• Title/Summary/Keyword: LSTM (Long-Short Term Memory)

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Performance Assessment of Two-stream Convolutional Long- and Short-term Memory Model for September Arctic Sea Ice Prediction from 2001 to 2021 (Two-stream Convolutional Long- and Short-term Memory 모델의 2001-2021년 9월 북극 해빙 예측 성능 평가)

  • Chi, Junhwa
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.38 no.6_1
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    • pp.1047-1056
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    • 2022
  • Sea ice, frozen sea water, in the Artic is a primary indicator of global warming. Due to its importance to the climate system, shipping-route navigation, and fisheries, Arctic sea ice prediction has gained increased attention in various disciplines. Recent advances in artificial intelligence (AI), motivated by a desire to develop more autonomous and efficient future predictions, have led to the development of new sea ice prediction models as alternatives to conventional numerical and statistical prediction models. This study aims to evaluate the performance of the two-stream convolutional long-and short-term memory (TS-ConvLSTM) AI model, which is designed for learning both global and local characteristics of the Arctic sea ice changes, for the minimum September Arctic sea ice from 2001 to 2021, and to show the possibility for an operational prediction system. Although the TS-ConvLSTM model generally increased the prediction performance as training data increased, predictability for the marginal ice zone, 5-50% concentration, showed a negative trend due to increasing first-year sea ice and warming. Additionally, a comparison of sea ice extent predicted by the TS-ConvLSTM with the median Sea Ice Outlooks (SIOs) submitted to the Sea Ice Prediction Network has been carried out. Unlike the TS-ConvLSTM, the median SIOs did not show notable improvements as time passed (i.e., the amount of training data increased). Although the TS-ConvLSTM model has shown the potential for the operational sea ice prediction system, learning more spatio-temporal patterns in the difficult-to-predict natural environment for the robust prediction system should be considered in future work.

Short-term Power Consumption Forecasting Based on IoT Power Meter with LSTM and GRU Deep Learning (LSTM과 GRU 딥러닝 IoT 파워미터 기반의 단기 전력사용량 예측)

  • Lee, Seon-Min;Sun, Young-Ghyu;Lee, Jiyoung;Lee, Donggu;Cho, Eun-Il;Park, Dae-Hyun;Kim, Yong-Bum;Sim, Isaac;Kim, Jin-Young
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.79-85
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, we propose a short-term power forecasting method by applying Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) neural network to Internet of Things (IoT) power meter. We analyze performance based on real power consumption data of households. Mean absolute error (MAE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), mean percentage error (MPE), mean squared error (MSE), and root mean squared error (RMSE) are used as performance evaluation indexes. The experimental results show that the GRU-based model improves the performance by 4.52% in the MAPE and 5.59% in the MPE compared to the LSTM-based model.

Forecasting the Wholesale Price of Farmed Olive Flounder Paralichthys olivaceus Using LSTM and GRU Models (LSTM (Long-short Term Memory)과 GRU (Gated Recurrent Units) 모델을 활용한 양식산 넙치 도매가격 예측 연구)

  • Ga-hyun Lee;Do-Hoon Kim
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.56 no.2
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    • pp.243-252
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    • 2023
  • Fluctuations in the price of aquaculture products have recently intensified. In particular, wholesale price fluctuations are adversely affecting consumers. Therefore, there is an emerging need for a study on forecasting the wholesale price of aquaculture products. The present study forecasted the wholesale price of olive flounder Paralichthys olivaceus, a representative farmed fish species in Korea, by constructing multivariate long-short term memory (LSTM) and gated recurrent unit (GRU) models. These deep learning models have recently been proven to be effective for forecasting in various fields. A total of 191 monthly data obtained for 17 variables were used to train and test the models. The results showed that the mean average percent error of LSTM and GRU models were 2.19% and 2.68%, respectively.

Long Short-Term Memory Network for INS Positioning During GNSS Outages: A Preliminary Study on Simple Trajectories

  • Yujin Shin;Cheolmin Lee;Doyeon Jung;Euiho Kim
    • Journal of Positioning, Navigation, and Timing
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.137-147
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    • 2024
  • This paper presents a novel Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network architecture for the integration of an Inertial Measurement Unit (IMU) and Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS). The proposed algorithm consists of two independent LSTM networks and the LSTM networks are trained to predict attitudes and velocities from the sequence of IMU measurements and mechanization solutions. In this paper, three GNSS receivers are used to provide Real Time Kinematic (RTK) GNSS attitude and position information of a vehicle, and the information is used as a target output while training the network. The performance of the proposed method was evaluated with both experimental and simulation data using a lowcost IMU and three RTK-GNSS receivers. The test results showed that the proposed LSTM network could improve positioning accuracy by more than 90% compared to the position solutions obtained using a conventional Kalman filter based IMU/GNSS integration for more than 30 seconds of GNSS outages.

Performance of End-to-end Model Based on Convolutional LSTM for Human Activity Recognition

  • Young Ghyu Sun;Soo Hyun Kim;Seongwoo Lee;Joonho Seon;SangWoon Lee;Cheong Ghil Kim;Jin Young Kim
    • Journal of Web Engineering
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.1671-1690
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    • 2022
  • Human activity recognition (HAR) is a key technology in many applications, such as smart signage, smart healthcare, smart home, etc. In HAR, deep learning-based methods have been proposed to recognize activity data effectively from video streams. In this paper, the end-to-end model based on convolutional long short-term memory (LSTM) is proposed to recognize human activities. Convolutional LSTM can learn features of spatial and temporal simultaneously from video stream data. Also, the number of learning weights can be diminished by employing convolutional LSTM with an end-to-end model. The proposed HAR model was optimized with various simulation environments using activities data from the AI hub. From simulation results, it can be confirmed that the proposed model can be outperformed compared with the conventional model.

