• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2018.05a
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• pp.362-362
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• 2018

본 연구에서는 제주도 서귀포시에 위치한 효돈천 유역(유역면적 $52km^2$)을 대상으로 기후변화로 인한 미래의 수문학적 변화를 전망하였다. 대표적 유역모형인 SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool)을 기반으로, 제주도 지역의 독특한 유출 특성을 잘 모의할 수 있도록 한계유출모의기법(Chung et al., 2011)과 간헐하천 모의기법(Kim et al., 2013)을 적용하였다. 기후변화 영향을 분석하는데 있어 특정 기후모델 적용에 따른 불확실성을 피하기 위해 IPCC (International Panel on Climate Change)에서 제시하는 대순환모델 (General Circulation Model, GCM) 중 SWAT 모형의 기상입력자료(강수량, 온도, 상대습도, 풍속, 일사량)를 모두 제공하는 9개 GCM을 선정하고, 2개 기후변화 시나리오(RCP 4.5, 8.5)에 따른 미래 전망자료를 SWAT 모형의 입력자료로 활용하였다. 과거기간(1992~2013년)에 대해 SWAT 모의결과로부터 분석한 효돈천 유역의 평균 연 강수량은 2,694 mm, 증발산량은 642 mm, 유출량은 534 mm, 지하수 함양량은 1,521 mm로서, 강수량 대비 유출률은 약 19%로 나타났다. 9개 GCM 자료로부터 미래의 수문변화를 기간별(2010~2039, 2040~2069, 2070~2099)로 구분하여 분석한 결과, 연 강수량, 증발산량, 유출량, 함양량, 유출률 모두 미래 후반기로 갈수록 증가폭이 크게 나타났으며, RCP 8.5에서 상대적으로 더 크게 증가할 것으로 전망되었다. 과거기간 대비 강수량은 최대 24%, 증발산량 18%, 유출량 52%, 함양량 16%까지 증가가 예상되었다. 월별로는 8월과 9월의 강수량 증가로 인해 유출량과 함양량도 같이 8월과 9월에 큰 폭으로 증가할 것으로 전망되었다. 증발산량은 1월에서 8월까지는 증가할 것으로 전망되지만, 9월~12월에는 약간의 감소 또는 큰 변화가 없는 것으로 나타났다. GCM 자료에 따른 결과를 보면 증발산량은 월별 차이가 크지 않으나, 강수량을 비롯하여 유출량과 함양량은 여름철을 중심으로 GCM에 따른 차이가 상대적으로 크게 나타났다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2018.05a
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• pp.363-363
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• 2018

본 연구에서는 제주도 지역을 대상으로 현재의 용수공급 보장량을 기준으로 미래 인위적 자연적 요인에 따른 수요량의 변화를 고려하여 농업용수 과부족을 분석하였다. 인위적인 요인으로서 작물재배면적의 변화를 고려하였으며, 자연적인 요인으로서는 기후변화 영향을 고려하였다. 제주도의 유출특성과 지질특성, 물이용 특성 등을 고려하여 유역 물수지 기반의 순물소모량 개념을 활용하여 수요량을 추정하였으며, 농업용수 보장량(공급량)은 "제주특별자치도 농업용수 관리계획(2013-2022)"에서 제시하는 값을 적용하였다. 순물소모량 산정에 필요한 실제증발산량 및 잠재증발산량 등은 유역모형인 SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool)을 이용하여 산정하였다. 인위적인 변화로서 2020년 작물재배면적 추정치를 적용하여 용수 과부족을 분석한 결과, 구좌읍과 성산읍 2개 지역에서 수요량이 보장량을 초과하는 것으로 나타났다. 참고로 기존의 필요수량 개념의 수요량을 적용했을 때에는 제주시 동지역, 구좌읍, 조천읍, 서귀포시 동지역, 성산읍, 표선면, 남원읍, 안덕면, 대정읍 등 9개 지역에서 용수가 부족할 것으로 분석된 바 있다. 미래 기후변화 영향을 고려하기 위하여 IPCC (International Panel on Climate Chnage) CMIP5(the fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project)에서 제시하는 대순환모델 중 9개 모형의 결과를 활용하여 미래(2010~2099년)의 수요량을 산정하고, 앞서 적용한 2020년 재배면적 추정치와 보장량을 기준으로 지역별, 시기별로 농업용수 과부족을 분석하였다. 기후변화 시나리오는 RCP 4.5와 RCP 8.5 결과를 적용하였다. 인위적인 영향에 대한 분석과 마찬가지로 구좌읍과 성산읍을 제외하고는 수요량 대비 보장량이 충분한 것으로 분석되었다. 시나리오에 따른 영향은 RCP 8.5 보다는 RCP 4.5 시나리오에서의 보장률이 상대적으로 높게 나타났으며, 2개 시나리오 모두 미래 후반기로 갈수록 수요량의 증가에 따라 보장률이 점차 감소하는 것으로 나타났다. 다만, 이 분석은 재배면적의 변화가 없이 단순히 기상조건의 변화만을 적용한 전망으로서, 향후 실제 기상여건과 재배면적, 물이용, 용수공급체계, 물관리 정책방향 등의 변화에 따라 좌우될 수 있다.

• Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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• v.3 no.2
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• pp.37-87
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• 1997

As a results of researches on the cultivation processes and settlement developments on the Mangyoung river valley as a whole could be have four 'Space-Time Continuity' through a [Origin-Destination] theory model. On a initial phases of cultivation, the cultivation process has been begun at mountain slopes and tributory plains in upper part of river-basin from Koryo Dynasty to early Chosun Dynasty. At first, indigenous peasants burned forests on the mountain slopes for making 'dryfield' for a cereal crops. Following population increase more stable food supply is necessary facets of life inducing a change production method into a 'wetfield' in tributory plains matching the population increase. First sedentary agriculture maybe initiated at this mountain slopes and tributory plains on upper part of river basin through a burning cultivation methods. Mountain slopes and tributory plains are become a Origin area in cultivation processes. It expanded from up to down through the valleys with 'a bits of land' fashion in a steady pace like a terraced fields expanded with bit by bit of land to downward. They expanded their land to the middle part of river basin in mid period of Chosun Dynasty with dike construction techniques on the river bank. Lower part of river cultivated with embankment building techniques in 1920s and then naturally expanded to the tidal marshes on the estuaries and river inlets of coastal areas. 'Pioneer fringes' are consolidated at there in modern times. Changes in landscapes are appeared it's own characters with each periods of time. Followings are results of study through the Mangyoung river valley as a whole. (1) Mountain slopes and tributory plains on the upper part of river are cultivated 'dryfields' by indigenous peasants with Burning cultivation methods at first and developed sedentary settlements at the edges of mountain slopes and on the river terrace near the fields. They formed a kind of 'periphery-located cluster type' of settlement. This type of settlement are become a prominant type in upper part of river basin. 'Dryfields' has been changed into a 'wetfields' at the narrow tributory plains by increasing population pressure in later time. These wetfields are supplied water by Weir and Ponds Irrigation System(제언수리방법). Streams on the tributory plains has been attracted wetfields besides of it and formed a [water+land] complex on it. 'Wetfields' are expanded from up to downward with a terraced land pattern(adder like pattern, 붕전) according to the gradient of valley. These periphery located settlements are formed a intimate ecological linkage with several sets of surroundings. Inner villages are expanded to Outer villages according to the expansion of arable lands into downward. (2) Mountain slopes and tributory plains expanded its territory to the alluvial deposited plains on the middle part of river valley with a urgent need of new land by population increase. This part of alluvial plains are cultivated mainly in mid period of Chosun Dynasty. Irrigation methods are changed into a Dike Construction Irrigation method(천방수리방법) for the control of floods. It has a trend to change the subjectives of cultivation from community-oriented one who constructed Bochang along tributories making rice paddies to local government authorities who could be gather large sums of capitals, techniques and labours for the big dike construction affairs. Settlements are advanced in the midst of plains avoiding friction of distances and formed a 'Centrallocated cluster type' of settlements. There occured a hierarchical structures of settlements in ranks and sizes according merits of water supply and transportation convenience at the broad plains. Big towns are developed at there. It strengthened a more prominant [water+land] complex along the canals. Ecological linkages between settlements and surroundings are shaded out into a tiny one in this area. (3) It is very necessary to get a modern technology of flood control at the rivers that have a large volume of water and broad width. The alluvial plains are remained in a wilderness phase until a technical level reached a large artificial levee construction ability that could protect the arable land from flood. Until that time on most of alluvial land at the lower part of river are remained a wilderness of overgrown with reeds in lacks of techniques to build a large-scale artificial levee along the riverbank. Cultivation processes are progressed in a large scale one by Japanese agricultural companies with [River Rennovation Project] of central government in 1920s. Large scale artificial levees are constructed along the riverbank. Subjectives of cultivation are changed from Korean peasants to Japanese agricultural companies and Korean peasants fell down as a tenant in a colonial situation of that time in Korea. They could not have any voices in planning of spatial structure and decreased their role in planning. Newly cultivated lands are reflected company's intensions, objectives and perspectives for achieving their goals for the sake of colonial power. Newly cultivated lands are planned into a regular Rectangular Block settings of rice paddies and implanted a large scale Bureaucratic-oriented Irrigation System on the cultivated plains. Every settlements are located in the midst of rice paddies with a Central located Cluster type of settlements. [water+land] complex along the canal system are more strengthened. Cultivated space has a characters of [I-IT] landscapes. (4) Artificial levees are connected into a coastal emnankment for a reclamation of broad tidal marshes on the estuaries and inlets of rivers in the colonial times. Subjectives of reclamation are enlarged into a big agricultural companies that could be acted a role as a big cultivator. After that time on most of reclamation project of tidal marshes are controlled by these agricultural companies formed by mostly Japanese capitalists. Reclaimed lands on the estuaries and river inlets are under hands of agricultural companies and all the spatial structures are formed by their intensions, objectives and perspectives. They constructed a Unit Farming Area for the sake of companies. Spatial structures are planned in a regular one with broad arable land for the rice production of rectangular blocks, regular canal systems and tank reservoir for the irrigation water supply into reclaimed lands. There developed a 'Central-located linear type' of settlements in midst of reclaimed land. These settlements are settled in a detail program upon this newly reclaimed land at once with a master plan and they have planned patterns in their distribution, building materials, location, and form. Ecological linkage between Newly settled settlemrnts and its surroundings are lost its colours and became a more artificial one by human-centred environment. [I-IT] landscapes are become more prominant. This region is a destination area of [Origin-Destination] theory model and formed a 'Pioneer Fringe'. It is a kind of pioneer front that could advance or retreat discontinously by physical conditions and socio-cultural conditions of that region.

