• Title/Summary/Keyword: Lotka-Volterra competition

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A Dynamic Analysis on the Competition Relationships in Korean Stock Market Using Lotka-Volterra Model (Lotka-Volterra 모형을 이용한 국내 주식시장의 경쟁관계 동태적 분석)

  • Lee, Sung Joon;Lee, Deok-Joo;Oh, Hyungsik
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.14-20
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    • 2003
  • The purpose of this paper is an attempt to analyze the dynamic relationship between KSE and KOSDAQ, two competing markets in Korean stock market, in the viewpoint of competition. Lotka-Volterra model, one of well-known competitive diffusion model, is adopted to represent the competitive situations of Korean stock market and it is estimated using daily empirical index data of KSE and KOSDAQ during 1997~2001. The results show that there existed a predator-prey relationship between two markets in which KSE acted as a predator right after the emergence of KOSDAQ. This interaction was altered to a symbiotic relationship and finally to the pure competition relationship. We also perform an equilibrium analysis of the estimated Lotka-Volterra equations and, as a result, it is found that there is a market index equilibrium point that would be stable in the latest relationship.

Forecasting of IMT-2000 Market Size using Modified Multi-generation Lotka-Volterra Model (변형된 다세대 Lotka-Volterra 모형을 적용한 IMT-2000 가입자 수요예측)

  • Kim, Yun-Bae;Kim, Jae-Beom;Lee, Hee-Sang
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.54-58
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    • 2001
  • In this study, we suggest a multi-generation Lotka-Volterra model, which is a competition model using game theory and complex system theory. The suggested model shows many improvements to weakness of a well known Bass model to forecast new technology in competitive markets. We show that the Lotka-Volterra model has strong power to forecast mobile communication services when it is used for competition of 1st generation mobile phone service and 2nd generation phone service in Korea. We finally use the model to forecast IMT-2000 service, the 3rd generation mobile communication service.

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GLOBAL ASYMPTOTIC STABILITY FOR A DIFFUSION LOTKA-VOLTERRA COMPETITION SYSTEM WITH TIME DELAYS

  • Zhang, Jia-Fang;Zhang, Ping-An
    • Bulletin of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.49 no.6
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    • pp.1255-1262
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    • 2012
  • A type of delayed Lotka-Volterra competition reaction-diffusion system is considered. By constructing a new Lyapunov function, we prove that the unique positive steady-state solution is globally asymptotically stable when interspecies competition is weaker than intraspecies competition. Moreover, we show that the stability property does not depend on the diffusion coefficients and time delays.

An analysis on the competition patterns between Paper-book and E-book using the Lotka-Volterra model (Lotka-Volterra 모형을 적용한 Paper-boook과 E-book의 경쟁관계 유형 분석)

  • Kim, Ka-Hee
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.11 no.12
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    • pp.4766-4773
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    • 2010
  • Electronic book(E-book) is a digitalized content which provides online service and digitalized text-based information that has been distributed in the form of Paper-book. E-book has been attracting people's attention in earnest since the Steven King's novel, 'Riding the Bullet' was published as a form of E-book in 2000. Since then, customers have paid attention to E-book, and the scale of E-book market has been growing sharply in Europe, China, Japan and Korea as well as the US. The purpose of this study is for actual analysis how Paper-book and E-book market compete with each other and expand into the world publication market. The relationship between Paper-book and E-book is modeled by the Lotka-Volterra Model designed for competitive relationships and estimate spreading curves. Also, competition patterns between Paper-book and E-book are analyzed by estimating coefficient of curve expression. This study shows the change of customers' demand which has been created since E-book was introduced to the publication market.

Application of Model of Plant Population Structure and Phenotypic Divergence

  • Huh, Man-Kyu
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.155-161
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    • 2011
  • In application and discussion of population structure and phenotypic divergence in plant community, the classic Lotka-Volterra models of competition and spatial model are conceived as a mechanism that is composed by multiple interacting processes. Both the Lotka-Volterra and spatial simulation formulae predict that species diversity increases with genotypic richness (GR). The two formulae are also in agreement that species diversity generally decreases within increasing niche breadth (NB) and increases with increasing potential genotypic range (PGR). Across the entire parameter space in the Lotka-Volterra model and most of the parameter space in the spatial simulations, variance in community composition decreased with increasing genotypic richness. This was, in large part, a consequence of selecting genotypes randomly from a set pool.

Forecasting Next Generation Technology Using Lotka-Volterra Competition Model and Factors for Technology Substitution (기술대체 영향요인과 Lotka-Volterra 경쟁 모형을 이용한 차세대 기술 예측)

  • Kim, Hyein;Jeong, Yujin;Yoon, Byungun
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.1262-1287
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    • 2017
  • Recently, forecasting for next-generation technologies have influenced the competitiveness of companies. However, in previous studies, only extract factors influencing the adoption of technology have been investigated. Also, there are few researches on the importance of each decision factors or the competition between technologies. In this research, Lotka-Volterra model is used to confirm the technological competition in the new technology choice timing when the competition is intensified due to the emergence of new technologies. For purpose of this study, estimate the LVC model based on the data of the past competition and then derived the factors affecting the technology of competition and substitution from the literature survey. After that, we confirmed the factor value between the past and the present technology competition. The difference between the factor values derived from the previous step is used to revise the model estimated from the past data base. At this stage, regression analysis is used to derive the importance of each factor and use it as the weight. Through the correction model, the competitiveness is identified through 1:1 comparison with competition candidate technology and existing dominant design technology. In this research, we quantitatively propose the possibility that a specific technology can become a dominant design in the next generation, based on the difference in factor values and importance. This results will help the company's R&D strategy and decision making.

