• Title/Summary/Keyword: Magnitude Estimation

Search Result 542, Processing Time 0.022 seconds

A Study of the Dynamic Amplification Characteristics of the Domestic Seismic Observation Sites Using Coda Wave (Coda파를 이용한 국내 관측소지반의 동적 증폭특성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Junkyoung;Lee, Jundae
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
    • /
    • v.10 no.7
    • /
    • pp.135-141
    • /
    • 2009
  • For more reliable estimation of soil-structure interaction and seismic source and attenuation properties, site amplification function should be considered. This study use the Nakamura's method (1989) for estimating site amplification though various methods for the same purpose have been proposed. This method was originally applied to the surface waves of background noise and therefore there are some limitation for applications to general wave energy. However, recently this method has been extended and applied to the S wave energy successfully. This study applied the method to the coda wave energy which is equivalent to the backscattered S wave energy. We used more than 60 observed ground motions from 5 earthquakes which occurred recently, with magnitude range from 3.6 to 5.1 Each station showed characteristic site amplification property in low-, high- and resonance frequency ranges. In the case of comparing these results to those from S wave energy, lots of information to the site classification work can be gained. Moreover, removal of site amplification can give us more reliable seismic source parameters.

  • PDF

Ground-Motion Prediction Equations based on refined data for dynamic time-history analysis

  • Moghaddam, Salar Arian;Ghafory-Ashtiany, Mohsen;Soghrat, Mohammadreza
    • Earthquakes and Structures
    • /
    • v.11 no.5
    • /
    • pp.779-807
    • /
    • 2016
  • Ground Motion Prediction Equations (GMPEs) are essential tools in seismic hazard analysis. With the introduction of probabilistic approaches for the estimation of seismic response of structures, also known as, performance based earthquake engineering framework; new tasks are defined for response spectrum such as the reference criterion for effective structure-specific selection of ground motions for nonlinear time history analysis. One of the recent efforts to introduce a high quality databank of ground motions besides the corresponding selection scheme based on the broadband spectral consistency is the development of SIMBAD (Selected Input Motions for displacement-Based Assessment and Design), which is designed to improve the reliability of spectral values at all natural periods by removing noise with modern proposed approaches. In this paper, a new global GMPE is proposed by using selected ground motions from SIMBAD to improve the reliability of computed spectral shape indicators. To determine regression coefficients, 204 pairs of horizontal components from 35 earthquakes with magnitude ranging from Mw 5 to Mw 7.1 and epicentral distances lower than 40 km selected from SIMBAD are used. The proposed equation is compared with similar models both qualitatively and quantitatively. After the verification of model by several goodness-of-fit measures, the epsilon values as the spectral shape indicator are computed and the validity of available prediction equations for correlation of the pairs of epsilon values is examined. General consistency between predictions by new model and others, especially, in short periods is confirmed, while, at longer periods, there are meaningful differences between normalized residuals and correlation coefficients between pairs of them estimated by new model and those are computed by other empirical equations. A simple collapse assessment example indicate possible improvement in the correlation between collapse capacity and spectral shape indicators (${\varepsilon}$) up to 20% by selection of a more applicable GMPE for calculation of ${\varepsilon}$.

Genetic parameters for marbling and body score in Anglonubian goats using Bayesian inference via threshold and linear models

  • Figueiredo Filho, Luiz Antonio Silva;Sarmento, Jose Lindenberg Rocha;Campelo, Jose Elivalto Guimaraes;de Oliveira Almeida, Marcos Jacob;de Sousa, Antonio Junior;da Silva Santos, Natanael Pereira;da Silva Costa, Marcio;Torres, Tatiana Saraiva;Sena, Luciano Silva
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
    • /
    • v.31 no.9
    • /
    • pp.1407-1414
    • /
    • 2018
  • Objective: The aim of this study was to estimate (co) variance components and genetic parameters for categorical carcass traits using Bayesian inference via mixed linear and threshold animal models in Anglonubian goats. Methods: Data were obtained from Anglonubian goats reared in the Brazilian Mid-North region. The traits in study were body condition score, marbling in the rib eye, ribeye area, fat thickness of the sternum, hip height, leg perimeter, and body weight. The numerator relationship matrix contained information from 793 animals. The single- and two-trait analyses were performed to estimate (co) variance components and genetic parameters via linear and threshold animal models. For estimation of genetic parameters, chains with 2 and 4 million cycles were tested. An 1,000,000-cycle initial burn-in was considered with values taken every 250 cycles, in a total of 4,000 samples. Convergence was monitored by Geweke criteria and Monte Carlo error chain. Results: Threshold model best fits categorical data since it is more efficient to detect genetic variability. In two-trait analysis the contribution of the increase in information and the correlations between traits contributed to increase the estimated values for (co) variance components and heritability, in comparison to single-trait analysis. Heritability estimates for the study traits were from low to moderate magnitude. Conclusion: Direct selection of the continuous distribution of traits such as thickness sternal fat and hip height allows obtaining the indirect selection for marbling of ribeye.

