• 제목/요약/키워드: M-estimation

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공동주택 난방방식별 전력에너지 소비량 추정모델 작성 연구 (A Study on the Estimation model of the Amount of the Electric Energy Consumption according to the Apartment Heating Type)

  • 이강희;양재혁;유우상
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.57-64
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    • 2010
  • Electric energy is indispensible of the development of the industrial and living sector. Among the energy sectors, the building area shares 20% of the produced electric power in Korea. As we plan to supply the apartment, we need to forecast the required amount of the electric energy and supply the infrastructure to apartment for the lighting, cooling. Nonetheless, it is not easy to forecast the required amount of the electric energy, considering the management aspect, building physical aspect and social-geographic aspect. In this paper, it studied the estimation model of the electric energy, reflecting the affecting variables such as total area, number of household, geography and so on. The estimation model is proposed in 3-types which explained in central heating, individual heating and district heating, and each type have two estimation model, reflecting the affecting variable and corelation between variables to eliminate the muticolinearity. The unit of electric energy consumption per area and year is similar in three heating type and the results are as follows; the central heating is $34.446kWh/yr{\cdot}m^2$, individual type is $35.756446kWh/yr{\cdot}m^2$ and district heating is $34.285446kWh/yr{\cdot}m^2$.

정규기상관측자료를 이용한 주간의 현열 플럭스 추정 (Estimation of Daytime Sensible Heat Flux using Routine Meteorological Data)

  • 이종범;김용국;박철용
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.109-114
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    • 2000
  • The purpose of the present study is to develope the estimation scheme for sensible heat flux by semi-empirical approach using routine meteorological data such as solar radiation and air temperature. To compare observed sensible heat flux with estimated sensible heat flux, the sensible heat fluxes were measured by three dimensional sonic anemometer-thermometer. The field observation was performed during 1 year from December 1, 1995 to November 30, 1996 on a rice paddy field in Chunchon basin. The heat fluxes were measured at a heights of 5m and mean meteorological variables were obtained at two levels, 2.5m(or 1.5m) and 10m. Since condition of rice paddy field such as, wetness of the field, roughness length, vary widely, we devided annual data to 5 periods. Comparing with two sensible heat fluxes, the results showed that the correlation coefficients were more than 0.86. Thus, we can conclude that the estimation method of sensible heat fluxes using routine meteorological data is practical and reliable enough.

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Individual Doses to the Public after the Fukushima Nuclear Accident

  • Ishikawa, Tetsuo
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • 제45권2호
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    • pp.53-68
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    • 2020
  • Background: International organizations such as the World Health Organization (WHO) and the United Nations Scientific Committee on the Effects of Atomic Radiation (UNSCEAR) reported public exposure doses due to radionuclides released in the Fukushima nuclear accident a few years after the event. However, the reported doses were generally overestimated due to conservative assumptions such as a longer stay in deliberate areas designated for evacuation than the actual stay. After these reports had been published, more realistic dose values were reported by Japanese scientists. Materials and Methods: The present paper reviews those reports, including the most recently published articles; and summarizes estimated effective doses (external and internal) and issues related to their estimation. Results and Discussion: External dose estimation can be categorized as taking two approaches-estimation from ambient dose rate and peoples' behavior patterns-and measurements using personal dosimeters. The former approach was useful for estimating external doses in an early stage after the accident. The first 4-month doses were less than 2 mSv for most (94%) study subjects. Later on, individual doses came to be monitored by personal dosimeter measurements. On the basis of these measurements, the estimated median annual external dose was reported to be < 1 mSv in 2011 for 22 municipalities of Fukushima Prefecture. Internal dose estimation also can be categorized as taking two approaches: estimation from whole-body counting and estimation from monitoring of environmental samples such as radioactivity concentrations in food and drinking water. According to results by the former approach, committed effective dose due to 134Cs and 137Cs could be less than 0.1 mSv for most residents including those from evacuated areas. Conclusion: Realistic doses estimated by Japanese scientists indicated that the doses reported by WHO and UNSCEAR were generally overestimated. Average values for the first-year effective doses for residents in two affected areas (Namie Town and Iitate Village) were not likely to reach 10 mSv, the lower end of the doses estimated by WHO.

