• Title/Summary/Keyword: LGBM

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Prediction of Cognitive Ability Utilizing a Machine Learning approach based on Digital Therapeutics Log Data

  • Yeojin Kim;Jiseon Yang;Dohyoung Rim;Uran Oh
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.17-24
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    • 2023
  • Given the surge in the elderly population, and increasing in dementia cases, there is a growing interest in digital therapies that facilitate steady remote treatment. However, in the cognitive assessment of digital therapies through clinical trials, the absence of log data as an essential evaluation factor is a significant issue. To address this, we propose a solution of utilizing weighted derived variables based on high-importance variables' accuracy in log data utilization as an indirect cognitive assessment factor for digital therapies. We have validated the effectiveness of this approach using machine learning techniques such as XGBoost, LGBM, and CatBoost. Thus, we suggest the use of log data as a rapid and indirect cognitive evaluation factor for digital therapy users.

A Study on Building a Financial Prediction System with Artificial Intelligence Robo-Advisor (인공지능 로보어드바이저를 통한 재테크 예측 시스템 구축에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Minki;Kim, Yeonsu;Yang, Jeong-Woo;Jo, Sunkeun;Moon, Jaehyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2020.11a
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    • pp.745-748
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    • 2020
  • 국민연금이 2056 년 고갈될 수 있다는 전망이 나오면서 연금소득에 대한 국민들의 불안감이 커졌다. 노후를 위해 미리 대비해야한다는 인식이 커지며 자동으로 투자해주는 '로보어드바이저'에 대한 사회적 관심이 함께 높아졌다. 본 연구에서는 기존 시중 은행들의 펀드 기반 로보어드바이저가 아닌 기업 재무 정보, 수정 종가 데이터를 이용한 직접 투자를 고안하였다. LGBM 알고리즘으로 포트폴리오를 구현해본 결과 실제 퀀트 투자에서 사용되는 지표들이 주식의 변화를 예측하는데 효과가 있음을 확인할 수 있었다.

Enhancing Similar Business Group Recommendation through Derivative Criteria and Web Crawling

  • Min Jeong LEE;In Seop NA
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.17 no.10
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    • pp.2809-2821
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    • 2023
  • Effective recommendation of similar business groups is a critical factor in obtaining market information for companies. In this study, we propose a novel method for enhancing similar business group recommendation by incorporating derivative criteria and web crawling. We use employment announcements, employment incentives, and corporate vocational training information to derive additional criteria for similar business group selection. Web crawling is employed to collect data related to the derived criteria from 'credit jobs' and 'worknet' sites. We compare the efficiency of different datasets and machine learning methods, including XGBoost, LGBM, Adaboost, Linear Regression, K-NN, and SVM. The proposed model extracts derivatives that reflect the financial and scale characteristics of the company, which are then incorporated into a new set of recommendation criteria. Similar business groups are selected using a Euclidean distance-based model. Our experimental results show that the proposed method improves the accuracy of similar business group recommendation. Overall, this study demonstrates the potential of incorporating derivative criteria and web crawling to enhance similar business group recommendation and obtain market information more efficiently.

A study on the 3-step classification algorithm for the diagnosis and classification of refrigeration system failures and their types (냉동시스템 고장 진단 및 고장유형 분석을 위한 3단계 분류 알고리즘에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Kangbae;Park, Sungho;Lee, Hui-Won;Lee, Seung-Jae;Lee, Seung-hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.12 no.8
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    • pp.31-37
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    • 2021
  • As the size of buildings increases due to urbanization due to the development of industry, the need to purify the air and maintain a comfortable indoor environment is also increasing. With the development of monitoring technology for refrigeration systems, it has become possible to manage the amount of electricity consumed in buildings. In particular, refrigeration systems account for about 40% of power consumption in commercial buildings. Therefore, in order to develop the refrigeration system failure diagnosis algorithm in this study, the purpose of this study was to understand the structure of the refrigeration system, collect and analyze data generated during the operation of the refrigeration system, and quickly detect and classify failure situations with various types and severity . In particular, in order to improve the classification accuracy of failure types that are difficult to classify, a three-step diagnosis and classification algorithm was developed and proposed. A model based on SVM and LGBM was presented as a classification model suitable for each stage after a number of experiments and hyper-parameter optimization process. In this study, the characteristics affecting failure were preserved as much as possible, and all failure types, including refrigerant-related failures, which had been difficult in previous studies, were derived with excellent results.

