• Title/Summary/Keyword: Joint development

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A development of Bayesian Copula model for a bivariate drought frequency analysis (이변량 가뭄빈도해석을 위한 Bayesian Copula 모델 개발)

  • Kim, Jin-Young;Kim, Jin-Guk;Cho, Young-Hyun;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.11
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    • pp.745-758
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    • 2017
  • The copula-based models have been successfully applied to hydrological modeling including drought frequency analysis and time series modeling. However, uncertainty estimation associated with the parameters of these model is not often properly addressed. In these context, the main purposes of this study are to develop the Bayesian inference scheme for bivariate copula functions. The main applications considered are two-fold: First, this study developed and tested an approach to copula model parameter estimation within a Bayesian framework for drought frequency analysis. The proposed modeling scheme was shown to correctly estimate model parameters and detect the underlying dependence structure of the assumed copula functions in the synthetic dataset. The model was then used to estimate the joint return period of the recent 2013~2015 drought events in the Han River watershed. The joint return period of the drought duration and drought severity was above 100 years for many of stations. The results obtained in the validation process showed that the proposed model could effectively reproduce the underlying distribution of observed extreme rainfalls as well as explicitly account for parameter uncertainty in the bivariate drought frequency analysis.

Finance and Persona: a Philosophical Understanding of Modern Finance (금융과 페르소나(persona): 금융의 정치 철학적 이해)

  • Kim, Jongcheol
    • 사회경제평론
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.165-201
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    • 2018
  • According to F. Nietzsche and A. N. Whitehead, the fatal error of the modern Western ontology is to mistakenly assume that the structure of reality is the same as the structure of language, and to misplace the fictional linguistic subject as a realistic subject. This fictional concept of the subject is the concept of person. This paper will analyze how this fictional concept of person forms the basis for the development of modern finance. The historical period and place of analysis of the paper is England in the late 17th century. At this time and place, the modern form of banking began, and the concept of person was developed philosophically by English intellectuals, especially by John Locke. And at the same time, joint-stock companies and the English nation state acquired their independent abstract personhood. The fictional concept of person has reduced social relations to "exclusive property rights" and "creditor-debtor relations," and this reduction forms the ontological basis of modern finance. In modern finance where property rights and creditors' rights are mixed, property owners excercise exclusive property rights but avoid responsibility for the exercise by being transformed to creditors. Furthermore, property owners' privilege were extended when the modern groups-joint-stock companies and the nation state-who are endowed with eternal and independent personhood are reduced to debtors for the property owners.

A Study on Pk(Probability of Kill) Calculation Method of the Direct Fire Weapon System using Simulation (시뮬레이션 기반 직사화기 무기체계의 살상확률 산정 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Yun Ho;Lee, Ki Teak;Pyun, Jai Jeong;Jang, Young Cheon
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.115-123
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    • 2017
  • Dispite the fact that our military has outwardly made notable accomplishments such as the development of weapon systems like tanks, self-propelled artillery, and missiles, there has been a lack of attention to producing weapon effectiveness data that suggests a standard as to what effects the developed weapons will demonstrate on the battlefield. For such reasons, most of the weapon effectiveness data utilizes JMEM data introduced by the United States and as for the rest of the data that cannot be acquired, respective branches create and utilize their own data through research. This research aims to develop a reliable methodology that can meet the requirements of the requesting branches in a short span of time and at a low cost by studying the existing weapon effectiveness data production methodologies such as that of JMEM. As a result I have developed a method that calculates the vulnerable area and the probability of kill of the weapon system that one wants to calculate by applying statistical technique and simulation technique based on weapon effectiveness data of similar weapon systems in JMEM and live test data.

Assessment of three European fuel performance codes against the SUPERFACT-1 fast reactor irradiation experiment

  • Luzzi, L.;Barani, T.;Boer, B.;Cognini, L.;Nevo, A. Del;Lainet, M.;Lemehov, S.;Magni, A.;Marelle, V.;Michel, B.;Pizzocri, D.;Schubert, A.;Uffelen, P. Van;Bertolus, M.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.53 no.10
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    • pp.3367-3378
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    • 2021
  • The design phase and safety assessment of Generation IV liquid metal-cooled fast reactors calls for the improvement of fuel pin performance codes, in particular the enhancement of their predictive capabilities towards uranium-plutonium mixed oxide fuels and stainless-steel cladding under irradiation in fast reactor environments. To this end, the current capabilities of fuel performance codes must be critically assessed against experimental data from available irradiation experiments. This work is devoted to the assessment of three European fuel performance codes, namely GERMINAL, MACROS and TRANSURANUS, against the irradiation of two fuel pins selected from the SUPERFACT-1 experimental campaign. The pins are characterized by a low enrichment (~ 2 wt.%) of minor actinides (neptunium and americium) in the fuel, and by plutonium content and cladding material in line with design choices envisaged for liquid metal-cooled Generation IV reactor fuels. The predictions of the codes are compared to several experimental measurements, allowing the identification of the current code capabilities in predicting fuel restructuring, cladding deformation, redistribution of actinides and volatile fission products. The integral assessment against experimental data is complemented by a code-to-code benchmark focused on the evolution of quantities of engineering interest over time. The benchmark analysis points out the differences in the code predictions of fuel central temperature, fuel-cladding gap width, cladding outer radius, pin internal pressure and fission gas release and suggests potential modelling development paths towards an improved description of the fuel pin behaviour in fast reactor irradiation conditions.