Air Jet Effect on Performance Improvement of Non-Contact Type Seals for Oil Mist Lubrication Systems (공기분사가 오일미스트 윤활 시스템용 비접촉 시일의 성능 향상에 미치는 영향)

  • Na, Byeong-Cheol;Jeon, Gyeong-Jin;Han, Dong-Cheol
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
    • /
    • v.24 no.9 s.180
    • /
    • pp.2159-2166
    • /
    • 2000
  • Recently, high performance machining center requires special type of sealing mechanism that prevent a leakage of oil jet or oil mist lubrication system. Sealing of oil-air mixture plays important r oles to have an enhanced lubrication for performance machining center. Current work emphasizes on investigations of the air jet effect on the protective collar type labyrinth seal. To improve sealing capabilities of conventional labyrinth seals, air jet is injected against the leakage flow. In this study, an adapted model is introduced to improve sealing capability of conventional non-contact type seals. It has a combined geometry of a protective collar type and an air jet type. Both of a numerical analysis by CFD (Computational Fluid Dynamics) and experimental measurements are carried out to verify sealing improvement. The sealing effects of the leakage clearance and the air jet magnitude aic studied in various parameters. Gas or liquid has been used as a working fluid for most of nori-contact types seals including the labyrinth seal. However, it is more reasonable to regard two-phase flows because oil mist or oil jet are used for high performance spindle's lubrication. In this study, working fluid is regarded as two phases that are mixed flow of oil and air phase. Both of turbulence and compressible flow model are also introduced in a CFD analysis to represent an isentropic process. Estimation of non-leaking property is determined by amount of pressure drop in the leakage path. Results of pressure drop in the experiment match reasonably to those of the simulation by introducing a flow coefficient. Effect of the sealing improvement is explained as decreasing of leakage clearance by air jetting. Thus, sealing effect is improved by amount of air jetting even though clearance becomes larger

The Effect of Reynolds Number on the Three-Dimensional Flow Measurements with a Two-Stage Cone-Type Five-Hole Probe in a Non-Nulling Mode (Reynolds 수가 2단 원추형 5공프로브를 이용한 3차원 유동 측정에 미치는 영향 - 저속 유동장에서의 보정 결과 -)

  • Lee, Sang-U;Jeon, Sang-Bae
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
    • /
    • v.26 no.1
    • /
    • pp.27-38
    • /
    • 2002
  • The effects of Reynolds number on the non-nulling calibrations of a cone-type ave-type probe in low-speed flows have been investigated at Reynolds numbers of 2.04$\times$10$^3$, 4.09$\times$10$^3$and 6.13$\times$10$^3$. The calibration is conducted at the pitch and yaw angles in ranges between -35 degrees and 35 degrees with an angle interval of 5 degrees. In addition to the calibration coefficients, reduced pitch and yaw angles, static and total pressures, and velocity magnitude are obtained through a typical non-nulling reduction procedure. The result shows that each calibration coefficient, in general, is a function of both the pitch and yaw angles, so that the pre-existing calibration data in a nulling mode are not enough in accounting far the full non-nulling calibration characteristics. Due to interference of the probe stem, the calibration coefficient are more sensitive to Reynolds number at positive pitch angles than at negative ones. The calibration data reduced in this study may serve as a guide line in the estimation of uncertainty intervals resulted from the Reynolds number effects at low Reynolds numbers.

Errors in Estimated Temporal Tracer Trends Due to Changes in the Historical Observation Network: A Case Study of Oxygen Trends in the Southern Ocean

  • Min, Dong-Ha;Keller, Klaus
    • Ocean and Polar Research
    • /
    • v.27 no.2
    • /
    • pp.189-195
    • /
    • 2005
  • Several models predict large and potentially abrupt ocean circulation changes due to anthropogenic greenhouse-gas emissions. These circulation changes drive-in the models-considerable oceanic oxygen trend. A sound estimate of the observed oxygen trends can hence be a powerful tool to constrain predictions of future changes in oceanic deepwater formation, heat and carbon dioxide uptake. Estimating decadal scale oxygen trends is, however, a nontrivial task and previous studies have come to contradicting conclusions. One key potential problem is that changes in the historical observation network might introduce considerable errors. Here we estimate the likely magnitude of these errors for a subset of the available observations in the Southern Ocean. We test three common data analysis methods south of Australia and focus on the decadal-scale trends between the 1970's and the 1990's. Specifically, we estimate errors due to sparsely sampled observations using a known signal (the time invariant, temporally averaged, World Ocean Atlas 2001) as a negative control. The crossover analysis and the objective analysis methods are for less prone to spatial sampling location biases than the area averaging method. Subject to numerous caveats, we find that errors due to sparse sampling for the area averaging method are on the order of several micro-moles $kg^{-1}$. for the crossover and the objective analysis method, these errors are much smaller. For the analyzed example, the biases due to changes in the spatial design of the historical observation network are relatively small compared to the tends predicted by many model simulations. This raises the possibility to use historic oxygen trends to constrain model simulations, even in sparsely sampled ocean basins.

