• Title/Summary/Keyword: Macroeconomics

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The Influence of Macroeconomics Variables on Sportainment Industry - Case Study Using the Stock Price Changes of Nike, Adidas - (거시경제요인이 스포테인먼트 산업에 미치는 영향 - NIKE, Adidas 기업 주가를 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Hun-Il
    • Journal of Korea Entertainment Industry Association
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.99-113
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    • 2021
  • This study to verify the influence of the macroeconomic factors to sportainment industry and also to find the value of use. For this, 'Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA)', 'West Texas intermediate (WTI)', and 'Gold Price (GP)' were selected from macroeconomic factors, and the 'Stock Price' of NIKE and Adidas for sportainment industry factor. The transaction data for 20 years (5,285 trade days) were analyzed through a two-step extraction process. Durbin-Watson regression analysis was performed to prove the influence and predict. From these analyses, the first, the Macroeconomics factors were found to have a significant effect on the sportainment industry. The second, each different levels of regression equations were found by the time setting, the environmental characteristics of each time period, and mutual relation between factors. Finally, it was found that the regression equation between specific period can be used for the future prediction in sportainment industry.

The Effect of Inflation on the Financial and Investment Decisions of Individual Companies (인플레이션이 기업의 투자 및 자금조달 의사결정에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Kwang-Soo;Lee, Yu
    • Korean Business Review
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 2010
  • It is generally considered from the point of view of macroeconomics that inflation has an effect favorable to the owners of tangible assets in the allocation of assets and lightens the burden of debtors in the redemption of their liabilities. But, this effect of inflation has not yet been fully verified in the case of individual firms. Accordingly, in this article I will examine the effect of inflation on the financial and investment decisions of individual companies.

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The Effect of Heterogeneous Wage Contracts on Macroeconomic Volatility in a Financially Fragile Economy

  • Kim, Jongheuk
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.167-197
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    • 2017
  • I build a small open economy (SOE) dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model to investigate the effect of a heterogeneous wage contract between regular and temporary workers on a macroeconomic volatility in a financially fragile economy. The imperfect financial market condition is captured by a quadratic financial adjustment cost for borrowing foreign assets, and the labor market friction is captured by a Nash bargaining process which is only available to the regular workers when they negotiate their wages with the firms while the temporary workers are given their wage which simply equals the marginal cost. As a result of impulse responsesto a domestic productivity shock, the higher elasticity of substitution between two types of workers and the lower weight on the regular workers in the firm's production process induce the higher volatilities in most variables. This is reasoned that the higher substitutability creates more volatile wage determination process while the lower share of the regular workers weakens their Nash bargaining power in the contract process.

System Dynamics Modeling for the Generic Structure of Economic Growth and the Sustainable Endogenous Growth Theory (경제성장에 대한 본원적 구조와 지속가능 내생적 성장이론에 대한 시스템 다이내믹스 모델링)

  • Jeon, Dae-Uk;Kim, Ji-Soo
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.5-32
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    • 2009
  • This paper revisited the key advances on System Dynamics modeling about traditional macro-economic models and economic growth structures, and then tries to elaborate a new model based on the endogenous growth theory that incorporates new growth factors, relevant to knowledge/technology as well as the Environment, into traditional growth models. Accordingly, the new model augments the acceleration and multiplier loops and the balancing ones representing market clearing mechanism with a simple numerical example. The authors thus provides macroeconomic System Dynamics analysts with a milestone to model macro-economic structures reflecting on traditional and cutting-edge theories on sustainable economic growth and general equilibrium modeling.

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The Analysis on Social Happiness and Macroeconomics Variables (사회복지에 대한 거시경제 판단지수의 예측 가능성에 관한 소고(小考))

  • Kim, Jong-Kwon
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 2009.11a
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    • pp.387-397
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    • 2009
  • In these OECD countries, left-wingers Government focus on unemployment, but right-wingers Government cares more about inflation. It is that inflation and unemployment don't have differential effects across rich and poor and the happiness levels of these two groups are unaffected by identity of the Government in power. The poor people choose to left-wingers Government, but rich people prefer to right-wingers Government. I estimate whether above opinion is correct or not. Especially I check how my results change when I control for aggregate economy activity and government consumption, two variables that could be correlated with inflation and unemployment and affect each Government's happiness differentially. This paper, and I believe much of the happiness literature, can be understood as an application of experienced utility, a conception that emphasis the pleasures derived from private consumption and sentiment of it. In Granger Causality test, private consumption sentiment index related with industrial production interactively in Korea. The business cycles affect on private consumption sentiment index.

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Investment and Business Cycles: Focusing on Firms' Capital Adjustment Costs

  • NAM, CHANGWOO
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.44 no.1
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    • pp.77-98
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    • 2022
  • This paper empirically verifies that the types of capital adjustment costs serve as an important mechanism in relation to investment decision-making after confirming that the investment dispersion of Korean firms is pro-cyclical and can affect business cycles. Specifically, it is found through empirical methods using corporate financial data that capital adjustment costs generally assumed to take a quadratic form in macroeconomics are asymmetric and irreversible in the Korean economy. In particular, capital adjustment costs are empirically proven to cause investment dispersion to expand given that the substitution effect of the marginal value to the marginal cost for one unit of investment in the inter-temporal investment decision is affected by that cost with regard to the resale of owned equipment assets, as opposed to new investments in equipment assets. We ultimately show, albeit indirectly, that investment dispersion can affect business cycles as capital adjustment costs influences investment decisions. What is implied is that the capital adjustment cost is not merely an exogenously deep parameter that fits the dynamics of business cycles in a macroeconomic model but could instead be a policy variable that can be endogenized through government policies.

