• Title/Summary/Keyword: Learning rates

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Fair Performance Evaluation Method for Stock Trend Prediction Models (주가 경향 예측 모델의 공정한 성능 평가 방법)

  • Lim, Chungsoo
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.20 no.10
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    • pp.702-714
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    • 2020
  • Stock investment is a personal investment technique that has gathered tremendous interest since the reduction in interest rates and tax exemption. However, it is risky especially for those who do not have expert knowledge on stock volatility. Therefore, it is well understood that accurate stock trend prediction can greatly help stock investment, giving birth to a volume of research work in the field. In order to compare different research works and to optimize hyper-parameters for prediction models, it is required to have an evaluation standard that can accurately assess performances of prediction models. However, little research has been done in the area, and conventionally used methods have been employed repeatedly without being rigorously validated. For this reason, we first analyze performance evaluation of stock trend prediction with respect to performance metrics and data composition, and propose a fair evaluation method based on prediction disparity ratio.

Development of Traffic Accidents Prediction Model With Fuzzy and Neural Network Theory (퍼지 및 신경망 이론을 이용한 교통사고예측모형 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jang-Uk;Nam, Gung-Mun;Kim, Jeong-Hyeon;Lee, Su-Beom
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.24 no.7 s.93
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    • pp.81-90
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    • 2006
  • It is important to clarify the relationship between traffic accidents and various influencing factors in order to reduce the number of traffic accidents. This study developed a traffic accident frequency prediction model using by multi-linear regression and qualification theories which are commonly applied in the field of traffic safety to verify the influences of various factors into the traffic accident frequency The data were collected on the Korean National Highway 17 which shows the highest accident frequencies and fatality rates in Chonbuk province. In order to minimize the uncertainty of the data, the fuzzy theory and neural network theory were applied. The neural network theory can provide fair learning performance by modeling the human neural system mathematically. Tn conclusion, this study focused on the practicability of the fuzzy reasoning theory and the neural network theory for traffic safety analysis.

Nearest-neighbor Rule based Prototype Selection Method and Performance Evaluation using Bias-Variance Analysis (최근접 이웃 규칙 기반 프로토타입 선택과 편의-분산을 이용한 성능 평가)

  • Shim, Se-Yong;Hwang, Doo-Sung
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics and Information Engineers
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    • v.52 no.10
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    • pp.73-81
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    • 2015
  • The paper proposes a prototype selection method and evaluates the generalization performance of standard algorithms and prototype based classification learning. The proposed prototype classifier defines multidimensional spheres with variable radii within class areas and generates a small set of training data. The nearest-neighbor classifier uses the new training set for predicting the class of test data. By decomposing bias and variance of the mean expected error value, we compare the generalization errors of k-nearest neighbor, Bayesian classifier, prototype selection using fixed radius and the proposed prototype selection method. In experiments, the bias-variance changing trends of the proposed prototype classifier are similar to those of nearest neighbor classifiers with all training data and the prototype selection rates are under 27.0% on average.

A Design of Power Management and Control System using Digital Protective Relay for Motor Protection, Fault Diagnosis and Control (모터 보호, 고장진단 및 제어를 위한 디지털 보호계전기 활용 전력감시제어 시스템 설계)

  • Lee, Sung-Hwan;Ahn, Ihn-Seok
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.49 no.10
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    • pp.516-523
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, intelligent methods using digital protective relay in power supervisory control system is developed in order to protect power systems by means of timely fault detection and diagnosis during operation for induction motor which has various load environments and capacities in power systems. The spectrum pattern of input currents was used to monitor to state of induction motors, and by clustering the spectrum pattern of input currents, the newly occurrence of spectrums pattern caused by faults were detected. For diagnosis of the fault detected, the fuzzy fault tree was derived, and the fuzzy relation equation representing the relation between an induction motor fault and each fault type, was solved. The solution of the fuzzy relation equation shows the possibility of each fault's occurring. The results obtained are summarized as follows: 1) The test result on the basis of KEMC1120 and IEC60255, show that the operation time error of the digital motor protective relay is improved within ${\pm}5%$. 2) Using clustering algorithm by unsupervisory learning, an on-line fault detection method, not affected by the characteristics of loads and rates, was implemented, and the degree of dependency by experts during fault detection was reduced. 3) With the fuzzy fault tree, fault diagnosis process became systematic and expandable to the whole system, and the diagnosis for sub-systems can be made as an object-oriented module.

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Comparisons of Recognition Rates for the Off-line Handwritten Hangul using Learning Codes based on Neural Network (신경망 학습 코드에 따른 오프라인 필기체 한글 인식률 비교)

  • Kim, Mi-Young;Cho, Yong-Beom
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.2 no.1 s.2
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    • pp.150-159
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    • 1998
  • This paper described the recognition of the Off-line handwritten Hangul based on neural network using a feature extraction method. Features of Hangul can be extracted by a $5{\times}5$ window method which is the modified $3{\times}3$ mask method. These features are coded to binary patterns in order to use neural network's inputs efficiently. Hangul character is recognized by the consonant, the vertical vowel, and the horizontal vowel, separately. In order to verify the recognition rate, three different coding methods were used for neural networks. Three methods were the fixed-code method, the learned-code I method, and the learned-code II method. The result was shown that the learned-code II method was the best among three methods. The result of the learned-code II method was shown 100% recognition rate for the vertical vowel, 100% for the horizontal vowel, and 98.33% for the learned consonants and 93.75% for the new consonants.

