• Title/Summary/Keyword: Life time estimation

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A Study of Software Optimal Release Time for Based on Superposition NHPP Model (중첩 NHPP 모형에 근거한 소프트웨어 최적방출시기에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee Cheul
    • Journal of Korea Society of Digital Industry and Information Management
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.9-17
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    • 2010
  • Decision problem called an optimal release policies, after testing a software system in development phase and transfer it to the user, is studied. The applied model of release time exploited infinite non-homogeneous Poisson process. This infinite non-homogeneous Poisson process is a model which reflects the possibility of introducing new faults when correcting or modifying the software. The failure life-cycle distribution used superposition which has various intensity, if the system is complicated. Thus, software release policies which minimize a total average software cost of development and maintenance under the constraint of satisfying a software reliability requirement becomes an optimal release policies. In a numerical example, after trend test applied and estimated the parameters using maximum likelihood estimation of inter-failure time data, estimated software optimal release time. Through this study, in terms of superposition model and simply model, the optimal time to using superposition model release the software developer to determine how much could count will help.

Estimation of the Block and Basu model for system level life testing with censored data

  • Jeong, In-Ho;Cho, Kil-Ho;Cho, Jang-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.941-948
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    • 2009
  • We consider a life testing experiment in which several two component shared parallel system are put on test, and the test is terminated at a specified number of system failures. The bivariate data obtained from such a system level life testing can be classified into three classes: (1) the case of failed two components with known failure times, (2) the case of one censored component and the other failed component of which the failure time might be known or unknown, (3) the case of censored two components. In this thesis, the maximum likelihood estimators of parameters for Block and Basu bivariate exponential distribution under above censoring scheme are obtained. And the results of comparative studies are presented.

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Estimation of the Rail pad Stiffness Characteristic and the Sustainable period in Service (운행선에서 레일패드의 탄성변화율과 내구년수 예측)

  • Park, Dae-Geun;Kim, Jung-Hun;Choi, Hyun-Su;Kang, Young-Jong
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.432-441
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    • 2007
  • Any track system needs major changes of its components during its life. The most economical solution is, if possible, to make all components reach their life limit during the major track rehabilitation operation. Usually, the rail does a role as the driving component for the objective: its life-time is equivalent to around 500 million tons of traffic on high speed lines. On the KTX line with 110 trains per day, this would correspond to around 16 years, which is probably too long for the elastic pads of a concrete slab track. The most economical solution should be to change them at an intermediate step of 8 years, without changing the rail, and then to change both the rail and elastic pad at 16 years intervals (some rail changes on the South East TGV line in France began 15 years after service opening at 260 km/h, but recent rails have better characteristics).

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A Study of Storage Life Estimation for Delay System in the Fuse of 81mm Illuminating Projectile (81미리 조명탄용 신관 KM84A1E1 지연제의 저장수명 예측 연구)

  • Chang, Il-Ho;Kim, Ji-Hoon;Lee, Woo-Chul;Back, Seung-Jun;Son, Young-Kap
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.270-277
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    • 2012
  • Purpose: In this paper, storage lifetime of delay system in the fuse of 81MM illuminating projectile is estimated. Methods: Accelerated degradation testings of tungsten delay system using both temperature and humidity stresses were performed, and then delay time increase of the systems were analyzed as degradation data based on distribution-based degradation processes. Results: The estimated storage lifetime of detonator is between 11.8 years and 17.6 years with each stress-life relationship. Conclusion: Comparing with field data, storage lifetime of 90% reliability is about 12 years.

Review of the coronary artery disease in terms of insurance medicine (관상동맥질환의 보험의학적 이해)

  • Lee, Sinhyung
    • The Journal of the Korean life insurance medical association
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.33-38
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    • 2013
  • Coronary artery diseases are very important agenda in the insurance medicine. Insurance medicine is defined as using medical knowledge for insurance administration such as underwriting, claims, and customer satisfaction. This review article contains review of coronary artery disease in terms of insurance medicine. Estimation of extra-risks for acute myocardial infarction are MR of 349% and EDR of 41‰. In medical underwriting, individual life applicants can be assessed by Framingham's CHD risk assessment model. In claims, medical claims review is a useful method of consulting for claims staffs. Several diagnostic criteria of acute myocardial infarction are introduced in time. The universal definition of myocardial infarction by ESC/ACCF/WHF was demonstrated the most valuable predictor of 10-year mortality. Contents for State-Of-The-Art of the coronary artery disease are current antithrombotics. There are many novel anti-thrombotic agents such as ticagrelol, dabigatran, rivaroxaban, and pegnivacogin.