Profitability and the Distance to Default: Evidence from Vietnam Securities Market

  • VU, Van Thuy Thi;DO, Nhung Hong;DANG, Hung Ngoc;NGUYEN, Tram Ngoc
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.53-63
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    • 2019
  • The paper examines the influence of profitability on distance to default (DD) in Vietnam securities market. The investigated sample consists of 211 companies listed on HOSE during 18 years from 2010 to 2017. We apply KMV model to calculate distance to default and use both macroeconomics factors and firm specific factors as independent variables. Using General Least Squared (GLS) method, we find evidence to confirm the positive relationship between profitability and distance to default. This result showed that, although profitability did not directly reflect the cash flow generated, a good profitable enterprise would be an important factor to help facilitate and generate cash flow and at the same time debt was guaranteed when it was due. Besides, the test results revealed that the financial structure and sales on assets have the inverse effect on the distance to default at the significance level of 5%. The results also revealed that a group of macro factors had an influence on the distance to default of businesses, including spread, GDP and trade balance (via exchange rates). Gross domestic income had certain impacts on the distance to default of businesses. This was also a basic indicator measuring the national economic cycle.

Preventing Capital Flight to Reach Lucrative Investment In Indonesia

  • BASORUDIN, Muhammad;KUSMARYO, R. Dwi Harwin;RACHMAD, Sri Hartini
    • Asian Journal of Business Environment
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: This study aims to analyze the effect of macroeconomic and non-macroeconomic determinants of capital flight. Research design, data and methodology: With five determinants, this survey was conducted by Eviews 10, and the ordinary least squares (OLS) as a statistical method was applied for examining the research hypothesis. The five determinants are a budget deficit, economic growth, inflation rate, the exchange rate, and sovereign rating. The capital flight measurement uses the World Bank residual approach. The data derive from the Central Bank of Indonesia, BPS-Statistics Indonesia, OECD, and Moody's Investor Service. Results: The result considers that economic growth, the exchange rate, and the sovereign rating will decrease capital flight. In addition, the budget deficit and the inflation rate will increase capital flight. The sovereign rating decreases capital flight bigger than the other determinants. In addition, the exchange rate is statistically significant. Conclusions: The most influential problem of capital flight in Indonesia is because of non-macroeconomics factor political issue, corruption, bad regulation, and others. That's why the investment climate in Indonesia is still not secure. We propose that the regime would have to amend the business rule for reducing capital, raising the investment climate, and demonstrating the creative industry.

How Indonesia Economics Works: Correlation Analysis of Macroeconomics in 2010 - 2019

  • OLILINGO, Fahruddin Zain;PUTRA, Aditya Halim Perdana Kusuma
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.8
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    • pp.117-130
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to provide benefits and ethically-rooted managerial implications based on theoretical underpinnings through an empirical study using correlation between wages, bank credit, government expenditure on economic growth, and employment via a case study in Indonesia. Besides that, managerial implications strive to provide benefits to the government regarding the importance of establishing effective and pro-development regulations to realize economic growth and employment through the efficient role of wages, bank credit, and government spending. This study uses secondary macroeconomic data from the period 2010-2019 with analysis using the correlation test with the Pearson correlation method. Out of eight hypotheses tested, two hypotheses do not have a significant correlation. The details of the statistical results obtained the following correlations: the correlation between bank credit and wages has a significant, but indirect (negative) correlation. However, the correlation between bank credit and economic growth has a direct and significant (positive) correlation. Government expenditure correlates positively with wages, but correlates negatively with bank credit. Wages are positively correlated with economic growth, but have no significant effect on employment. Finally, economic growth has a positive correlation with government expenditure, but does not have a significant correlation with employment.

The Impact of Financial Integration on Economic Growth in Southeast Asia

  • Bong, Angkeara;Premaratne, Gamini
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.107-119
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    • 2019
  • This paper examines the impact of financial integration on economic growth in Southeast Asia over the period 1993-2013. This paper further investigates whether the relationship depends on the level of financial and economic development, government corruption, and macroeconomic policy. These questions raise important issues both from a theoretical and a policy perspective. We employ the generalized methods of moment (GMM) in the dynamic panel estimation framework to analyse several factors, including initial income, initial schooling, financial development, inflation, trade openness, corruption, and financial crisis. The study further analyzes the data using the EGLS model to examine the consistency of the GMM model. We found that financial integration has a significant positive effect on economic growth in Southeast Asia. Our findings suggest that increasing financial integration could improve the productive capacity of the economy, including more investments and efficient allocation of capital, and thus enhancing economic growth in this region. More specifically, the results suggest that the government should work towards eliminating corruption and stabilizing macroeconomics in order to enhance financial integration and economic growth. This paper sheds new insights on a better evaluation of the past and present theorizing on the subject of financial integration and economic growth; especially, in Southeast Asia.