Forecasting Model of Container Transshipment Traffic Volume in Northeast Asia (동북아시아 환적물동량 예측모델 연구)

  • Lee, Byoung-Chul;Kim, Yun-Bae
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.297-303
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    • 2011
  • Major ports in Northeastern Asia engage in fierce competition to attract transshipment traffic volume. Existing time series analyses for analyzing port competition relationships examine the types of competition and relations through the signs of coefficients in cointegration equations using the transshipment traffic volume results. However, there are cases for which analyzing competing relationships is not possible based on the results of the transshipment traffic volume data differences and limitations in the forecasting of traffic volume. Accordingly, we used the Lotka-Volterra (L-V) model,also known as the ecosystem competitive relation model, to analyze port competition relations for the long-term forecast of South Korean transshipment traffic volume.

STABILITY OF POSITIVE STEADY-STATE SOLUTIONS IN A DELAYED LOTKA-VOLTERRA DIFFUSION SYSTEM

  • Yan, Xiang-Ping;Zhang, Cun-Hua
    • Journal of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.49 no.4
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    • pp.715-731
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    • 2012
  • This paper considers the stability of positive steady-state solutions bifurcating from the trivial solution in a delayed Lotka-Volterra two-species predator-prey diffusion system with a discrete delay and subject to the homogeneous Dirichlet boundary conditions on a general bounded open spatial domain with smooth boundary. The existence, uniqueness and asymptotic expressions of small positive steady-sate solutions bifurcating from the trivial solution are given by using the implicit function theorem. By regarding the time delay as the bifurcation parameter and analyzing in detail the eigenvalue problems of system at the positive steady-state solutions, the asymptotic stability of bifurcating steady-state solutions is studied. It is demonstrated that the bifurcating steady-state solutions are asymptotically stable when the delay is less than a certain critical value and is unstable when the delay is greater than this critical value and the system under consideration can undergo a Hopf bifurcation at the bifurcating steady-state solutions when the delay crosses through a sequence of critical values.

Multi-group Competitive Dynamics Modeling and Analysis between Major Automakers in Korean Automobile Market (한국 자동차 시장 내 주요 기업간 다집단 경쟁 다이나믹스 모델링 및 분석)

  • Song, Young Han;Kim, Young;Jung, Gisun;Kim, Yun Bae
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.55-64
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    • 2020
  • Since the European Union-South Korea Free Trade Agreement entered into force in 2011, the Korean automobile market has grown rapidly, resulting in intensifying competition among companies in the market. European automakers gained price competitiveness, which intensified competition with Korean automakers. In such a situation, various studies on the Korean automobile market have been conducted, but studies such as market influencing factor analysis and consumer analysis have mainly been conducted, and there is no research on the analysis of competitive dynamics in the market. In this study, the competitive dynamics between Hyundai Motors, Kia Motors, Mercedes-Benz, and BMW, which are major automakers in the Korean automobile market, are analyzed. The competitive relationship between major automakers are modeled using the Lotka-Volterra (LV) model and the competitive dynamics over time are analyzed by applying the Moving Window. In order to explain the competitive dynamics effectively, we analyze it by subdividing it based on various influencing factors.

Forecasting of ADSL vs VDSL; by Using Lotka-Volterra Competition (LVC) Model

  • Cho, Byung-sun;Cho, Sang-Sup
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.213-227
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    • 2003
  • 초고속 인터넷 서비스는 사용자수의 증가와 더불어 고객의 다양한 욕구 즉 인터넷 방송, 주문형비디오(VOD)서비스, 원격교육, 고화질 TV 등 대용량의 멀티미디어 서비스에 대한 욕구가 폭발적으로 증가하고 있다. 이러한 욕구를 충족하기 위해서는 현재의 초고속 인터넷서비스로서는 속도에 대한 한계에 부딪치게 되어 통신사업자들은 새로운 기술 또는 여러 가지 기술적 대안들을 추구하고 있다. 2002년부터 시작하여 2003년 이후에는 멀티미디어 수요의 증가에 따라 ADSL을 대체하는 기술로 VDSL이 등장하여 매년 꾸준한 신규가입자 수요가 발생하고 있으나, 통신사업자들은 각각의 망 특성, 시장위치, 전략적 필요성 둥에 의해 상용화를 적극 검토,추진하고 있으나 각각 전개하는 방식은 조금씩 다르다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 통신사업자들의 가입자망 진화 전략에 대해 살펴 본 다음 Lot3n-Volterra Competition (LVC) 모델을 이용 ADSL 과 VDSL 두 기술간의 상호 경쟁 및 대체를 통해 어떻게 진화 되어가는지를 살펴보았다. 대표적인 통신사업자인 KT는 막강한 자금력을 바탕으로 시장 확대 및 경쟁사와의 차별화를 위해 VDSL 서비스 조기도입을 서두르고 있고, 하나로는 자금의 열세로 인한 ADSL 투자비를 회수 할때까지 VDSL 서비스를 연기하고 있는 실정이다. ADSL과 VDSL 두 기술의 관계는 Lotka-Volterra Competition (LVC) 모델을 이용한 시뮬레이션 결과를 통해 빠른 속도와 비슷한 가격대의 VDSL이 침략자(predator)로 기존 시장 지배자인 ADSL을 사냥감(prey)으로 빠른 속도로 대체해 나가는 것을 알 수 있었다.

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