 2018, the Chinese economy will continue to develop steadily, albeit with unresolved traditional problems (debts of provinces and state-owned enterprises, ineffective state sector, risks on the financial and real estate market). In politics, discontent with the cult of Xi will accumulate, but without real threats to its power. Weakening in economic opposition between China and the United States is possible due to Beijing's search for compromises on tariffs, intellectual property, trade deficit. To find such trade-offs, Xi will use the so-called. "Personal diplomacy" of direct contacts with Trump.

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Oil Price Fluctuations and Stock Market Movements: An Application in Oman

  • Echchabi, Abdelghani;Azouzi, Dhekra
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.19-23
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    • 2017
  • It is undisputable that crude oil and its price fluctuations are major components that affect most of the countries' economies. Recent studies have demonstrated that beside the impact that crude oil price fluctuations have on common macroeconomic indicators like gross domestic product (GDP), inflation rates, exchange rates, unemployment rate, etc., it also has a strong influence on stock markets and their performance. This relationship has been examined in a number of settings, but it is yet to be unraveled in the Omani context. Accordingly, the main purpose of this study is to examine the possible effect of the oil price fluctuations on stock price movements. The study applies Toda and Yamamoto's (1995) Granger non-causality test on the daily Oman stock index (Muscat Securities Market Index) and oil prices between the period of 2 January 2003 and 13 March 2016. The results indicated that the oil price fluctuations have a significant impact on stock index movements. However, the stock price movements do not have a significant impact on oil prices. These findings have significant implications not only for the Omani economy but also for the economy of similar countries, particularly in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries. The latter should carefully consider their policies and strategies regarding crude oil production and the generated income allocation as it might potentially affect the financial markets performance in these countries.

An Suggestion of the Software Industry Structure Improvement in Korea : Focusing on the IT Service and Solution Provider Firms (국내 소프트웨어 산업 구조의 개선에 대한 제안 : IT서비스 및 솔루션 기업을 중심으로)

  • Ahn, Yeon S.;Moon, Song Chul
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.165-176
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    • 2014
  • This paper was tried to show the improvement model for software industry structure in Korea regarding to have the global level of competence in Korean software firms. To suggest the improvement model for software industry structure, the detailed status about software industry which as in the supply and demand perspectives and comparativeness dimension were analysed. Also to this model the special survey results from the 35 professionalists in the software industry were included. This improvement model suggests the big software firms have to consider the economy of the scale, and to enter global IT market, the other SMEs have to pursuit themselves as a specified technology firms. So it is good for the oversea project collaboration with the solution provider firms and IT service firms. And it is desirable to make a the economy of scale regarding as the solution venture startup, M&A, networking the software firms as supply chain. Also the development of new business model for new market and firms with the high-tech business competency will be required.

A Study on the Economic Status and Trade Enhancement of Korea and Mongolia (한국·몽고 경제분야 무역촉진에 대한 상관연구)

  • Bae, Sang-Mok;Park, Yoo-Soon
    • Industry Promotion Research
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.149-155
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    • 2020
  • In this study, we aim to build a consensus that the Korea-Mongolian economic cooperation and trade growth will bring economic benefits to both countries and, in addition, the FTA between the two countries will bring economic benefits to the overall economy through the economic status and mutual trade status of Korea and Mongolia. Currently, countries around the world are accelerating their market battle with fierce competition, pushing for the opening of their markets through free trade agreements of multilateralism and regionalism centered on the WTO as a rapid change in the global economic environment. Amid such an international economic environment, Korea is developing diverse economic cooperation and FTA strategies, and under the principle that it is based on comprehensive and national consensus, it will sign simultaneous FTAs with major countries, but will diversify its trade partners' efforts to increase trade volume through market advantage, secure energy resources, and so on to secure more resources in overseas markets.

IT Cooperation between R.O.Korea and P.R.China

  • Liu, Shin-Il
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Industrial Systems Conference
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    • 2007.02a
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    • pp.7-10
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    • 2007
  • Since 2003, the biggest trade partner of South Korea has not been America but China. China appears to be a strong competitor of South Korea in every field of international market and even in IT industry, which has been one of the most competitive field of Korean Economy. IT Industry is now becoming a driving locomotive of economy in South Korea and China. It is reported that the IT gap between South Korea and China is shorten to be 1.7 years in 2006, from 2.6 years in 2003 and will be within one year in 2010. China has been aware of the urgent need of developing electronic and information industry in order to improve its productivity. In the results of the efforts to develop its IT industry, China has achieved average 25% yearly growth rate of IT manufacturing industry since 1991. Since 2004, South Korea has pursued IT 839 strategy. How South Korea and China can sustain the continuous development of IT industry. South Korea IT is expected to utilize China's through the mutual cooperation, which results in mutual benefit. To achieve the mutually benefited cooperation and specially to result in Small & Medium sized Korean companies' cooperation with China's, China is expected to improve the market system and create an environment of admitting intellectual property.

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