Regional Frequency Analysis for a Development of Regionalized Regression Model of River Floods (하천홍수량의 지역화 회귀모형개발을 위한 지역빈도해석)

  • Noh, Jae Sik;Lee, Kil Choon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.13 no.3
    • /
    • pp.139-154
    • /
    • 1993
  • The major purpose of this study is to develop a regionalized regression model, which predicts flood peaks from the characteristics of the ungaged catchments, through the regional flood frequency analysis for the selected stage gauging stations located on several natural rivers of Korea. The magnitude and the frequency of flood peaks with specified recurrence intervals were estimated from the flood frequency analysis on the 28 selected stage gauging stations distributed on the five major rivers of Korea. The results of the analysis were compared with the predictions from the two different flood frequency models. From the statistical evaluation of these models, it was revealed that the POT model (Peaks Over a Threshold model), which is based on the partial duration method, is more effective in predicting flood peaks from short period records than the ANNMAX model (ANNual MAXimum model) which is based on the annual maximum series method. A regionalized regression model was developed to facilitate the estimation of design floods for ungaged catchments through the regression analysis between flood peaks and the topographic characteristics of the catchments assumed to be important in runoff processes. In addition to this, the correlation diagrams are presented which show the relationships between flood peaks with specified recurrence intervals and the major characteristics of the catchments.

  • PDF

A Model for Vertical Transport of Fine Sediment and Bed Erodibility in a Wave-Dominated Environment (파랑지배환경에서의 미세퇴적물 수직이동에 관한 모형)

  • Hwang, Kyu-Nam
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
    • /
    • v.7 no.3
    • /
    • pp.277-288
    • /
    • 1995
  • Prediction of turbidity due to fine-grained bed material load under wave action is critical to any assessment of anthropogenic impart on the coastal or lacustrine environment Waves tend to loosen mud deposits and generate steep suspension concentration gradients, such that the sediment load near the bottom is typically orders of magnitude higher than that near the surface. In a physically realistic but simplified manner, a simple mass conservation principle has been used to simulate the evolution of fine sediment concentration profiles and corresponding erodible bed depths under progressive, nonbreaking wave action over mud deposits. Prior field observations support the simulated trends. which reveal the genesis of a near-bed. high concentration fluidized mud layer coupled with very low surficial sediment concentrations. It is concluded that estimation of the depth of bottom erosion requires an understanding of mud dynamics and competent in situ sediment concentration profiling. Measurement of sediment concentration at the surface alone, without regard to the near-bed zone, can lead to gross underestimation of the erodible bed depth.

  • PDF

The Seismic Design of Water Extinguishing Piping Systems for Equivalent Static Analysis Method (등가정적해석법에 의한 수계 파이프 시스템의 내진설계)

  • Lee, Dong-Myung
    • Fire Science and Engineering
    • /
    • v.26 no.3
    • /
    • pp.100-105
    • /
    • 2012
  • In this study, seismic design in pipeline of pressurized water supply system of water extinguishing system has been carried out. This study described a generation of artificial earthquake wave compatible with seismic design spectrum, and also determined equivalent static loads to analyzed the response spectra acceleration by the simulated earthquake motion. This study constructed powerful engineering base for seismic design, and presented equivalent static analysis method for seismic design of water and gas extinguishing piping system. Also, this study readied basis that can apply seismic design and performance estimation of fire fighting system as well as pipeline of water extinguishing system from result of this research. Hereafter, if additional research by earthquake magnitude and ground kind is approached, reliance elevation, safety raising and performance based design of fire fighting system see to achieve.

Study on Economic Valuation of Manufacturing Technology of Platycodon grandiflorum Using Contingent Valuation Method - Focusing on the Virtual Market of Platycodon grandiflorum's Health Functions Food - (조건부가치측정법(CVM)을 이용한 도라지 제조기술의 경제적 가치 추정 연구 -도라지 건강기능식품 가상시장을 중심으로-)

  • Lee, Hyun Ji;Chang, Insu;Jo, Haeun;Kim, Brian H.S
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
    • /
    • v.26 no.1
    • /
    • pp.137-147
    • /
    • 2020
  • Rural Development Administration (RDA) has developed a manufacturing technology which can increase the amount of platycodin D in Platycodon grandiflorum. A study is needed to estimate the value of this new technology and predict the market demand for a new product. This study estimates additional amount of willingness to pay (WTP) using contingent valuation method (CVM) for a new product with the technology that RDA has developed. The survey was created under virtual health functional foods market of Platycodon grandiflorums. It was conducted with 1,000 adult males and females aged between 19 and 59 years old in 17 major cities and provinces nationwide from December 4 to December 7, 2018. The amount of WTP for the health functional Platycodon grandiflorum was drawn using maxinum likelihood estimation method. The estimated average and median WTP values are 21,933.85 won per person and 10,000 won per person, respectively. The independent factors, including the ratio of monthly average health function food consumption to income, the average monthly income level of a household, and existence of family members or relatives engaged in food and nutrition-related professions in a household, have been shown to have a statistically significant influence on the WTP. This study presents the potential magnitude of health functional food market and the value of the new technology based on health functional food market.