• Title/Summary/Keyword: Learning assessment

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Development of prediction model identifying high-risk older persons in need of long-term care (장기요양 필요 발생의 고위험 대상자 발굴을 위한 예측모형 개발)

  • Song, Mi Kyung;Park, Yeongwoo;Han, Eun-Jeong
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.457-468
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    • 2022
  • In aged society, it is important to prevent older people from being disability needing long-term care. The purpose of this study is to develop a prediction model to discover high-risk groups who are likely to be beneficiaries of Long-Term Care Insurance. This study is a retrospective study using database of National Health Insurance Service (NHIS) collected in the past of the study subjects. The study subjects are 7,724,101, the population over 65 years of age registered for medical insurance. To develop the prediction model, we used logistic regression, decision tree, random forest, and multi-layer perceptron neural network. Finally, random forest was selected as the prediction model based on the performances of models obtained through internal and external validation. Random forest could predict about 90% of the older people in need of long-term care using DB without any information from the assessment of eligibility for long-term care. The findings might be useful in evidencebased health management for prevention services and can contribute to preemptively discovering those who need preventive services in older people.

Development of technology to predict the impact of urban inundation due to climate change on urban transportation networks (기후변화에 따른 도시침수가 도시교통네트워크에 미치는 영향 예측 기술 개발)

  • Jeung, Se Jin;Hur, Dasom;Kim, Byung Sik
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.12
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    • pp.1091-1104
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    • 2022
  • Climate change is predicted to increase the frequency and intensity of rainfall worldwide, and the pattern is changing due to inundation damage in urban areas due to rapid urbanization and industrialization. Accordingly, the impact assessment of climate change is mentioned as a very important factor in urban planning, and the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) is emphasizing the need for an impact forecast that considers the social and economic impacts that may arise from meteorological phenomena. In particular, in terms of traffic, the degradation of transport systems due to urban flooding is the most detrimental factor to society and is estimated to be around £100k per hour per major road affected. However, in the case of Korea, even if accurate forecasts and special warnings on the occurrence of meteorological disasters are currently provided, the effects are not properly conveyed. Therefore, in this study, high-resolution analysis and hydrological factors of each area are reflected in order to suggest the depth of flooding of urban floods and to cope with the damage that may affect vehicles, and the degree of flooding caused by rainfall and its effect on vehicle operation are investigated. decided it was necessary. Therefore, the calculation formula of rainfall-immersion depth-vehicle speed is presented using various machine learning techniques rather than simple linear regression. In addition, by applying the climate change scenario to the rainfall-inundation depth-vehicle speed calculation formula, it predicts the flooding of urban rivers during heavy rain, and evaluates possible traffic network disturbances due to road inundation considering the impact of future climate change. We want to develop technology for use in traffic flow planning.

Effects of Athlete Career and Competition Participation Frequency on Exercise Commitment of Women University Taekwondo Athletes (여자 대학 태권도 선수들의 선수 경력과 대회 참가빈도가 운동몰입에 미치는 영향)

  • Sung-Min Son;Byung-O Ahn
    • Journal of the Korean Applied Science and Technology
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.476-483
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    • 2023
  • This study aimed to analyze the effects of athletic career and competition participation frequency on exercise commitment of women university taekwondo athletes. Study subjects were 20 women university taekwondo athletes. Athletic career and competition participation frequency was assessed by 4-points scale and the higher points indicate the higher level of each variables. Exercise commitment was assessed by Exercise Commitment Scale. The assessment consists of a total of 8 questions, 4 of which are action immersion and 4 of cognitive immersion, and is evaluated using a 5-point Likert scale. The higher the score, the higher the level of exercise commitment. As the results, positive relationship showed both correlation and casual relationship analysis between competition participation frequency and exercise commitment. Negative casual relationship (-) showed between athletic career and exercise commitment. These results indicated that the increase of competition participation frequency affects the exercise commitment and the longer of athletic career indicates the decrease the level of exercise commitment. Thus, to improve the exercise commitment of women university taekwondo athletes, the competition participation frequency and athletic career should be considered.

