• 제목/요약/키워드: Market based

검색결과 7,903건 처리시간 0.034초

주식시장국면 예측과 투자전략에 대한 연구 (A Study on Stock Market Cycle and Investment Strategies)

  • 손경우;정지영
    • 아태비즈니스연구
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.45-59
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    • 2022
  • Purpose - This study investigates the performance of investment strategies incorporating estimated stock market cycle based on a lead-lag relationship between business cycle and stock market cycle, thereby deriving empirical implications on risk management. Design/methodology/approach - The data period ranges from June 1953 to September 2022 and de-trended short rate, term spread, credit spread, stock market volatility are considered as major input variables to estimate business cycle and stock market cycle by applying probit model. Based on the estimated stock market cycle, two types of strategies are constructed and their performance relative to the benchmark is empirically examined. Findings Two types of strategies based on stock market cycle are considered: The first strategy is to long(short) on stocks when stock market stage is expected to be an expansion(a recession), and the second one is to long on stocks(bonds) when expecting an expansion(a recession). The empirical results show that the strategies based on stock market cycle outperforms a simple buy and hold strategy in both in-sample and out-of-sample investigation. Also the out-of-sample evidence suggests that the second strategy which is in line with asset allocation is more profitable than the first one. Research implications or Originality The strategies considered in this study are based on the estimated stock market cycle which only depends on a few easily available financial variables, thereby making easier to establish such a strategy. It implies that investors enhance investment performance by constructing a relatively simple trading strategies if they set their position on stocks or choose which asset class to buy conditioning on stock market cycle.

전력시장 환경하에 입찰기반의 직접부하제어 운영방안 (Bid-based Direct Load Control Framework Under Electricity Markets)

  • 이호철;송성환;윤용태
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제58권3호
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    • pp.455-461
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    • 2009
  • This paper proposes Direct Load Control(DLC) operation scheme using a bidding system and the methodology to value proper quantity decided by the DLC program, which is a kind of resources for stabilization of electricity market price during peak times by managing consumer electricity demand. Since DLC program in Korea is based on the contract with the customers participating in this program, it is difficult to anticipate voluntary participation. That is, incentive for participants in DLC program is insufficient. To cope with this point, it is necessary to develop a new market mechanism and market compatible operation scheme for DLC programs. DLC market mechanism is deemed to be equipped with iterative bidding system, independent operation from energy market, and interactive with bidding information on energy market. With this market mechanism, it is important to find the optimal operation point of DLC allowing for the factors of stabilizing the electricity market price and compensating DLC implementation. This paper focuses on the mathematical approaches for the bid-based DLC operation scheme and examines several scenarios for the following technical justifications: 1) stabilization of electricity market price during peak times, 2) elasticity of demand.

Agent-Based Modeling for Studying the Impact of Capacity Mechanisms on Generation Expansion in Liberalized Electricity Market

  • Dahlan, N.Y.
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제10권4호
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    • pp.1460-1470
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    • 2015
  • This paper presents an approach to solve the long-term generation expansion planning problem of the restructured electricity industry using an agent-based environment. The proposed model simulates the generation investment decisions taken by a particular agent (i.e. a generating company) in a market environment taking into account its competitors’ strategic investment. The investment decision of a particular company is modeled taking into account that such company has imperfect foresight on the future system development hence electricity prices. The delay in the construction of new plants is also explicitly modeled, in order to compute accurately the yearly revenues of each agent. On top of a conventional energy market, several capacity incentive mechanisms including capacity payment and capacity market are simulated, so as to assess their impact on the investment promotion for generation expansion. Results provide insight on the investment cycles as well as dynamic system behavior of long-term generation expansion planning in a competitive electricity industry.

시장접근법 기반의 기술가치평가를 위한 개념적 모형에 관한 연구 (A Study on a Conceptual Model for Technology Valuation Based on Market Approach)

  • 임성묵;김상국;박현우
    • 기술혁신학회지
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.204-231
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구에서는 시장접근법 기반의 기술가치평가를 위한 원리적인 개념 모형을 제안한다. 하나의 기술이 기술성과 사업성을 기초로 기술가치를 부여받고, 다시 그 기술가치가 시장가치로 전이되는 개념모형을 제시하고 그 논리적인 타당성을 논의한다. 기술대가 지불방식의 두 가지 형태인 정액기술료 및 경상기술료 방식 각각에 대해, 기술-기술가치-시장가치 전이모형을 구성하는 구체적인 요인들을 식별하고 측정방식을 분석함으로써 구체화된 시장접근법 기반 기술가치평가 개념 모형을 개발한다. 더불어 본 연구에서 제안하는 개념 모형을 이용하여 기술가치평가의 세 가지 접근법인 비용-소득-시장접근법간의 관계를 설명할 수 있음을 보인다.