• Korean Journal of Environmental Agriculture
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• v.31 no.4
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• pp.318-327
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• 2012

BACKGROUND: For Non-Point Source(NPS) loads reduction, pollutant loads need to be quantified for major farming methods. The objective of this study was to evaluate impacts of farming methods on NPS pollutant loads from a paddy rice field during the growing season. METHODS AND RESULTS: The height of drainage outlet, amount of fertilizer, irrigation water quality were considered as farming factors for scenarios development. The control was derived from conventional farming methods and four different scenarios were developed based combination of farming factors. A field scale model, CREAMS-PADDY(Chemicals, Runoff, and Erosion from Agricultural Management Systems for PADDY), was used to calculate pollutant nutrient loads. The data collected from an experimental plot located downstream of the Idong reservoir were used for model calibration and validation. The simulation results agreed well with observed values during the calibration and validation periods. The calibrated model was used to evaluate farming scenarios in terms of NPS loads. Pollutant loads for T-N, T-P were reduced by 5~62%, 8~37% with increasing the height of drainage outlet from 100 mm of 100 mm, respectively. When amount of fertilizer was changed from standard to conventional, T-N, T-P pollutant loads were reduced by 0~22%, 0~24%. Irrigation water quality below water criteria IV of reservoir increased T-N of 9~65%, T-P of 9~47% in comparison with conventional. CONCLUSION(S): The results indicated that applying increased the height of drainage after midsummer drainage, standard fertilization level during non-rainy seasons, irrigation water quality below water criteria IV of reservoir were effective farming methods to reduce NPS pollutant loads from paddy in Korea.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2017.05a
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• pp.459-459
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• 2017

