• Title/Summary/Keyword: Market Asymmetries

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Herding Behavior and Cryptocurrency: Market Asymmetries, Inter-Dependency and Intra-Dependency

  • JALAL, Raja Nabeel-Ud-Din;SARGIACOMO, Massimo;SAHAR, Najam Us;FAYYAZ, Um-E-Roman
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.7
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    • pp.27-34
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    • 2020
  • The study investigates herding behavior in cryptocurrencies in different situations. This study employs daily returns of major cryptocurrencies listed in CCI30 index and sub-major cryptocurrencies and major stock returns listed in Dow-Jones Industrial Average Index, from 2015 to 2018. Quantile regression method is employed to test the herding effect in market asymmetries, inter-dependency and intra-dependency cases. Findings confirm the presence of herding in cryptocurrency in upper quantiles in bullish and high volatility periods because of overexcitement among investors, which lead to high volume trading. Major cryptocurrencies cause herding in sub-major cryptocurrencies, but it is a unidirectional relation. However, no intra-dependency effect among cryptocurrencies and equity market is observed. Results indicate that in the CKK model herding exists at upper quantile in market that may be due when the market is moving fast, continuously trading, and bullish trend are prevailing. Further analysis confirms this narrative as, at upper quantile, the beta of bullish regime is negative and significant, meaning the main source of market herding is a bullish trend in investment, which increases market turbulence and gives investors opportunity to herd. Also, we found that herding in cryptocurrencies exits in high volatility periods, but this herding mostly depends on market activity, not market movement.

Regional Asymmetries and Development Cooperation in MERCOSUR (남미공동시장의 역내 비대칭성과 지역개발협력)

  • Hyun, Min
    • Iberoamérica
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.57-105
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    • 2019
  • This paper deals with the regional asymmetries of MERCOSUR and regional development cooperation for its solution. Through the formation of a common market, the countries of Southern Cone expected to grow evenly. However MERCOSUR had structural asymmetry from the beginning and exposed policy asymmetry over time. It is basically due to the overwhelming influences of Brazil on MERCOSUR. With regard to asymmetries, Paraguay calls for special and differential treatment. Uruguay wants equitable application of market liberalization. Argentine emphasizes production integration based on the development of value chains. In the issue of asymmetries, while Paraguay, Uruguay and Argentine act as petitioners, Brazil is capable of selecting the initiatives. Under these circumstances MERCOSUR has established FOCEM as regional redistribution mechanism. FOCEM has achieved some results as seen in Paraguay, but there are still problems such as financial limitations and lack of enforcement. In oder to activate the redistributive mechanism for regional integration and to coordinate the policies to resolve regional disparities, transnational governance is essential but all member countries are reluctant to it. To date, regional asymmetries or development gaps have persisted and disparities in individual countries remains a problem.

The Foreign Exchange Exposure and Asymmetries on Individual Firms (개별기업의 환노출과 비대칭성에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Hyon-Sok
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.305-329
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    • 2003
  • This work analyzes the influence of the dollar and yen currency on the rate of return of the individual firms and its symmetries based on the data from Jan. 5 1987 to Dec. 28, 2001. GARCH and autoregressive error models were used for on the daily data, due to the heteroscedascity and autoregression of the error terms, and as for the monthly data, this paper follows the autoregressive error models. Daily data fumed out to be a better explanatory variable in detecting exchange rate exposure, and EGARCH(1, 1) and GJR-GRARCH(1, 1) have higher competence in analyzing the daily data. Also, most of the exposed firms have been exposed in the negative region, and appreciation of exchange rate does not help enhancing the asset value of the domestic value. Analysis on the asymmetries let us conclude that high proportion of domestic firms face asymmetric exchange rate exposure, and that the pricing-to-market theory carries more conviction than the real option theory. Furthermore, monthly data are more precise in analysis of asymmetries.