Development of Stability Evaluation Algorithm for C.I.P. Retaining Walls During Excavation (가시설 벽체(C.I.P.)의 굴착중 안정성 평가 알고리즘 개발)

  • Lee, Dong-Gun;Yu, Jeong-Yeon;Choi, Ji-Yeol;Song, Ki-Il
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.39 no.9
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    • pp.13-24
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    • 2023
  • To investigate the stability of temporary retaining walls during excavation, it is essential to develop reverse analysis technologies capable of precisely evaluating the properties of the ground and a learning model that can assess stability by analyzing real-time data. In this study, we targeted excavation sites where the C.I.P method was applied. We developed a Deep Neural Network (DNN) model capable of evaluating the stability of the retaining wall, and estimated the physical properties of the ground being excavated using a Differential Evolution Algorithm. We performed reverse analysis on a model composed of a two-layer ground for the applicability analysis of the Differential Evolution Algorithm. The results from this analysis allowed us to predict the properties of the ground, such as the elastic modulus, cohesion, and internal friction angle, with an accuracy of 97%. We analyzed 30,000 cases to construct the training data for the DNN model. We proposed stability evaluation grades for each assessment factor, including anchor axial force, uneven subsidence, wall displacement, and structural stability of the wall, and trained the data based on these factors. The application analysis of the trained DNN model showed that the model could predict the stability of the retaining wall with an average accuracy of over 94%, considering factors such as the axial force of the anchor, uneven subsidence, displacement of the wall, and structural stability of the wall.

Analysis of the annual changes in dental institutions that claimed dental sedatives in Korea and the types of sedatives using health care big data

  • Minjae Lee;Seong In Chi;Hyuk Kim;Kwang-Suk Seo
    • Journal of Dental Anesthesia and Pain Medicine
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.101-110
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    • 2023
  • Background: Dentists make various efforts to reduce patients' anxiety and fear associated with dental treatment. Dental sedation is an advanced method that dentists can perform to reduce patients' anxiety and fear and provide effective dental treatment. However, dental sedation is different from general dental treatment and requires separate learning, and if done incorrectly, can lead to serious complications. Therefore, sedation is performed by a limited number of dentists who have received specific training. This study aimed to investigate the proportion of dentists who practice sedation and the main sedatives they use in the context of the Republic of Korea. Methods: We used the customized health information data provided by the Korean National Health Insurance. We investigated the number of dental hospitals or clinics that claimed insurance for eight main sedatives commonly used in dental sedation from January, 2007 to September, 2019 at the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service. We also identified the changes in the number of dental medical institutions by region and year and analyzed the number and proportion of dental medical institutions prescribing each sedative. Results: In 2007, 302 dental hospitals prescribed sedatives, and the number increased to 613 in 2019. In 2007, approximately 2.18% of the total 13,796 dental institutions prescribed sedatives, increasing to 3.31% in 2019. In 2007, 168 institutions (55.6%) prescribed N2O alone, and in 2019, 510 institutions (83.1%) made claims for it. In 2007, 76 (25.1%) hospitals made claims for chloral hydrate, but the number gradually decreased, with only 29 hospitals (4.7%) prescribing it in 2019. Hospitals that prescribed a combination of N2O, chloral hydrate, and hydroxyzine increased from 27 (8.9%) in 2007 to 51 (9%) in 2017 but decreased to 38 (6.1%) in 2019. The use of a combination of N2O and midazolam increased from 20 hospitals (6.6%) in 2007 to 51 hospitals (8.3%) in 2019. Conclusion: While there is a critical limitation to the investigation of dental hospitals performing sedation using insurance claims data, namely exclusion of dental clinics providing non-insured treatments, we found that in 2019, approximately 3.31% of the dental clinics were practicing sedation and that N2O was the most commonly prescribed sedative.

A study on the prediction of aquatic ecosystem health grade in ungauged rivers through the machine learning model based on GAN data (GAN 데이터 기반의 머신러닝 모델을 통한 미계측 하천에서의 수생태계 건강성 등급 예측 방안 연구)