Characteristic Analysis of Shear Strength of Rock Slope Discontinuity in Yangsan Fault System (양산단층대 암반비탈면에 분포하는 불연속면의 전단강도 특성분석)

  • Lee, Hak-Ju;Kim, Chang-Ho;Hwang, Woong-Ki;Kim, Tae-Hyung
    • Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.11-22
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    • 2019
  • This study was conducted to identify the causes of the unusually high number of rock slope failures during an expressway construction in Yangsan fault system. The shear strength (cohesion and internal friction angle) of 128 slopes of discontinuities including bedding, joint, and fault planes were re-evaluated through the examination of face mapping and back analysis. The re-evaluated values were analyzed and then compared with the existing data and values used in the design. As a result, the re-evaluated cohesion and friction angles were very low compared to the existing data and the values applied in the design. This incongruity was pointed as the primary reason for the rock slopes failures during the construction. This may be related to the inherent features of clastic sedimentary rocks in the study area, and the discontinuities in the sedimentary rocks in this region played a significant role. Especially, bedding discontinuity showed a big difference compared to the existing data. The shear strength depended on the type of discontinuity in case of clay filled in discontinuity. However, shear strength was independent on the type of discontinuity in case of shattered materials filled in discontinuity.

A comparative study of the morphology of the ovipositors of wood-boring insects, Tremex fuscicornis and Leucospis japonica (목질을 천공하는 얼룩송곳벌(Tremex fuscicornis)과 밑드리좀벌(Leucospis japonica) 산란관의 형태적 특징 비교)

  • Kim, Ji Yeong;Park, Ji-Hyun;Kwon, Oh Chang;Kim, Jinhee
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Biology
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    • v.38 no.4
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    • pp.554-562
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    • 2020
  • Tremex fuscicornis (Siricidae), known as the xylophagous horntail, and Leucospis japonica (Leucospidae), known as the parasitoid wasp, are wood-boring wasps belonging to the order Hymenoptera. These insects are interesting sources of biological inspiration for the development of drilling mechanisms. To study the biomimicry aspects, the morphological characters of the ovipositor of T. fuscicornis and L. japonica were analyzed using a stereoscopic microscope, a field emission scanning electron microscope, and an optical microscope. There were many differences in the ovipositors between the two species, such as shape, length, surface structure, and arrangement of the teeth. Evenly arranged teeth were developed at the tip of both the dorsal valve and the ventral valve of the ovipositor of T. fuscicornis and looked like a rotating drill bit. In contrast, in L. japonica, the teeth, which looked like a saw, were found only on the ventral valve. Moreover, the tip of the ovipositor of T. fuscicornis was symmetrically divided into four parts, while that of L. japonica was divided into three parts having a 2:1:1 ratio. However, in the case of T. fuscicornis, after the 14th tooth, four parts melded into three parts maintaining a 2:1:1 ratio, and a dovetail joint was found on the horizontal cross-section of the ovipositor that allowed vertical movement for making a hole. These morphological differences of the ovipositor may be due to the insects' lifestyles and phylogenetic distance. Finally, zinc was commonly found at the tip of the ovipositors of both species, a probable result of ecological adaptation created by drilling wood.

A Study on the Application of the Cyber Threat Management System to the Future C4I System Based on Big Data/Cloud (빅데이터/클라우드 기반 미래 C4I체계 사이버위협 관리체계 적용 방안 연구)

  • Park, Sangjun;Kang, Jungho
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.27-34
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    • 2020
  • Recently, the fourth industrial revolution technology has not only changed everyday life greatly through technological development, but has also become a major keyword in the establishment of defense policy. In particular, Internet of Things, cloud, big data, mobile and cybersecurity technologies, called ICBMS, were selected as core leading technologies in defense information policy along with artificial intelligence. Amid the growing importance of the fourth industrial revolution technology, research is being carried out to develop the C4I system, which is currently operated separately by the Joint Chiefs of Staff and each military, including the KJCCS, ATCIS, KNCCS and AFCCS, into an integrated system in preparation for future warfare. This is to solve the problem of reduced interoperability for joint operations, such as information exchange, by operating the C4I system for each domain. In addition, systems such as the establishment of an integrated C4I system and the U.S. military's Risk Management Framework (RMF) are essential for efficient control and safe operation of weapons systems as they are being developed into super-connected and super-intelligent systems. Therefore, in this paper, the intelligent cyber threat detection, management of users' access to information, and intelligent management and visualization of cyber threat are presented in the future C4I system based on big data/cloud.