The Roles of Market-Based Learning and Customer Orientation in Shaping Effective Selling Behavior and Efforts

  • Park, Jeong Eun;Kim, Seongjin;Lee, Sungho
    • Asia Marketing Journal
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.37-51
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    • 2009
  • Although previous studies have made significant progress in adaptive selling behavior (ASB), few studies have considered salesperson's customer orientation (CO) and learning behavior as determinants of effective sales management (ASB and relationship-making efforts), despite the discussion of important roles of these constructs. The authors test not only the relationships of salesperson's CO and market-based learning behavior to ASB and relationship-making efforts, but also the effects of ASB on relationship-making efforts and performance. The results of the study, which is done with samples of salespeople from Korean companies, indicate that salesperson's CO and market-based learning behavior are identified as significant determinants of ASB. Moreover, both salesperson's ASB and relationship-making efforts have significant effects on sales performance. On the other hand, as per salesperson's relationship-making efforts, salesperson's CO has a positive effect, but salesperson's market-based learning behavior and ASB do not influence his or her relationship-making efforts, which suggest a provocative possibility of conceptualization regarding the relationship between ASB and relationship management efforts.

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회계기준 및 시장기준 성과피드백이 기술탐색에 미치는 영향 (The Effects of Accounting-Based Performance Feedback and Market-Based Performance Feedback on Technological Search)

  • 박성희;박경민
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제36권1호
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    • pp.57-68
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    • 2011
  • This paper examines how multiple performance feedbacks influence firm's technological search, using two types of indicators : accounting-based performance and market-based performance. Also we investigate how CEO's attention shift depends on firm specific factors such as firm size and outsider ownership. For empirical analysis, we utilized financial data on 675 manufacturing firms in Korea during the period between 1998 and 2009. The results show that technological search based on accounting-based performance feedback is moderated by focal firm's size. However, as outsider ownership increases, technological search increases in response to market-based performance feedback.

스타트업 데이터 기반의 시장융합 다이내믹스 분석: 한국을 중심으로 (A Study on Market Convergence Dynamics Based on Startup Data: Focusing on Korea)

  • 송지훈
    • 한국산업융합학회 논문집
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    • 제25권4_2호
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    • pp.627-636
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    • 2022
  • Market convergence plays an increasingly important role in sustaining competitiveness and providing impetus for the new product development. However, existing research focused mostly on the analysis of convergence at technology level. This study examines the phenomenon of market convergence based on the start-up data. Similar to the analysis of technology convergence, this study adopts the concept of co-classification analysis for constructing the co-occurrence matrix and the corresponding network. In this context, network centrality measures were calculated to assess the influence of individual market segments. Based on three metrics "growth", "persistence" and "novelty", the market convergence dynamics were explored and promising interactions between two distinct market segments were highlighted. The findings suggest that both segments "AI" and "blockchain" are acting as a driver that fosters market convergence in the startup landscape. The analysis results can provide valuable information for the R&D managers and policy makers in the design of targeted policies and programs, which can promote market convergence and interdisciplinary knowledge transfer.

Market-Based Transmission Expansion Planning Under Uncertainty in Bids by Fuzzy Assessment

  • Kamyab, Gholam-Reza;Fotuhi-Firuzabad, Mahmood;Rashidinejad, Masoud
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제7권4호
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    • pp.468-479
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, by a simple example it is shown that existing market-based criteria alone cannot completely and correctly evaluate the transmission network expansion from market view. However criteria congestion cost (CC) and social welfare (SW) together are able to correctly evaluate transmission network from market view and so they are adopted for the market-based transmission expansion planning. To simply indicate the limits of CC and SW social welfare percentage (SWP) and congestion cost percentage (CCP) are defined. To consider uncertainty in bids of market producers and consumers, and also indeterminacy in the acceptable boundaries of the SWP and CCP and their priorities, fuzzy assessment approach is used. In this approach, appropriate fuzzy sets and a fuzzy rule base are provided to evaluate the acceptability of an expansion plan. Then, the least-investment cost plan, which is acceptable in all probable scenarios, is searched. The proposed method is applied to an 8-bus system.

라이프스타일 변화에 따른 미용업체원 시장세분화 전략 (Market Segmentation Strategy of Beauty Shop based on Life Style Variable)

  • 안현순;박준
    • 한국패션뷰티학회지
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.20-28
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    • 2005
  • As the size and the diversity of the beauty industry grow, the need for systematic marketing strategy in beauty shop also increases. This study aims at finding 1)how to segment the market of beauty industry based on lifestyle variable and 2)how to set up the corresponding mix strategy on target market. The case of 'B beauty shop' shows that the validity of lifestyle-based segementation model is verified as the shop has posted a drastic financial outcome during last 5 years. In addition, this study implies that the corelation research between lifestyle variables and marketing mix strategy should be included as an important factor in launching a beauty-related business in segmented market.

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Electricity Price Prediction Model Based on Simultaneous Perturbation Stochastic Approximation

  • Ko, Hee-Sang;Lee, Kwang-Y.;Kim, Ho-Chan
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.14-19
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    • 2008
  • The paper presents an intelligent time series model to predict uncertain electricity market price in the deregulated industry environment. Since the price of electricity in a deregulated market is very volatile, it is difficult to estimate an accurate market price using historically observed data. The parameter of an intelligent time series model is obtained based on the simultaneous perturbation stochastic approximation (SPSA). The SPSA is flexible to use in high dimensional systems. Since prediction models have their modeling error, an error compensator is developed as compensation. The SPSA based intelligent model is applied to predict the electricity market price in the Pennsylvania-New Jersey-Maryland (PJM) electricity market.