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EEG Analysis for Cognitive Mental Tasks Decision (인지적 정신과제 판정을 위한 EEG해석)

  • Kim, Min-Soo;Seo, Hee-Don
    • Journal of Sensor Science and Technology
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.289-297
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, we propose accurate classification method of an EEG signals during a mental tasks. In the experimental task, subjects achieved through the process of responding to visual stimulus, understanding the given problem, controlling hand motions, and select a key. To recognize the subjects' selection time, we analyzed with 4 types feature from the filtered brain waves at frequency bands of $\alpha$, $\beta$, $\theta$, $\gamma$ waves. From the analysed features, we construct specific rules for each subject meta rules including common factors in all subjects. In this system, the architecture of the neural network is a three layered feedforward networks with one hidden layer which implements the error back propagation learning algorithm. Applying the algorithms to 4 subjects show 87% classification success rates. In this paper, the proposed detection method can be a basic technology for brain-computer-interface by combining with discrimination methods.

Binary classification by the combination of Adaboost and feature extraction methods (특징 추출 알고리즘과 Adaboost를 이용한 이진분류기)

  • Ham, Seaung-Lok;Kwak, No-Jun
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea CI
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    • v.49 no.4
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    • pp.42-53
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    • 2012
  • In pattern recognition and machine learning society, classification has been a classical problem and the most widely researched area. Adaptive boosting also known as Adaboost has been successfully applied to binary classification problems. It is a kind of boosting algorithm capable of constructing a strong classifier through a weighted combination of weak classifiers. On the other hand, the PCA and LDA algorithms are the most popular linear feature extraction methods used mainly for dimensionality reduction. In this paper, the combination of Adaboost and feature extraction methods is proposed for efficient classification of two class data. Conventionally, in classification problems, the roles of feature extraction and classification have been distinct, i.e., a feature extraction method and a classifier are applied sequentially to classify input variable into several categories. In this paper, these two steps are combined into one resulting in a good classification performance. More specifically, each projection vector is treated as a weak classifier in Adaboost algorithm to constitute a strong classifier for binary classification problems. The proposed algorithm is applied to UCI dataset and FRGC dataset and showed better recognition rates than sequential application of feature extraction and classification methods.

A Study on Developing a Charter of Library Service and a Library Code of Conduct (도서관 이용서비스헌장 및 이용규정 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Hoang, Gum-Sook;Lee, Young-Sook
    • Journal of Korean Library and Information Science Society
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.293-315
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    • 2012
  • Recently there have been an increase in number of new library buildings and its users due to the demand of lifelong learning and cultural experiences of the local community and also the extension to their opening hours. At the same time there have been a growing number of problem users in local libraries. This seems closely associated with an increase in number of unemployment rates and their mental health issue. This causes a great challenge to the local libraries. in particular, to the front-line librarians. If these challenges are not dealt appropriately at all levels within the library organization the overall quality of services is likely to degrade leaving the general users dissatisfied and the staff adversely affected. Therefore in this study we propose a charter of library service and a library code of conduct to meet the aforementioned challenges and enhance the overall quality of library services.

The Design and Implementation of the Position Calibration System Using Sensor on u-WBAN (u-WBAN 기반의 센서를 이용한 자세교정 시스템 설계 및 구현)

  • Moon, Seung-Jin;Park, Yoon-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.304-310
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    • 2010
  • Chronic pain and herniated disk is a common disease that 80% of adults are experienced. There diseases rates of caused by the physical shock, such as the traffic accident, and the accidental fall is about 10%. And the most of these diseases is caused by having habitual incorrect position. People know that incorrect position would cause to accumulate continuous stress, but it is not easy to correct position. Because it does not recognize incorrect position repeated habitual consequently. This system collects data of user position after sensors that could measure position attach on use and presumes correct position used by position presumption algorithms. Its system purpose is continuing incorrect position could be aware to user and lead to change to correct position to prevent habituation of incorrect position. If habitual of correct position continues through accurate measurement and repeating cognitive learning, it would help for children and chronic patience.

A Comparative Study of Speech Parameters for Speech Recognition Neural Network (음성 인식 신경망을 위한 음성 파라키터들의 성능 비교)

  • Kim, Ki-Seok;Im, Eun-Jin;Hwang, Hee-Yung
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.61-66
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    • 1992
  • There have been many researches that uses neural network models for automatic speech recognition, but the main trend was finding the neural network models and learning rules appropriate to automatic speech recognition. However, the choice of the input speech parameter for the neural network as well as neural network model itself is a very important factor for the improvement of performance of the automatic speech recognition system using neural network. In this paper we select 6 speech parameters from surveys of the speech recognition papers which uses neural networks, and analyze the performance for the same data and the same neural network model. We use 8 sets of 9 Korean plosives and 18 sets of 8 Korean vowels. We use recurrent neural network and compare the performance of the 6 speech parameters while the number of nodes is constant. The delta cepstrum of linear predictive coefficients showed best result and the recognition rates are 95.1% for the vowels and 100.0% for plosives.

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