• 제목/요약/키워드: Marine Model

검색결과 3,290건 처리시간 0.027초

연안해역의 항행 안전성 평가에 관한 연구 (Assessment of the Navigational Safety Level in the Korean Coastal Waterway)

  • 금종수;윤명오;장운재
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.39-48
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    • 2001
  • In recent years, the marine traffic congestion has increased due to the expansion of vessel traffic volume in Korean coastal waterway. Heavy traffic could bring serious marine casualties which cause the loss of human lives, properties and marine pollution in coastal area. The prevention of marine accidents has been a major topic in marin society and various policies and countermeasures have been developed, applied to the industries. VTS(Vessel Traffic Services) is considered as one of effective method to promote marine safety but it needs relatively huge amount of budgets to build and also number of personnels for the operation. Thus prior to establishing the VTS. It should be surveyed the marine traffics, general conditions of waterway including geographical, meteorological characteristics and assessed to find the most reasonable area and places for the system. Therefore this paper aims to develop the method for this evaluation through the hierarchical evaluation structure model in connection with ISM(interpretive structural modeling) and AHP(analytic hierarchy process) methods. The model in this paper is applied to 4 coastal area in Korean waterway as candidates and found that the priority for the needs of VTS should be in order such as Yosu, Wando, Mokpo, Geoje coastal area.

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Comparison of the Frequency of Unsafe Ship-Handling Situations and the Frequency of Marine Accidents at the Kurushima Strait

  • Yasuda, Masaru;Inoue, Kinzo;Usui, Hideo
    • 한국항해항만학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국항해항만학회 2006년도 Asia Navigation Conference
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    • pp.184-190
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    • 2006
  • It is requested to be evaluated whether environmental change in marine traffic passage by maintenance work affect ship handling, safety, when re-design of traffic passage is planned. In the maintenance work, it is also important to evaluate the change of risk and also benefits. However, in a current evaluation index, it is difficult to evaluate the benefit. The recently developed safety index that is led by employing the Unsafe Ship-handling situations model (US-model) is able to estimate risk level of marine accident in a process of a ship handling. We have already reported the relation of the ratio of 10-3 in harbors (Yokohama, Kobe, and Osaka in Japan) [1]. In this study, we acquired the relation of the ratio between the US value and the marine accident at a narrow waterway; Kurushima Strait in Japan, using a ship handling simulator. And we experimented to estimate a marine accident reduction achieved by the maintenance work of the altered shape of passage.

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마코프 체인 프로세스를 적용한 해양사고 발생 예측 (Prediction of Marine Accident Frequency Using Markov Chain Process)

  • 장은진;임정빈
    • 한국항해항만학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국항해항만학회 2019년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.266-266
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    • 2019
  • 해마다 증가하고 있는 해양사고는 기관고장, 충돌, 좌초, 화재 등 다양하게 발생하고 있다. 이러한 해양사고는 대형 인명사고의 위험이 있어 사전에 사고를 예방 하는 게 무엇보다 중요하다. 이를 위해서는 해양사고 발생을 사전에 예측하고 이에 대응할 수 있는 예측 체계가 요구된다. 본 연구에서는 과거에 발생한 데이터를 근거로 미래를 예측할 수 있는 마코프 체인 프로세스(Markov Chain Process)를 적용하여 해양사고 발생을 사전에 예측하기 위한 모델링을 제안한다. 제시된 모델링을 적용하여 미래 발생 가능한 해양사고 발생 확률을 산출하고 실제 발생한 빈도와 비교하였다. 또한 많이 사용되는 다른 예측 분석 방법과 비교하여 예측의 정확성을 측정하였다. 이를 통해 해양사고 발생에 관한 예측 체계를 마련하는데 하나의 확률 모형을 제안하였으며, 나아가 다양한 해양사고의 문제를 예측하는데 기여할 것으로 기대된다.

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중국 해양산업정책에서 해양경제개발 시범구 설정의 의미와 시사점 (The Significance and Implications of Establishing Marine Economic Development Pilot Zones in the Viewpoint of China's Marine Industry Policy)

  • 양인청;최성두
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.59-70
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    • 2014
  • 최근 중국정부는 해양경제개발에 초점을 두고 네 개의 해양경제개발시범구를 산동성, 절강성, 광동성, 복건성에 설정하였다. 등소평의 개혁 개방 정책이후 근래 해양경제개발시범구까지 중국의 해양산업정책은 현존정책을 부분적으로 수정 보완하는 연속적 점진적인 변화과정이었으므로, 본 논문은 이러한 정책변화를 잘 설명할 수 있는 이론모형으로 정책학의 점증주의모형(Incremental Model)을 이론적 틀로 하여, 새 중국 해양산업정책인 해양경제개발시범구 정책의 본질, 그 역사적 형성과정, 현재 집행상황, 이전과 다른 새로운 정책특징과 시사점을 발견함과 함께 미래의 점진적 정책변화도 전망 예측해 보았다. 과거 중국 해양산업정책과 차별화되는 새 정책의 주요 특징으로는 1)첨단산업과 과학기술을 포함하는 새로운 발전모형이라는 점, 2)고도의 민주적 참여가 보장된다는 점, 3)정책목표로 해양경제발전뿐 아니라 안보영토, 환경생태, 과학교육 등의 다양한 목표들도 포괄하고 있다는 점이었다. 향후 우리나라는 중국의 해양경제개발시범구 정책 특징에 대한 올바른 이해를 통하여, 최근 이슈화된 해양경제특구 설정관련 정책구상에서 바람직한 교훈을 얻어야 할 것이다.

