• Title/Summary/Keyword: Learning from Failure

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The Effect of Crisis Management System on Crisis Preparedness -Focusing on Multi-Mediating Effect of Crisis Monitoring and Learning from Failure- (기업의 위기관리체계가 위기대비에 미치는 영향 -실패경험 학습과 위기모니터링의 다중매개 효과를 중심으로-)

  • Kweon, Dae-Weon;Choi, Su-Heyong;Kang, Hee-Kyung
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.169-184
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is to give a help organizations facing various crises establish effective crisis preparedness plans by confirming the effect of an organization's crisis management system on crisis preparedness, and by confirming the multiple mediating effects of crisis monitoring and learning from failure. The survey for the empirical study was conducted targeting 121 executives, directors, mangers and mid-level employees of the MBA program of the P National University. Confirmatory factor analysis, reliability analysis, and regression analysis were performed using SPSS 25 and Amos 25, and mediating effect analysis was performed using the boot-strapping technique using process macro. As a result of the study, it was found that the crisis management system had a positive (+) effect on crisis preparedness, and learning from failure and crisis monitoring multi-mediate between the crisis management system and crisis preparedness. Through the research results, it was confirmed that there was a significant effect of learning from failure and crisis monitoring that had an effect on crisis preparedness. As an implication, a crisis preparedness plan suitable for the organizational situation was presented, and the limitations of the study and future research directions were presented.

Explainable AI Application for Machine Predictive Maintenance (설명 가능한 AI를 적용한 기계 예지 정비 방법)

  • Cheon, Kang Min;Yang, Jaekyung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.44 no.4
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    • pp.227-233
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    • 2021
  • Predictive maintenance has been one of important applications of data science technology that creates a predictive model by collecting numerous data related to management targeted equipment. It does not predict equipment failure with just one or two signs, but quantifies and models numerous symptoms and historical data of actual failure. Statistical methods were used a lot in the past as this predictive maintenance method, but recently, many machine learning-based methods have been proposed. Such proposed machine learning-based methods are preferable in that they show more accurate prediction performance. However, with the exception of some learning models such as decision tree-based models, it is very difficult to explicitly know the structure of learning models (Black-Box Model) and to explain to what extent certain attributes (features or variables) of the learning model affected the prediction results. To overcome this problem, a recently proposed study is an explainable artificial intelligence (AI). It is a methodology that makes it easy for users to understand and trust the results of machine learning-based learning models. In this paper, we propose an explainable AI method to further enhance the explanatory power of the existing learning model by targeting the previously proposedpredictive model [5] that learned data from a core facility (Hyper Compressor) of a domestic chemical plant that produces polyethylene. The ensemble prediction model, which is a black box model, wasconverted to a white box model using the Explainable AI. The proposed methodology explains the direction of control for the major features in the failure prediction results through the Explainable AI. Through this methodology, it is possible to flexibly replace the timing of maintenance of the machine and supply and demand of parts, and to improve the efficiency of the facility operation through proper pre-control.

Prediction of Food Franchise Success and Failure Based on Machine Learning (머신러닝 기반 외식업 프랜차이즈 가맹점 성패 예측)

  • Ahn, Yelyn;Ryu, Sungmin;Lee, Hyunhee;Park, Minseo
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.347-353
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    • 2022
  • In the restaurant industry, start-ups are active due to high demand from consumers and low entry barriers. However, the restaurant industry has a high closure rate, and in the case of franchises, there is a large deviation in sales within the same brand. Thus, research is needed to prevent the closure of food franchises. Therefore, this study examines the factors affecting franchise sales and uses machine learning techniques to predict the success and failure of franchises. Various factors that affect franchise sales are extracted by using Point of Sale (PoS) data of food franchise and public data in Gangnam-gu, Seoul. And for more valid variable selection, multicollinearity is removed by using Variance Inflation Factor (VIF). Finally, classification models are used to predict the success and failure of food franchise stores. Through this method, we propose success and failure prediction model for food franchise stores with the accuracy of 0.92.