수중 음향 채널에서 터보 복호기의 채널 신뢰도 추정에 관한 연구 (A study on channel reliability estimation of turbo decoder for underwater acoustic channel)

  • 정현우;정지원;김인수
    • 한국음향학회지
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    • 제41권4호
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    • pp.410-418
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    • 2022
  • 터보 부호화 같은 반복 부호에서 채널 신뢰도 추정은 시변하는 수중 음향 채널에서 성능 향상을 위한 중요한 요소로서, 부정확한 채널 신뢰도 추정은 오히려 성능을 더욱 악화시킨다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 시변 수중 음향 채널에서 부호화율 1/3을 가지는 터보 부호화된 Frequency Shift Keying(FSK) 신호의 최적의 채널 신뢰도 추정 방식을 분석하였다. 추정(Estimation Bit Error Rate, E-BER) 알고리즘은 복호된 데이터를 재부호화시켜 수신된 신호와의 차이를 산정하는 방식이며, 채널 신뢰도의 변화에 따른 E-BER을 구하여 최적의 채널 신뢰도를 결정할 수 있다. 성능 분석을 위해 문경의 호수에서 거리 300 m ~ 500 m의 이동성 실험을 하였으며, 데이터를 복호하지 못하는 패킷에 대해 최적의 채널 신뢰도를 추정하여 적용한 결과, 모두 복호하였음을 확인하였다.

The exponential generalized log-logistic model: Bagdonavičius-Nikulin test for validation and non-Bayesian estimation methods

  • Ibrahim, Mohamed;Aidi, Khaoula;Alid, Mir Masoom;Yousof, Haitham M.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.1-25
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    • 2022
  • A modified Bagdonavičius-Nikulin chi-square goodness-of-fit is defined and studied. The lymphoma data is analyzed using the modified goodness-of-fit test statistic. Different non-Bayesian estimation methods under complete samples schemes are considered, discussed and compared such as the maximum likelihood least square estimation method, the Cramer-von Mises estimation method, the weighted least square estimation method, the left tail-Anderson Darling estimation method and the right tail Anderson Darling estimation method. Numerical simulation studies are performed for comparing these estimation methods. The potentiality of the new model is illustrated using three real data sets and compared with many other well-known generalizations.

고속열차 주행 시 지진하중을 고려한 현수교의 주행안전성 및 승차감 분석 (Traffic Safety & Passenger Comforts of a Suspension Bridge Considering Seismic Loads)

  • 김성일;김동석
    • 한국철도학회논문집
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.57-65
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    • 2011
  • 교량을 주행하는 열차의 주행안전성과 승차감의 확보를 위해 Eurocode, 신간선 기준, 호남고속철도 설계지침 등에서는 교량의 연직변위, 연직가속도, 면틀림 등의 항목으로 제한하고 있다. 그러나 이와 같은 제한 기준은 교량 설계자의 편의를 위한 간접적인 방법이다. 또한 이와 같은 기준은 일반적인 경간(Eurocode의 경우 120m 이하)에 대한 제한 기준으로서, 이 이상의 장경간 교량의 경우에는 교량/열차 상호작용 해석 등에 의한 면밀한 검토를 제안하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 교량/열차 상호작용 해석을 수행하여 열차에서의 응답을 통해 교량 상을 주행하는 열차의 주행안전성 및 승차감을 직접적으로 평가하고자 하였다. 즉, 중앙경간 300m의 현수교를 주행하는 KTX 열차에 대하여 열차 내부의 가속도와 윤중감소율을 구해 평가하는 방법을 취하였다. 또한, 이동 열차하중과 지진하중이 동시에 작용할 경우를 고려한 교량/열차/지진 상호작용해석을 수행하여 지진 시의 응답을 평가하였다.