A Study on Classification of Crown Classes and Selection of Thinned Trees for Major Conifers Using Machine Learning Techniques (머신러닝 기법을 활용한 주요 침엽수종의 수관급 분류와 간벌목 선정 연구)

  • Lee, Yong-Kyu;Lee, Jung-Soo;Park, Jin-Woo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.111 no.2
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    • pp.302-310
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    • 2022
  • Here we aimed to classify the major coniferous tree species (Pinus densiflora, Pinus koraiensis, and Larix kaempferi) by tree measurement information and machine learning algorithms to establish an efficient forest management plan. We used national forest monitoring information amassed over nine years for the measurement information of trees, and random forest (RF), XGBoost (XGB), and light GBM (LGBM) as machine learning algorithms. We compared and evaluated the accuracy of the algorithm through performance evaluation using the accuracy, precision, recall, and F1 score of the algorithm. The RF algorithm had the highest performance evaluation score for all tree species, and highest scores for Pinus densiflora, with an accuracy of about 65%, a precision of about 72%, a recall of about 60%, and an F1 score of about 66%. The classification accuracy for the dominant trees was higher than about 80% in the crown classes, but that of the co-dominant trees, the intermediate trees, and the overtopper trees was evaluated as low. We consider that the results of this study can be used as reference data for decision-making in the selection of thinning trees for forest management.

Understanding the Sentiment on Gig Economy: Good or Bad?

  • NORAZMI, Fatin Aimi Naemah;MAZLAN, Nur Syazwani;SAID, Rusmawati;OK RAHMAT, Rahmita Wirza
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.10
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    • pp.189-200
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    • 2022
  • The gig economy offers many advantages, such as flexibility, variety, independence, and lower cost. However, there are also safety concerns, lack of regulations, uncertainty, and unsatisfactory services, causing people to voice their opinion on social media. This paper aims to explore the sentiments of consumers concerning gig economy services (Grab, Foodpanda and Airbnb) through the analysis of social media. First, Vader Lexicon was used to classify the comments into positive, negative, and neutral sentiments. Then, the comments were further classified into three machine learning algorithms: Support Vector Machine, Light Gradient Boosted Machine, and Logistic Regression. Results suggested that gig economy services in Malaysia received more positive sentiments (52%) than negative sentiments (19%) and neutral sentiments (29%). Based on the three algorithms used in this research, LGBM has been the best model with the highest accuracy of 85%, while SVM has 84% and LR 82%. The results of this study proved the power of text mining and sentiment analysis in extracting business value and providing insight to businesses. Additionally, it aids gig managers and service providers in understanding clients' sentiments about their goods and services and making necessary adjustments to optimize satisfaction.

Light-weight Classification Model for Android Malware through the Dimensional Reduction of API Call Sequence using PCA

  • Jeon, Dong-Ha;Lee, Soo-Jin
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.27 no.11
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    • pp.123-130
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    • 2022
  • Recently, studies on the detection and classification of Android malware based on API Call sequence have been actively carried out. However, API Call sequence based malware classification has serious limitations such as excessive time and resource consumption in terms of malware analysis and learning model construction due to the vast amount of data and high-dimensional characteristic of features. In this study, we analyzed various classification models such as LightGBM, Random Forest, and k-Nearest Neighbors after significantly reducing the dimension of features using PCA(Principal Component Analysis) for CICAndMal2020 dataset containing vast API Call information. The experimental result shows that PCA significantly reduces the dimension of features while maintaining the characteristics of the original data and achieves efficient malware classification performance. Both binary classification and multi-class classification achieve higher levels of accuracy than previous studies, even if the data characteristics were reduced to less than 1% of the total size.