본 연구에서는 순물소모량 개념의 농업용수 수요량 추정방법을 적용하여 기후변화에 따른 제주도의 미래 수요량 변화를 추정 분석하였다. 지하수를 주 수원으로 하고 관정에 의한 밭작물 위주의 작물재배와, 일정 규모 이상의 강우시에만 유출이 발생하며, 유출량의 대부분이 지하수로 침투되는 물순환 특성 등을 고려할 수 있는 제주도 지역에 적합한 순물소모량 산정방법을 적용하였다. 순물소모량 산정에 필요한 실제증발산량 및 잠재증발산량 등은 유역모형인 SWAT을 이용하여 산정하였다. SWAT 모형의 구동에 필요한 미래 기후자료는 10개의 대표적인 대순환모델(General Circulation Model, GCM) 결과로부터 상세화(Downscaling) 기법을 통해 적용하였으며, RCP 4.5와 RCP 8.5 시나리오를 중심으로 미래 기후변화에 따른 영향을 분석하였다. 미래(2010-2099)의 수문성분별 변화를 살펴본 결과, 연도별 증감과 GCM 모델별 차이는 있으나, 평균적으로 강수량, 잠재증발산량, 실제증발산량, 함양량 등이 점차 증가하는 것으로 나타났으며, RCP 4.5보다는 RCP 8.5 시나리오에서 증가현상이 좀 더 크게 나타났다. 순물소모량 또한 2010년에 비해 2099년을 기준으로 약 100~200mm 정도 증가하는 것으로 나타났으며, RCP 8.5 시나리오에서 증가폭이 크게 나타났다. 그러나 이는 자연적인 기후변화에 따른 단위면적당 순물소모량으로서, 인위적인 요인인 농업형태의 변화(관개면적의 증감, 작물품종의 변화, 인위적 용수절감 등)에 따라 실제 지역별 농업용수 수요량은 다른 경향을 나타낼 수도 있다. 특히 농업용수는 계절별, 지역별 편차가 크게 나타나므로, 자연적 조건에 의한 가용수자원량과 지역별 공급시설에 의한 용수공급량 및 수요예측량의 상호분석을 통해 안정적 물수급을 위한 대응책 마련이 필요할 것으로 판단된다.

• Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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• v.52 no.3
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• pp.47-55
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• 2010

Investigations on the inundation damage and improvement measures were carried out centering around the protected horticultural complex concentrated in lowlands on the side of Geum river, in Nonsan and Buyeo, Chungnam. Most greenhouses were single-span plastic houses in this area, and tomato, strawberry and watermelon were cultivated mainly. 45.8 % of whole farmhouse were experienced in damage by inundation, and a frequency of the damage was average once in 11 years. The most urgent problem at the greenhouse culture in this area was showed in order of drainage improvement, irrigation water resources and energy saving. Consideration items in drainage improvement project for protected horticulture were showed in order of extending drain pumps, extending drain canals, using concrete flume in drain ditch. It needs to consider systematic plans that can restrain new establishment of greenhouses on the lowland paddy field in drainage area. It is difficult to remove greenhouses which are already established or prohibit cultivation. Therefore we should impose minimum duty items so that greenhouse tillers can cope with inundation. And it is thought that managing agency need to minimize farmers damage by improving drainage ability and introducing maintenance pattern that is different from rice cropping.

• Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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• v.36 no.3 s.104
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• pp.344-355
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• 2003

Water quality model applicable paddy field was developed using field experiment during 1999 ${\sim}$ 2002. This model involves inputs from fertilization and sediment release as dirac delta function and continuous source function, respectively, and can simulate various processes such as ponded depth, surface drainage, total nitrogen concentration and total phosphorus concentration in a daily basis. The model was calibrated using data collected from field experiments which was irrigated with ground water and validated from field experiments which was irrigated with surface water. The nutrient concentration of surface water depended on the fertilization and dirac delta function can efficiently explain the valiance of nutrient concentration of surface water by fertilizer. As a result of calibration and validation, this model demonstrates good agreement. The model fit efficiencies ($R^2$) of ponded depth, surface concentration of TN and TP were 0.93,0.98 and 0.95, respectively for calibration, and those of TN and TP were 0.99 and 0.70, respectively for validation. We can apply lake and reservoir model to analysis paddy field considered with shallow ponded system, but it will need so many parameters and have much uncertainty. Fortunately, paddy field have a series of cultural practices yearly basis, such as irrigation-fertilization-forced drain-harvest with a similar time , so simple model may explain the mechanism for paddy field. Water quality model for paddy field developed in this study is simply, needs little parameters, but appeared high applicability to evaluate paddy filed drainage. We recommend this model to estimate nutrient loading from paddy field and establish best management practice.

