• Title/Summary/Keyword: Longitudinal Trajectory

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Understanding and Application of Hierarchical Linear Model (위계적 선형모형의 이해와 활용)

  • Yu, Jeong Jin
    • Korean Journal of Child Studies
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.169-187
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    • 2006
  • A hierarchical linear model(HLM) provides advantages over existing traditional statistical methods (e.g., ordinary least squares regression, repeated measures analysis of variance, etc.) for analyzing multilevel/longitudinal data or diary methods. HLM can gauge a more precise estimation of lower-level effects within higher-level units, as well as describe each individual's growth trajectory across time with improved estimation. This article 1) provides scholars who study children and families with an overview of HLM (i.e., statistical assumptions, advantages/disadvantages, etc.), 2) provides an empirical study to illustrate the application of HLM, and 3) discusses the application of HLM to the study of children and families. In addition, this article provided useful information on available articles and websites to enhance the reader's understanding of HLM.

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Robust Tracker Design Method Based on Multi-Trajectories of Aircraft

  • Kim, Eung-Tai;Andrisani, D. II
    • International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.39-49
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    • 2002
  • This paper presents a robust tracker design method that is specific to the trajectories of target aircraft. This method assumes that representative trajectories of the target aircraft are available. The exact trajectories known to the tracker enables the incorporation of the exact data in the tracker design instead of the measurement data. An estimator is designed to have acceptable performance in tracking a finite number of different target trajectories with a capability to trade off the mean and maximum errors between the exact trajectories and the estimated or predicted trajectories. Constant estimator gains that minimize the cost functions related to the estimation or prediction error are computed off-line from an iterative algorithm. This tracker design method is applied to the longitudinal motion tracking of target aircraft.

Design of Diaphragm of Prestressed Concrete Box Bridge by Strut-Tie Model (스트럿-타이 모델에 의한 프리스트레스트 콘크리트 박스교 격벽부의 상세 설계)

  • 선민호;김영훈;송하원;변근주
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 1998.11a
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    • pp.39-46
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    • 1998
  • This paper is about design for diaphragm of prestressed concrete box bridge using strut-tie model. In this paper, equivalent loads for the diaphragm are computed by considering loading conditions on continuous prestressed concrete box bridge and analyses for both longitudinal section and transverse section of the diaphragm an done by considering the equivalent loading and the prestressing. Based on principal stress trajectory obtained from the analyses, strut-tie model for each sections are constructed. By analyzing the constructed strut-tie model for each sections, the amounts and the locations of reinforcement for the diaphragm are obtained. The application of strut-tie model in this paper shows that the design by soul-tie model for the diaphragm of prestressed concrete box bridges can be rationally performed.

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Numerical Study on Characteristics of Gas Leakage in an Underground Combined Cycle Power Plant (지하 복합발전 플랜트 내부의 가스 누출 특성에 대한 수치해석 연구)

  • Bang, Joo Won;Sung, Kun Hyuk;Ryou, Hong Sun;Lee, Seong Hyuk
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.594-600
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    • 2016
  • The present study numerically investigated the gas leakage characteristics in a simplified underground combined cycle power plant. The effect of obstacles near a crack location on the gas concentration in the confined space was analyzed by using the lower flammable limit (LFL) of methane gas. When the jet flow was close to the vertical walls, the longitudinal leakage distance increased by about 60% (when an obstacles was present) compared to the case without any obstacle, because these obstacles prevented transverse flows. In addition, when an air filter was installed near to the trajectory of the gas flow, the longitudinal leakage distance was similar to the distance between the crack and obstacle, whereas the transverse leakage distance increased up to 8 times compared to the case without any obstacle. As the jet flow impacts on the obstacle and changes its direction, the gas flows recirculate. Therefore, it is necessary to consider the effect of the structure and facility locations on the trajectory of the jet flow to propose an accident prevention system in confined spaces.

Influence of elderly drinkers' subjective health perception on the change in the trajectory of depression (음주노인의 주관적 건강인식이 우울 변화 궤적에 미치는 영향)

  • Park, Gyu-Hee;Heo, Won Gu
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.10
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    • pp.509-519
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    • 2016
  • This study intends to examine how the subjective health perception of drinkers influences the depression trajectory change by using longitudinal data for elderly drinkers. This study has set up a balanced panel by combining the results from "Aging study panel research" conducted in the year 2006 (1st), 2008 (2nd), 2010 (3rd), 2012 (4th). A total of 543 elderly drinkers, who have responded to each research have been selected as targets for the final analysis. In the analyses, descriptive statistics and Latent Growth Modeling were conducted to examine the causal relationship between the observed and latent variables. The results are as follows: First, it was found that there was a negative correlation-with statistical significance-between the initial value of subjective health perception and the initial status of depression symptom. Second, there was a positive correlation between the initial value of subjective health perception and the changes of depression symptom. This indicates that elderly drinkers with high health perception usually have high degree of depression change; however, this does not mean it was statistically significant. Third, there was a statistically significant correlation between subjective health perception change and depression symptom change. It was found that the depression change level would be low if the subjective health perception change level was high. Thus, we can assume that the depression symptoms of elderly drinker c would slow down if the subjective health perception level increases.

