• Title/Summary/Keyword: Life time estimation

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Estimation of Shelf-life of Frankfurter Using Predictive Models of Spoilage Bacterial Growth

  • Heo, Chan;Choi, Yun-Sang;Kim, Cheon-Jei;Paik, Hyun-Dong
    • Food Science of Animal Resources
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.289-295
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    • 2009
  • The aim of this research was to develop predictive models for the growth of spoilage bacteria (total viable cells, Pseudomonas spp., and lactic acid bacteria) on frankfurters and to estimate the shelf-life of frankfurters under aerobic conditions at various storage temperatures (5, 15, and $25^{\circ}C$). The primary models were determined using the Baranyi model equation. The secondary models for maximum specific growth rate and lag time as functions of temperature were developed by the polynomial model equation. During 21 d of storage under various temperature conditions, lactic acid bacteria showed the longest lag time and the slowest growth rate among spoilage bacteria. The growth patterns of total viable cells and Pseudomonas spp. were similar each other. These data suggest that Pseudomonas spp. might be the dominant spoilage bacteria on frankfurters. As storage temperature increased, the growth rate of spoilage bacteria also increased and the lag time decreased. Furthermore, the shelf-life of frankfurters decreased from 7.0 to 4.3 and 1.9 (d) under increased temperature conditions. These results indicate that the most significant factor for spoilage bacteria growth is storage temperature. The values of $B_f$, $A_f$, RMSE, and $R^2$ indicate that these models were reliable for identifying the point of microbiological hazard for spoilage bacteria in frankfurters.

The Comparative Study of Software Optimal Release Time of Finite NHPP Model Considering Log Linear Learning Factor (로그선형 학습요인을 이용한 유한고장 NHPP모형에 근거한 소프트웨어 최적방출시기 비교 연구)

  • Cheul, Kim Hee;Cheul, Shin Hyun
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.3-10
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, make a study decision problem called an optimal release policies after testing a software system in development phase and transfer it to the user. When correcting or modifying the software, finite failure non-homogeneous Poisson process model, considering learning factor, presented and propose release policies of the life distribution, log linear type model which used to an area of reliability because of various shape and scale parameter. In this paper, discuss optimal software release policies which minimize a total average software cost of development and maintenance under the constraint of satisfying a software reliability requirement. In a numerical example, the parameters estimation using maximum likelihood estimation of failure time data, make out estimating software optimal release time.

Fatigue Life Prediction of Vessel Engine Frame Box by Utilizing Finite Element Analysis (유한요소해석을 활용한 선박용 엔진 프레임 박스의 피로수명의 예측)

  • Lee, Jae-Hoon;Cho, Jin-Rae
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.768-773
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    • 2007
  • This paper presents the numerical estimation of the fatigue life for the welded parts of the engine frame box of the S60MC-C vessel engine. The time-variations of the effective stresses at the critical points during a piston cycle are computed through the finite element analysis, by applying the dynamic loadings that were analytically derived by the kinematic analysis. The fatigue life of the welded parts is estimated by making use of the hot-spot stress extrapolation and the Palmgrem-Minor cumulative damage rule.

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Probabilistic Assessment of life Time for Gas Pipe Lines (통계적 방법을 통한 가스배관의 잔여수명 예측)

  • Choe, B.H.;Lee, S.H.;Kim, Y.P.;Kim, W.S.;Ko, Y.T.
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2004.04a
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    • pp.234-239
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    • 2004
  • A study on the probabilistic methodology for the estimation of the remaining life of Pressurized pipelines containing active corrosion defects is presented. This reliability assessment is earned out using extream value distribution of the corroded defects instead of already published failure perssure moded like NG18 or ASME B31G. The failure probability of pipelines depends on the number of corroded defects. and it could be calculated directly as the area exceeded a defined L V(Limited Value of corrosion depth). The remaining life of pressurized pipelines can also be estimated by the PDF of extream value distribution as calculating the exceeded area with a defined failure probability.

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Estimation of Insulation Life of PAI/Nano Silica Hybrid Coil by Accelerated Thermal Stress (가속된 열적 스트레스에 의한 PAI / Nano Silica 하이브리드 코일의 절연수명 추정)

  • Park, Jae-Jun
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.68 no.1
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    • pp.52-60
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, four types of insulation coils were fabricated by adding various kinds of glycols to improve the flexibility and adhesion of insulating coils in varnish dispersed with PAI / Nano Silica_15wt%. The applied voltage and frequency were 1.5 kV / 20 kHz for accelerated life evaluation. Through the 6th temperature stress level, the cause of the insulation breakdown of the coil was ignored and only the breakdown time was measured. The Arrhenius model was chosen based on the theoretical relationship between chemical reaction rate and temperature for estimating the insulation life of the coil due to accelerated thermal stress. Three types of distributions (Weibull, Lognormal, Exponential) were selected as the relationship between thermal stress model and distribution. The average insulation lifetime was estimated under the temperature stress of four types of insulation coils through the relationship between one kind of model and three kinds of distributions.

