• 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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• 제21권1호
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• pp.55-65
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• 2021

본 연구의 목적은 한국 전통공연예술 산업이 무상지원에 의존하는 단일한 수익구조의 한계를 극복하는 데 해외시장진출이 기회요인이 될 수 있는지를 탐색하는 것이다. 이를 위해 먼저 산업가치사슬과 비즈니스모델의 개념을 응용하여 해외시장진출과정을 준비, 추진, 수확, 후속의 4단계로 구분한 분석 틀을 설계하였다. 또한 전통음악분야에서 시장지향적 사고를 갖고 능동적으로 해외시장개척에 나선 사례 3곳을 발굴하여 현 단계 한국 전통공연예술 산업의 해외진출모델을 도식화하였다. 해외시장이 아직은 주요 수익원이 되지는 못하지만 수익 다원화 차원에서 해외진출을 추진하는 전통공연예술종사자라면 본 연구에서 도출한 해외진출모델을 고려해 볼 수 있다. 한편 정부는 사례연구에서 지적되었듯이 전통공연예술 산업의 해외진출을 담당하는 전문기획자와 유통전문가를 양성하는 제도를 정비하고, 해외진출을 위한 일회성 경비지원 일색에서 벗어나 장기적인 정보제공 프로그램을 개발해야 한다.

• 한국경영과학회지
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• 제39권2호
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• pp.83-95
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• 2014

In this paper, we develop a portfolio selection model that can be used to invest in markets with margin requirements such as the foreign exchange market. An investment algorithm to implement the proposed portfolio selection model based on objective historical data is also presented. We further conduct empirical analysis on the performance of a hypothetical investment in the foreign exchange market, using the proposed portfolio selection model and investment algorithm. Using 7 currency pairs that recorded the highest trading volume in the foreign exchange market during the most recent 10 years, we compare the performance of 1) the Dollar Index, 2) a 1/N Portfolio which equally allocates capital to all N assets considered for investment, and 3) a hypothetical investment portfolio selected and managed according to the portfolio selection model and investment algorithm proposed in this paper. Performance is compared in terms of accumulated returns and Sharpe ratios for the 10-year period from January 2003 to December 2012. The results show that the hypothetical investment portfolio outperforms both benchmarks, with superior performance especially during the period following financial crisis. Overall, this paper suggests that a mathematical approach for selecting and managing an optimal investment portfolio based on objective data can achieve outstanding performance in the foreign exchange market.

• Journal of Korea Trade
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• 제23권6호
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• pp.131-144
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• 2019

Purpose - The purpose of this study was to investigate market power of soybeans exported by the United States to Korea. Particularly, this paper considered dichotomous characteristics of genetically modified (GM) soybeans and non-GM soybeans and conducted empirical analysis of these two segregated soybean markets to understand key tenets of market power in international soybean trade. Design/methodology - The difference in market power between GM and non-GM soybeans was analyzed using Residual Demand Elasticity (RDE) and Residual Supply Elasticity (RSE) models over the period of 2008~2018. RDE and RSE models under an imperfect competition condition were used to estimate market margins and determine whether GM and non-GM exporters or importers exercised market power in the destination market. Findings - Empirical results suggested that the U.S. had a market power on both GM and non-GM soybean exports. GM exports had greater market power than non-GM exports (14% vs. 9%). By contrast, Korea showed an inability to grab market margin or exert market power in soybean imports. Both export supply by the U.S. and import demand by Korea were found to be more responsive to price changes of GM soybeans than to prices changes of non-GM soybeans. This might be due to a self-interested, profit-seeking strategy by the exporter and many concerned consumers regarding potential adverse effects of GMOs in the importing country. Originality/value - This paper fills the literature gap by exploiting market power in both GM and non-GM markets with explicit consideration of price correlations between GM and non-GM soybeans in Korea. A number of existing studies have provided evidence for market power broadly embedded in international commodity trade. However, studies focusing on Korean markets are limited. No study has explored the country's soybean trade. Furthermore, the majority of prior studies have almost exclusively focused on the market power from a standpoint of exporting countries without discussing importers' market structure. This paper also sought to understand potentially distinguished patterns of market power between GM and non-GM markets.

• 한국정보시스템학회지:정보시스템연구
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• 제25권2호
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• pp.153-171
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• 2016

Purpose This study suggests the development of forecasting model for local cable TV advertisement. In order to verify the expected effect of the suggestion, using the causal loop map of System Dynamics, the factors affecting the prospects of cable TV commercial market were divided into 5 groups. Then targeting 97 people involved in the cable TV commercial market in Busan, Ulsan, and Gyeongnam, a survey was conducted on their perception of the current status of local advertisement market and future prospect. Design/methodology/approach The analysis of the collected data shows that workers in advertising and advertisers perceive the influence of cable TV as an advertising media to be high, while clearly understanding the problems of cable TV commercial market. Based on this the effects on the prospects of cable TV commercial market were analyzed and a forecasting method called Weighted Moving Average was applied. In order to improve accuracy of the added value of Weighted Moving Average, the 5 factors were divided into qualitative factors and quantitative factors, and using Multi-attribute Decision Making method, all the factors were normalized and weighting factors were deduced. The result of simulating the prospects of cable TV commercial market using Weighted Moving Average, both qualitative and quantitative factors showed downward turn in the market prospect for the following 10 years. Findings The result reflects generally negative perception of advertisement viewers about the prospects of cable TV commercial market. Compared to the previous studies on domestic cable TV commercials that focused on policy suggestions and surveys on perception of current status, this study has its significance in that it used scientific method and simulation for verification.

