• Title/Summary/Keyword: Lifetime Attributable Risk

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Radiation dose and Lifetime Attributable Risk of Cancer Estimates in 64-slice Multidetector Computed Tomography (64-절편 다행검출 CT 검사에서의 환자선량과 암 발생의 Lifetime Attributable Risk(LAR) 평가)

  • Kang, Yeong-Han;Park, Jong-Sam
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.244-252
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    • 2011
  • This study was to estimate the radiation dose associated with 64-slice multidetector CT(MDCT) in clinical practice and quantify the potential cancer risk associated with these examinations. Lifetime attributable risks(LAR) were estimated with models developed in the national Academies' Biological Effects of Ionizing Radiation VII report. Mean effective dose were 1.48mSv in Brain axial scan, 7.66mSv in chest routine contrast, 12.17mSv in coronary angiogram, 24.52mSv in Dynamic abdomen scan. LAR estimates for brain routine varied from 1 in 7463 for man to 1 in 4926 for women. In chest routine with contrast, LAR varied from 1 in 1449 for men to 1 in 952. LAR of Abdomen dynamic CT varied from 1 in 453 for men to 1 in 298 for women. So, 64-slice MDCT scan is associated with non-negligible LAR of cancer. Doses can be reduced by careful attention to scanning protocol.

Risk Assessment for Toluene Diisocyanate and Respiratory Disease Human Studies

  • PARK, Robert M.
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.174-183
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    • 2021
  • Background: Toluene diisocyanate (TDI) is a highly reactive chemical that causes sensitization and has also been associated with increased lung cancer. A risk assessment was conducted based on occupational epidemiologic estimates for several health outcomes. Methods: Exposure and outcome details were extracted from published studies and a NIOSH Health Hazard Evaluation for new onset asthma, pulmonary function measurements, symptom prevalence, and mortality from lung cancer and respiratory disease. Summary exposure-response estimates were calculated taking into account relative precision and possible survivor selection effects. Attributable incidence of sensitization was estimated as were annual proportional losses of pulmonary function. Excess lifetime risks and benchmark doses were calculated. Results: Respiratory outcomes exhibited strong survivor bias. Asthma/sensitization exposure response decreased with increasing facility-average TDI air concentration as did TDI-associated pulmonary impairment. In a mortality cohort where mean employment duration was less than 1 year, survivor bias pre-empted estimation of lung cancer and respiratory disease exposure response. Conclusion: Controlling for survivor bias and assuming a linear dose-response with facility-average TDI concentrations, excess lifetime risks exceeding one per thousand occurred at about 2 ppt TDI for sensitization and respiratory impairment. Under alternate assumptions regarding stationary and cumulative effects, one per thousand excess risks were estimated at TDI concentrations of 10 - 30 ppt. The unexplained reported excess mortality from lung cancer and other lung diseases, if attributable to TDI or associated emissions, could represent a lifetime risk comparable to that of sensitization.

Projected lifetime cancer risk from cone-beam computed tomography for orthodontic treatment

  • Jha, Nayansi;Kim, Yoon-Ji;Lee, Youngjun;Lee, Ju Young;Lee, Won Jin;Sung, Sang-Jin
    • The korean journal of orthodontics
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    • v.51 no.3
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    • pp.189-198
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    • 2021
  • Objective: To estimate the projected cancer risk attributable to diagnostic cone-beam computed tomography (CBCT) performed under different exposure settings for orthodontic purposes in children and adults. Methods: We collected a list of CBCT machines and their specifications from 38 orthodontists. Organ doses were estimated using median and maximum exposure settings of 105 kVp/156.8 mAs and 130 kVp/200 mAs, respectively. The projected cancer risk attributable to CBCT procedures performed 1-3 times within 2 years was calculated for children (aged 5 and 10 years) and adult (aged 20, 30, and 40 years) male and female patients. Results: For maximum exposure settings, the mean lifetime fractional ratio (LFR) was 14.28% for children and 0.91% for adults; this indicated that the risk to children was 16 times the risk to adults. For median exposure settings, the mean LFR was 5.25% and 0.58% for children and adults, respectively. The risk of cancer decreased with increasing age. For both median and maximum exposure settings, females showed a higher risk of cancer than did males in all age groups. Cancer risk increased with an increase in the frequency of CBCT procedures within a given period. Conclusions: The projected dental CBCT-associated cancer risk spans over a wide range depending on the machine parameters and image acquisition settings. Children and female patients are at a higher risk of developing cancer associated with diagnostic CBCT. Therefore, the use of diagnostic CBCT should be justified, and protective measures should be taken to minimize the harmful biological effects of radiation.

