• 제목/요약/키워드: KMA

검색결과 821건 처리시간 0.024초

장기체공무인기를 위한 제주도 모슬포 지역의 기상환경 분석 (The Analysis of Meterological Environment over Jeju Moseulpo Region for HALE UAV)

  • 조영준;안광득;이희춘;하종철;최규용;조천호;김수복
    • 한국군사과학기술학회지
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.469-477
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    • 2015
  • In this study, the characteristics of main wind direction, vertical temperature and wind speed profile near the Moseulpo airfield for HALE UAV(High Altitude Long Endurance Unmaned Aerial Vehicle) is investigated. The results are summarized as follows, main wind direction is governed by air mass according to season and local wind such as land-sea breeze. The directions of landing and take-off of HALE UAV will be selected as the south-east direction in June ~ August, north-west direction in October ~ March, and south-east direction at daytime in April ~ May, September. Annual variation of temperature at 100 hPa showed that temperature in summer season is lower than winter season. On the other hands, wind speed at 250 hPa in winter season is higher than summer season. The threshold values of temperature and wind speed for HALE UAV flight are $-75^{\circ}C$ and $90ms^{-1}$, which were determined by 5 % frequency value($1.96{\sigma}$), respectively.

대관령 구름물리관측시스템 산출물 평가 및 FSSP를 이용한 시정환산 시험연구 (Intercomparison of Daegwallyeong Cloud Physics Observation System (CPOS) Products and the Visibility Calculation by the FSSP Size Distribution during 2006-2008)

  • 양하영;정진임;장기호;차주완;정재원;김유철;이명주;배진영;강선영;김금란;최영진;최치영
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.65-73
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    • 2010
  • 구름과 강수특성을 분석하기 위해 대관령에 구름물리관측시스템(Cloud physics Observation System, 이하 CPOS)을 2003년부터 운영해 오고 있다. 주요 관측 기기는 다음과 같다: FSSP (Forward Scattering Spectrometer Probe), OPC (Optical Particle Counter), VS (Visibility Sensor), PARSIVEL disdrometer, MWR (Microwave Radiometer), MRR (Micro Rain Radar). 앞의 4개 장비는 지상구름 (안개)과 강수 특성을, 뒤의 2개 장비는 연직구름의 특성을 실시간으로 관측하고 있다. CPOS 산출물을 검증하기 위해 FSSP는 흡습성 물질 시딩 실험 중 OPC와, MWR의 가강수량은 라디오존데와, PARSIVEL과 MRR은 우량계와 비교 연구가 수행되었다. 그 결과를 보면 대부분이 0.7이상의 좋은 상관도를 보인다. 이와 같이 신뢰도를 확보한 CPOS 관측 자료는 구름과 에어로솔의 간접효과나 기상조절 실험에 유용한 자료로 활용될 수 있을 것이다. FSSP의 입자 크기 분포를 시정값으로 환산해 보았으며 FSSP 환산 시정값은 visibility sensors (SVS)와 PWD22 (Present Weather Detect 22)의 시정계 값에 비해 1.7~1.9배 과도한 경향을 보였다. 이는 FSSP에 의해 관측되는 입자 크기($2{\sim}47\;{\mu}m$)의 한계 때문으로 사료된다. 향후 다른 입자크기분포를 측정할 수 있는 장비를 도입하여 추가 분석을 추진할 계획이다.

2012년 겨울철 특별관측자료를 이용한 강수현상 시 대기 연직구조와 민감도 실험 (Vertical Atmospheric Structure and Sensitivity Experiments of Precipitation Events Using Winter Intensive Observation Data in 2012)

  • 이상민;심재관;황윤정;김연희;하종철;이용희;정관영
    • 대기
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.187-204
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    • 2013
  • This study analyzed the synoptic distribution and vertical structure about four cases of precipitation occurrences using NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data and upper level data of winter intensive observation to be performed by National Institute of Meteorological Research at Bukgangneung, Incheon, Boseong during 63days from 4 JAN to 6 MAR in 2012, and Observing System Experiment (OSE) using 3DVAR-WRF system was conducted to examine the precipitation predictability of upper level data at western and southern coastal regions. The synoptic characteristics of selected precipitation occurrences were investigated as causes for 1) rainfall events with effect of moisture convergence owing to low pressure passing through south sea on 19 JAN, 2) snowfall events due to moisture inflowing from yellow sea with propagation of Siberian high pressure after low pressure passage over middle northern region on 31 JAN, 3) rainfall event with effect of weak pressure trough in west low and east high pressure system on 25 FEB, 4) rainfall event due to moisture inflow according to low pressures over Bohai bay and south eastern sea on 5 MAR. However, it is identified that vertical structure of atmosphere had different characteristics with heavy rainfall system in summer. Firstly, depth of convection was narrow due to absence of moisture convergence and strong ascending air current in middle layer. Secondly, warm air advection by veering wind with height only existed in low layer. Thirdly, unstable layer was limited in the narrow depth due to low surface temperature although it formed, and also values of instability indices were not high. Fourthly, total water vapor amounts containing into atmosphere was small due to low temperature distribution so that precipitable water vapor could be little amounts. As result of OSE conducting with upper level data of Incheon and Boseong station, 12 hours accumulated precipitation distributions of control experiment and experiments with additional upper level data were similar with ones of observation data at 610 stations. Although Equitable Threat Scores (ETS) were different according to cases and thresholds, it was verified positive influence of upper level data for precipitation predictability as resulting with high improvement rates of 33.3% in experiment with upper level data of Incheon (INC_EXP), 85.7% in experiment with upper level data of Boseong (BOS_EXP), and 142.9% in experiment with upper level data of both Incheon and Boseong (INC_BOS_EXP) about accumulated precipitation more than 5 mm / 12 hours on 31 January 2012.

