• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
• /
• 제8권7호
• /
• pp.349-356
• /
• 2021

This study comprehensively investigates whether there is an impact of risk, size, profitability, earnings per share, dividend yield, and book-to-market equity on the stock prices of Jordanian banks listed on the Amman Stock Exchange (ASE) for the period 2006-2018. To mitigate endogeneity concerns and to control for within-bank dynamics, panel data fixed effects estimations are used. This study shows that size (SIZE), profitability (ROA), dividend yield (DY) and book-to-market equity (BE/ME) ratios are statistically significant determinants of stock prices. The risk (RISK) factor measured by volatility of ROA has a positive and significant effect on the stock prices, while earnings per share has minimum influence on the stock prices. The results show that ROA has a significant and positive effect and provides the largest effect among all variables used in this study, while the RISK factor has a positive and significant effect. In contrast, SIZE, DY, and BE/ME have a significant negative effect on stock prices. The paper presented new evidence showing that ROA is a better determinant of stock prices in Jordanian banks, and RISK significantly affects stock prices. The researcher recommends using a factor of profitability represented by ROA which has a significant positive effect on the stock prices in Jordanian banks and applying the ROA variable to other sectors.

• 국제학술발표논문집
• /
• The 4th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management Organized by the University of New South Wales
• /
• pp.534-541
• /
• 2011

Risk evaluation approaches for bidding on international construction projects are typically partitioned into three stages: country selection, project classification, and bid-cost evaluation. However, previous studies are frequently under attack in that they have several crucial limitations: 1) a dearth of studies about country selection risk tailored for the overseas construction market at a corporate level; 2) no consideration of uncertainties for input variable per se; 3) less probabilistic approaches in estimating a range of cost variance; and 4) less inclusion of covariance impacts. This study thus suggests a three-staged risk evaluation model to resolve these inherent problems. In the first stage, a country portfolio model that maximizes the expected construction market growth rate and profit rate while decreasing market uncertainty is formulated using multi-objective genetic analysis. Following this, probabilistic approaches for screening bad projects are suggested through applying various data mining methods such as discriminant logistic regression, neural network, C5.0, and support vector machine. For the last stage, the cost overrun prediction model is simulated for determining a reasonable bid cost, while considering non-parametric distribution, effects of systematic risks, and the firm's specific capability accrued in a given country. Through the three consecutive models, this study verifies that international construction risk can be allocated, reduced, and projected to some degree, thereby contributing to sustaining stable profits and revenues in both the short-term and the long-term perspective.

• Journal of East Asia Management
• /
• 제3권1호
• /
• pp.41-55
• /
• 2022

This study investigates whether foreign investors' behavior is involved in firm-specific investor sentiment. Because the mixed role of foreign investors on investor sentiment formation seems to exist in the Korean stock market, it needs to examine the moderate or incremental effect of foreign investors on the stock price crash risk which is due to investor sentiment. The analysis results using Korea Stock Exchanges - listed firms for the period of 2011-2019 show the increased future stock price crash risk which is attributable to high investor sentiment is mitigated for firms with the high foreign ownership, indicating the moderate effect. This study expands the literature on the foreign investors' behavior in the Korean stock market, by showing foreign investors are not involved in firm-specific investor sentiment, which improves market's efficiency in the Korean stock market. Also, the paper is valuable to the academic and practice field in that the findings shed light on the foreign investors' mitigating role in stock price crashes in the behavioral finance perspective.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
• /
• 제19권4호
• /
• pp.1027-1036
• /
• 2008

Value at Risk(VaR) is a fundamental tool for managing market risks. It measures the worst loss to be expected of a portfolio over a given time horizon under normal market conditions at a given confidence level. Calculation of VaR frequently involves estimating the volatility of return processes and quantiles of standardized returns. In this paper, we introduced and applied the CreditMetrics model to estimate the credit VaR of Korean Property and Casuality insurers.