Assessment of the Effective Dose to the Human Body and Estimation of Lifetime Attributable Risk by CT Examination (CT 검사별 노출되는 유효선량과 생애 암 귀속 위험도 평가)

  • Cho, Yong In;Kim, Jung Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.169-178
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    • 2020
  • The number of CT scans is increasing every year due to the improvement of the medical standards of the public, and thus the annual dose of medical radiation is also increasing. In this study, we evaluated the effective dose of the human body exposed to CT scans and estimated LAR. First, five region were selected from the CT diagnostic reference level guideline, and the effective dose of human body exposed to each examination was evaluated by clinical CT device. Second, the human organs and effective dose were calculated using the ALARA-CT program under the same conditions. Third, lifetime attributable risk (LAR) estimated by the effective dose exposed through the previous CT scan was estimated. As a result, the most effective dose was 21.18 mSv during the abdomen 4 phase scan, and the dose level was below DRL for all other tests except for the abdominal examination. As a result of evaluating effective dose using a dose calculation program under the same conditions, the results showed about 1.1 to 1.9 times higher results for each examination. In the case of organ dose, the closer the organ to the scan site, the higher the scattering ray. The lifetime attributable risk to CT radiation dose in adults was gradually decreased with age, and the results were somewhat different according to gender.

Risk Assessment for Metalworking Fluids and Respiratory Outcomes

  • Park, Robert M.
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.428-436
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    • 2019
  • Background: Metalworking fluids (MWFs) are mixtures with inhalation exposures as mists, dusts, and vapors, and dermal exposure in the dispersed and bulk liquid phase. A quantitative risk assessment was performed for exposure to MWF and respiratory disease. Methods: Risks associated with MWF were derived from published studies and NIOSH Health Hazard Evaluations, and lifetime risks were calculated. The outcomes analyzed included adult onset asthma, hypersensitivity pneumonitis, pulmonary function impairment, and reported symptoms. Incidence rates were compiled or estimated, and annual proportional loss of respiratory capacity was derived from cross-sectional assessments. Results: A strong healthy worker survivor effect was present. New-onset asthma and hypersensitivity pneumonitis, at 0.1 mg/㎥ MWF under continuous outbreak conditions, had a lifetime risk of 45%; if the associated microbiological conditions occur with only 5% prevalence, then the lifetime risk would be about 3%. At 0.1 mg/㎥, the estimate of excess lifetime risk of attributable pulmonary impairment was 0.25%, which may have been underestimated by a factor of 5 or more by a strong healthy worker survivor effect. The symptom prevalence associated with respiratory impairment at 0.1 mg/㎥ MWF was estimated to be 5% (published studies) and 21% (Health Hazard Evaluations). Conclusion: Significant risks of impairment and chronic disease occurred at 0.1 mg/㎥ for MWFs in use mostly before 2000. Evolving MWFs contain new ingredients with uncharacterized long-term hazards.

SUMRAY: R and Python Codes for Calculating Cancer Risk Due to Radiation Exposure of a Population

  • Michiya Sasaki;Kyoji Furukawa;Daiki Satoh;Kazumasa Shimada;Shin'ichi Kudo;Shunji Takagi;Shogo Takahara;Michiaki Kai
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.48 no.2
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    • pp.90-99
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    • 2023
  • Background: Quantitative risk assessments should be accompanied by uncertainty analyses of the risk models employed in the calculations. In this study, we aim to develop a computational code named SUMRAY for use in cancer risk projections from radiation exposure taking into account uncertainties. We also aim to make SUMRAY publicly available as a resource for further improvement of risk projection. Materials and Methods: SUMRAY has two versions of code written in R and Python. The risk models used in SUMRAY for all-solid-cancer mortality and incidence were those published in the Life Span Study of a cohort of the atomic bomb survivors in Hiroshima and Nagasaki. The confidence intervals associated with the evaluated risks were derived by propagating the statistical uncertainties in the risk model parameter estimates by the Monte Carlo method. Results and Discussion: SUMRAY was used to calculate the lifetime or time-integrated attributable risks of cancer under an exposure scenario (baseline rates, dose[s], age[s] at exposure, age at the end of follow-up, sex) specified by the user. The results were compared with those calculated using another well-known web-based tool, Radiation Risk Assessment Tool (RadRAT; National Institutes of Health), and showed a reasonable agreement within the estimated confidential interval. Compared with RadRAT, SUMRAY can be used for a wide range of applications, as it allows the risk projection with arbitrarily specified risk models and/or population reference data. Conclusion: The reliabilities of SUMRAY with the present risk-model parameters and their variance-covariance matrices were verified by comparing them with those of the other codes. The SUMRAY code is distributed to the public as an open-source code under the Massachusetts Institute of Technology license.

Lifetime Risk Assessment of Lung Cancer Incidence for Nonsmokers in Japan Considering the Joint Effect of Radiation and Smoking Based on the Life Span Study of Atomic Bomb Survivors