Export Prediction Using Separated Learning Method and Recommendation of Potential Export Countries (분리학습 모델을 이용한 수출액 예측 및 수출 유망국가 추천)

  • Jang, Yeongjin;Won, Jongkwan;Lee, Chaerok
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.69-88
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    • 2022
  • One of the characteristics of South Korea's economic structure is that it is highly dependent on exports. Thus, many businesses are closely related to the global economy and diplomatic situation. In addition, small and medium-sized enterprises(SMEs) specialized in exporting are struggling due to the spread of COVID-19. Therefore, this study aimed to develop a model to forecast exports for next year to support SMEs' export strategy and decision making. Also, this study proposed a strategy to recommend promising export countries of each item based on the forecasting model. We analyzed important variables used in previous studies such as country-specific, item-specific, and macro-economic variables and collected those variables to train our prediction model. Next, through the exploratory data analysis(EDA) it was found that exports, which is a target variable, have a highly skewed distribution. To deal with this issue and improve predictive performance, we suggest a separated learning method. In a separated learning method, the whole dataset is divided into homogeneous subgroups and a prediction algorithm is applied to each group. Thus, characteristics of each group can be more precisely trained using different input variables and algorithms. In this study, we divided the dataset into five subgroups based on the exports to decrease skewness of the target variable. After the separation, we found that each group has different characteristics in countries and goods. For example, In Group 1, most of the exporting countries are developing countries and the majority of exporting goods are low value products such as glass and prints. On the other hand, major exporting countries of South Korea such as China, USA, and Vietnam are included in Group 4 and Group 5 and most exporting goods in these groups are high value products. Then we used LightGBM(LGBM) and Exponential Moving Average(EMA) for prediction. Considering the characteristics of each group, models were built using LGBM for Group 1 to 4 and EMA for Group 5. To evaluate the performance of the model, we compare different model structures and algorithms. As a result, it was found that the separated learning model had best performance compared to other models. After the model was built, we also provided variable importance of each group using SHAP-value to add explainability of our model. Based on the prediction model, we proposed a second-stage recommendation strategy for potential export countries. In the first phase, BCG matrix was used to find Star and Question Mark markets that are expected to grow rapidly. In the second phase, we calculated scores for each country and recommendations were made according to ranking. Using this recommendation framework, potential export countries were selected and information about those countries for each item was presented. There are several implications of this study. First of all, most of the preceding studies have conducted research on the specific situation or country. However, this study use various variables and develops a machine learning model for a wide range of countries and items. Second, as to our knowledge, it is the first attempt to adopt a separated learning method for exports prediction. By separating the dataset into 5 homogeneous subgroups, we could enhance the predictive performance of the model. Also, more detailed explanation of models by group is provided using SHAP values. Lastly, this study has several practical implications. There are some platforms which serve trade information including KOTRA, but most of them are based on past data. Therefore, it is not easy for companies to predict future trends. By utilizing the model and recommendation strategy in this research, trade related services in each platform can be improved so that companies including SMEs can fully utilize the service when making strategies and decisions for exports.

Study on data preprocessing methods for considering snow accumulation and snow melt in dam inflow prediction using machine learning & deep learning models (머신러닝&딥러닝 모델을 활용한 댐 일유입량 예측시 융적설을 고려하기 위한 데이터 전처리에 대한 방법 연구)

  • Jo, Youngsik;Jung, Kwansue
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.57 no.1
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    • pp.35-44
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    • 2024
  • Research in dam inflow prediction has actively explored the utilization of data-driven machine learning and deep learning (ML&DL) tools across diverse domains. Enhancing not just the inherent model performance but also accounting for model characteristics and preprocessing data are crucial elements for precise dam inflow prediction. Particularly, existing rainfall data, derived from snowfall amounts through heating facilities, introduces distortions in the correlation between snow accumulation and rainfall, especially in dam basins influenced by snow accumulation, such as Soyang Dam. This study focuses on the preprocessing of rainfall data essential for the application of ML&DL models in predicting dam inflow in basins affected by snow accumulation. This is vital to address phenomena like reduced outflow during winter due to low snowfall and increased outflow during spring despite minimal or no rain, both of which are physical occurrences. Three machine learning models (SVM, RF, LGBM) and two deep learning models (LSTM, TCN) were built by combining rainfall and inflow series. With optimal hyperparameter tuning, the appropriate model was selected, resulting in a high level of predictive performance with NSE ranging from 0.842 to 0.894. Moreover, to generate rainfall correction data considering snow accumulation, a simulated snow accumulation algorithm was developed. Applying this correction to machine learning and deep learning models yielded NSE values ranging from 0.841 to 0.896, indicating a similarly high level of predictive performance compared to the pre-snow accumulation application. Notably, during the snow accumulation period, adjusting rainfall during the training phase was observed to lead to a more accurate simulation of observed inflow when predicted. This underscores the importance of thoughtful data preprocessing, taking into account physical factors such as snowfall and snowmelt, in constructing data models.