Tearing Test for Automotive Vibroisolating Rubber and Formulation of Tearing Energy (자동차용 방진고무의 찢김시험 및 찢김에너지 정식화)

  • Moon, Hyung-Il;Kim, Heon Young;Kim, Min Gun;Kim, Ho
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.36 no.12
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    • pp.1669-1674
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    • 2012
  • A commonly analytical estimation of fatigue life on rubber components is using fatigue life equation based on various fatigue test results. However, such method has very restricted applicability in actual designing processes because performing fatigue tests requires a lot of time and money. In addition, non-standard rubber materials and their randomness make it hard to make databases. In this paper, the other fatigue life estimation method using tearing energy was suggested. We performed static and dynamic tearing test about automotive vibration rubber materials and a finite element formulation using a virtual crack to calculate the tearing energy of rubber components with complicated shapes. To using the suggested method, fatigue life of an automotive motor mount has been estimated and verified the reliability of this method by using comparison between the estimated values and the actual fatigue life.

Estimation of Shelf Life for Propellant KM6 by Using Gamma Process Model (감마과정 모델을 이용한 KM6 추진제의 저장수명 예측)

  • Park, Sung-Ho;Kim, Jae-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.33-41
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    • 2012
  • The aim of the study is to investigate the method to estimate a shelf life of KM6 single base propellant by stochastic gamma process model. The state failure level is assumed that the degradation content of stabilizer is below 0.8%. The constant of time dependent shape function and the scale parameter of stationary gamma process are estimated by moment method. The state distribution at each storage time can be shown from probability density function of deterioration. It is estimated that the $B_{10}$ life, a time at which the cumulative failure probability is 10%, is 25 years and the $B_{50}$ life is 36 years from cumulative failure distribution function curve. The $B_{50}$ life can be treated as the average shelf life from the practical viewpoint and the lifetime can be expressed as distribution curve by using stochastic process theory.

Optimum Service Life Management Based on Probabilistic Life-Cycle Cost-Benefit Analysis (확률론적 생애주기비용-이익분석 기반 수명관리 최적화 기법)

  • Kim, Sunyong
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.19-25
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    • 2016
  • Engineering structures including civil infrastructures require a life-cycle cost and benefit during their service lives. The service life of a structure can be extended through appropriate inspection and maintenance actions. In general, this service life extension requires more life-cycle cost and cumulative benefit. For this reason, structure managers need to make a rational decision regarding the service life management considering both the cost and benefit simultaneously. In this paper, the probabilistic decision tool to determine the optimal service life based on cost-benefit analysis is presented. This decision tool requires an estimation of the time-dependent effective cost-benefit under uncertainty to formulate the optimization problem. The effective cost-benefit is expressed by the difference between the cumulative benefit and life-cycle cost of a deteriorating structure over time. The objective of the optimization problem is maximizing the effective cost-benefit, and the associated solutions are the optimal service life and maintenance interventions. The decision tool presented in this paper can be applied to any deteriorating engineering structure.

Cutting Performance Evaluation and Estimation of Tool Life by Simple & Multiple Linear Regression Analysis of $Si_3N_4$ Ceramic Cutting Tools. ($Si_3N_4$계 세라믹 절삭공구의 절삭성능평가 및 회귀분석에 의한 공구수명 추정)

  • 안영진;고영목;권원태;김영욱
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers Conference
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.59-65
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    • 2003
  • Four kinds of $Si_3N_4$-based ceramic cutting tools with different sintering time were fabricated to investigante the effect of sintering time on the microstructure, mechanical properties, grain sizes and the cutting performance. An endeavor was also made to determine the relation among mechanical property, Brain size and tool life. $Si_3N_4$ home made cutting tool sintered for 1 hour under $1760^{\circ}$ temperature and 25MPa pressure showed the best cutting performance among selected ceramic tools during machining both Bray cast iron and heat treated SCM440. Multiple linear regression model was used to estimate the tool lift from mechanical property, grain size and showed good result. It was also shown that hardness imposed the biggest offect on tool life.

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Estimation of the Survival Function under Extreme Right Censoring Model (극단적인 오른쪽 관측중단모형에서 생존함수의 추정)

  • Lee, Jae-Man
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.225-233
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    • 2000
  • In life-testing experiments, in which the longest time an experimental unit is on test is not a failure time, but rather a censored observation. For the situation the Kaplan-Meier estimator is known to be a baised estimator of the survival function. Several modifications of the Kaplan-Meier estimator are examined and compared with bias and mean squared error.

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