• Title/Summary/Keyword: Marginal logit

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A CRM Study on the Using of Data Mining - Focusing on the "A" Fashion Company - (데이타마이닝을 이용(利用)한 CRM 사례연구(事例硏究) - A 패션기업(企業)을 중심(中心)으로 -)

  • Lee, Yu-Soon
    • Journal of Fashion Business
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    • v.6 no.5
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    • pp.136-150
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    • 2002
  • In this study, we proposed a method to be standing customers as the supporting system for the improvement of fashion garment industry which was the marginal growth getting into full maturity of market. As for the customer creation method of Fashion garment company is developing a marketing program to be standing customer as customer scoring to estimate a existing customer‘s buying power, and figure out minimum fixed sales of company to use a future purchasing predict. This study was a result of data from total sixty thousands data to be created for the 11 months from september. 2000 to July. 2001. The data is part of which the company leading the Korean fashion garment industry has a lot of a customer purchasing history data. But this study used only 48,845 refined purchased data to discriminate from sixty thousands data and 21,496 customer case with the exception of overlapping purchased data among of those. The software used to handle sixty thousands data was SAS e-miner. As the analysis process is put in to operation the analysis of the purchasing customer’s profile firstly, and the second come into basket analysis to consider the buying associations for Association goods, the third estimate the customer grade of Customer loyalty by 3 ways of logit regression analysis, decision tree, Artificial Neural Network. The result suggested a method to be estimate the customer loyalty as 3 independent variables, 2 coefficients. The 3 independent variables are total purchasing amount, purchasing items per one purchase, payment amount by one purchasing item. The 2 coefficients are royal and normal for customer segmentation. The result was that this model use a logit regression analysis was valid as the method to be estimate the customer loyalty.

An Analysis of Consumers' Consumption Behavior of Environment-friendly Mandarin and Attributes of Mandarin in Korea (소비자의 친환경감귤 소비실태와 감귤의 선호속성 분석)

  • Ko, Seong-Bo
    • Korean Journal of Organic Agriculture
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.189-204
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    • 2008
  • The objective of this paper is to analyze consumers' consumption behavior of environment-friendly mandarin and attributes of mandarin in Korea. It is also to measure consumers' marginal willingness to pay by the attributes of mandarin and to estimate the market-share by products of mandarin from the data surveyed by a survey research company. The questionnaires for consumers were given randomly by interview to 500 married women lived in Seoul and to 200 wholesaler in Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Kwangju. The conjoint analysis method was used to analyze consumers' preference and suggest several implications for the rational production and marketing policy of mandarin.

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Measuring the Scientific Benefits from the Deep-sea Human-operated Vehicle Project: A Choice Experiment Study (선택실험법을 이용한 심해 유인잠수정 개발사업의 과학기술적 경제적 편익추정)

  • Jin, Se-Jun;Lim, Seul-Ye;Park, Se-Hun;Yoo, Seung-Hoon
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.277-288
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    • 2014
  • The Korean government is considering the implementation of a project to develop a deep-sea human-operated vehicle (HOV) to improve the level of deep-sea research. Information on the scientific benefits from the project is urgently needed in order to come to a decision about whether to implement the project. This paper measures the conservation value of developing nine attributes associated with HOV by using the choice experiment (CE). A survey of about 356 experts was undertaken and 132 experts completely responded to the survey. To deal with the CE data from the survey, we employed a multinomial logit model. All the coefficient estimates are statistically significant and consistent with prior expectations. Therefore, we can judge that the respondents' works required in the CE survey were within their cognitive abilities and they reported responsible and significant values. Each marginal willingness to pay for each attribute associated with the HOV is statistically significant and provides good information on the scientific values with regard to developing the HOV. The results can be utilized in evaluating and planning several alternatives related to developing the HOV.