군집분석을 이용한 국지해일모델 지역확장 (Regional Extension of the Neural Network Model for Storm Surge Prediction Using Cluster Analysis)

  • 이다운;서장원;윤용훈
    • 대기
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.259-267
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    • 2006
  • In the present study, the neural network (NN) model with cluster analysis method was developed to predict storm surge in the whole Korean coastal regions with special focuses on the regional extension. The model used in this study is NN model for each cluster (CL-NN) with the cluster analysis. In order to find the optimal clustering of the stations, agglomerative method among hierarchical clustering methods was used. Various stations were clustered each other according to the centroid-linkage criterion and the cluster analysis should stop when the distances between merged groups exceed any criterion. Finally the CL-NN can be constructed for predicting storm surge in the cluster regions. To validate model results, predicted sea level value from CL-NN model was compared with that of conventional harmonic analysis (HA) and of the NN model in each region. The forecast values from NN and CL-NN models show more accuracy with observed data than that of HA. Especially the statistics analysis such as RMSE and correlation coefficient shows little differences between CL-NN and NN model results. These results show that cluster analysis and CL-NN model can be applied in the regional storm surge prediction and developed forecast system.

중해상도 전지구 해양대순환 모형의 상층 수온과 혼합층 깊이 모사 성능 평가 (Evaluation of Upper Ocean Temperature and Mixed Layer Depth in an Eddy-permitting Global Ocean General Circulation Model)

  • 장찬주;민홍식;김철호;강석구;이흥재
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제28권3호
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    • pp.245-258
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    • 2006
  • We investigated seasonal variations of the upper ocean temperature and the mixed layer depth (MLD) in an eddy-permitting global ocean general circulation model (OGCM) to assess the OGCM perfermance. The OGCM is based on the GFDL MOM3 which has a horizontal resolution of 0.5 degree and 30 vertical levels. The OGCM was integrated for 68 years using a monthly-mean climatological wind stress forcing. The model sea surface temperature (SST) and sea surface salinity were restored to the Levitus climatology with a time scale of 30 days. Annual-mean model SST shows a cold bias $(<\;-2^{\circ}C)$ in the summer hemisphere and a warm bias $(>\;1^{\circ}C)$ in the winter hemisphere mainly due to the restoring boundary condition of temperature. The model MLD captures well the observed features in most areas, with a slightly deep bias. However, in the Ross Sea and Weddell Sea, the model shows significantly deeper MLD than the climatology-mainly due to weak salinity stratifications in the model. For amplitude of seasonal variation, the model SST is smaller $(1{\sim}3^{\circ}C)$ than the observation largely due to the restoring surface boundary condition while the model MLD has larger seasonal variation $({\sim}50m)$. It is suggested that for more realistic simulation of the upper ocean structure in the present eddy-permitting ocean model, more refinements in the surface boundary condition for the thermohaline forcing and parameterization for vertical mixing are required, together with the incorporation of a sea-ice model.

Design and Control of a Marine Satellite Antenna

  • Won Mooncheol;Kim Sung-Soo
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • 제19권spc1호
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    • pp.473-480
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    • 2005
  • A three axes marine satellite antenna has been developed. As a design step, a CAD model for the antenna has been created according to the design requirements. Kinematic analyses are carried out to insure design specification and to check collision detection of the CAD model. Marine satellite antennas experience base motions, and a relevant control system should control the three antenna axis to point to the satellites accurately. A sensor fusion algorithm and a PIDA (Proportional, Integral, Derivative, Acceleration) control algorithm are designed and implemented to control the yaw, level, and cross-level angle of a small size satellite marine antenna. Antenna stabilization control experiments are performed using a test simulator which gives the antenna base motions. Experimental results show small pointing errors, which is less than 0.2 degree for the level, cross-level, and yaw axis.

$H_{\infty}$ 제어기법을 이용한 저속디젤기관의 속도제어 (Speed Control of the Low Speed Diesel Engine by $H_{\infty}$ Controller Design Method)

  • 양주호;정병건
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • 제17권5호
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    • pp.63-70
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    • 1993
  • In 1980's to 1990's the marine propulsion diesel engines have been developed into lower speed and longer stroke for the energy saving(small S.F.O.C.). As these new trends the convetional mechnical-hydraulic governors were not adapted to the new requirements and the digital governors have been adopted in the marine use. The digital governors usually use the control algorithms such as the PID control, optimal control, adaptive control and etc. While the engine has delay time and parameter variations these control algorithms have difficulty in considering the stability and the robustness for the model uncertainty. In this study, the $H_{\infty}$ controller design method are applied to the speed control of the low speed marine diesel engine. By comparison the $H_{\infty}$ control results with the PID control results, the validity of the $H_{\infty}$ controller under the delay time and parameter variations is confirmed.

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