• Title/Summary/Keyword: Load prediction equations

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Repairable k-out-n system work model analysis from time response

  • Fang, Yongfeng;Tao, Webliang;Tee, Kong Fah
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.775-783
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    • 2013
  • A novel reliability-based work model of k/n (G) system has been developed. Unit failure probability is given based on the load and strength distributions and according to the stress-strength interference theory. Then a dynamic reliability prediction model of repairable k/n (G) system is established using probabilistic differential equations. The resulting differential equations are solved and the value of k can be determined precisely. The number of work unit k in repairable k/n (G) system is obtained precisely. The reliability of whole life cycle of repairable k/n (G) system can be predicted and guaranteed in the design period. Finally, it is illustrated that the proposed model is feasible and gives reasonable prediction.

Creep Life Prediction of Elevated Temperature Materials for Pressure Vessel by ISM (ISM에 의한 압력용기용 고온재료의 크리프 수명예측)

  • Kong, Y.S.;Kim, H.K.;Oh, S.K.;Lim, H.K.
    • Journal of Power System Engineering
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.40-47
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, friction welding optimization for 1Cr0.5Mo-STS304 (${\phi}14\;mm$), AE applications for the weld quality evaluation and the applications of various life prediction methods such as LMP (Larson-Miller Parameter) and ISM (initial strain method) were investigated : The creep behaviors of those steels and the friction welded joints under static load were examined by ISM combined with LMP at 400, 500, 550 and $600^{\circ}C$, and the relationship between these two kinds of phenomena was studied. The real-time predicting equations of elevated-temperature creep life (rupture time) under any creep stress at any elevated-temperature could be developed by LMP and LMP-ISM. It was confirmed that the life prediction equations by LMP and LMP-ISM are effective only up to 102 h and can not be used for long times of 103-106 h, but by ISM it can be used for long times creep prediction of more than 104 h with most reliability.

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Creep Life Prediction by ISM of Elevated Temperature Materials for Pressure Vessel(II) (압력용기용 고온재료의 ISM에 의한 크리프 수명예측(II))

  • 공유식;김헌경;황성필;김일석;오세규
    • Proceedings of the Korea Committee for Ocean Resources and Engineering Conference
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    • 2001.05a
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    • pp.307-313
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    • 2001
  • In this Paper, friction welding optimization for 1Cr0.5Mo-STS304($\Phi$14mm), AE applications for the weld quality evaluation and the applications of various life prediction methods such as LMP(Larson-Miller Parameter) and ISM(initial strain method) were investigated : the creep behaviors of those steels and the friction welded joints under static load were examined by ISM combined with LMP at 400, 500, 550 and $600^{\circ}C$, and the relationship between these two kinds of phenomena was studied. The real-time predicting equations of elevated-temperature creep life(fracture time) under any creep stress at any elevated- temperature could be developed by LMP and LMP-ISM, It was confirmed that the life prediction equations by LMP and LMP-ISM are effective only up to 10$^2$hrs and can not be used for long times of 10$^3$-10$^{6}$ hrs, but by ISM it can be used for long times creep prediction of more than 10$^4$hrs with most reliability.

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A Study on Prediction of Power Consumption Rate for Heating and Cooling load of School Building in Changwon City (창원시 학교 건축물의 냉난방부하에 대한 전력 소비량 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Hyo-Seok;Choi, Jeong-Min;Cho, Sung-Woo
    • The Journal of Sustainable Design and Educational Environment Research
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.19-27
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    • 2012
  • This study was carried out in order to establish the estimation equation for school power consumption using regression analysis based on collected power consumption for two years of weather data and schools are located in Central Changwon and Masan district in Changwon city. (1) The power consumption estimation equation for Heating and cooling is calculated using power consumption per unit volume, the difference between actual power consumption and results of estimation equations is 4.1%. (2) The power consumption estimation equation for heating load is showed 2.6% difference compared to actual power consumption in Central Changwon and is expressed 2.9% difference compared to that in Masan district. Therefore, the power consumption prediction for each school using the power consumption estimation equation is possible. (3) The power consumption estimation equation for cooling load is showed 8.0% difference compared to actual power consumption in Central Changwon and is expressed 2.9% compared to that in Masan district. As the power consumption estimation equation for cooling load is expressed difference compared to heating load, it needs to investigate influence for cooling load.

Rediction of Stage Efficiency Variation of a USC High Pressure Steam Turbine by Computational Fluid Dynamics (유동해석을 이용한 고압증기터빈 단효율 변화 예측)

  • Kang, Soo Young;Jang, Hyuck Jun;Lee, Jeong Jin;Kim, Tong Seop;Park, Seong Jin;Hong, Gi Won
    • The KSFM Journal of Fluid Machinery
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.17-25
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    • 2017
  • Prediction of performance and operating characteristics of a state-of-the-art ultra-supercritical (USC) steam turbine is an important issue in many ways. Theoretical and empirical correlation equations, developed a few decades ago, have been widely used in commercial programs for a prediction of performance. To improve of these correlation equations and apply them to the high pressure turbine of a USC steam turbine, computational fluid dynamic analysis was carried out and correlation equations to calculate efficiency variation of each stage were made. Both fluid dynamic characteristic and thermodynamic performance was analyzed for the development of the correlation equations. In particular, the impact of flow addition through an overload valve (OLV) between stages was examined throughly. The trend of pressure drop due to the flow mixing by the OLV flow addition was analyzed and an efficiency correlation equation considering the OLV flow was also made.

