• 제목/요약/키워드: Local Regression Rate

검색결과 202건 처리시간 0.028초

제주지역 호텔이용률에 영향을 미치는 결정요인 분석 (Analysis on the Determinants of Hotel Occupancy Rate in Jeju Island)

  • 류강민;송기욱
    • 토지주택연구
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    • 제9권4호
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    • pp.10-18
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    • 2018
  • As the volatility increasement of the number of tourist, there was been controversy over supply-demand imbalance in hotel market. The purpose of this study is to analysis on determinants of hotel occupancy rate in Jeju Island. The quantitative method is based on cointegrating regression, using an empirical dataset with hotel from 2000 to 2017. The primary results of research is briefly summarized as follows; First, there are high relationship between total hotel occupancy rate and hotel occupancy of foreign tourist. The volatility of hotel occupancy is caused by foreigner user than local tourists though local tourist high propotion of hotel occupancy in Jeju Island. Second, hotel occupancy of local tourist has not relationship with demand and supply variables. Because some hotel users are not local tourists but local resident, and effects to other variables of hotel consumer trend, accommodation such as Guest house, Airbnb. Third, there are high relationship between foreign hotel occupancy rate and demand-supply variables. These research imply that total management of supply-demand is very important to seek stability of hotel occupancy rate in Jeju Island. Also it can provide a useful solution regarding mismatch problem between supply-demand as well as development the systematic forecasting model for hotel market participants.

고령화 현상의 공간적 패턴 변화와 지역특성과의 관계 분석 (Analysis on Spatial Pattern Changes of Aging Phenomenon and Relation between Aging Population and Regional Characteristics)

  • 이지민
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.139-146
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    • 2016
  • Aging phenomenon is an important issue in Korea national policy. This aging phenomenon depends on the social and environmental characteristics of regions. Also aging phenomenon and regional characteristics have spatial dependency. The purpose of this study is to discover the spatial changes in aging population rate and to find local factors of regional aging phenomenon considering spatial autocorrelation. For spatial analysis of ageing phenomenon, local Moran's I and Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) were applied. As the results, the most significant changes of aging phenomenon appeared between 2000 and 2005, and most of hot-spot regions (aged regions) were distributed in Jullanam-do and Jullabuk-do. The results of GWR (R-square: 0.681) shows that total fertility rate, the number of doctor per 1,000 people and forest area rate have positive relation with aging population rate, but the number of private academy per 1,000 people has negative relation.

척색종의 방사선 치료 (Radiation Therapy of a Chordoma of the Thoracic Vertebra -A Case Report and Review of Literatures-)

  • 김주영;최명선
    • Radiation Oncology Journal
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.295-300
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    • 1988
  • Chordoma is a malignant tumor arising from the primitive notochord involving the axial skeleton. It usually occurs at sacrococcygeal and besisphenoidal area but only rarely does at other vertebral areas, especially at the thoracic vertebrae. It has a slow growth rate and is locally aggressive with an extremely high rate of local recurrence. Either surgery or radiation alone often fails to cure the disease and the local failure is the main cause of treatment failure and death. Overall 5 year survival rate is less than $10\%$. Useful palliation or occasional cure can be obtained by the combination of surgery and radiotherapy. After incomplete resection, the tumor requires radiation dose of 7,000 cGy or more over 6-7 weeks for local control. Tumor regression is slow in response to irradiation and continuation of the regression for several months after completion of RT is not unusual. We report a case of chordoma of the thoracic vertebra, the site of extreme rarity, which showed good local control after partial resection and radiation therapy. He is well and alive without any evidence of recurrence after 13 months of treatment with near complete tumor regression.

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우리나라의 지역 특성이 지역 경제 성장에 미치는 요인과 영향 분석 (Analyzing Factors and Impacts of Regional Characteristics to Regional Economic Growth in South Korea)

  • 김근영
    • 도시과학
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.41-49
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    • 2020
  • This study analyzed the factors affecting economic growth using multiple regression model and Geographically Weighted Regression in consideration of population, industry and employment, housing and political characteristics on economic growth by region. The analysis results are summarized as follows. First, the total employment growth rate, manufacturing employment growth rate, local election turnout and the level of party consensus between the central and local governments are having a positive impact on regional economic growth. Second, according to the GWR analysis, the population has a positive impact on economic growth in the southern region of Korea, and the increase in the total number of employees has a positive impact on the southern region of Gyeonggi Province, Gangwon Province, North Chungcheong Province and North Gyeongsang Province. Finally, the voter turnout of urbanites is positively affecting economic growth in South Chungcheong Province, Gangwon Province and the southern coast, while North Jeolla and South Jeolla provinces have a positive impact on economic growth as the parties of the central and local governments are equal. The results of this study may suggest the role of local government for regional economic development.

국부연소 현상을 고려한 하이브리드로켓의 성능예측 기법연구 (Performance Prediction Method of Hybrid Rocket Motors with Local Variance of Combustion)

  • 조민경;허준영;박형주;김진곤;문희장;성홍계
    • 한국추진공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국추진공학회 2009년도 제33회 추계학술대회논문집
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    • pp.517-521
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    • 2009
  • 본 연구에서는 연소실의 축방향 압력과 속도변화를 도출할 수 있는 비정상 내탄도 해석모델을 개발하고 이를 바탕으로 산화제 변화에 따른 연소실 압력분포 변화를 해석할 수 있다. 개발 모델 검증을 위하여 연소실 전후단의 압력을 측정한 실험결과와 해석결과를 비교하여 실험과 해석결과가 유사함을 확인하였다. 하류방향으로 산화제 유량이 변하고 이는 연소실 압력 및 후퇴율, 연소가스 유속의 변화에 영향을 미침을 고찰하였다.