Differential Changes in Commuter's Mode Choice after the Intergrated Public Transit System in Seoul Metropolitan City (서울시 대중교통체계 개편 이후 통근 교통수단 선택의 차별적 변화)

  • Lee, Hye-Seung;Lee, Hee-Yeon
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.44 no.3
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    • pp.323-338
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    • 2009
  • This study analyzes the changes in commuter's mode choice between 2002 and 2006 according to the implement of the integrated public transit system in Seoul metropolitan city. Especially this study focuses on differential changes in a transit modal choice among socioeconomic status, trip purpose and spatial characteristics of origin and destination. The probability of public transit use against automobile is modeled as a function of socioeconomic variables, spatial characteristics of origin and destination and the utility of the commuter's mode. The results from conditional logit model analyses suggest that people with lower income show the larger changes in the ratio of public transit choice between 2002-06. Also both higher density, more accessible to public transit and more diverse land uses in residence zone and in work place generally increase the ratio of public transit choice between 2002-06. Car and subway have the most strong alternative relation in commuter's mode choice. The findings give an important implication that the integrated public transit system has differential impacts on commuter's mode choice in Seoul.

An Analysis of the Value of New Product Multi Cream Using Choice Experiment (선택형 실험을 이용한 신제품 멀티크림의 가치 분석)

  • Lee, Sang-Hak;Choi, Se-Hyun;Ha, Hyun-Jung
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.1390-1395
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    • 2014
  • The objective of this study is to offer a basic data for the establishment of marketing strategies such as fixing price of a new product and creation of the development direction of the product through estimating consumers value by attributes of the newly developed university made multi cream. The Choice Experiment was used for analysis, and conditional logit model was estimated to derive the marginal willingness to pay(MWTP) of each attributes of the multi cream. Brand, container type, functionality, price were included as the attributes. As a result, MWTP were estimated at 21,754 Won/unit for large company product, 11,033 Won/unit for small company product and 16,178 Won/unit for university product, 7,476 Won/unit for enriched moisturizing, 12,107 Won/unit for enriched improvements in wrinkles. Consumers have a preference for university brand over small company brand, therefore, if university and small company cooperate and proceed a joint-venture, it will strengthen the competitive power in the low price brand market. Also, it is essential to develop products with enriched functionalities such as moisturizing and improvements in wrinkles.

Utility Maximization, The Shapes of the Indifference Curve on the Characteristic Space and its Estimation: A Theoretical Approach (개인여객 효용의 극대화 및 운송특성공간상의 무차별곡선의 형태와 그 추정)

  • Kim, Jong-Seok
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.157-168
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    • 2009
  • The random utility theory and the multinomial logit model (including a more recent variant--the mixed multinomial logit) derived from it have constituted a back bone for theoretical and empirical analyses of various travel demand features including mode choice. In their empirical applications, however, it is customary to specify random utilities which are linear in modal attributes such as time and cost, and in socio-economic variables. The linearity helps easy derivation of important information such as value of travel time savings by calculating marginal rate of substitution between time and cost. In this paper the author focuses on the very linearity of the random utilities. Taking into account the fact that the mode chooser is also labour supplier, commodity consumer as well as leisure-seeker, the author sets up a maximization model of the traveller, which encompasses various economic activities of the traveller. The author derive from the model the indifference curve defined on the space of modal attributes, time and cost and investigate under what conditions the random utility of the traveller becomes linear. It turns out that there exist the conditions under which the random utility is really linear in modal attributes, but the property does not hold when the traveller has a corner solution on the space of modal attributes, or when the primary utility function of the traveller is directly affected by labour provided and/or the travel time itself. As a corollary of the analysis, a random utility is suggested, approximated up to the second order of the variables involved for empirical studies of the field.

An Economic Valuation of Forest Ecosystem Services: A Choice Modeling Application to the Mekong Delta Project in Vietnam

  • KHAI, Huynh Viet;VAN, Nguyen Phi;DANH, Vo Thanh
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.8
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    • pp.465-473
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    • 2021
  • This study is the application of a choice experiment to assess Mekong Delta urban households' preferences and motivations for ecosystem conservation in the U Minh forest. The study applied a choice modeling approach to estimate the economic values of the proposed ecosystem conservation program in the U Minh forest by accessing urban consumer preferences and their willingness to pay for the project. Discrete choice experimental data was collected from 450 residents in the cities of the Vietnamese Mekong Delta. The multinomial logit model was employed to identify consumer's stated preferences for the environmental and sustainability attributes of the conservation project. The results showed that Mekong Delta urban residents paid much attention to the proposed project to protect and develop the U Minh forest. In addition, the results showed that higher education, income, and knowledge of the U Minh forest revealed a higher likelihood of selecting the project, while the older residents would select the status quo more than the younger ones. The study also proved that the effect of participation had a strong impact on the willingness to pay for the project. The findings could be useful for policymakers to take action to raise resident's awareness and willingness to pay for the U Minh forest project.