• 유통과학연구
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• 제14권10호
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• pp.81-91
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• 2016

Purpose - This study proposes a strategic model for the late mover to effectively penetrate an industry that is dominated by a leading company. Thus, this study presents strategic implications for several late movers in overcoming the advantages of the leading company. Research design, data, and methodology - This study begins with a literature review followed by the formation of a strategic model that consists of: Repositioning, Utilization of Competence, Strategic Leadership, and Innovation. Specifically, this research analyzes LG Electronics (LG) as an example and investigates how LG infiltrates and grows in the water purifier market, overcoming the advantages of the powerful leading company. Results - The major steps taken by LG are summarized into four. First, LG studied the market, which had been conventionally treated as a single market. To penetrate the market, LG founded a new, special market segment. Subsequently, LG further segmented the market, executing a marketing strategy for each segment. Second, the unbending will of top managers was a key factor that addressed the challenge persistently. Third, even though LG was the late mover in the water purifier market, it had several technology competences such as compressor, refrigeration cycles, and algorithms. LG had profound knowledge in technology and used it effectively. Fourth, LG created a premium market through three innovative and distinguished factors such as the stainless water tank, sterilization service, and luxury design. Conclusions - This research draws four key findings from the example of the late mover in the water purifier industry: the reestablishment of a strategic position based on environmental change is an effective strategy for the late mover; strategic leadership is an important motive to generate late mover performance; and the late mover can utilize its existing knowledge and resources to overcome the first mover, such as presenting new added value compared to existing products as an effective catch-up strategy. Consequentially, through the study of performance determinants and the market penetration strategy of the late mover, this research has significance in providing basic material for companies trying to penetrate the market.

• 유통과학연구
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• 제17권1호
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• pp.89-94
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• 2019

Purpose - In recent digital information society, the most important factor of to increase the firm value of the distribution company is not the activity to increase the sales through the general advertisement of the unspecified majority by purchasing the finished product, but to grasp the needs of the consumers and to develop a new distribution platform that connects producers and consumers directly through consumer-tailored advertisements centering on e-commerce. Therefore each company in the distribution industry is spending a lot on research and development investment to innovate the distribution technology and distribution system, and the research and development investment expenditures can affect firm value. The purpose of this study is to analyze the impact of research and development investment expenditures in the distribution industry on market value of the firm. Research design, data, and methodology - As a research method, the sample firms are those which are listed on korea stock exchange market from 2011 to 2017 and the research model is Ohlson(1995) model, which is a representative valuation model using accounting information. This study analyzes the effect of distribution company's research and development investment expenditures and advertising expenditures on market value of the firm Results - The results of empirical analysis show that research and development investment expenditures for developing new distribution technology and advertising expenditures for promoting sales in the distribution company are all positively related to the market value of firm. Therefore, in describing market value of the distribution company, it is shown that the research and development investment expenditures and advertising expenditures together with the net asset and net profit are the important accounting information that explains the market value of firm. This result show that investment expenditures on research and development for the innovation of distribution technology of distribution company creates intangible intellectual assets and increases market value of the firm. Conclusions - The result of this study shows that research and development investment expenditures for the new distribution technology as well as the spending for the advertisement in the future is a very important investment expenditures that can increase the market value of the distribution company.

• 지능정보연구
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• 제25권2호
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• pp.123-139
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• 2019