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Impact of managerial overconfidence on Valuation Error (경영자 과신성향이 가치평가오류에 미치는 영향)

  • Joon-Seok Lee;Myung-Gun Lee
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.287-307
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    • 2024
  • Purpose - This study was a study on managerial overconfidence and valuation errors to verify how the increase in managerial overconfidence affects valuation errors. Design/methodology/approach - Managerial overconfidence propensity refers to managers having excessive confidence in their position or ability (Hayward and Hambrick, 1997; Park Jin-hee, 2021) and was measured according to Schrand and Zechman (2012). Valuation error refers to a situation where a company's actual stock price differs from its intrinsic value as a result of numerous information asymmetries in the market, and was measured using the measurement method in Rhodes-Kropf et al (2005) study. The sample of this study used companies listed in the capital market for a total of 12 years from 2011 to 2022. Findings - As a result of the verification, there was a significant positive (+) relationship between managerial overconfidence and valuation errors, and this relationship was alleviated as the percentage of foreign shareholders shares or the number of financial analysts they followed increased. It can be interpreted that when the information demands of investors, such as foreign shareholders and financial analysts, increase significantly, managers provide more information to meet investors demands, thereby reducing information asymmetry and leading to a decrease in valuation errors.. Research implications or Originality - Previous studies on overconfidence, among the cognitive characteristics of individual managers, have yielded mixed results. In this study, we conducted a direct empirical analysis of managerial overconfidence using a measure called valuation error, which evaluates numerous information asymmetries in the capital market. This is expected to help stakeholders in the capital market understand the characteristics of managers and recognize their importance. It can also be used as a basis for establishing policies to reduce valuation errors.

Moral Hazard for the Available Capacity in Electricity Capacity Markets (용량시장의 발전가능용량 전략적 입찰 분석)

  • Kim, Jin-Ho;Park, Jong-Bae
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.59 no.12
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    • pp.2150-2156
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we investigate how an electricity capacity market design may encourage generators to exaggerate their available capacity. In order for an analytical approach, a two player game model is introduced. We focus on two pure strategy Nash equilibria: an equilibrium at which generators offer their true capacities, and an equilibrium at which generators offer exaggerated capacities. The latter case is caused by asymmetries of information between players and so called 'moral hazard' in terms of the economics literature. This paper shows that, considering practical electricity markets, the moral hazard case is highly probable. Moreover, it is shown that, with the considered capacity market design in the real world, the better the electricity energy market performs, the higher the risk of moral hazard becomes.

Herding in Fast Moving Consumer Group Sector: Equity Market Asymmetry and Crisis

  • BHARTI, Bharti;KUMAR, Ashish
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.9
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    • pp.39-49
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    • 2020
  • This study empirically examines herd behavior for fast moving consumer goods (FMCG) sector stocks under varied market return conditions and the period during the global financial crisis and its aftermath. We examine the sample of stocks trading on the Nifty FMCG Index of the Indian equity market from January 2008 up to December 2018 using the dispersion measure of cross sectional absolute deviation and examine its relationship with the market return to explore herd phenomenon. Quantile regression estimate is used and the results of the study validate rational asset pricing models as the sector does not display herding. In contrast, anti-herd behavior at lower and median quantile values is observed. A possible reason can be the non-cyclical nature of the industry where investors rely more on the fundamentals rather than crowd chasing. We also findthe absence of herd phenomenon during the market asymmetries of bull and bear phases, extreme movements, the period of the global financial crisis, and afterward. We further examine herding under the impact of the information technology (IT) industry and conclude that significant return movements in IT sector impact dispersions in the FMCG industry. Also, there is a co-varying risk between the two sectors confirming the spillover in an integrated market.

Structural change and asymmetry analysis of petroleum product prices in Korea

  • Oh, Sun-Ah;Heo, Eun-Nyeong
    • 한국지구물리탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.669-675
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    • 2003
  • This paper examines structural breaks and asymmetries of prices of four domestic petroleum products, i.e., gasoline, kerosene, diesel, and bunker-C, following the changes in the pricing policies pertaining to petroleum products in Korea from the government-controlled pricing system to the market pricing system. We use the monthly wholesale market price data for the sample period between July 1988 and December 2001. Using the four methods: the Chow test, the CUSUM/CUSUMQ tests, the Bayesian approach and the Dufour test, the structural behaviors of the petroleum product prices are examined. We found that structural change occurred in all petroleum products, with the exception of Kerosene, at the point of pricing policy change from government-controlled to the spot-price related pricing system. We, also conducted asymmetric analysis using the Borenstein, Cameron, and Gilbert (1997)'s model and found evidences of price asymmetry for all four product types, but in different pattern for each product.