LSTM-based Sales Forecasting Model

  • Hong, Jun-Ki
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.1232-1245
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    • 2021
  • In this study, prediction of product sales as they relate to changes in temperature is proposed. This model uses long short-term memory (LSTM), which has shown excellent performance for time series predictions. For verification of the proposed sales prediction model, the sales of short pants, flip-flop sandals, and winter outerwear are predicted based on changes in temperature and time series sales data for clothing products collected from 2015 to 2019 (a total of 1,865 days). The sales predictions using the proposed model show increases in the sale of shorts and flip-flops as the temperature rises (a pattern similar to actual sales), while the sale of winter outerwear increases as the temperature decreases.

LSTM-based Anomaly Detection on Big Data for Smart Factory Monitoring (스마트 팩토리 모니터링을 위한 빅 데이터의 LSTM 기반 이상 탐지)

  • Nguyen, Van Quan;Van Ma, Linh;Kim, Jinsul
    • Journal of Digital Contents Society
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.789-799
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    • 2018
  • This article presents machine learning based approach on Big data to analyzing time series data for anomaly detection in such industrial complex system. Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network have been demonstrated to be improved version of RNN and have become a useful aid for many tasks. This LSTM based model learn the higher level temporal features as well as temporal pattern, then such predictor is used to prediction stage to estimate future data. The prediction error is the difference between predicted output made by predictor and actual in-coming values. An error-distribution estimation model is built using a Gaussian distribution to calculate the anomaly in the score of the observation. In this manner, we move from the concept of a single anomaly to the idea of the collective anomaly. This work can assist the monitoring and management of Smart Factory in minimizing failure and improving manufacturing quality.

Long-term runoff simulation using rainfall LSTM-MLP artificial neural network ensemble (LSTM - MLP 인공신경망 앙상블을 이용한 장기 강우유출모의)

  • An, Sungwook;Kang, Dongho;Sung, Janghyun;Kim, Byungsik
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.57 no.2
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    • pp.127-137
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    • 2024
  • Physical models, which are often used for water resource management, are difficult to build and operate with input data and may involve the subjective views of users. In recent years, research using data-driven models such as machine learning has been actively conducted to compensate for these problems in the field of water resources, and in this study, an artificial neural network was used to simulate long-term rainfall runoff in the Osipcheon watershed in Samcheok-si, Gangwon-do. For this purpose, three input data groups (meteorological observations, daily precipitation and potential evapotranspiration, and daily precipitation - potential evapotranspiration) were constructed from meteorological data, and the results of training the LSTM (Long Short-term Memory) artificial neural network model were compared and analyzed. As a result, the performance of LSTM-Model 1 using only meteorological observations was the highest, and six LSTM-MLP ensemble models with MLP artificial neural networks were built to simulate long-term runoff in the Fifty Thousand Watershed. The comparison between the LSTM and LSTM-MLP models showed that both models had generally similar results, but the MAE, MSE, and RMSE of LSTM-MLP were reduced compared to LSTM, especially in the low-flow part. As the results of LSTM-MLP show an improvement in the low-flow part, it is judged that in the future, in addition to the LSTM-MLP model, various ensemble models such as CNN can be used to build physical models and create sulfur curves in large basins that take a long time to run and unmeasured basins that lack input data.

LSTM RNN-based Korean Speech Recognition System Using CTC (CTC를 이용한 LSTM RNN 기반 한국어 음성인식 시스템)

  • Lee, Donghyun;Lim, Minkyu;Park, Hosung;Kim, Ji-Hwan
    • Journal of Digital Contents Society
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.93-99
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    • 2017
  • A hybrid approach using Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) has showed great improvement in speech recognition accuracy. For training acoustic model based on hybrid approach, it requires forced alignment of HMM state sequence from Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM)-Hidden Markov Model (HMM). However, high computation time for training GMM-HMM is required. This paper proposes an end-to-end approach for LSTM RNN-based Korean speech recognition to improve learning speed. A Connectionist Temporal Classification (CTC) algorithm is proposed to implement this approach. The proposed method showed almost equal performance in recognition rate, while the learning speed is 1.27 times faster.

LSTM-based aerodynamic force modeling for unsteady flows around structures

  • Shijie Liu;Zhen Zhang;Xue Zhou;Qingkuan Liu
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.147-160
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    • 2024
  • The aerodynamic force is a significant component that influences the stability and safety of structures. It has unstable properties and depends on computer precision, making its long-term prediction challenging. Accurately estimating the aerodynamic traits of structures is critical for structural design and vibration control. This paper establishes an unsteady aerodynamic time series prediction model using Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network. The unsteady aerodynamic force under varied Reynolds number and angles of attack is predicted by the LSTM model. The input of the model is the aerodynamic coefficients of the 1 to n sample points and output is the aerodynamic coefficients of the n+1 sample point. The model is predicted by interpolation and extrapolation utilizing Unsteady Reynolds-average Navier-Stokes (URANS) simulation data of flow around a circular cylinder, square cylinder and airfoil. The results illustrate that the trajectories of the LSTM prediction results and URANS outcomes are largely consistent with time. The mean relative error between the forecast results and the original results is less than 6%. Therefore, our technique has a prospective application in unsteady aerodynamic force prediction of structures and can give technical assistance for engineering applications.