  • Lee, Seoro;Lee, Jimin;Lee, Gwanjae;Kim, Jonggun;Lim, Kyoung Jae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.448-448
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    • 2021
  • 최근 급격한 기후변화와 도시화 및 산업화로 인한 지류하천에서의 수량과 수질의 변동은 생물 다양성 감소와 수생태계 건강성 저하에 큰 영향을 미치고 있다. 효율적인 수생태 관리를 위해서는 지속적인 유량, 수질, 그리고 수생태 모니터링을 통한 데이터 축적과 더불어 면밀한 상관 분석을 통해 수생태계 건강성의 악화 원인을 규명해야 할 필요가 있다. 그러나 수많은 지류하천을 대상으로 한 지속적인 모니터링은 현실적으로 어려움이 있으며, 수생태계의 특성 상 단일 영향 인자만으로 수생태계의 건강성 변화와의 관계를 정확히 파악하는데 한계가 있다. 따라서 지류하천에서의 유량 및 수질의 시공간적인 변동성과 다양한 영향 인자를 고려하여 수생태계의 건강성을 효율적으로 예측할 수 있는 기술이 필요하다. 이에 본 연구에서는 경험적 데이터 기반의 머신러닝 모델 구축을 통해 미계측 하천에서의 수생태계 건강성 지수(BMI, TDI, FAI)의 등급(A to E)을 예측하고자 하였다. 머신러닝 모델은 학습 데이터셋의 양과 질에 따라 성능이 크게 달라질 수 있으며, 학습 데이터셋의 분포가 불균형적일 경우 과적합 또는 과소적합 문제가 발생할 수 있다. 이를 보완하고자 본 연구에서는 실제 측정망 데이터셋을 바탕으로 생성적 적대 신경망 GAN(Generative Adversarial Network) 알고리즘을 통해 머신러닝 모델 학습에 필요한 추가 데이터셋(유량, 수질, 기상, 수생태 등급)을 확보하였다. 머신러닝 모델의 성능은 5차 교차검증 과정을 통해 평가하였으며, GAN 데이터셋의 정확도는 실제 측정망 데이터셋의 정규분포와의 비교 분석을 통해 평가하였다. 최종적으로 SWAT(Soil and Water Assessment Tool) 모형을 통해 예측 된 미계측 하천에서의 데이터셋을 머신러닝 모델의 검증 자료로 사용하여 수생태계 건강성 등급 예측 정확도를 평가하였다. 본 연구에서의 GAN에 의해 강화된 머신러닝 모델은 수질 및 수생태 관리가 필요한 우심 지류하천 선정과 구조적/비구조적 최적관리기법에 따른 수생태계 건강성 개선 효과를 평가하는데 활용될 수 있을 것이다. 또한 이를 통해 예측된 미계측 하천에서의 수생태계 건강성 등급 자료는 수량-수질-수생태를 유기적으로 연계한 통합 물관리 정책을 수립하는데 기초자료로 활용될 수 있을 것이라 사료된다.

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Exploring Factors Influencing Affective Characteristics in Elementary School Students: Focusing on School Mathematics Education and Social Environment (초등학생의 정의적 특성에 영향을 미치는 요인 탐색: 학교에서의 수학 교육 및 사회적 환경을 중심으로)

  • Kwon, Jeom-Rae;Kwon, Misun
    • Education of Primary School Mathematics
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.199-217
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    • 2023
  • Affective characteristics have been consistently emphasized in mathematics education, but students' confidence or interest in mathematics has not changed significantly. This study analyzes the factors affecting the affective characteristics according to students' academic achievements, which have not been studied so far. The study was surveyed 593 students in the 5th and 6th grades, divided into school mathematics education and social-environmental factors. As a result of the study, students cited 'mathematics class at school' as the factor that had the most influence on their affective characteristics, regardless of academic achievement. Excluding 'mathematics classes at school', upper level students said that 'private education' and 'college entrance exams and jobs', had the most influence on their affective characteristics. Middle level students said that 'assessment at school' and 'private education' had the most influence on their affective characteristics. Lower-level students said that 'school evaluation' and 'mathematics textbook' had the most influence on the affective characteristics. In particular, as the academic achievement level decreased, students' participation in classes decreased rapidly. Most students said that the mathematics content they were learning was too difficult for that reason. Considering these research results, it would be effective to apply methods according to students' academic achievement to some extent in order to improve affective characteristics.