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An Analysis on the Asymmetric Time Varying Spillover Effect between Capesize and Panamax Markets (케이프사이즈와 파나막스 시장간의 비대칭 시간가변 파급효과에 관한 분석)

  • Chung, Sang-Kuck
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.41-64
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    • 2011
  • This article investigates the interrelationships in daily returns using fractionally integrated error correction term and volatilities using constant conditional correlation and dynamic conditional correlation GARCH with asymmetries between Capesize and Panamax markets. Our findings are as follows. First, for the fractionally cointegrated error correction model, there is a unidirectional relationship in returns from the Panamax market to the Capesize market, but a bidirectional causal relationship prevails for the traditional error correction models. Second, the coefficients for the error correction term are all statistically significant. Of particular interest are the signs of the estimates for the error correction term, which are all negative for the Capesize return equation and all positive for the Panamax return. Third, there are bidirectional volatility spillovers between both markets and the direction of the information flow seems to be stronger from Panamax to Capesize. Fourth, the coefficients for the asymmetric term are all significantly positive in the Capesize market, but the Panamax market does not have a significant effect. However, the coefficients for the asymmetric term are all significant, implying that the leverage effect does exist in the Capesize and Panamax markets.

Regime Dependent Volatility Spillover Effects in Stock Markets Between Kazakhstan and Russia

  • CHUNG, Sang Kuck;ABDULLAEVA, Vasila Shukhratovna
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.8
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    • pp.297-309
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    • 2021
  • In this study, to capture the skewness and kurtosis detected in both conditional and unconditional return distributions of the stock markets of Kazakhstan and Russia, two versions of normal mixture GARCH models are employed. The data set consists of daily observations of the Kazakhstan and Russia stock prices, and world crude oil price, covering the period from 1 June 2006 through 1 March 2021. From the empirical results, incorporating the long memory effect on the returns not only provides better descriptions of dynamic behaviors of the stock market prices but also plays a significant role in improving a better understanding of the return dynamics. In addition, normal mixture models for time-varying volatility provide a better fit to the conditional densities than the usual GARCH specifications and has an important advantage that the conditional higher moments are time-varying. This implies that the volatility skews implied by normal mixture models are more likely to exhibit the features of risk and the direction of the information flow is regime-dependent. The findings of this study contain useful information for diverse purposes of cross-border stock market players such as asset allocation, portfolio management, risk management, and market regulations.

The Introduction of KOSPI 200 Stock Price Index Futures and the Asymmetric Volatility in the Stock Market (KOSPI 200 주가지수선물 도입과 주식시장의 비대칭적 변동성)

  • Byun, Jong-Cook;Jo, Jung-Il
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.191-212
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    • 2003
  • Recently, there is a growing body of literature that suggests that information inefficiency is one of the causes of the asymmetric volatility. If this explanation for the asymmetric volatility is appropriate, then innovations, such as the introduction of futures, may be expected to impact the asymmetric volatility of stock market. As transaction costs and margin requirements in the futures market are lower than those in the spot market, new information is transmitted to futures prices more quickly and affects spot prices through arbitrage trading with spots. Also, the merit of the futures market may attract noise traders away from the spot market to the futures market. This study examines the impact of futures on the asymmetry of stock market volatility. If the asymmetric volatility is significant lower post-futures and exist in the futures market, it has validity that the asymmetric volatility is caused by information inefficiency in the spot market. The data examined are daily logarithmic returns on KOSPI 200 stock price index from January 4, 1993 to December 26, 2000. To examine the existence of the asymmetric volatility in the futures market, logarithmic returns on KOSPI 200 futures are used from May 4, 1996 to December 26, 2000. We used a conditional mode of TGARCH(threshold GARCH) of Glosten, Jagannathan and Runkel(1993). Pre-futures the spot market exhibits significant asymmetric responses of volatility to news and post-futures asymmetries are significantly lower, irrespective of bear market and bull market. The results suggest that the introduction of stock index futures has an effect on the asymmetric volatility of the spot market and are inconsistent with leverage being the sole explanation of asymmetry. However, it is found that the volatility of futures is not so asymmetric as expected.

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