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지방정부 사회복지비 지출수준의 결정요인 분석 (Determinants of the Social Welfare Expenditure in Local Government)

  • 김교성;이재완
    • 한국사회복지학
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    • 제41권
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    • pp.68-92
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    • 2000
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the determinants of social welfare expenditure in local government. The period of 1995 through 1998 data in Seoul, 6 other metropolitan areas, and 9 provinces (Do) were selected and pooled as unit of analysis and total 8 independent variables were selected based on the theoretical background and previous studies. The pooled cross-sectional time-series regression using SPSS program was adapted for the analysis. Among selected independent variables, the rate of economic expenditure to the local government expenditure, the rate of financial self-reliance, and the increase rate of social welfare expenditure to the previous year has been played a significant role in the rate of social welfare expenditure to the total expenditure. Both the rate of economic expenditure and rate of financial self-reliance have had a negative impacts on the rate of social welfare expenditure and the increase rate of social welfare expenditure have affected the rate of social welfare expenditure positively. Therefore, the variables based on the economic constraint theory as well as incrementalism perspective gives greater explanatory power of the social welfare expenditure than the variables on the political choice theory in Korean local government.

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비연소성 다이아프램의 설치 위치에 따른 하이브리드 연소기의 연소 특성 연구 (A Study on Combustion Characteristic of the Hybrid Combustor with Non-Combustible Diaphragm Position)

  • 김학철;문근환;문희장;성홍계;김진곤
    • 한국추진공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국추진공학회 2012년도 제38회 춘계학술대회논문집
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    • pp.163-166
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    • 2012
  • 본 연구에서는 비연소성 다이아프램의 설치 위치에 따른 하이브리드 연소기의 후퇴율 및 연소효율 특성에 관한 연소실험을 수행하였다. 고체 연료의 전방으로부터 25%, 50%에 설치하였을 때 설치 위치에 따른 후퇴율 및 연소 효율은 큰 차이가 없었으며 다이아프램 설치로 인한 효과는 국부적인 영향을 주었을 것으로 판단된다.

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빅 데이터를 활용한 대학의 지역·권역별 학과의 미충원 파급구조 연구: 패널회귀모형과 토빗회귀모형의 응용을 중심으로 (A Study on the Dissemination Structure of Unfilled Positions in Universities Across the Country using Big Data: Using Panel and Tobit Regression Model)

  • 채동우;정군오
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • 제30권1호
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    • pp.33-52
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    • 2023
  • This study observes the difference in the actual regional ripple effect of the decrease in admission resources due to the decrease in school age population, which has been weak in empirical studies, and how much the decrease in competition rate by department nationwide provides a significant shock to the decrease in enrollment rate in the population unit. An empirical quantitative analysis was attempted. As a result of applying the panel-tobit regression model, a clear gap was confirmed in the decrease in the registration rate due to the decrease in the competition rate both nationally and in the provinces, and in particular, a highly significant relationship was derived with the decrease in the recruitment rate. In particular, the sensitivity of the risk of unrecruitment due to a decrease in competition rate was the highest in the Jeolla region (0.499), followed by the Gangwon region (0.475) and the Gyeongsang region (0.471), and the metropolitan region (0.158) was confirmed to be the most stable. This suggests that the gap in insufficient funding has gradually widened by region over the past 10 years, and that the shock wave becomes more pronounced in the provinces farther away from the metropolitan area. Based on this study, if we deviate from the standardized application of university development policies for the metropolitan area and regional universities, and present a customized higher education strategy for each region, it will be an opportunity to prevent local extinction due to a decrease in the school-age population and achieve coexistence with higher education institutions and regions at the same time.

A Local Linear Kernel Estimator for Sparse Multinomial Data

  • Baek, Jangsun
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.515-529
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    • 1998
  • Burman (1987) and Hall and Titterington (1987) studied kernel smoothing for sparse multinomial data in detail. Both of their estimators for cell probabilities are sparse asymptotic consistent under some restrictive conditions on the true cell probabilities. Dong and Simonoff (1994) adopted boundary kernels to relieve the restrictive conditions. We propose a local linear kernel estimator which is popular in nonparametric regression to estimate cell probabilities. No boundary adjustment is necessary for this estimator since it adapts automatically to estimation at the boundaries. It is shown that our estimator attains the optimal rate of convergence in mean sum of squared error under sparseness. Some simulation results and a real data application are presented to see the performance of the estimator.

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Estimation of long memory parameter in nonparametric regression

  • Cho, Yeoyoung;Baek, Changryong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제26권6호
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    • pp.611-622
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    • 2019
  • This paper considers the estimation of the long memory parameter in nonparametric regression with strongly correlated errors. The key idea is to minimize a unified mean squared error of long memory parameter to select both kernel bandwidth and the number of frequencies used in exact local Whittle estimation. A unified mean squared error framework is more natural because it provides both goodness of fit and measure of strong dependence. The block bootstrap is applied to evaluate the mean squared error. Finite sample performance using Monte Carlo simulations shows the closest performance to the oracle. The proposed method outperforms existing methods especially when dependency and sample size increase. The proposed method is also illustreated to the volatility of exchange rate between Korean Won for US dollar.