• Water for future
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• v.9 no.1
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• pp.38-42
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• 1976

Because of differences in thoughts and ideology, our country, Korea has been deprived of national unity for some thirty years of time and tide. To achieve peaceful unification, the cultivation of national strength is of paramount importance. This national strength is also essential if Korea is to take rightful place in the international societies and to have the confidence of these societies. However, national strength can never be achieved in a short time. The fundamental elements in economic development that are directly conducive to the cultivation of national strength can be said to lie in -a stable political system, -exertion of powerful leadership, -cultivation of a spirit of diligence, self-help and cooperation, -modernization of human brain power, and -establishment of a scientific and well planned economic policy and strong enforcement of this policy. Our country, Korea, has attained brilliant economic development in the past 15 years under the strong leadership of president Park Chung Hee. However, there are still many problems to be solved. A few of them are: -housing and home problems, -increasing demand for employment, -increasing demand for staple food and -the need to improve international balance of payment. Solution of the above mentioned problems requires step by step scientific development of each sector and region of our contry. As a spearhead project in regional development, the Saemaul Campaign or new village movement can be cited. The campaign is now spreading throughout the country like a grass fire. However, such campaigns need considerable encouragement and support and the means for the desired development must be provided if the regional and sectoral development program is to sucdceed. The construction of large multipurpose dams in major river basin plays significant role in all aspects of national, regional and sectoral development. It ensures that the water resource, for which there is no substitute, is retained and utilized for irrigation of agricultural areas, production of power for industry, provision of water for domestic and industrial uses and control of river water. Water is the very essence of life and we must conserve and utilize what we have for the betterment of our peoples and their heir. The regional and social impact of construction of a large dam is enormous. It is intended to, and does, dras tically improve the "without-project" socio-economic conditions. A good example of this is the Soyanggang multipurpose dam. This project will significantly contribute to our national strength by utilizing the stored water for the benefit of human life and relief of flood and drought damages. Annual average precipitation in Korea is 1160mm, a comparatively abundant amount. The catchment areas of the Han River, Keum River, and Youngsan River are $62,755\textrm{km}^2$, accounting for 64% of the national total. Approximately 62% of the national population inhabits in this area, and 67% of the national gross product comes from the area. The annual population growth rate of the country is currently estimated at 1.7%, and every year the population growth in urban area increases at a rising rate. The population of Seoul, Pusan, and Taegu, the three major cities in Korea, is equal to one third of our national total. According to the census conducted on October 1, 1975, the population in the urban areas has increased by 384,000, whereas that in rural areas has decreased by 59,000,000 in the past five years. The composition of population between urban and rural areas varied from 41%~59% in 1959 to 48%~52% in 1975. To mitigate this treand towards concentration of population in urban areas, employment opportunities must be provided in regional and rural areas. However, heavy and chemical industries, which mitigate production and employment problems at the same time, must have abundant water and energy. Also increase in staple food production cannot be attained without water. At this point in time, when water demand is rapidly growing, it is essential for the country to provide as much a reservoir capacity as possible to capture the monsoon rainfall, which concentarated in the rainy seaon from June to Septesmber, and conserve the water for year round use. The floods, which at one time we called "the devil" have now become a source of immense benefit to Korea. Let me explain the topographic condition in Korea. In northern and eastern areas we have high mountains and rugged country. Our rivers originate in these mountains and flow in a general southerly or westerly direction throught ancient plains. These plains were formed by progressive deposition of sediments from the mountains and provide our country with large areas of fertile land, emminently suited to settlement and irrigated agricultural development. It is, therefore, quite natural that these areas should become the polar point for our regional development program. Hower, we are fortunate in that we have an additional area or areas, which can be used for agricultural production and settlement of our peoples, particularly those peoples who may be displaced by the formation of our reservoirs. I am speaking of the tidelands along the western and southern coasts. The other day the Ministry of Agriculture and Fishery informed the public of a tideland reclamation of which 400,000 hectares will be used for growing rice as part of our national food self-sufficiency programme. Now, again, we arrive at the need for water, as without it we cannot realize this ambitious programme. And again we need those dams to provide it. As I mentioned before, dams not only provide us with essential water for agriculture, domestic and industrial use, but provide us with electrical energy, as it is generally extremely economical to use the water being release for the former purposes to drive turbines and generators. At the present time we have 13 hydro-electric power plants with an installed capacity of 711,000 kilowatts equal to 16% of our national total. There are about 110 potential dams ites in the country, which could yield about 2,300,000 kilowatts of hydro-electric power. There are about 54 sites suitable for pumped storage which could produce a further 38,600,000 kilowatts of power. All available if we carefully develop our water resources. To summarize, water resource development is essential to the regional development program and the welfare of our people, it must proceed hand-in-hand with other aspects of regional development such as land impovement, high way extension, development of our forests, erosion control, and develop ment of heavy and chemical industries. Through the successful implementation of such an integrated regional development program, we can look forward to a period of national strength, and due recognition of our country by the worlds societies.

