• Title/Summary/Keyword: Korea stock market

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Analyzing Dynamics of Korean Housing Market Using Causal Loop Structures (주택시장의 동태성 분석을 위한 시스템 사고의 적용에 관한 연구 - 인과순환지도를 중심으로 -)

  • Shin Hye-Sung;Sohn Jeong-Rak;Kim Jae-Jun
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.6 no.3 s.25
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    • pp.144-155
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    • 2005
  • Since 1950s, the Korean housing market has continually experienced the chronicle lack of housing stock because of lower housing investment in comparison with a population explosion, prompt urbanization and rapid restructuring of family. The Korean housing market have thus been driven not by the pricing model by housing demand-supply chain but by the Korean housing policies focusing on the increase of housing supply and the living stability of the middle or low-income bracket. After all, repetitive economic vicious circle of housing price and the increase of unsold apartments aggravated the malfunction of the Korean housing market. Meanwhile, the Korean construction firms have exacerbated their profitability. Such terrible situations are mainly triggered by the Korean construction firms that weighed on the short-term profits and quick response of the government policy alterations rather than the prospect of housing market Therefore, this research focusing on the dynamics of housing market identified and classified the demand and supply elements that consist not only of housing system structures but also of the environmental elements that affect the structures. Based on the system thinking and traditional theory of consumer's choice, the interactions of these elements were constructed as a causal loop diagram that explains the mutual influences among housing subsystems with feedback loops. This paper describes and discusses about the causes of the dynamic changes in the Korean housing market. This study would help housing suppliers, including housing developers, construction firms, etc., to form a more comprehensive understanding on the fundamental issues that constitute the Korean housing market and thereby increasing their long term as well as minimizing the risk involved in the housing supply businesses.

Vertical Integration of Solar business and its Value Analysis: Efficiency or Flexibility (태양광 수직통합화가 사업가치에 미치는 영향: 효율성 및 유연성)

  • Kim, Kyung-Nam;Jeon, Woo-Chan;SonU, Suk-Ho
    • New & Renewable Energy
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.33-43
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    • 2012
  • Why solar companies preferred vertical integration of whole value chain? Major solar companies have built internally strong vertical integration of entire PV value chain. We raise a question whether such integration increases the corporate value and whether market situation affects the result. To test these questions, we conducted multi-variant analysis where characteristic factors mainly affect the corporate value measured in terms of Tobin'Q, based on the financial and non-financial data of PV companies listed in US stock market between 2005 and 2010. We hypothesize that since integration increases the overall efficiency but decreases the flexibility to adjust to various market situation, the combined effect of the efficiency gain and the flexibility loss ultimately determines the sign of integration effect on the corporate vale. We infer that the combined effect will be influenced heavily by business cycle, as in boom market (Seller's market) the efficiency gain may be larger than the flexibility loss and vice versa in bust market. We test whether the sign of combined effect changes after the year of 2009 and which factors influence most the sign. Year of 2009 is known as the year when market shifted from Seller's to Buyer's market. We show that 1) integration increases corporate value in general but after 2009 integration significantly decreases the value, 2) the ratios such as Production/Total Cost, Cash turnover period chosen for reversal of the flexibility measure are negatively affect Tobin's Q and especially stronger after 2009. This shows the flexibility improves corporate value and stronger in the recess period (Buyer's market). These results imply that solar company should set up integration strategy considering the tradeoff between efficiency and flexibility and the impact of the business cycle on both factors. Strategy only based on the price competitiveness determined in boom time can bring undesirable outcomes to the company. In addition, Strategic alliances in some value chains as a flexible bondage should be taken in account as complementary choice to the rigid integration.

Technology Innovation Activity and Default Risk of Firms : Focusing on a Mediation Effect of Profitability (기술혁신활동이 부도위험에 미치는 영향 : 수익성 매개효과를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Jinsu;Lee, HyunChul
    • Knowledge Management Research
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.19-35
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    • 2010
  • This study explores the effects of technology innovation activity on a profitability and the default risk of firms. Sample for this study consists of manufacturing firms listed on the Korea Stock Exchange from 1st January 2000 to 31st December 2007. We use of R&D ratio as a proxy of technology innovation activity. The default probability proxied for the default risk of firms is measured by the Merton's (1974) model where accounts for a market value of firms and a volatility of it. This study provides evidence that technology innovation activity has a positive effect on a profitability, but a negative effect on the default risk of firms. Our study also finds the significant mediation effect of profitability that the enhancement in profitability resulting from technology innovation activity lowers the default risk of firms.

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A Study on Technical Analysis at Stock Market (주식시장에서의 기술적 분석에 관한 연구 -지표개발 및 응용을 중심으로-)

  • 여동길;김상오
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.17 no.32
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    • pp.281-296
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    • 1994
  • In this paper, a new index(joint index) which shows the higher confidence than that of the existing technical indices and has simple logical structure and an index which is an applied form of the existing index(OBV-I index) are proposed. The index characteristics which have been known are verified by choosing the three most used technical indices(ADR index, investment psychological rate and VR index) as samples. And the index characteristics of the joint index are compared to those of the OBV-I index. The comparisons are executed not by comparing the investment earning rate of each index but by calculating the unnecessary number of trade days in the total number of trade days according to the index.

