• Title/Summary/Keyword: KOSPI Market

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The Effect of Business Strategy on Audit Delay (기업의 경영전략이 회계감사 지연에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Jeong-Hoon;Kim, Min-Hee;Do, Kee-Chul;Lee, Yu-Sun
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.219-228
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    • 2022
  • In order to improve audit quality, it is essential to understand the occurrence of disagreement between auditors and managers, and this study aims to analyze the impact of Business Strategies on audit risk and accounting audit delay. To this end, we conducted an empirical analysis using sample 2,910 firm-year data from 2018 to 2020 of KOSPI-listed and KOSDAQ-listed companies. The results of the empirical analysis of this study are as follows. First, compared to the companies of defender type, prospectors can expand audit procedures for new products, R&D costs, and intangible assets, and increase audit delays due to disagreement between managers and auditors. Second, compared to KOSPI-listed companies, the prospectors in KOSDAQ are more likely to have lower financial reporting quality, which further increases audit delays. The results of this study analyzed whether a company's Business Strategy affects the possibility of disagreement between an auditor and a company, and verified whether there is a difference in the audit report lag by stock market. The results of this study show that auditors' strong duty of care is needed for the companies of prospector type with high audit risk, and it is meaningful to present reinforced audit systems and specific guidelines for the companies of prospector type through the definition of prospector type. It also enables the expansion of research to identify the relationship between non-financial factors and audit risks that make up the companies of prospector type.

Investment Performance of Markowitz's Portfolio Selection Model over the Accuracy of the Input Parameters in the Korean Stock Market (한국 주식시장에서 마코위츠 포트폴리오 선정 모형의 입력 변수의 정확도에 따른 투자 성과 연구)

  • Kim, Hongseon;Jung, Jongbin;Kim, Seongmoon
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.38 no.4
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    • pp.35-52
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    • 2013
  • Markowitz's portfolio selection model is used to construct an optimal portfolio which has minimum variance, while satisfying a minimum required expected return. The model uses estimators based on analysis of historical data to estimate the returns, standard deviations, and correlation coefficients of individual stocks being considered for investment. However, due to the inaccuracies involved in estimations, the true optimality of a portfolio constructed using the model is questionable. To investigate the effect of estimation inaccuracy on actual portfolio performance, we study the changes in a portfolio's realized return and standard deviation as the accuracy of the estimations for each stock's return, standard deviation, and correlation coefficient is increased. Furthermore, we empirically analyze the portfolio's performance by comparing it with the performance of active mutual funds that are being traded in the Korean stock market and the KOSPI benchmark index, in terms of portfolio returns, standard deviations of returns, and Sharpe ratios. Our results suggest that, among the three input parameters, the accuracy of the estimated returns of individual stocks has the largest effect on performance, while the accuracy of the estimates of the standard deviation of each stock's returns and the correlation coefficient between different stocks have smaller effects. In addition, it is shown that even a small increase in the accuracy of the estimated return of individual stocks improves the portfolio's performance substantially, suggesting that Markowitz's model can be more effectively applied in real-life investments with just an incremental effort to increase estimation accuracy.

Using genetic algorithm to optimize rough set strategy in KOSPI200 futures market (선물시장에서 러프집합 기반의 유전자 알고리즘을 이용한 최적화 거래전략 개발)

  • Chung, Seung Hwan;Oh, Kyong Joo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.281-292
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    • 2014
  • As the importance of algorithm trading is getting stronger, researches for artificial intelligence (AI) based trading strategy is also being more important. However, there are not enough studies about using more than two AI methodologies in one trading system. The main aim of this study is development of algorithm trading strategy based on the rough set theory that is one of rule-based AI methodologies. Especially, this study used genetic algorithm for optimizing profit of rough set based strategy rule. The most important contribution of this study is proposing efficient convergence of two different AI methodology in algorithm trading system. Target of purposed trading system is KOPSI200 futures market. In empirical study, we prove that purposed trading system earns significant profit from 2009 to 2012. Moreover, our system is evaluated higher shape ratio than buy-and-hold strategy.