기상청 현업 예보 바람자료를 이용한 동해안 동계 파랑 예측 재현도 연구 (A Study on the Predictability of Eastern Winter Storm Waves Using Operational Wind Forecasts of KMA)

  • 도기덕;김진아
    • 한국해안·해양공학회논문집
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    • 제30권5호
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    • pp.223-233
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    • 2018
  • 본 연구에서는 동해안의 너울성 고파랑 예측하기 위해 기상청 현업 예보 바람자료를 입력장으로 하여 파랑수치모델(SWAN)을 수립 및 최적화하고 동해안 동계 파랑의 예측 재현도를 평가하였다. 파랑 모델은 연안역에서의 파랑 변형을 모의하기 위해 네스팅 기법을 적용하였으며, 백파 에너지 소산항을 개선하여 너울성 파랑을 모의하였다. 수치실험을 위한 입력 바람장으로는 기상청 현업 기상예보모델인 RDAPS 및 LDAPS 자료를 사용하였다. 모의된 파랑에 대한 정확도 비교 평가를 위해 ECMWF 재분석 바람자료와 KIOST 운용해양시스템의 WRF 예측 바람자료를 이용한 파랑모델링 및 기상청 현업 파랑예보모델 결과와 연안 및 외해 4개 관측정점의 파랑 관측자료를 이용하였다. 기상청 현업 기상예보모델을 입력바람장으로 이용한 경우 연안에서는 유의파고, 첨두주기 및 평균 파향이 모두 가장 낮은 RMSE와 가장 높은 상관계수를 가졌으며, 외해에서는 모든 수치실험 결과가 관측자료와 전반적으로 잘 일치하였다. 백파항을 수정한 SWAN 모델과 기상청 현업 기상예보모델을 사용할 경우 급격하게 발생하는 고파랑 재현은 개선이 필요하지만 비교적 겨울철 폭풍파를 잘 재현하고 있다.

KLAPS와 3DVAR를 이용한 ProbeX-2009 남·서해상 고층관측자료의 관측 시스템 실험 연구 (Observing System Experiments Using KLAPS and 3DVAR for the Upper-Air Observations over the South and West sea during ProbeX-2009)

  • 황윤정;하종철;김연희;김기훈;전은희;장동언
    • 대기
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 2011
  • Numerical prediction capability has been improved over the decades, but progress of prediction for high-impact weather (HIW) was unsatisfactory. One reason of low predictability for HIW is lack of observation data. The National Institute of Meteorological Research (NIMR) has been performed observation program for improvement of predictability, and reduction in social and economical cost for HIW. As part of this observation program, summer intensive observation program (ProbeX-2009) was performed at the observation-gap areas from 25 August to 6 September 2009. Sounding observations using radiosonde were conducted in the Gisang2000 research vessel (R/V) from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) over the West Sea and the Eardo R/V from the Korea Ocean Research and Development Institute (KORDI) over the South Sea. Observation System Experiment (OSE) is carried out to examine the effect of ProbeX-2009 data. OSEs using Korea Local Analysis and Prediction System (KLAPS) and Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model are conducted to investigate the predictability for a short time forecast. And, OSEs using WRF/3DVAR system and WRF forecast model are conducted to study the predictability for an extended time. Control experiment (K_CTL and CNTL) used only GTS observation and experiment (K_EXP and SWEXP) used ProbeX-2009 data from two system are performed. ETS for 3hr accumulated rainfall simulated by KLAPS-WRF shows that K_EXP is higher than K_CTL. Also, ETS for 12hr accumulated rainfall of SWEXP from 3DVAR-WRF is higher than CNTL. The results indicate that observation over the ocean has positive impact on HIW prediction.

최고, 최저기온을 이용한 우리나라 기온변화에서의 도시화효과 분석 (The Estimation of Urbanization Effect in Global Warming over Korea using Daily Maximum and Minimum Temperatures)

  • 구교숙;부경온;권원태
    • 대기
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.185-193
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    • 2007
  • This study investigates urbanization effect in warming trend of surface air temperature over Korea. The data used in this study consist of the daily minimum and maximum temperatures during the period of 32 years(1968-1999) from 16 stations of KMA. To calculate magnitude and trend of urbanization effect, stations were classified into urban and rural stations using population statistics. Urban stations were defined as those with population densities greater than 1000 persons per kilometer squared in 1995. The others were defined as rural stations. The urban stations were also subdivided into two groups according to their population totals. For estimates of urban effect magnitude, temperature change was calculated by comparing 16-year mean values between 1968-83 and 1984-99. Then, the difference between each urban station and every rural station was calculated. During the analysis period of 32 years, maximum temperature increase is $1.22^{\circ}C$. In the total temperature increase, urban effect is estimated by 28.7%. For minimum temperature, it becomes larger by about 10% than that in maximum temperature. Therefore, urban effect in an increasing trend of minimum temperature is 38.9% in the change of $1.13^{\circ}C$.