A COMPARATIVE EVALUATION OF THE ESTIMATORS OF THE 2-PARAMETER GENERALIZED PARETO DISTRIBUTION

  • Singh, V.P.;Ahmad, M.;Sherif, M.M.
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • 제4권3호
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    • pp.155-173
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    • 2003
  • Parameters and quantiles of the 2-parameter generalized Pareto distribution were estimated using the methods of regular moments, modified moments, probability weighted moments, linear moments, maximum likelihood, and entropy for Monte Carlo-generated samples. The performance of these seven estimators was statistically compared, with the objective of identifying the most robust estimator. It was found that in general the methods of probability-weighted moments and L-moments performed better than the methods of maximum likelihood estimation, moments and entropy, especially for smaller values of the coefficient of variation and probability of exceedance.

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Adaptive M-estimation using Selector Statistics in Location Model

  • Han, Sang-Moon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.325-335
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    • 2002
  • In this paper we introduce some adaptive M-estimators using selector statistics to estimate the center of symmetric and continuous underlying distributions. This selector statistics is based on the idea of Hogg(1983) and Hogg et. al. (1988) who used averages of some order statistics to discriminate underlying distributions. In this paper, we use the functions of sample quantiles as selector statistics and determine the suitable quantile points based on maximizing the distance index to discriminate distributions under consideration. In Monte Carlo study, this robust estimation method works pretty good in wide range of underlying distributions.

공동주택 시멘트 액체방수 공사의 현장분석을 통한 작업조 기반 품셈에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Work Crew Based for the Estimation from Construction Analysis of Cement Liquid Waterproofing in Apartment House)

  • 하기주;하민수
    • 한국건축시공학회지
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    • 제10권3호
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    • pp.121-128
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    • 2010
  • 본 연구에서는 건설공사의 합리적인 공사비 산정을 위하여 기존 표준품셈의 문제점을 개선하고, 새로운 적산 모델을 도입한 작업조 기반 표준품셈을 제안하고자 한다. 그리고 공동주택 시멘트 액체방수 공사를 대상으로 건설공사의 적산기술과 시공능력을 향상할 수 있도록 작업조구성과 시공프로세스를 체계화하였다. 또한 공동주택에서 욕실부분 시멘트 액체방수 공사를 대상으로 전용면적 $84{\sim}85m^2$, 전용면적 $125{\sim}184m^2$의 노무량 및 생산성을 분석하고 현행 표준품셈과 작업조 기반 품셈의 특징을 비교 분석하였다. 본 연구를 통하여 공동주택 시멘트 액체방수 공사의 현행 표준품셈과 작업조 기반 품셈을 서로 비교하였을 때, 전용면적 $84{\sim}85m^2$에서는 방수공은 평균 1.91~2.13배, 보통인부는 평균 8.82~9.52배의 차이가 있었다. 그리고 전용면적 $125{\sim}184m^2$에서는 방수공은 평균 1.89~2.07배, 보통인부는 평균 8.57~9.38배의 차이가 나타났다.

Outage Probability of Device-to-Device MIMO Relay Systems with Imperfect Channel Estimation

  • Wei, Liang wu;Shao, Shi Xiang
    • IEIE Transactions on Smart Processing and Computing
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.67-76
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    • 2013
  • Under an imperfect channel estimation, a Device-to-Device (D2D) communication framework based on MIMO relay technology is presented. The model consists of a D2D pair equipped with M antennas and a relay equipped with N antennas as well as a cellular user equipped with M antennas. The outage probability under different relaying protocols (i.e. AF and DF protocol) with and without considering a direct link was derived. The actual and theoretical outage probability of the five links under different antenna numbers was emulated. The number of user antennas and channel estimation error was analyzed carefully to determine their impact on the outage probability of a system. The simulation verified the theory analyses and the results showed that MIMO relaying improves the D2D communication system performance.

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