Application and Potential of Artificial Intelligence in Heart Failure: Past, Present, and Future

  • Minjae Yoon;Jin Joo Park;Taeho Hur;Cam-Hao Hua;Musarrat Hussain;Sungyoung Lee;Dong-Ju Choi
    • International Journal of Heart Failure
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.11-19
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    • 2024
  • The prevalence of heart failure (HF) is increasing, necessitating accurate diagnosis and tailored treatment. The accumulation of clinical information from patients with HF generates big data, which poses challenges for traditional analytical methods. To address this, big data approaches and artificial intelligence (AI) have been developed that can effectively predict future observations and outcomes, enabling precise diagnoses and personalized treatments of patients with HF. Machine learning (ML) is a subfield of AI that allows computers to analyze data, find patterns, and make predictions without explicit instructions. ML can be supervised, unsupervised, or semi-supervised. Deep learning is a branch of ML that uses artificial neural networks with multiple layers to find complex patterns. These AI technologies have shown significant potential in various aspects of HF research, including diagnosis, outcome prediction, classification of HF phenotypes, and optimization of treatment strategies. In addition, integrating multiple data sources, such as electrocardiography, electronic health records, and imaging data, can enhance the diagnostic accuracy of AI algorithms. Currently, wearable devices and remote monitoring aided by AI enable the earlier detection of HF and improved patient care. This review focuses on the rationale behind utilizing AI in HF and explores its various applications.

Failure Restoration of Mobility Databases by Learning and Prediction of User Mobility in Mobile Communication System (이동 통신 시스템에서 사용자 이동성의 학습과 예측에 의한 이동성 데이타베이스의 실채 회복)

  • Gil, Joon-Min;Hwang, Chong-Sun;Jeong, Young-Sik
    • Journal of KIISE:Information Networking
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.412-427
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    • 2002
  • This paper proposes a restoration scheme based on mobility learning and prediction in the presence of the failure of mobility databases in mobile communication systems. In mobile communication systems, mobility databases must maintain the current location information of users to provide a fast connection for them. However, the failure of mobility databases may cause some location information to be lost. As a result, without an explicit restoration procedure, incoming calls to users may be rejected. Therefore, an explicit restoration scheme against the failure of mobility databases is needed to guarantee continuous service availability to users. Introducing mobility learning and prediction into the restoration process allows systems to locate users after a failure of mobility databases. In failure-free operations, the movement patterns of users are learned by a Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (NFIS). After a failure, an inference process of the NFIS is initiated and the users' future location is predicted. This is used to locate lost users after a failure. This proposal differs from previous approaches using checkpoint because it does not need a backup process nor additional storage space to store checkpoint information. In addition, simulations show that our proposal can reduce the cost needed to restore the location records of lost users after a failure when compared to the checkpointing scheme

The Comparative Study for Property of Learning Effect based on Truncated time and Delayed S-Shaped NHPP Software Reliability Model (절단고정시간과 지연된 S-형태 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰모형에 근거한 학습효과특성 비교연구)

  • Kim, Hee Cheul
    • Journal of Korea Society of Digital Industry and Information Management
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.25-34
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    • 2012
  • In this study, in the process of testing before the release of the software products designed, software testing manager in advance should be aware of the testing-information. Therefore, the effective learning effects perspective has been studied using the NHPP software. The finite failure nonhomogeneous Poisson process models presented and applied property of learning effect based on truncated time and delayed S-shaped software reliability. Software error detection techniques known in advance, but influencing factors for considering the errors found automatically and learning factors, by prior experience, to find precisely the error factor setting up the testing manager are presented comparing the problem. As a result, the learning factor is greater than autonomous errors-detected factor that is generally efficient model can be confirmed. This paper, a failure data analysis was performed, using time between failures, according to the small sample and large sample sizes. The parameter estimation was carried out using maximum likelihood estimation method. Model selection was performed using the mean square error and coefficient of determination, after the data efficiency from the data through trend analysis was performed.