• 가정과삶의질연구
• /
• 제4권2호
• /
• pp.53-66
• /
• 1986

The prensent study was aimed to explore the reality of the low-income consumers problem by the comparison among five income classes. Specifically, this study was intended to (1) compare the levels of consumer skill, market risk, and consumer problem among the five income classes, (2) examine the relationship between consumer problem and consumer skill, and the relationship between consumer problem and market risk, and (3) search the types of consumer problems that each income class consumers might experience the most often. For this purpose, a survey was conducted using questionaire on 525 home managers in Seoul. The deta were analyzed by ANOVA and DMR test. The major findings were as follows; First, the consumer skill was the poorest in the low-income consumers. There was curvilinear relationship between consumer skill and income level. Second, the market risk was the highest in the low-income consumers. Market risk had a negative linear relationship with income level. Third, consumer problem was the most serious in the low-income consumers and was the least serious in the middle-income consumers. Fourth, the lower consumer skill and the higher market risk the consumers had, the more consumer problems they tended to experience. Finally, the low-income consumers had relatively more difficulties in door-to-door sale and inferior goods problem than the middle and the high-income consumers. On the other hand, the latter experienced relatively more difficulties in false and misleading advertising, overcharge, unfair bargain, and warrenty-repair-exchange problem than the former. Taken together, the research hypotheses were well supported in this study. It was suggested that the quality and the quantity of the low-income consumers problem were different from those of the middle-and the high-income consumers problem.

• 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
• /
• 제21권11호
• /
• pp.320-332
• /
• 2021

본 연구는 국내 주식시장에서 개별종목의 주가급락위험을 과거 1년간 일별수익률의 VaR(Value-at-Risk) 통계량으로 정의하고, 주가급락위험이 기대수익률에 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 결과는 다음과 같이 요약된다. 첫째, 전체 종목을 전월의 주가급락위험의 크기 순으로 10개의 포트폴리오로 나눈 후, 주가급락위험이 가장 높은 포트폴리오를 매수하고 가장 낮은 포트폴리오를 공매도하여 매월 구성한 무비용 포트폴리오는 월평균 -2.29%의 수익률(주가급락위험 프리미엄)을 나타낸다. 둘째, Fama-MacBeth 횡단면 회귀분석에서 기업규모, 장부가대시장가비율, 시장베타, 유동성, 최대수익률, 고유변동성, 왜도 등의 다양한 기업특성변수를 통제한 후에도 전월의 주가급락위험은 금월 수익률에 대해 유의한 음(-)의 설명력을 갖는다. 셋째, 최근 1개월 이내에 주가급락폭이 큰 종목일수록 다음 달 수익률이 더 낮다. 넷째, 전월 시장수익률의 변동성과 주가급락위험 프리미엄의 크기는 음(-)의 상관관계를 갖는다. 이러한 결과는 주가급락위험에 대해 투자자들이 과소반응하는 경향으로 인해 주가급락위험이 높은 종목일수록 주가가 고평가된다는 행태재무학적 관점에서의 가설을 지지한다.

• 경영과학
• /
• 제30권1호
• /
• pp.167-181
• /
• 2013

We investigate the dynamic asset allocation problem under inflation risk when the wealth of an investor is constrained with minimum requirements. To capture the investor's risk preference, the CRRA utility function is considered and he maximizes his expected utility at predetermined date of the refund by participation in the financial market. The financial market is supposed to consist of three kinds of financial instruments which are a risk free asset, a risky asset, and an index bond. The role of an index bond is managing inflation risk represented by price process. The optimal wealth and the optimal asset allocation are derived explicitly by using the method to get the European call option pricing formula. From the numerical results, it is confirmed that the investments on index bond is high when the investor's wealth level is low. However, as his wealth increases, the investments on index bond decreases and he invests on risky asset more. Furthermore, the minimum wealth constraint induces lower investment on risky asset but the effect of the constraints is reduced as the wealth level increases.