Analyzing Public Preference for Community-Based Floating Photovoltaic Projects: A Discrete Choice Experiment Approach (주민참여형 수상태양광 발전사업에 대한 국민 선호도 분석: 선택실험법을 이용하여)

  • Hye Lee, Lee;JongRoul, Woo
    • Current Photovoltaic Research
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.121-132
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    • 2022
  • The need for floating photovoltaic is being emphasized to expand renewable energy but low residents' acceptance is a major obstacle to the deployment of floating photovoltaic. Using the discrete choice experiment, this study analyzed the preferences for community-based floating photovoltaic projects and proposed a method to increase the residents' acceptance of floating photovoltaic projects. The estimates of the marginal willingness to accept (MWTA) of the distance, the coverage ratio, the landscape, the project owner (public institution), and the project owner (large company) are -0.69%p/km, 0.13%p/%p, -0.57%p, -2.95%p, -1.73%p, respectively. According to the result of simulation analysis, the residents' acceptance is significantly higher when the project is operated by a public institution, with a choice probability of 58%, than when the project is operated by a private company, with a choice probability of 29%, 12% for a large and small company, respectively. In addition, as a result of the analysis of the expected returns, the results show that the closer the distance from the residence to the power plant, the higher the expected return.

Development and Application of the Mode Choice Models According to Zone Sizes (분석대상 규모에 따른 수단분담모형의 추정과 적용에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Ju-Yeong;Lee, Seung-Jae;Kim, Do-Gyeong;Jeon, Jang-U
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.97-106
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    • 2011
  • Mode choice model is an essential element for estimating- the demand of new means of transportation in the planning stage as well as in the establishment phase. In general, current demand analysis model developed for the mode choice analysis applies common parameters of utility function in each region which causes inaccuracy in forecasting mode choice behavior. Several critical problems from using common parameters are: a common parameter set can not reflect different distribution of coefficient for travel time and travel cost by different population. Consequently, the resulting model fails to accurately explain policy variables such as travel time and travel cost. In particular, the nonlinear logit model applied to aggregation data is vulnerable to the aggregation error. The purpose of this paper is to consider the regional characteristics by adopting the parameters fitted to each area, so as to reduce prediction errors and enhance accuracy of the resulting mode choice model. In order to estimate parameter of each area, this study used Household Travel Survey Data of Metropolitan Transportation Authority. For the verification of the model, the value of time by marginal rate of substitution is evaluated and statistical test for resulting coefficients is also carried out. In order to crosscheck the applicability and reliability of the model, changes in mode choice are analyzed when Seoul subway line 9 is newly opened and the results are compared with those from the existing model developed without considering the regional characteristics.

Consumers' preference about the attributes of 3rd generation device (3세대 디바이스의 속성별 소비자 선호 분석)

  • Jung, Jae-Young;Lee, Joo-Suk;Kwak, Seung-Jun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.703-710
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    • 2017
  • Third-generation (3G) devicesare next-generation devices that allow the use of intelligent services and applications through the Internet of Things (IoT). As the market forexisting smart devices like smartphones and tablet PCs enters the stage of stagnation, the world is now focusing on 3G devices, parts, and services. This study is intended to measure the user's benefits from the various attributes of 3G devices by applying an economic valuation method. For this purpose, the conjoint analysis method was applied, which is one of the representative valuation methods. To apply conjoint analysis, the following attributes of 3G devicesare considered: mode of use, power efficiency, life care, and price. By applying the mixed logit model, the marginal willingness-to-pay(WTP) for each attribute was derived. The results are statistically significant. Respondents showed a high preference or complete flexibility in the mode of use attribute. And they were also found to have WTP for improvements in the life care attribute. The implications and quantitative results of this study are expected to be useful for policies and strategies in the 3G device market.