국내 NPL (Non performing loan) 시장은 1998년에 형성되었지만, 본격적으로 활성화 된 시기는 2009년으로 역사가 짧은 시장이다. 이로 인해 NPL 시장에 대한 연구도 아직까지는 활발히 진행되지 않고 있는 상황이다. 본 연구는 NPL 시장의 각 물건 별 기준 수익률 달성 유무를 예측할 수 있는 모델을 제안한다. 모델 구축에 사용되는 종속변수는 물건 별 최종 수익률이 기준 수익률 수치 도달 여부를 나타내는 이항변수를 사용하였고, 독립변수로는 물건의 특성을 나타내는 11개의 변수를 대상으로 one to one t-test와 logistic regression stepwise, decision tree를 수행하여 의미있는 7개의 독립변수를 선별하였다. 그리고 통상적으로 사용되는 기준 수익률 수치(12%)가 의미있는 기준 수치인지 확인하기 위해 수치 값을 조절해가며 종속변수를 산출하여 예측모델을 구축해보았다. 그 결과 12%의 기준 수익률 수치로 산출한 종속변수를 이용하여 구축한 예측모델의 평균 Hit ratio가 64.60%로 가장 우수하다는 결과를 얻었다. 다음으로 선별된 7개의 독립변수들과 12%를 기준으로한 수익률 달성유무 종속변수를 이용하여 판별분석, 로지스틱 회귀분석, 의사결정나무, 인공신경망, 유전자알고리즘 선형 모델의 5가지 방법론을 적용해 예측모델을 구축해보았다. 5가지 방법론으로 도출한 예측 모델 간 Hit ratio를 비교한 결과 인공신경망을 이용하여 구축한 예측모델의 Hit ratio가 67.4%로 가장 우수한 결과를 도출해내었다. 본 연구를 통해 추후 NPL시장 신규 물건 매매에 있어서 7가지의 독립변수들과 인공신경망 예측 모델을 활용하는 것이 효과적임을 증명하였다. 물건의 12% 수익률 달성 여부를 사전에 예측해봄으로써 유동화회사가 투자 의사결정을 하는 데에 도움을 줄 것으로 예상하며, 나아가 NPL 시장의 거래가 적정한 가격 선에서 진행됨으로 인해 유동성이 더욱 높아질 것이라 기대한다.

• 정보학연구
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• 제1권2호
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• pp.25-37
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• 1998

경영전략수립에 있어서 자본비용 평가는 중요한 의미를 갖는다. 이는 자본비용은 기업가치 평가 및 새로운 Project 심사에 매우 중요한 위치를 차지하고 있기 때문이다. 상장기업의 경우 자본비용은 일반적으로 자본자산가 격결정모형(capital asset pricing model : CAPM)에서 주식시장을 이용한 베타($\beta$)를 구함으로서 쉽게 구할 수 있다. 그러나 비상장기업은 주가를 이용할 수 없다. 따라서 비상장기업의 경우 주가에 가장큰 영향을 미치는 회계정보가 주가를 대신하여 자본비용 계산시 유용한 베타를 구할 수 있는지에 대한 많은 연구가 계속하여 이루어지고 있다. 이러한 사실에 비추어 본 연구는 재무정보와 시장의 체계적 위험(또는 시장베타)과 어떤 관련성이 있는가를 분석하는데 초점을 두고 있으며 특히 순수접근기법(Uure-play technique)과 회계정보에 의한 기본적접근방법(fundamental approach)을 이용하여 베타가 어떻게 추정되는지를 분석했다. 그리고 캐나다 자본시장에서 재무정보와 주가의 상호관련성을 실증 분석한 Patterson의 베타예측모형을 추가적으로 검토했다. 한편 향후 이 논문은 Patterson의 베타예측모델을 가지고 우리 나라에 적용 재무정보와 체계적위험간의 관계를 실증분석하기 위한 선행연구라는 점을 밝히고 싶다.

• 한국IT서비스학회지
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• 제10권2호
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• pp.75-94
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• 2011

The industrial ecosystem around the Internet services has been evolving since the Internet was first introduced. The Net Neutrality issue best represents the process of the evolution and presents an inevitable challenge that the industry should overcome. This paper deals with this structural change with the Two-Sided Market framework and provides a System Dynamics(SD) model to evaluate the economic implications of the net neutrality policy. In particular, our approach analyzes the policy impacts when two competing platforms (network providers) play a role of the platform in a typical two-sided market, which connects Content Providers(CPs) with users. Previous studies show that the indirect network externality between these two markets makes the entire system tip to one platform. When the multi-homing in the CP market is allowed as in our model, however, their argument may lose its validity. To examine the system behavior, conducted here is SD simulations of our model. The simulation results show that co-existence of the competing platforms persists with the network effects over a certain threshold. The net neutrality policy seems to lower the threshold based on our experimental outcomes.

• 한국건설관리학회논문집
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• 제7권2호
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• pp.162-170
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• 2006

부동산분야에서 전통적인 예측방법과 비교하여 보다 예측력을 높일 수 있는 방법을 찾으려 한다. 이에 앞서 신경망 모형의 적용가능성을 살펴보고, 기존의 연구를 토대로 한 신경망 이론의 정의, 구조, 장단점 등을 살펴본다. 구체적인 적용가능성을 확인하기 위하여 동일 데이터로 회귀분석과 신경망분석을 통한 모형을 구축하고, 예측정확도 측면에서 신경망모형의 적용 가능성을 검토한다. 부동산학에서 기존에 회귀분석에 치우쳐 있던 연구방법을 신경망분석까지 확장하고, 특히 예측정확도 측면에서 우수성이 검증되고 있는 신경망모형에 대한 연구를 활성화 하고자 하는데 본 연구의 목적이 있다. 연구방법으로는 분양가격에 영향을 주는 거시경제변수를 모형화 한다. 그 모형설정 후 회귀분석과 신경망분석으로 결과를 비교하여 보다 예측 정확도가 높은 것을 찾는다. 그 결과 신경망모형의 예측정확도가 상당히 높게 나타났다.