• 산경연구논집
• /
• 제10권9호
• /
• pp.19-24
• /
• 2019

Purpose - In the digital era, technology advancement enables goods and services to be produced more efficiently but also create economy risk in the global economy including Indonesia. Previous studies stated that the risk can be mitigated through export diversification. This study investigates strategy to expand the markets for existing products and explore the potential market. Research design, data, and methodology - The criteria was followed using a review and considerations combination through the Focus Group Discussion (FGD) to determine the priority product in trading house of Indonesia. This study implemented market share to explore those products' markets and compare it to other ASEAN countries. Results - The Indonesian potential products are T-shirts, singlets and other vests of textile materials, knitted or crocheted (excluding cotton); food preparations; medicaments consisting of mixed or unmixed products for therapeutic or prophylactic purposes; soap in the form of flakes, granules, powder, paste or in aqueous solution; and cocoa powder, not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter. The market analysis also showed that Indonesia still had not optimally accessed yet the largest market in the world for each product. Conclusions - The government should focus more on increasing the competitiveness of those products, particularly in those global marketplaces.

• 한국건설관리학회논문집
• /
• 제18권1호
• /
• pp.90-99
• /
• 2017

본 연구는 서울의 상업용 부동산인 오피스 빌딩 및 소매용 부동산 자산을 대상으로 체계적 위험과 자본환원율 간의 관계를 실증분석함으로써 시장의 효율성과 CAPM의 적용여부를 검증하는 것을 목적으로 한다. 이를 위하여 본 연구에서는 투자의 위험을 수반하는 자본자산의 기대수익률 결정이론인 자본자산가격결정모형(CAPM)을 토대로 서울의 3대 오피스 빌딩 시장인 강남권, 여의도 마포권, 도심권 그리고 기타권역과 소매용 부동산의 3대 시장인 강남권, 신촌 마포권, 도심권 그리고 기타 권역에 대하여, 시장포트폴리오인 증권시장선과 권역별 초과자본환원율로 산정된 증권특성선을 비교 및 분석하였으며 그 결과, 오피스 빌딩 시장에서 GBD 권역을 제외한 나머지 권역들(YBD 권역, CBD 권역 그리고 기타 권역), 소매용 부동산 시장에서는 SBD 권역 및 CBD 권역에서 체계적 위험이 증가할수록 분기초과자본환원율이 감소하여 시장이 효율적이지 않음을 알 수 있었다. 이와 함께, 오피스 빌딩 시장의 4개 권역(강남권의 GBD 권역, 마포 여의도권의 YBD 권역, 도심권의 CBD 권역, 그리고 기타 권역)과 소매용 부동산 시장의 4개 권역(강남권의 GBD 권역, 마포 신촌권의 SBD권역, 도심권의 CBD 권역, 그리고 기타 권역) 모두에서 CAPM이 성립하지 않음도 확인할 수 있었다.

• CRM연구
• /
• 제1권1호
• /
• pp.23-48
• /
• 2006

본 연구는 우리나라 전자상거래 업계에서 새로운 업태로 급격하게 성장하고 있는 인터넷 오픈마켓기업이 고객의 신뢰도 확보를 위하여 갖추어야 할 전략적 요소는 무엇인지 파악하고자 실시되었다. 소비자들이 오픈마켓의 명성과 평판을 보고 거래에 참가하지만, 실제 거래는 인지도나 만족도가 낮은 중소규모의 판매자 또는 일부 프로 슈머와 거래해야 된다는 점에서 판매자의 신뢰확보 여부가 오픈마켓 성패의 중요한 요소가 될 것이다. 연구결과, 오픈마켓에 참가하는 소비자가 구매과정에서 경험한 만족도는 7점 척도기준 4.23으로 비교적 낮은 수준이었으며, 거래의 안전성 확보를 위하여 중요하게 인식하는 요인은 (1) 사후적 피해보상의 가능성 (2) 상품품 질 및 브랜드의 진정성 (3) 상품의 신속 정확한 배송 (4) 상품가격 및 품질 등 선택정보 제공 등으로 나타났다. 이러한 요인들과 판매자의 신뢰도와의 관계를 회귀분석한 결과 양자의 관계는 매우 유의한 것으로 나타나 이러한 요인들이 충족될 경우 판매자에 대한 소비자의 신뢰도가 향상될 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 오픈마켓 기업은 소비자 신뢰확보를 위하여 판매자에 대한 소비자의 신뢰 확보를 위하여 지속적인 관계마케팅, 고객관계 관리 전략이 필요한 것으로 판단된다.