• 제목/요약/키워드: Likelihood based inference

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Inference of the Exponential Distribution Based on Multiply Type-II Censored Samples

  • 강석복;이상기
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국데이터정보과학회 2006년도 PROCEEDINGS OF JOINT CONFERENCEOF KDISS AND KDAS
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    • pp.279-293
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, we derive the approximate maximum likelihood estimators of the scale parameter and location parameter of the exponential distribution based on multiply Type-II censored samples. Then three type tests, including the modified Clamor-von Mises test, the modified Watson test and the modified Kolmogorov-Smirnov test are developed for the exponential distribution based on multiply Type-II censored samples by using the proposed estimators. For each test, Monte Carlo techniques are used to generate critical values. The powers of these tests are investigated under several alternative distributions.

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New approach for analysis of progressive Type-II censored data from the Pareto distribution

  • Seo, Jung-In;Kang, Suk-Bok;Kim, Ho-Yong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제25권5호
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    • pp.569-575
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    • 2018
  • Pareto distribution is important to analyze data in actuarial sciences, reliability, finance, and climatology. In general, unknown parameters of the Pareto distribution are estimated based on the maximum likelihood method that may yield inadequate inference results for small sample sizes and high percent censored data. In this paper, a new approach based on the regression framework is proposed to estimate unknown parameters of the Pareto distribution under the progressive Type-II censoring scheme. The proposed method provides a new regression type estimator that employs the spacings of exponential progressive Type-II censored samples. In addition, the provided estimator is a consistent estimator with superior performance compared to maximum likelihood estimators in terms of the mean squared error and bias. The validity of the proposed method is assessed through Monte Carlo simulations and real data analysis.

Estimation of the Exponential Distributions based on Multiply Progressive Type II Censored Sample

  • Lee, Kyeong-Jun;Park, Chan-Keun;Cho, Young-Seuk
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제19권5호
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    • pp.697-704
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    • 2012
  • The maximum likelihood(ML) estimation of the scale parameters of an exponential distribution based on progressive Type II censored samples is given. The sample is multiply censored (some middle observations being censored); however, the ML method does not admit explicit solutions. In this paper, we propose multiply progressive Type II censoring. This paper presents the statistical inference on the scale parameter for the exponential distribution when samples are multiply progressive Type II censoring. The scale parameter is estimated by approximate ML methods that use two different Taylor series expansion types ($AMLE_I$, $AMLE_{II}$). We also obtain the maximum likelihood estimator(MLE) of the scale parameter under the proposed multiply progressive Type II censored samples. We compare the estimators in the sense of the mean square error(MSE). The simulation procedure is repeated 10,000 times for the sample size n = 20 and 40 and various censored schemes. The $AMLE_{II}$ is better than MLE and $AMLE_I$ in the sense of the MSE.

A Methodology for Estimating the Uncertainty in Model Parameters Applying the Robust Bayesian Inferences

  • Kim, Joo Yeon;Lee, Seung Hyun;Park, Tai Jin
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • 제41권2호
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    • pp.149-154
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    • 2016
  • Background: Any real application of Bayesian inference must acknowledge that both prior distribution and likelihood function have only been specified as more or less convenient approximations to whatever the analyzer's true belief might be. If the inferences from the Bayesian analysis are to be trusted, it is important to determine that they are robust to such variations of prior and likelihood as might also be consistent with the analyzer's stated beliefs. Materials and Methods: The robust Bayesian inference was applied to atmospheric dispersion assessment using Gaussian plume model. The scopes of contaminations were specified as the uncertainties of distribution type and parametric variability. The probabilistic distribution of model parameters was assumed to be contaminated as the symmetric unimodal and unimodal distributions. The distribution of the sector-averaged relative concentrations was then calculated by applying the contaminated priors to the model parameters. Results and Discussion: The sector-averaged concentrations for stability class were compared by applying the symmetric unimodal and unimodal priors, respectively, as the contaminated one based on the class of ${\varepsilon}$-contamination. Though ${\varepsilon}$ was assumed as 10%, the medians reflecting the symmetric unimodal priors were nearly approximated within 10% compared with ones reflecting the plausible ones. However, the medians reflecting the unimodal priors were approximated within 20% for a few downwind distances compared with ones reflecting the plausible ones. Conclusion: The robustness has been answered by estimating how the results of the Bayesian inferences are robust to reasonable variations of the plausible priors. From these robust inferences, it is reasonable to apply the symmetric unimodal priors for analyzing the robustness of the Bayesian inferences.