Reinforcement Learning Control using Self-Organizing Map and Multi-layer Feed-Forward Neural Network

  • Lee, Jae-Kang;Kim, Il-Hwan
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.142-145
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    • 2003
  • Many control applications using Neural Network need a priori information about the objective system. But it is impossible to get exact information about the objective system in real world. To solve this problem, several control methods were proposed. Reinforcement learning control using neural network is one of them. Basically reinforcement learning control doesn't need a priori information of objective system. This method uses reinforcement signal from interaction of objective system and environment and observable states of objective system as input data. But many methods take too much time to apply to real-world. So we focus on faster learning to apply reinforcement learning control to real-world. Two data types are used for reinforcement learning. One is reinforcement signal data. It has only two fixed scalar values that are assigned for each success and fail state. The other is observable state data. There are infinitive states in real-world system. So the number of observable state data is also infinitive. This requires too much learning time for applying to real-world. So we try to reduce the number of observable states by classification of states with Self-Organizing Map. We also use neural dynamic programming for controller design. An inverted pendulum on the cart system is simulated. Failure signal is used for reinforcement signal. The failure signal occurs when the pendulum angle or cart position deviate from the defined control range. The control objective is to maintain the balanced pole and centered cart. And four states that is, position and velocity of cart, angle and angular velocity of pole are used for state signal. Learning controller is composed of serial connection of Self-Organizing Map and two Multi-layer Feed-Forward Neural Networks.

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A Machine Learning Program for Impact Fracture Analysis (머신러닝을 이용한 충격파면 해석에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Seung-Jin;Kim, Gi-Man;Choi, Seong-Dae
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.95-102
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    • 2021
  • Analysis of the fracture surface is one of the most important methods for determining the cause of equipment structural failure. Whether structural failure is caused by impact or fatigue is necessary information in industrial fields. For ferrous and non-ferrous metal materials, two fracture phenomena are generated on the fracture surface: ductile and brittle fractures. In this study, machine learning predicts whether the fracture is based on ductile or brittle when structurural failure is caused by impact. The K-means algorithm calculates this ratio by clustering the brittle and ductile fracture data from a photograph of the impact fracture surface, unlike the existing method, which calculates the fracture surface ratio by comparison with the grid type or the reference fracture surface shape.

Classification of Inverter Failure by Using Big Data and Machine Learning (빅데이터와 머신러닝 기반의 인버터 고장 분류)

  • Kim, Min-Seop;Shifat, Tanvir Alam;Hur, Jang-Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2021
  • With the advent of industry 4.0, big data and machine learning techniques are being widely adopted in the maintenance domain. Inverters are widely used in many engineering applications. However, overloading and complex operation conditions may lead to various failures in inverters. In this study, failure mode effect analysis was performed on inverters and voltages collected to investigate the over-voltage effect on capacitors. Several features were extracted from the collected sensor data, which indicated the health state of the inverter. Based on this correlation, the best features were selected for classification. Moreover, random forest classifiers were used to classify the healthy and faulty states of inverters. Different performance metrics were computed, and the classifiers' performance was evaluated in terms of various health features.

Decision support system for underground coal pillar stability using unsupervised and supervised machine learning approaches

  • Kamran, Muhammad;Shahani, Niaz Muhammad;Armaghani, Danial Jahed
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.107-121
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    • 2022
  • Coal pillar assessment is of broad importance to underground engineering structure, as the pillar failure can lead to enormous disasters. Because of the highly non-linear correlation between the pillar failure and its influential attributes, conventional forecasting techniques cannot generate accurate outcomes. To approximate the complex behavior of coal pillar, this paper elucidates a new idea to forecast the underground coal pillar stability using combined unsupervised-supervised learning. In order to build a database of the study, a total of 90 patterns of pillar cases were collected from authentic engineering structures. A state-of-the art feature depletion method, t-distribution symmetric neighbor embedding (t-SNE) has been employed to reduce significance of actual data features. Consequently, an unsupervised machine learning technique K-mean clustering was followed to reassign the t-SNE dimensionality reduced data in order to compute the relative class of coal pillar cases. Following that, the reassign dataset was divided into two parts: 70 percent for training dataset and 30 percent for testing dataset, respectively. The accuracy of the predicted data was then examined using support vector classifier (SVC) model performance measures such as precision, recall, and f1-score. As a result, the proposed model can be employed for properly predicting the pillar failure class in a variety of underground rock engineering projects.