• KCID journal
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• v.19 no.1
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• pp.64-76
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• 2012

Recently, it has been increased disaster of crops and agricultural facilities with climate change such as regional storm, typhoon. However agricultural facilities have unsafe design criteria of improving drainage corresponding to this change. This study has analyzed the impact that inundation area and magnitude of drainage-facility is decided based on fixed- and unfixed-duration precipitation by applying revised design criteria of drainage for climate change. The result was shown that 1-day and 2-days rainfall for 20-years return period has increased about 11.4%, 4.4% respectively by changing fixed- to unfixed duration. And the increase rate of design flood was 15.0%. The result was also shown that Inundation area was enlarged by 6.6% as well as increased inundation duration under same basic condition in designed rainfall between fixed- and unfixed-duration. According to the analysis, it is necessary for pump capacity in unfixed-duration to be increased by 70% for same effect with fixed-duration. Therefore, when computing method of probability precipitation is changed from fixed one to unfixed-duration by applying revised design criteria, there seems to be improving effect in drainage design. Because 1440-minutes rainfall for 20-years return period with unfixed-duration is more effective than 1-day rainfall for 30-years return period with fixed-duration. By applying unfixed-duration rainfall, capacity of drainage facilities need to be expanded to achieve the same effects (Inundation depth & duration) with fixed-duration rainfall. Further study is required for considering each condition of climate, topography and drainage by applying revised design criteria.

• KCID journal
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• v.14 no.1
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• pp.50-56
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• 2007

In this study, the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was used to assess spatiotemporal effects on watershed runoff and sediment characteristics due to land uses changes from 1999 to 2002 at the small watershed, located in Chuncheon-si, Gangwon province. The annual average flow rate of Scenario I (long-term simulation using land use of 1990), II (long-term simulation using land use of 1996), III(long-term simulation using land use of 200) and IV(simulation using land use of 1990, 1995, and 2000) in long-term simulation) using the SWAT model were 29,997,043 m3, 29,992,628 m3, 29,811,191 m3 and 29,931,238 m3, respectively. It was shown that there was no significant changes in estimated flow rate because no significant changes in land uses between 1990 and 2000 were observed. The annual average sediment loads of Scenarios I, II, III and IV for 15 year period were 36,643 kg/ha, 45,340 kg/ha , 27,195 kg/ha and 35,545 kg/ha, respectively. The estimated annual sediment loads from Scenarios I, II, and III, were different from that from the scenario IV, considering spatio-temporal changes in land use and meterological changes over the years, by 10%, 127%, and temporal changes in land use and meterological changes over the years, by 10%, 127%, and 77%. This can be explained in land use changes in high soil erosion potential areas, such as upland areas, within the study watershed. The comparison indicates that changes in land uses upland areas, within the study watershed. The comparison indicates that changes in land uses can affect on sediment yields by more than 10%, which could exceed the safety factor of 10% in Total Maximum Daily Loads (TMDLs). It is, therefore, recommended that not only the temporal analysis with the weather input data but also spatial one with different land uses need to be considered in long-term hydrology and sediment simulating using the SWAT model