Reality Check Test on the Momentum and Contrarian Strategy (모멘텀전략과 반대전략에 대한 사실성 체크검정)

  • Yoon, Jong-In;Kim, Sung-Soo
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.189-220
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    • 2009
  • This study tests the significance of momentum and contrarian strategy which challenge the weak efficient market hypothesis (EMH). If momentum and contrarian strategy can make extra return above the market, this can be a significant critics to the weak EMH. By using Monte Carlo simulation we have found that many existing returature, which test the significance of momentum and contrarian strategy, have a significance distortion problem. We test the significance of momentum and contrarian strategy by using reality check test of White(2000) which solve the problem of data snooping bias. The results are following. When we use the KOSPI index as the benchmark portfolio, we can get the best strategy of momentum strategy in the case of mean return. But in the case of Sharp ratio which is the performance measure adjusting risk, we find that the best strategy in the momentum and contrarian strategy can not dominate the performance of benchmark portfolio. Therefore we argue that weak EMH can not be rejected because of superior performance of momentum and contrarian strategy when we consider risk.

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The Effect of Business Strategy on Stock Price Crash Risk

  • RYU, Haeyoung
    • The Journal of Industrial Distribution & Business
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.43-49
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: This study attempted to examine the risk of stock price plunge according to the firm's management strategy. Prospector firms value innovation and have high uncertainties due to rapid growth. There is a possibility of lowering the quality of financial reporting in order to meet market expectations while withstanding the uncertainty of the results. In addition, managers of prospector firms enter into compensation contracts based on stock prices, thus creating an incentive to withhold negative information disclosure to the market. Prospector firms' information opacity and delays in disclosure of negative information are likely to cause a sharp decline in share prices in the future. Research design, data and methodology: This study performed logistic analysis of KOSPI listed firms from 2014 to 2017. The independent variable is the strategic index, and is calculated by considering the six characteristics (R&D investment, efficiency, growth potential, marketing, organizational stability, capital intensity) of the firm. The higher the total score, the more it is a firm that takes a prospector strategy, and the lower the total score, the more it is a firm that pursues a defender strategy. In the case of the dependent variable, a value of 1 was assigned when there was a week that experienced a sharp decline in stock prices, and 0 when it was not. Results: It was found that the more firms adopting the prospector strategy, the higher the risk of a sharp decline in the stock price. This is interpreted as the reason that firms pursuing a prospector strategy do not disclose negative information by being conscious of market investors while carrying out venture projects. In other words, compensation contracts based on uncertainty in the outcome of prospector firms and stock prices increase the opacity of information and are likely to cause a sharp decline in share prices. Conclusions: This study's analysis of the impact of management strategy on the stock price plunge suggests that investors need to consider the strategy that firms take in allocating resources. Firms need to be cautious in examining the impact of a particular strategy on the capital markets and implementing that strategy.

An Implementation of Stock Investment Service based on Reinforcement Learning (강화학습 기반 주식 투자 웹 서비스)

  • Park, Jeongyeon;Hong, Seungsik;Park, Mingyu;Lee, Hyun
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.807-814
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    • 2021
  • As economic activities decrease, and the stock market decline due to COVID-19, many people are jumping into stock investment as an alternative source of income. As people's interest increases, many stock price analysis studies are underway to earn more profits. Due to the variance observed in the stock markets, it is necessary to analyze each stock independently and consistently. To solve this problem, we designed and implemented models and services that analyze stock prices using a reinforcement learning technique called Asynchronous Advantage Actor-Critic(A3C). Stock market data reflected external factors such as government bonds and KOSPI (Korea Composite Stock Price Index) as well as stock prices. Our proposed work provides a web service with a visual representation of predictions of stocks and stock information through which directions are given to investors to make safe investments without analyzing domestic and foreign stock market trends.