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A Theoretical Study on Risk - focused on systematic risk- (위험에 관한 이론적 연구 -체계적 위험을 중심으로-)

  • 김원기
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.115-124
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    • 1979
  • The purpose of this study is theoretical research on risk. The research is focused on systematic risk. Chapter I is objective of this study, Chapter II includes definition and measurement of risk. Chapter III introduces attitudes toward risk and classification of risk. Chapter IV discusses Portfolio theory, Capital market line and Shape and Lintner model The objective of firm is assumed to maximize its value. In a world of uncertainty, value is not determined by earnings alone, the degree of risk involved with the streams of earnings. Financial manager has to consider the risk in order to maximize the value of firm. Total risk can be classifier into two parts : Systematicrisk and unststematic risk by Sharpe. Systematic risk is important because investors can't diversify it. Blume and Jensen measured f and they testified that the f is stationary over the time For further study, Korean stock mark has to take emperical study about $\beta$ and its stationarity.

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A Study on Fault Diagnosis and Performance Evaluation of Propulsion Equipment (추진장치의 고장진단과 성능특성에 관한 연구)

  • Han, Young-Jae
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.153-158
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    • 2005
  • Recently, as the feasibility study shows that trans-Korea railway and trans-continental railway are advantageous, interest in high-speed railway system is increasing. Because railway vehicle is environment-friendly and safe compared with airplane and ship, its market-sharing increases gradually. KHST(Korean High Speed Train) has been developed by KRRI (Korea Railroad Research Institute) for last 6 years to satisfy the need. An electric railway system is composed of high-tech subsystems, among which main electric equipment such as transformers and converter are critical components determining the performance of rolling stock. We developed a measurement system for on-line test and evaluation of performances of KHST. The measurement system is composed of software part and hardware part. Perfect interface between multi-users is possible. A now method to measure temperature was applied to the measurement system. By using the system, fault diagnosis and performance evaluation of electric equipment in Korean High Speed Train was conducted during test running.

An Empirical Study on the International Competitiveness of Insurance Industry in the OECD Countries (OECD회원국(會員國) 보험산업(保險産業) 국제경쟁력(國際競爭力) 결정요인(決定要因)에 관한 실증연구(實證硏究))

  • Lee Ki-Hwan
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.3
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    • pp.77-97
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    • 1999
  • The purpose of this paper is to measure the international competitiveness of insurance business and to analyze its determinants empirically. I have attempted to use Revealed Comparative Advantage(RCA) index to measure domestic competitiveness. confining to OECD countries only. Among domestic competitiveness advantage countries in the insurance, there are Austria, Denmark, France. Japan, Korea... etc. The factors of domestic competitiveness determinants were found out through multivariate regression analysis with panel data$(1990{\sim}1995)$. In insurance industry, statistically significant variables are employee's per capita premium of insurance company (Pro), stock market capitalization/GDP(MVESR), saving rate (SAV) and real interest(RMMR), while they are Pro, MVESR, and real interest in Korea insurance industry.

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A Study on Dynamic Inference for a Knowlege-Based System iwht Fuzzy Production Rules

  • Song, Soo-Sup
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.55-74
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    • 2000
  • A knowledge-based with production rules is a representation of static knowledge of an expert. On the other hand, a real system such as the stock market is dynamic in nature. Therefore we need a method to reflect the dynamic nature of a system when we make inferences with a knowledge-based system. This paper suggests a strategy of dynamic inference that can be used to take into account the dynamic behavior of decision-making with the knowledge-based system consisted of fuzzy production rules. A degree of match(DM) between actual input information and a condition of a rule is represented by a value [0,1]. Weights of relative importance of attributes in a rule are obtained by the AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) method. Then these weights are applied as exponents for the DM, and the DMs in a rule are combined, with the Min operator, into a single DM for the rule. In this way, the importance of attributes of a rule, which can be changed from time to time, can be reflected in an inference with fuzzy production systems.

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Macroeconomic Determinants of European, Australian and Korean Stock Market (유럽, 호주와 한국 주식시장에서의 거시경제요인들에 의한 영향분석)

  • Kim, JongKwon
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.171-188
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    • 2000
  • 이 논문은 거시경제변수가 유럽, 호주, 한국의 주식시장 변동성에서 시간에 따른 변화(Time Variation)를 설명할 수 있는지에 관하여 조사하는데에 목적을 두고 있다. 그리고 이 논문은 미국에서 발표된 논문들의 결과와 달리 많은 경우에서 주식시장 변동성의 시간에 따른 변화가 과거의 화폐적 또는 실물적 거시경제 요소의 변화 가능성에서 통계적으로 유의하게 영향을 받는 지를 알 수 있었다. 따라서 자본 및 포트폴리오 배분에 대한 중요한 의미를 가지고 있다. 한국의 경우 경제회복에 따라 통화와 산업생산의 변동성 증가가 이뤄지면 주식시장의 성장에 중요한 역할을 할 수 있을 것이다. G7국가중에서 상대적으로 소규모국가인 이태리와 네덜란드에서도 위에서와 같은 결과들을 발견할 수 있었다. 한편 한국에서 특이한 점은 경제회복 이후에는 산업생산증가율의 증가가 통화량의 증가보다 더 주식시장에 중요한 영향을 줄 것임을 알 수 있다.

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A simulation for stock level considering client delivery due date in auto part industry (자동차 부품산업의 고객 요구 납기 충족을 위한 적정재고 수준에 관한 시뮬레이션 연구)

  • kim, Joonghoi;Kim, Young-Chun;Kang, Kyung Sik
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.131-138
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    • 2014
  • Auto part industry supplies production for auto manufacturer and after market. These company have inventory for delivery. High inventory level can be good for delivery, but cost will be increase. Low inventory level can be customer unsatisfaction for delivery late. Low inventory level also is reason of low productivity by decreasing product batch size. These article suggest model for calculation a proper inventory level and prove a effect by simulation of some company.