The Effectiveness and Safety of Dokwhalkisaeng-tang Combined with the Medication on Rheumatoid Arthritis: A Study Protocol for Systematic Review and Meta-analysis (류마티스 관절염 치료제와 병용한 독활기생탕의 효과 및 안전성: 체계적 문헌고찰 및 메타분석 프로토콜)

  • Chae, Soo-Yeon;Jung, Chan-Yung;Kim, Joo-Hee;Kim, Eun-Jung;Seo, Byung-Kwan;Hwang, Min-Seop;Park, Seong-Sik;Kim, Kyung-Ho;Yoon, Jong-hwa;Sung, Won-Suk
    • Herbal Formula Science
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.95-100
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    • 2022
  • Objectives : Recent studies reported that Dokwhalkisaeng-tang (DHJST) could relieve the clinical rheumatoid arthritis (RA) symptoms and the level of RA-related blood test. However, evidence-based review on effectiveness and safety of DHJST with medication on RA was not yet provided. Methods : Searching randomized controlled trials on the use of DHJST for RA will be performed using multiple electronic databases, manual search, and contact to author. Studies will be selected according to the pre-defined criteria and collected data on study participants, interventions, control groups, outcome measurements, the results, adverse events, and risk of bias will be summarized. Primary outcome will be the disease activity score (including effective rate, swollen joint count, tender joint count, and morning stiffness), and the secondary outcomes will be RA-related blood test and adverse events. We will use Review Manager software to perform a meta-analysis, Cochrane Collaboration "risk of bias" tool for assessing the risk of bias, and Grades of Recommendation, Assessment, Development and Evaluation for the determination of quality of evidence. Results : We are going to investigate the effectiveness and safety of DHJST with medication for RA. Conclusion : This study will provide reliable evidence on whether DHJST combined with medicine is more effective on RA than medicine monotherapy.

Cognitive-Motor Interaction-Based Instrument Playing for Improving Early Social Skills of Children With Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD 아동의 초기 사회기술 향상을 위한 인지-운동 통합 기반 악기연주 중재)

  • Yu, Hyun Kyung
    • Journal of Music and Human Behavior
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.75-97
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    • 2023
  • This study aimed to investigate the effect of cognitive-motor interaction-based instrument playing on the early social skills of children with autism spectrum disorder (ASD). Nine children with ASD, averaging 5.6 years of age, participated in twelve individual sessions lasting 30 minutes each. The intervention comprised five stages: self-regulation, motivation to engage in social interaction, acceptance of a partner in co-playing activities, interpersonal coordination with a partner, and engagement in joint music playing. To evaluate changes in early social skills, joint attention and social interaction behaviors were observed, and the Social Responsiveness Scale (SRS-2) was administered pre- and post-intervention. Social synchronization was measured through a dyadic drum task, measuring synchronization accuracy, duration, and timing. Following the intervention, all nine children demonstrated increased early social behaviors, although there were no significant differences in SRS scores. Moreover, synchronized movement improved significantly in accuracy and maintained duration but not in reaction time. This study highlights the significance of recognizing the cognitive-motor interplay as crucial element in facilitating early social skills development in children with ASD.

Mutilateralism vs. Bilateralism in Chinese Resource Diplomacy : Comparative Analysis on Chinese Foreign Policy toward Central Asia and Africa (중국 자원외교의 다자주의와 양자주의: 중앙아시아 및 아프리카에 대한 중국 자원외교 비교)

  • Kim, Ki-jung;Chun, Ja-hyun
    • Journal of International Area Studies (JIAS)
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.107-133
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    • 2009
  • International relations in the 21st century is featured by boundless competition among nations to secure sufficient energy resources for achieving economic development. Resource diplomacy, therefore, is competitive in its nature, which is derived from the fact that resources of the globe are limited. Chinese recent economic growth has been possible mainly due to its success in resource diplomacy. The Chinese resource diplomacy has shown two different patterns according to target regions. On the one hand, China has pursued multilateral approach to Central Asia region, by which China aimed to secure energy with joint exploration method in the region. Chinese resource diplomacy toward Africa, on the other hand, has been based on bilateral approach combined with unit-centered economic aid to African nations. This difference in Chinese foreign policy pattern seems to be derived from three factors: namely, Chinese strategic considerations on geopolitical condition, regional security sensitivity, and legacies of Chinese long-time non-alignment diplomacy since the 1950s. Whether China is able to maintain the current pattern of resource diplomacy will be depended on how wisely China pursue its relations with two other global powers: Russia in the Central Asia and the U.S. in Africa. In this regard, the Chinese resource diplomacy is expected to work as determining factor of shaping a pattern of tri-lateral strategic relations among the U.S., Russia, and China. Chinese resource diplomacy thus will determine the future direction of the global politics in terms of strategic arrangement.