An Empirical Study on the Validity of the Availability Huristics and Anchoring Huristics in the Korean Stock Market (한국주식시장에서 가용성 어림짐작과 닻내림 어림짐작의 유효성에 관한 실증연구)

  • Sam-Ho Son;Jeong-Hwan Lee;Se-Jun Lee
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.265-279
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    • 2023
  • Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to compare and review behavioral economics models that explain stock price changes after large-scale price shocks in the Korean stock market and to find a suitable model. In this paper, among the theories reviewed, it was confirmed that the anchoring heuristics theory has high explanatory power for stock prices after large-scale stock price fluctuations. Design/methodology/approach - This paper conducts an event study on stock price shocks in which the individual stocks that make up the KOSPI200 index show more than 10% fluctuation on a daily basis. In order to materialize the abstract predictions of heuristics theories in a varifiable form, this paper uses the daily stock price index change as a reference point for availability heuristics, and uses the 52-week highest and lowest price as reference point for anchoring heuristics. Research implications or Originality - As a result of the empirical analysis, the stock price reversals did not consistently appear for changes in the daily index. On the other hand, the stock price drifts consistently appeared around the 52-week highest and the 52-week lowest price. And in the multiple regression analysis that controlled for company-specific and event-specific variables, the results that supported the anchoring heuristics were more evident. These results suggest that it is possible to establish an investment strategy using large-scale price change in Korean stock market.

Interdependence of the Asia-Pacific Emerging Equity Markets (아시아-태평양지역 국가들의 상호의존성)

  • Moon, Gyu-Hyun;Hong, Chung-Hyo
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.151-180
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    • 2003
  • We examine the interdependence of the major Asia-Pacific stock markets including S&P 500, FTSE 100, Kualar Lumpur Composite, Straits Times, Hang Seng, NIKKEI 225 and KOSPI 200 from October 4, 1995 to March 31,2000. The analysis employs the vector-auto-regression, Granger causality, impulse response function and variance decomposition using daily returns on the national stock market indices. The findings in this paper indicate that the volatilities of all countries has grown after IMF crisis, while there is no significance in cointegration test of both total period and sub-periods. This result implies that investors are able to get abnormal returns by investment diversification according to the portfolio theory. We find that while the effect from NIKKEI 225 to others is relatively weak, the interdependence from S&P 500 to other countries is strong. Also we find that the strong effect from Straits Times to Hang Seng exists. This study suggests that there is slight feedback relation between KOSPI 200 and Kualar Lumpur Composite, Straits Times, Hang Seng stock market.

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The Unexpected Volatility of Foreigners' Trading Behavior Effects on the Korean Stock Market Volatility (외국인 거래행태의 비기대변동성은 주식수익률의 변동성에 영향을 주는가)

  • Byun, Young tae
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.593-609
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    • 2012
  • This study is designed to investigate whether the information spillover effect is existed between the foreign investors' unexpected volatility of net purchasing intensity and the volatilities of returns in terms of daily closing stock return, overnight return, and daytime return, before and after financial crisis in Korea. The result of this study shows that there is negative information spillover effect between the foreign investors' unexpected volatility of net purchasing intensity and the volatility of daily closing stock return for time t-1. However, there is an opposite result for time t, showing positive information transmission effect. For the overnight return, the test result provides there is no statistical significance between the foreign investor's unexpected volatility of net purchasing intensity and the volatilities of return. In addition, I found that the information transmission effect is existed between the foreign investor's unexpected volatility of net purchasing intensity and the volatilities of the daytime return for the entire timeline.

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An Empirical Study on the Risk Diversification Effect of REITs (리츠의 투자위험 분산화 효과에 대한 실증연구)

  • Cho, Kyu-Su;Lee, Sang-Hyo;Kim, Jae-Jun
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.23-31
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    • 2013
  • Following the U.S sub-prime mortgage crisis and a slump in properties market, the probability is rising that housing investment would not yield high profit as it used to do until early 2000s. For this reason, the nature of properties market is undergoing a change from a source of lucrative investment to a source of a relatively low but stable profit, such as profit-oriented real estate. This trend is likely to promote REITs market, which is a leading product for indirect investment. Until now, the REITs market has been growing slowly compared to a general housing market or financial markets. However, as the importance of risk management based on portfolio theories increases, stable profit generation of REITs can be effective in risk management. This study conducts an empirical analysis on how investment risks can be diversified by including REITs-a source of relatively stable profit in the equity market-in investment portfolio. The analysis results showed that, similar to food and beverage stocks of highly defensive nature, REITs has a relatively weak correlation with KOSPI that reflects the overall market performance. It also showed very low standard deviation in case of minimum variance portfolio. This suggests that including REITs in investment portfolio can be as effective as including food and beverage stocks for risk diversification. Due to uncertainties, investment always accompanies risks, and balancing potential profits and risks is essential.