• Title/Summary/Keyword: Load change

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Short-term Peak Load Forecasting using Regression Models and Neural Networks (회귀모형과 신경회로망 모형을 이용한 단기 최대전력수요예측)

  • Koh, Hee-Seog;Ji, Bong-Ho;Lee, Hyun-Moo;Lee, Chung-Sik;Lee, Chul-Woo
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2000.07a
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    • pp.295-297
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    • 2000
  • In case of power demand forecasting the most important problem is to deal with the load of special-days, Accordingly, this paper presents a method that forecasting special-days load with regression models and neural networks. Special-days load in summer season was forecasted by the multiple regression models using weekday change ratio Neural networks models uses pattern conversion ratio, and orthogonal polynomial models was directly forecasted using past special-days load data. forecasting result obtains % forecast error of about $1{\sim}2[%]$. Therefore, it is possible to forecast long and short special-days load.

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The Characteristics of a Bypass Air Conditioning System for Load Variation (부하변동에 대한 바이패스 공조시스템의 특성)

  • 김보철;신현준;김정엽
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.240-246
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    • 2002
  • Bypass air conditioning systems are divided into three types; an outdoor air bypass, a mixed air bypass and a return air bypass system. What makes the return air by pass system more effective is that it directs all of moist outdoor air through the cooling coil. The bypass air conditioning system can maintain indoor R.H (Relative Humidity) less than a conventional CAV (Constant Air Volume) air conditioning system by adjusting face and bypass dampers at part load. When a design sensible load (the ratio of sensible load to total sensible load) is 70 percent (at this time, RSHF (Room Sensible Heat Factor) . 0.7), indoor R.H was maintained 59 percent by the return air bypass system, but 65 percent by the conventional CAV air conditioning system (valve control system). The bypass air conditioning system can also improve IAQ (Indoor Air Quality) in many buildings where the number of air change is high.

Hourly load forecasting (시간별 전력부하 예측)

  • Kim, Moon-Duk;Lee, Yoon-Sub
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1992.07a
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    • pp.495-497
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    • 1992
  • Hourly load forecasting has become indispensable for practical simulation of electric power system as the system become larger and more complicated. To forecast the future hourly load the cyclic behavior of electric load which follows seasonal weather, day or week and office hours is to be analyzed so that the trend of the recent behavioral change can be extrapolated for the short term. For the long term, on the other hand, the changes in the infra-structure of each electricity consumer groups should be assessed. In this paper the concept and process of hourly load forecasting for hourly load is introduced.

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A study on the optimal load shedding scheme considering the voltage stability improvement (전압안정도 개선을 고려한 적정 부하차단 기법)

  • 이상중;김건중;김원겸;김용배
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.44 no.3
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    • pp.270-273
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    • 1995
  • This paper proposes an optimal load shedding algorithm by which the system loss can be minimized when the load shedding is unavoidable in case of severe contingency such as the outage of key generators or lines. Shedding load .DELTA.S = .DELTA.P + J.DELTA.Q(MVA) is performed on the weakest bus (on the view of voltage stability), step by step, by the priority of the I.DELTA. = SQRT(.lambda.$\_$P/$\^$2/ + .lambda.$\_$Q/$\^$2/) index given for each load bus, where .lambda.$\_$P/ and .lambda.$\_$Q/ are the sensitivity indices representing the system loss variation versus active and reactive power change of the bus load bus. All loads are assumed to be constant power loads for convenience. A 5 bus sample system proves the effectiveness of the algorithm proposed.

Frequency Analysis on KEPCO Power System Using Dynamic Load Shedding Model (동적부하차단 모델을 이용한 KEPCO 계통의 주파수 해석)

  • Jang, B.T.;Lee, S.Y.;Kim, K.H.;Chu, J.B.;Oh, H.J.;Cho, B.S.
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2002.11b
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    • pp.121-122
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    • 2002
  • When a power system experiences a serious disturbance on insufficient power, the system frequency may drop. For system frequency will be maintain standard value, under_frequency relay will reconstruct balance of power and load by load shedding. Currently load shedding scheme is due to establishment plan by fixed scenario. Where compare current scheme with past scheme, system frequency should be recovered by load shedding using rate of frequency decline. This paper suggests the dynamic load shedding scheme by using the rate of change of frequency when The Korea Electric power system is happened the large disturbance.