Assessment of Applicability of CNN Algorithm for Interpretation of Thermal Images Acquired in Superficial Defect Inspection Zones (포장층 이상구간에서 획득한 열화상 이미지 해석을 위한 CNN 알고리즘의 적용성 평가)

  • Jang, Byeong-Su;Kim, YoungSeok;Kim, Sewon ;Choi, Hyun-Jun;Yoon, Hyung-Koo
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.39 no.10
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    • pp.41-48
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    • 2023
  • The presence of abnormalities in the subgrade of roads poses safety risks to users and results in significant maintenance costs. In this study, we aimed to experimentally evaluate the temperature distributions in abnormal areas of subgrade materials using infrared cameras and analyze the data with machine learning techniques. The experimental site was configured as a cubic shape measuring 50 cm in width, length, and depth, with abnormal areas designated for water and air. Concrete blocks covered the upper part of the site to simulate the pavement layer. Temperature distribution was monitored over 23 h, from 4 PM to 3 PM the following day, resulting in image data and numerical temperature values extracted from the middle of the abnormal area. The temperature difference between the maximum and minimum values measured 34.8℃ for water, 34.2℃ for air, and 28.6℃ for the original subgrade. To classify conditions in the measured images, we employed the image analysis method of a convolutional neural network (CNN), utilizing ResNet-101 and SqueezeNet networks. The classification accuracies of ResNet-101 for water, air, and the original subgrade were 70%, 50%, and 80%, respectively. SqueezeNet achieved classification accuracies of 60% for water, 30% for air, and 70% for the original subgrade. This study highlights the effectiveness of CNN algorithms in analyzing subgrade properties and predicting subsurface conditions.

Methodology for Developing a Predictive Model for Highway Traffic Information Using LSTM (LSTM을 활용한 고속도로 교통정보 예측 모델 개발 방법론)

  • Yoseph Lee;Hyoung-suk Jin;Yejin Kim;Sung-ho Park;Ilsoo Yun
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2023
  • With the recent developments in big data and deep learning, a variety of traffic information is collected widely and used for traffic operations. In particular, long short-term memory (LSTM) is used in the field of traffic information prediction with time series characteristics. Since trends, seasons, and cycles differ due to the nature of time series data input for an LSTM, a trial-and-error method based on characteristics of the data is essential for prediction models based on time series data in order to find hyperparameters. If a methodology is established to find suitable hyperparameters, it is possible to reduce the time spent in constructing high-accuracy models. Therefore, in this study, a traffic information prediction model is developed based on highway vehicle detection system (VDS) data and LSTM, and an impact assessment is conducted through changes in the LSTM evaluation indicators for each hyperparameter. In addition, a methodology for finding hyperparameters suitable for predicting highway traffic information in the transportation field is presented.

Influence of Video Clip-based Pedagogical Reasoning Activity on Elementary Preservice Teachers' Science Lesson Planning (비디오 클립을 활용한 교육적 추론 활동이 초등 예비교사의 과학 수업 계획에 미치는 영향)

  • Song, Nayoon;Yoon, Hye-Gyoung
    • Journal of Korean Elementary Science Education
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    • v.43 no.1
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    • pp.170-184
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    • 2024
  • This study focused on the practical research needed to improve elementary school science lesson plans. Specifically, a video clip-based pedagogical reasoning activity that included elementary student misconceptions was presented and the influences of this activity on preservice teachers' science lesson planning were assessed. First, the eight preservice teacher participants were asked to write a lesson plan for a dissolution and solution unit, after which a first semi-structured interview was conducted. Then, the participants participated in a video clip-based pedagogical reasoning activity. Based on the activity results, the participants revised their previously planned lessons, and second semi-structured interviews were conducted. The data from the preservice teachers' lesson plans and interview transcripts were analyzed using a constant comparative method to investigate the lesson plan changes. It was found that after the video clip-based pedagogical reasoning activity, the preservice teacher tightened the activity or changed the material to understand the students' thinking processes. In addition, they supplemented their goals and assessment criteria to accommodate the diverse students' thinking. Some also specified motivational strategies that considered student interests, motivation, and possible misconceptions. However, some preservice teachers still set goals that did not sufficiently account for student misconceptions and some planned the student assessments based only on the learning goals rather than the students' thinking. The few preservice teachers were able to develop motivational strategies that considered interest, motivation, and misconceptions. The preservice teachers claimed that they had difficulty predicting the misconceptions and connecting these to the lesson content. Discussions were then held to assist the preservice teachers to consider possible student misconceptions when planning their lessons.