A Closed-Form Bayesian Inferences for Multinomial Randomized Response Model

  • Heo, Tae-Young;Kim, Jong-Min
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.121-131
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we examine the problem of estimating the sensitive characteristics and behaviors in a multinomial randomized response model using Bayesian approach. We derived a posterior distribution for parameter of interest for multinomial randomized response model. Based on the posterior distribution, we also calculated a credible intervals and mean squared error (MSE). We finally compare the maximum likelihood estimator and the Bayes estimator in terms of MSE.

로짓모형을 이용한 질적 종속변수의 분석 (Application of Logit Model in Qualitative Dependent Variables)

  • 이길순;유완
    • 가정과삶의질연구
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    • 제10권1호통권19호
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    • pp.131-138
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    • 1992
  • Regression analysis has become a standard statistical tool in the behavioral science. Because of its widespread popularity. regression has been often misused. Such is the case when the dependent variable is a qualitative measure rather than a continuous, interval measure. Regression estimates with a qualitative dependent variable does not meet the assumptions underlying regression. It can lead to serious errors in the standard statistical inference. Logit model is recommended as alternatives to the regression model for qualitative dependent variables. Researchers can employ this model to measure the relationship between independent variables and qualitative dependent variables without assuming that logit model was derived from probabilistic choice theory. Coefficients in logit model are typically estimated by the method of Maximum Likelihood Estimation in contrast to ordinary regression model which estimated by the method of Least Squares Estimation. Goodness of fit in logit model is based on the likelihood ratio statistics and the t-statistics is used for testing the null hypothesis.

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Inference for heterogeneity of treatment eect in multi-center clinical trial

  • Ha, Il-Do
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.605-612
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    • 2011
  • In multi-center randomized clinical trial the treatment eect may be changed over centers. It is thus important to investigate the heterogeneity in treatment eect between centers. For this, uncorrelated random-eect models assuming independence between random-eect terms have been often used, which may be a strong assumption. In this paper we propose a correlated frailty modelling approach of investigating such heterogeneity using the hierarchical-likelihood method when the outcome is time-to-event. In particular, we show how to construct a proper prediction interval for frailty, which explores graphically the potential heterogeneity for a treatment-by-center interaction term. The proposed method is illustrated via numerical studies based on data from the design of a multi-center clinical trial.

Estimation of parameters including a quadratic failure rate semi-Markov reliability model

  • El-Gohary, A.;Alshamrani, A.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2011
  • This paper discusses the stochastic analysis and the statistical inference of a quadratic failure rate semi-Markov reliability model. Maximum likelihood procedure will be used to obtain the estimators of the parameters included in this reliability model. Based on the assumption that the lifetime and repair time of the system units are random variables with quadratic failure rate, the reliability function of this system is obtained. Also, the distribution of the first passage time of this system is derived. Many important special cases are discussed.

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우도에 기반한 임의효과에 대한 추론과 로지스틱 회귀모형에서의 응용 (Likelihood-Based Inference of Random Effects and Application in Logistic Regression)

  • 김광수
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제28권2호
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    • pp.269-279
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    • 2015
  • 본 논문에서는 임의효과에 대한 추론 문제가 다루어졌으며 이 추론에서 신뢰분포를 사용하는 것이 제안되었다. 신뢰분포를 이용한 방법은 표본의 크기가 작아도 임의절편들이 있는 로지스틱 회귀분석에서 좋은 결과를 보여주었으며, 자료분석을 통해서도 각 개체가 가지는 임의효과들에 대한 세밀한 분석이 가능함을 확인하였다.

Bayesian Inferences for Software Reliability Models Based on Beta-Mixture Mean Value Functions

  • Nam, Seung-Min;Kim, Ki-Woong;Cho, Sin-Sup;Yeo, In-Kwon
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제21권5호
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    • pp.835-843
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, we investigate a Bayesian inference for software reliability models based on mean value functions which take the form of the mixture of beta distribution functions. The posterior simulation via the Markov chain Monte Carlo approach is used to produce estimates of posterior properties. Its applicability is illustrated with two real data sets. We compute the predictive distribution and the marginal likelihood of various models to compare the performance of them. The model comparison results show that the model based on the beta-mixture performs better than other models.