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Effect of Refining Load on the Drainage Characteristics of Pulp (고해부하가 지층 형성시 탈수특성에 미치는 영향)

  • 김용식;원종명
    • Journal of Korea Technical Association of The Pulp and Paper Industry
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.10-17
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    • 2000
  • The change of fiber length, freeness, initial forming drainage velocity, specific filtration resistance, final drainage time and wet web dryness were measured to investigate the effect of the refining load on the drainage characteristics of pulp. The arithmetic average fiber length after refining with higher refining load was shorter than that obtained with lower refining load. Higher refining load decreased initial forming drainage velocity, final drainage time and wet web dryness. The refining load also affected the relationship between freeness and specific filtration resistance, initial forming drainage velocity, final drainage time. It was found that the specific filtration resistance is better than freeness to predict the drainage characteristics of pulp and the wet dryness.

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Short-term Load Forecasting of Using Data refine for Temperature Characteristics at Jeju Island (온도특성에 대한 데이터 정제를 이용한 제주도의 단기 전력수요 예측)

  • Kim, Ki-Su;Song, Kyung-Bin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of IIIuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers Conference
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    • 2008.10a
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    • pp.225-228
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    • 2008
  • The electricity supply and demand to be stable to a system link increase of the variance power supply and operation are requested in jeju Island electricity system. A short-term Load forecasting which uses the characteristic of the Load is essential consequently. We use the interrelationship of the electricity Load and change of a summertime temperature and data refining in the paper. We presented a short-term Load forecasting algorithm of jeju Island and used the correlation coefficient to the criteria of the refining. We used each temperature area data to be refined and forecasted a short-term Load to an exponential smoothing method.

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Numerical study on the walking load based on inverted-pendulum model

  • Cao, Liang;Liu, Jiepeng;Zhang, Xiaolin;Chen, Y. Frank
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.71 no.3
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    • pp.245-255
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, an inverted-pendulum model consisting of a point supported by spring limbs with roller feet is adopted to simulate human walking load. To establish the kinematic motion of first and second single and double support phases, the Lagrangian variation method was used. Given a set of model parameters, desired walking speed and initial states, the Newmark-${\beta}$ method was used to solve the above kinematic motion for studying the effects of roller radius, stiffness, impact angle, walking speed, and step length on the ground reaction force, energy transfer, and height of center of mass transfer. The numerical simulation results show that the inverted-pendulum model for walking is conservative as there is no change in total energy and the duration time of double support phase is 50-70% of total time. Based on the numerical analysis, a dynamic load factor ${\alpha}_{wi}$ is proposed for the traditional walking load model.

Estimation of Flow Loads Characteristics each Sub-watershed for TMDL (TMDL 적용을 위한 소유역별 유출부하 특성 분석)

  • Kim, Joo-Hun;Kim, Kyung-Tak;Lee, Jin-Won
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.443-453
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    • 2011
  • This research aims at suggesting the mitigation measures of decreasing pollution by analyzing land cover characteristics according to subwatershed, and non-pollutant load characteristics occurring in each subwatershed. Mushim-cheon is selected as a research area, and HyGIS-SWAT is used as a water quality model. This research analyzed outflow load characteristics by classifying land cover, which has over 50% classified items, into a city area, a farmland area and a forest area. The result shows that the yearly occurrence load quantity represents a farmland area, a forest area and a city area in order. In subwatershed-2, occurrence load quantity is analyzed by setting up a buffer zone in the center of stream, and by changing a farmland area into a natural grass land. Therefore, a farmland area in a subwatershed changes 36.6% into 27.9% and 15.3% comparing to previous land cover change. In the analysis of sediment loads occurrence quantity and nutritive salt load occurrence quantity in subwatershed-2, sediment loads occurrence quantity decreases 52% to about 47%, and nutritive salt load decreases 49% and 34% in compare with previous change. Hereafter, this research will set up the mitigation measures scenario, and find out which is more effective for the mitigation measures.

Stochastic Analysis of the Uncertain Hourly Load Demand Applying to Unit Commitment Problem (발전기 기동정지 계획에 적용되는 불확실한 부하곡선에 대한 통계적 분석)

  • Jung, Choon-Sik;Park, Jeong-Do;Kook, Hyun-Jong;Moon, Young-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2000.07a
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    • pp.337-340
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, the effects of the uncertain hourly load demand are stochastically analyzed especially by the consideration of the average over generation of the Unit Commitment(UC) results. In order to minimize the effects of the actual load profile change, a new UC algorithm is proposed. The proposed algorithm calculates the UC results with the lower load level than the one generated by the conventional load forecast. In case of the worse load forecast, the deviation of the conventional UC solution can be overcome with the lower load level and the more hourly reserve requirements. The proposed method is tested with sample systems, which shows that the proposed method can be used as the basic guideline for selecting the potimal load forecast applying to UC problem.

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