Development of a fatigue life Prediction Program for the Hub Bearing Unit (허브 베어링 유닛 수명 예측 프로그램 개발)

  • Hwang Chul-Ha;Jun Kab-Jin;Yoon Ji-Won;Park Tae-Won;Kim Seung-Hak;Yi Kyung-Don
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.142-151
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    • 2005
  • To predict the fatigue life of the Hub Bearing Unit(HBU), preload effect and initial axial clearance have to be considered. Various theory and equations for the HBU design used in the passenger car are well developed in many literatures. But most design hand book for bearings or bearing catalogues do not consider the initial axial clearance and preload effect. So there are limits and difficulties to use those data in actual bearing design. To consider the preload effect and initial axial clearance, complex elliptic integrals and nonlinear equations are involved. These equations are difficult to solve during the design process. In order to solve these problems effectively, a program is developed to solve these equations reliably and to help the designer in obtaining the performance data of the HBU such as load distribution, maximum contact stress and fatigue life. The preprocessor of the program helps users to prepare the input data through a dialog box and the post processor makes graphical presentation of the result. In this paper, theoretical and numerical background for the prediction of the fatigue life of the HBU is explained. A simple example is presented to show the usefulness of developed program.

Air Compressibility Effect in CFD-based Water Impact Analysis (CFD 기반 유체충격 해석에서 공기 압축성 효과)

  • Tran, Huu Phi;Ahn, Hyung-Taek
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.48 no.6
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    • pp.581-591
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    • 2011
  • This paper describes the air compressibility effect in the CFD simulation of water impact load prediction. In order to consider the air compressibility effect, two sets of governing equations are employed, namely the incompressible Navier-stokes equations and compressible Navier-Stokes equations that describe general compressible gas flow. In order to describe violent motion of free surface, volume-of-fluid method is utilized. The role of air compressibility is presented by the comparative study of water impact load obtained from two different air models, i.e. the compressible and incompressible air. For both cases, water is considered as incompressible media. Compressible air model shows oscillatory behavior of pressure on the solid surface that may attribute to the air-cushion effect. Incompressible air model showed no such oscillatory behavior in the pressure history. This study also showed that the CFD simulation can capture the formation of air pockets enclosed by water and solid surface, which may be the location where the air compressibility effect is dominant.

Comparison of Rolling Element Loads and Stress-based Fatigue Life Predictions for Ball Bearings (볼 베어링의 전동체 기반 및 응력 기반 접촉 피로수명의 비교)

  • Kwak, Jae Seob;Park, Yong Whan;Kim, Chan Jung;Kim, Tae Wan
    • Tribology and Lubricants
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.371-377
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    • 2020
  • In In this study, we compared the results of a ball bearing life prediction model based on rolling element loads with the results of fatigue life prediction of ball bearings when a stress-based contact fatigue life prediction technique is applied to the ball bearing. We calculate the load acting on each rolling element by the external load of the bearing and apply the result to the Lundberg-Palmgren (LP) theory to calculate ball bearing life based on the rolling element. We also calculate stress-based ball bearing life through contact and fatigue analyses based on contact modeling of the ball and raceway while considering the fatigue test results of AISI 52100 steel. In stress-based life prediction, we use three high-cycle fatigue-determination equations that can predict the fatigue life when multi-axis proportional loads such as rolling-slide contact conditions are applied. These equations are derived from the stress invariant and critical plane methods and the mesoscopic approach. Life expectancy results are compared with those of the LP model. Results of the analysis indicated that the fatigue life was predicted to be lower in the order of the Crossland, Dang Van, and Matake models. Of the three, the Dang Van fatigue model was found to be the closest to the LP life.

Estimation of Ultimate Bearing Capacity of SCP and GCP Reinforced Clay for Laboratory Load Test Data (SCP 및 GCP 개량 점성토지반의 실내재하시험에 대한 극한지지력 산정 방법 개발)

  • Bong, Tae-Ho;Kim, Byoung-Il;Han, Jin-Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.37-47
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    • 2018
  • In this study, 34 laboratory load test data were collected, and analyzed to propose the equations for predicting ultimate bearing capacity of sand compaction pile (SCP) and gravel compaction pile (GCP) reinforced clay. The collected data were compared with the ultimate bearing capacity estimated by existing theoretical equations, and the prediction accuracy of the existing theoretical equations was identified. Also, multiple regression analysis was performed to predict the ultimate bearing capacity, and the most efficient number and type of input variables were selected through error evaluation by leave-one-out cross validation. Finally, the multiple regression equations for estimating the ultimate bearing capacity of laboratory load test for SCP and GCP were proposed, and their performance was evaluated.

Vibration Analysis of the Helical Gear System by Spectral Transfer Matrix (스펙트럴 전달행렬에 의한 헬리컬 기어계의 진동해석)

  • Park, Chan-Il
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.774-781
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    • 2006
  • This paper presents a study on the analytical prediction of vibration transmission from helical gears to the bearing. The proposed method is based on the application of the three dimensional helical gear behaviors and complete description of shaft by the spectral method. Helical gear system used in this paper consists of the driving element, helical gears, shafts, bearings, couplings and load element. In order to describe all translation and rotation motion of helical gears twelve degree of freedom equations of motion by the transmission error excitation are derived. Using these equations, transfer matrix for the helical gear is derived. For the detail behavior of shaft motion, the $12{\times}12$ transfer matrix for the shaft is derived. Transfer matrix for the bearing, coupling, driving element, and load is also derived. Application of the boundary conditions in the assembled transfer matrix produces the forces and displacements in each element of the helical gear system. The effect of the proposed method is shown by numerical example.

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