A Study of Longitudinal Changes in Mother-Child Interaction and its Effect on Media Device Addiction (모-자녀 상호작용 변화 양상에 따른 자녀의 미디어 기기 중독 차이)

  • Yeon, Eun Mo;Choi, Hyo-Sik
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.12
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    • pp.346-353
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study was to explore types of longitudinal changes in interactions between mothers and 4-year-old children in primary school as well as the effects on media device addiction. To explore interaction types between mothers and children, latent class growth modeling (LCGM) and BCH were used in a three-step approach. Data from the 6-10th wave of the Panel Study of Korea Children were used. First, the trajectory of the mother-child interactions was linear and decreased across time. This linear decrease was classified into the following three trajectories: high-decreasing, average-deceasing, and low-decreasing. Second, BCH was performed to examine media device addiction in each trajectory, and the findings show that children who had low initial mother-child interactions over time were more likely to experience daily disturbances in adaptive functions such as withdraw or tolerance than other groups of children. The results indicate that maximizing the quality of mother-child interactions in childhood through primary school can lower media device addiction in children.

Longitudinal Dynamic Relationships of Delinquent Peers and Delinquency Trajectories (비행또래집단과 청소년비행 간의 종단적인 역동적 관계)

  • Chung, Ick-Joong;Lee, Eun-Ju
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare Studies
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    • v.41 no.1
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    • pp.119-144
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    • 2010
  • This study advances the knowledge of developmental patterns in affiliation with delinquent peers and delinquency during adolescence; data were obtained from waves 1-5 (2003-2007) of the Korea Youth Panel Survey. Semi-parametric group-based modeling (SGM) identified 3 affiliative trajectories of delinquent peers from age 13 to 16: rarely or never, persistently affiliative, and declining groups; and five developmental trajectories of delinquency: non-offending, late onset, low-level continuous, desisting, and chronic groups. A joint trajectory analysis predicted the membership of delinquency trajectories conditional on delinquent peer trajectories. Persistently affiliative group was more likely than others to follow chronic trajectory of delinquency; the rarely or never affiliative group was more likely to be non-offending. This study may help reconcile different theoretical models such as influence, selection, and enhancement models with respect to the role of delinquent peers in delinquency. The distinct theoretical models are equally valid, albeit each model pertains to a specific aspect of longitudinal patterns of affiliation with delinquent peers. Implications of this study for youth welfare were discussed to reduce increased risks for both affiliation with delinquent peers and delinquency.

Identifying and Predicting Adolescent Smoking Trajectories in Korea (청소년기 흡연 발달궤적 변화와 예측요인)

  • Chung, Ick-joong
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare Studies
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    • no.39
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    • pp.5-28
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study is two-fold: 1) to identify different adolescent smoking trajectories in Korea; and 2) to examine predictors of those smoking trajectories within a social developmental frame. Data were from the Korea Youth Panel Survey(KYPS), a longitudinal study of 3,449 youths followed since 2003. Using semi-parametric group-based modeling, four smoking trajectories were identified: non initiators, late onsetters, experimenters, and escalators. Multinomial logistic regressions were then used to identify risk and protective factors that distinguish the trajectory groups from one another. Among non smokers at age 13, late onsetters were distinguished from non initiators by a variety of factors in every ecological domain. Among youths who already smoked at age 13, escalators who increased their smoking were distinguished from experimenters who almost desisted from smoking by age 17 by self-esteem and academic achievement. Finally, implications for youth welfare practice from this study were discussed.

Classification of latent classes and analysis of influencing factors on longitudinal changes in middle school students' mathematics interest and achievement: Using multivariate growth mixture model (중학생들의 수학 흥미와 성취도의 종단적 변화에 따른 잠재집단 분류 및 영향요인 탐색: 다변량 성장혼합모형을 이용하여)

  • Rae Yeong Kim;Sooyun Han
    • The Mathematical Education
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    • v.63 no.1
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    • pp.19-33
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    • 2024
  • This study investigates longitudinal patterns in middle school students' mathematics interest and achievement using panel data from the 4th to 6th year of the Gyeonggi Education Panel Study. Results from the multivariate growth mixture model confirmed the existence of heterogeneous characteristics in the longitudinal trajectory of students' mathematics interest and achievement. Students were classified into four latent classes: a low-level class with weak interest and achievement, a high-level class with strong interest and achievement, a middlelevel-increasing class where interest and achievement rise with grade, and a middle-level-decreasing class where interest and achievement decline with grade. Each class exhibited distinct patterns in the change of interest and achievement. Moreover, an examination of the correlation between intercepts and slopes in the multivariate growth mixture model reveals a positive association between interest and achievement with respect to their initial values and growth rates. We further explore predictive variables influencing latent class assignment. The results indicated that students' educational ambition and time spent on private education positively affect mathematics interest and achievement, and the influence of prior learning varies based on its intensity. The perceived instruction method significantly impacts latent class assignment: teacher-centered instruction increases the likelihood of belonging to higher-level classes, while learner-centered instruction increases the likelihood of belonging to lower-level classes. This study has significant implications as it presents a new method for analyzing the longitudinal patterns of students' characteristics in mathematics education through the application of the multivariate growth mixture model.

A Study on the Longitudinal Structural Relationship among Internet Use for Learning, Game Use, and Perceived Academic Achievement (학습을 위한 인터넷 사용, 게임사용 및 지각된 학업성취도의 종단적 구조 관계 연구)

  • Heo, Gyun
    • Journal of The Korean Association of Information Education
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.245-253
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study is to find out the structural relations among the changing of internet use for learning, online game use, and perceived achievement. To complete this study, we set three research models and verified our hypotheses from the research models. We used Korean Youth Panel Study (KYPS) data, which surveyed beginning with fourth grade 2,844 elementary school students. We discovered that (a) there was a statically significant individual variability in initial levels and rates of change in internet use for learning. The change of trajectory was declined. (b) We also found out both initial state and changing rate of internet use for learning positively affect perceived academic achievement. (c) Lastly our study found both the concurrent and lag effects support the developmental relation between internet use for learning and game use in young adolescents.

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