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SSR-Primer Generator: A Tool for Finding Simple Sequence Repeats and Designing SSR-Primers

  • Hong, Chang-Pyo;Choi, Su-Ryun;Lim, Yong-Pyo
    • Genomics & Informatics
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.189-193
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    • 2011
  • Simple sequence repeats (SSRs) are ubiquitous short tandem duplications found within eukaryotic genomes. Their length variability and abundance throughout the genome has led them to be widely used as molecular markers for crop-breeding programs, facilitating the use of marker-assisted selection as well as estimation of genetic population structure. Here, we report a software application, "SSR-Primer Generator " for SSR discovery, SSR-primer design, and homology-based search of in silico amplicons from a DNA sequence dataset. On submission of multiple FASTA-format DNA sequences, those analyses are batch processed in a Java runtime environment (JRE) platform, in a pipeline, and the resulting data are visualized in HTML tabular format. This application will be a useful tool for reducing the time and costs associated with the development and application of SSR markers.

A review on prognostics and health management and its applications (건전성예측 및 관리기술 연구동향 및 응용사례)

  • Choi, Joo-ho
    • Journal of Aerospace System Engineering
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.7-17
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    • 2014
  • Objective of this paper is to introduce a new technology known as prognostics and health management (PHM) which enables a real-time life prediction for safety critical systems under extreme loading conditions. In the PHM, Bayesian framework is employed to account for uncertainties and probabilities arising in the overall process including condition monitoring, fault severity estimation and failure predictions. Three applications - aircraft fuselage crack, gearbox spall and battery capacity degradation are taken to illustrate the approach, in which the life is predicted and validated by end-of-life results. The PHM technology may allow new maintenance strategy that achieves higher degree of safety while reducing the cost in effective manner.

Estimation for Block and Basu Model under System Level Life Testing

  • Hwang, In-Sob;Cho, Jang-Sik;Cho, Kil-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.637-644
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    • 2007
  • We consider a life testing experiment in which several two component shared parallel system are put on test, and the test is terminated at a pre-designed experiment. The bivariate data obtained from such a system level life testing can be classified into three cases: (1) the case of failed two components with known failure times, (2) the case of one censored component and the other failed component of which the failure time might be known or unknown, (3) the case of censored two components. In this paper, the maximum likelihood estimators of parameters for Block and Basu bivariate exponential model under above censoring scheme are obtained and the results of comparative studies are presented.

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A Study on the Mathematical Model for Life Diagnosis of Electrical Insulating Materials (전기절연재료의 수명진단에 관한 수학적 모델에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Hong-Tae;Lee, Tae-Sik;Kim, Hie-Dae;Lee, Kyu-Chul;Lee, Jong-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1993.07b
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    • pp.569-571
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    • 1993
  • This paper describes a life expectation of electrical insulating materials using a mathematical model. The mathod simultaneously uses the maximum likelihood estimation and the Newton-Raphson method. By using these method, we will reduce time and costs in voltage-life aging test.

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Prediction of Remaining Useful Life of Lithium-ion Battery based on Multi-kernel Support Vector Machine with Particle Swarm Optimization

  • Gao, Dong;Huang, Miaohua
    • Journal of Power Electronics
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.1288-1297
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    • 2017
  • The estimation of the remaining useful life (RUL) of lithium-ion (Li-ion) batteries is important for intelligent battery management system (BMS). Data mining technology is becoming increasingly mature, and the RUL estimation of Li-ion batteries based on data-driven prognostics is more accurate with the arrival of the era of big data. However, the support vector machine (SVM), which is applied to predict the RUL of Li-ion batteries, uses the traditional single-radial basis kernel function. This type of classifier has weak generalization ability, and it easily shows the problem of data migration, which results in inaccurate prediction of the RUL of Li-ion batteries. In this study, a novel multi-kernel SVM (MSVM) based on polynomial kernel and radial basis kernel function is proposed. Moreover, the particle swarm optimization algorithm is used to search the kernel parameters, penalty factor, and weight coefficient of the MSVM model. Finally, this paper utilizes the NASA battery dataset to form the observed data sequence for regression prediction. Results show that the improved algorithm not only has better prediction accuracy and stronger generalization ability but also decreases training time and computational complexity.