  • Shimada, Kazumasa;Kai, Michiaki
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.46 no.3
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    • pp.83-97
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    • 2021
  • Background: The lifetime risk of lung cancer incidence due to radiation for nonsmokers is overestimated because of the use of the average cancer baseline risk among a mixed population, including smokers. In recent years, the generalized multiplicative (GM)-excess relative risk (ERR) model has been developed in the life span study of atomic bomb survivors to consider the joint effect of radiation and smoking. Based on this background, this paper discusses the issues of radiation risk assessment considering smoking in two parts. Materials and Methods: In Part 1, we proposed a simple method of estimating the baseline risk for nonsmokers using current smoking data. We performed sensitivity analysis on baseline risk estimation to discuss the birth cohort effects. In Part 2, we applied the GM-ERR model for Japanese smokers to calculate lifetime attributable risk (LAR). We also performed a sensitivity analysis using other ERR models (e.g., simple additive (SA)-ERR model). Results and Discussion: In Part 1, the lifetime baseline risk from mixed population including smokers to nonsmokers decreased by 54% (44%-60%) for males and 24% (18%-29%) for females. In Part 2, comparison of LAR between SA- and GM-ERR models showed that if the radiation dose was ≤200 mGy or less, the difference between these ERR models was within the standard deviation of LAR due to the uncertainty of smoking information. Conclusion: The use of mixed population for baseline risk assessment overestimates the risk for lung cancer due to low-dose radiation exposure in Japanese males.

Dose Reduction Effect by using Compression Band during Chest CT Examination in Female Patients (여성의 흉부 CT 검사 시 압박밴드 사용에 따른 선량 감소효과)

  • Kim, In Soo;Cho, Yong In
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.445-453
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    • 2021
  • CT scan is reported to have a high risk of cancer due to a relatively high dose among medical radiological examinations. In particular, exposure to radiation to the breast, which is sensitive to radiation, is inevitable during a chest CT scan for female patient. In this study, the dose reduction effect of wearing a compression band during chest CT scans in women was evaluated, and the lifetime attributable risk due to the effective dose exposed during the CT scan was estimated. As a result, when the compression band was used, the effective tube current decreased as the outer perimeter of the chest became smaller, and it was analyzed that the CT dose index and effective dose were also reduced. In addition, the lifetime attributable risk by chest CT scan was found to reduce the cancer risk by 3.2 per 100,000 for all cancers, 0.2 per 100,000 for solid cancer, and 0.8 per 100,000 for breast cancer, based on women in their 30s when using a compression band. It is judged that the risk of cancer can be reduced through the use of appropriate scan parameters and dose optimization measures such as compression bands for future CT examinations.

Radiation Dose and Estimate of Lifetime Attributable Risk of Cancer from Coronary Angiography and Percutaneous Coronary Intervention (관상동맥조영술과 경피적관상동맥중재술에서 환자 선량과 암 발생 생애귀속위험 평가)

  • Kang, Yeong-Han;Kim, Bu-Sun;Park, Jong-Sam
    • Journal of radiological science and technology
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.213-221
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    • 2010
  • The Purpose of this study was to determine the effective dose to an average patient from Coronary Angiography (CA) and Percutaneous Coronary Intervention (PCI). And to estimate the lifetime attributable risk (LAR) of cancer associated with radiation exposure from CA and PCI. The dose-area product (DAP) values to the patient were recorded from 60 CA and 58 PCI. A Monte Carlo based program PCXMC was used to calculate the effective dose from DAP values for each patient. Lifetime attributable risks were estimated with models developed in the National Academies' Biological Effects of Ionizing Radiation VII report. The mean DAP values was $53.76\;Gy{\cdot}cm^2$ for CA and $165.82\;Gy{\cdot}cm^2$ for PCI. Mean effective dose were 1.28 mSv in CA, 3.94 mSv in PCI. Results of Calculate organ dose, lung doses was 2.17 mSv in CA and 6.71 mSv in PCI. Female breast doses was 5.45 mSv in CA and 16.82 mSv in PCI. LAR estimates for CA varied from 1 in 1,508 for man to 1 in 1,357 for women. In PCI procedure varied from 1 in 553 for man to 1 in 482 for women. DAP can be used as the dose indicator to calculate the organ dose and effective dose of patient based on Monte Carlo simulation. These dose estimates derived from our simulation models suggest that CA and PCI are associated with a nonnegligible LAR of cancer. This risk varies markedly and is considerably greater for women, PCI than for man, CA.

Comparison of Radiation Doses between 64-slice Single Source and 128-slice Dual Source CT Coronary Angiography in patient (64-slice single source CT와 128-slice dual source CT를 이용한 관상동맥 조영 검사 시 환자선량 비교)

  • Kang, Yeong-Han
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.129-136
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study was to estimate radiation doses from 64-slice single source Computed Tomography(SSCT) coronary angiography(CA) and 128-slice dual source Computed Tomography(DSCT). With SSCT CA, the effective dose averaged approximately 13.86 mSv when two dose modulation was not. The mean effective dose for DSCT CA with retrospectively gated helical(RGH) technique was 11.87 mSv, when prospective ECG gating transverse(PGT) without dose modulation technique was 5.61 mSv. The one with dose modulation in PGT technique and flash mode were 3.04 mSv and flash mode was 0.98 mSv respectively. The lifetime attributable risk(LAR) of cancer incidence from SSCT RGH mode averaged approximately 1 for 1,176, and DSCT averaged 1 for 1,960(RGH mode), 1 for 3,030(PGT without modulation), 1 for 5,882(PGT with modulation). Because of CTCA is associated with non-negligible risk of cancer. Doses can be reduced by application PGT, FLASH than RGH using DSCT.