고밀도 지상강우관측망을 활용한 서울지역 정량적 실황강우장 산정 (Quantitative Precipitation Estimation using High Density Rain Gauge Network in Seoul Area)

  • 윤성심;이병주;최영진
    • 대기
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.283-294
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    • 2015
  • For urban flash flood simulation, we need the higher resolution radar rainfall than radar rainfall of KMA, which has 10 min time and 1km spatial resolution, because the area of subbasins is almost below $1km^2$. Moreover, we have to secure the high quantitative accuracy for considering the urban hydrological model that is sensitive to rainfall input. In this study, we developed the quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE), which has 250 m spatial resolution and high accuracy using KMA AWS and SK Planet stations with Mt. Gwangdeok radar data in Seoul area. As the results, the rainfall field using KMA AWS (QPE1) is showed high smoothing effect and the rainfall field using Mt. Gwangdeok radar is lower estimated than other rainfall fields. The rainfall field using KMA AWS and SK Planet (QPE2) and conditional merged rainfall field (QPE4) has high quantitative accuracy. In addition, they have small smoothed area and well displayed the spatial variation of rainfall distribution. In particular, the quantitative accuracy of QPE4 is slightly less than QPE2, but it has been simulated well the non-homogeneity of the spatial distribution of rainfall.

AWS 설치장소에 따른 기온 특성 (The Characteristics of Air Temperature according to the Location of Automatic Weather System)

  • 주형돈;이미자;함인화
    • 대기
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    • 제15권3호
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    • pp.179-186
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    • 2005
  • Due to several difficulties, a number of Automatic Weather Systems (AWS) operated by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) are located on the rooftop so that the forming of standard observation environment to obtain the accuracy is needed. Therefore, the air temperature of AWSs on the synthetic lawn and the concrete of the rooftop is compared with the standard observation temperature. The hourly mean temperature is obtained by monthly and hourly mean value and the difference of temperature is calculated according to the location, the weather phenomenon, and cloud amount. The maximum and the minimum temperatures are compared by the conditions, such as cloud amount, the existence of precipitation or not. Consequently, the temperature on the synthetic lawn is higher than it on the concrete so that it is difficult to obtain same effect from ASOS, on the contrary the installation of AWS on the synthetic lawn seem to be inadequate due to heat or cold source of the building.

북서태평양에서 저기압 위상 공간도법을 이용한 태풍의 온대저기압화 특성 분석 (Characteristics of the Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones over the Western North Pacific using the Cyclone Phase Space (CPS) Diagram)

  • 이지윤;박종숙;강기룡;정관영
    • 대기
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.159-169
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    • 2008
  • The characteristics of the typhoon's extratropical transition (ET) over the western North Pacific area were investigated using the cyclone phase space (CPS) diagram method suggested by Hart (2003). The data used in this study were the global data assimilation prediction system (GDAPS) and NCEP data set. The number of typhoons selected were 75 cases during 2002 to 2007, and the three parameters were analyzed : the motion relative thickness asymmetry of the storm (B), the upper thermal wind shear and the lower thermal wind shear. Comparing the best-track data provided by the Regional Specialized Meteorological Center /Tokyo, the time of the ET based on CPS was 2~6 hours earlier than the best-track data. And it was shown that the 400- km and 30 kt wind radius of storm for the CPS method were better agreement than the previous suggested radius 500- km.

WRF-Fire 산불 연료 · 지형자료 해상도와 지상바람의 연소면적 모의민감도 및 오차 분석연구 (Study on Sensitivities and Fire Area Errors in WRF-Fire Simulation to Different Resolution Data Set of Fuel and Terrain, and Surface Wind)

  • 성지혜;한상옥;정종혁;김기훈
    • 대기
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.485-500
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    • 2013
  • This study conducted WRF-Fire simulations in order to investigate sensitivities of the resolution of fire fuel and terrain data sets, and the surface wind to simulated fire area. The sensitivity simulations were consisted of 8 different WRF-Fire runs, each of which used different combination of data sets of fire fuel and terrain with different resolution. From the results it was turned out that the surface wind was most sensitive. The next was fire fuel and then fire terrain. Unfortunately, every run produced too much fire area. In other words no simulations succeeded in simulating such proper fire area so as for the WRF-Fire to be used realistically. It was verified that the errors of fire area from each runs were contributed by 41%, 53%, and 6% from surface wind, fire fuel, and fire terrain, respectively. Finally this study suggested that the selection of Anderson fuel category in the area of interest seemed to be very critical in the performance of WRF-Fire simulations.