• Title/Summary/Keyword: Inundation Disaster

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Analysis of future flood inundation change in the Tonle Sap basin under a climate change scenario

  • Lee, Dae Eop;Jung, Sung Ho;Yeon, Min Ho;Lee, Gi Ha
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.48 no.3
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    • pp.433-446
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    • 2021
  • In this study, the future flood inundation changes under a climate change were simulated in the Tonle Sap basin in Cambodia, one of the countries with high vulnerability to climate change. For the flood inundation simulation using the rainfall-runoff-inundation (RRI) model, globally available geological data (digital elevation model [DEM]; hydrological data and maps based on Shuttle elevation derivatives [HydroSHED]; land cover: Global land cover facility-moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer [GLCF-MODIS]), rainfall data (Asian precipitation-highly-resolved observational data integration towards evaluation [APHRODITE]), climate change scenario (HadGEM3-RA), and observational water level (Kratie, Koh Khel, Neak Luong st.) were constructed. The future runoff from the Kratie station, the upper boundary condition of the RRI model, was constructed to be predicted using the long short-term memory (LSTM) model. Based on the results predicted by the LSTM model, a total of 4 cases were selected (representative concentration pathway [RCP] 4.5: 2035, 2075; RCP 8.5: 2051, 2072) with the largest annual average runoff by period and scenario. The results of the analysis of the future flood inundation in the Tonle Sap basin were compared with the results of previous studies. Unlike in the past, when the change in the depth of inundation changed to a range of about 1 to 10 meters during the 1997 - 2005 period, it occurred in a range of about 5 to 9 meters during the future period. The results show that in the future RCP 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios, the variability of discharge is reduced compared to the past and that climate change could change the runoff patterns of the Tonle Sap basin.

A Study of Inundation Mapping by Imagination Tsunami Simulation (가상 지진해일 시뮬레이션을 통한 최대범람지도 제작에 관한 연구)

  • Um, Dae-Yong;Yoon, Hee-Cheon;Park, Joon-Kyu;Kim, Min-Gyu
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry, and Cartography Conference
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    • 2007.04a
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    • pp.261-264
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    • 2007
  • In this study, I wished to forecast damage district by tsunami's occurrence. For this, analyzed tsunami that can happen in our country's neighborhood sea area using past data, and established tsunami's scenario by imagination with analysis result. I created 3D topographical model about study area and analyzed inundation area by achieving simulation by scenario. Also, result of simulation does overlay with digital map and manufactured imagination inundation map. This study result may offer as basic data for operation of tsunami's forecast/alarm system and making of disaster prevention policy.

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Extreme Tsunami Inundation at Babi Island due to Flores Earthquake Induced Tsunami in 1992

  • Kim, Kyeong Ok;Kim, Dong Chule;Yuk, Jin-Hee;Pelinovsky, Efim;Choi, Byung Ho
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.91-105
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    • 2015
  • In this paper we investigated the phenomenon of extreme run-up at Babi Island in Indonesia caused by the 1992 Flores earthquake (Mw = 7.8) using a series of three-dimensional numerical modeling experiments. Simulations were carried out to investigate how much the presence/absence of the coast of Flores affects the generation of the extreme inundation at Babi Island through the reflection process of tsunami waves.

Development of a Flood Runoff and Inundation Analysis System Associated With 2-D Rainfall Data Generated Using Radar III. 2-D Flood Inundation Simulation (레이더 정량강우와 연계한 홍수유출 및 범람해석 시스템 확립 III. 2차원 홍수범람 모의)

  • Choi, Kyu-Hyun;Han, Kun-Yeun;Kim, Sang-Ho;Lee, Chang-Hee
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.4 s.165
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    • pp.347-362
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    • 2006
  • In this study, a 2-D flood inundation model was developed to evaluate the impact of levee failure in a natural basin for flood analysis. The model was applied to analyze the inundation flow from the levee break of Gamcheon river during the typhoon Rusa on October 31 through September 1, 2002. To verify the simulated results, wide range field surveys have been performed including the collection of NGIS database, land use condition, flooded area, and flow depths. Velocity distributions and inundation depths were presented to demonstrate the robustness of the model. Model results have good agreements with the observed data in terms of flood level and flooded area. The model is able to compute maximum stage and peak discharge efficiently in channel and protected lowland. Methodology considering radar-rainfall estimation using cokriging scheme, flood-runoff and inundation analysis in this study will contribute to the establishment of the national integrated flood disaster prevention system and the river or protect lowland management system.

Comparison of flood inundation simulation between one- and two-dimensional numerical models for an emergency action plan of agricultural reservoirs

  • Kim, Jae Young;Jung, Sung Ho;Yeon, Min Ho;Lee, Gi Ha;Lee, Dae Eop
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.48 no.3
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    • pp.515-526
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    • 2021
  • The frequency of typhoons and torrential rainfalls has increased due to climate change, and the concurrent risk of breakage of dams and reservoirs has increased due to structural aging. To cope with the risk of dam breakage, a more accurate emergency action plan (EAP) must be established, and more advanced technology must be developed for the prediction of flooding. Hence, the present study proposes a method for establishing a more effective EAP by performing flood and inundation analyses using one- and two-dimensional models. The probable maximum flood (PMF) under the condition of probable maximum precipitation (PMP) was calculated for the target area, namely the Gyeong-cheon reservoir watershed. The breakage scenario of the Gyeong-cheon reservoir was then built up, and breakage simulations were conducted using the dam-break flood forecasting (DAMBRK) model. The results of the outflow analysis at the main locations were used as the basis for the one-dimensional (1D) and two-dimensional (2D) flood inundation analyses using the watershed modeling system (WMS) and the FLUvial Modeling ENgine (FLUMEN), respectively. The maximum inundation area between the Daehari-cheon confluence and the Naeseong-cheon location was compared for each model. The 1D flood inundation analysis gave an area of 21.3 km2, and the 2D flood inundation analysis gave an area of 21.9 km2. Although these results indicate an insignificant difference of 0.6 km2 in the inundation area between the two models, it should be noted that one of the main locations (namely, the Yonggung-myeon Administrative and Welfare Center) was not inundated in the 1D (WMS) model but inundated in the 2D (FLUMEN) model.

A Study on the Watershed Analysis of the Expected Flood Inundation Area in South Han River (남한강 유역의 침수예상지역에 대한 홍수범람분석에 관한 연구)

  • HONG, Sung-Soo;JUNG, Da-Som;HWANG, Eui-Ho;CHAE, Hyo-Suk
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.106-119
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    • 2016
  • Flood risk map, flood damage map, disaster information map, inundation trace map are involved with the cartographic analysis of flood inundation based on prevention, preparation, restoration, response from natural disasters such as flood, flooding, etc. In this study, the analysis for channel and basin characteristics Chungju dam to Paldang dam of South han river after four river project. Flood scenario is selected to take advantage of design flood level of schematic design for river. Flood inundation of one dimensional non-uniform flow by using HEC-RAS with basin characteristics is accomplished and two dimensional unsteady flow was interpreted by using FLUMEN. Frequency analysis is carried out about each abundance of South han river for 100 year period, 200 year period and 500 year period. Flooding disaster area of 100 year period on 0.5m damage functions is 2378.8ha, 200 year period on 0.5m damage functions is 3155.2ha, 500 year period on 0.5m damage functions is 3995.3ha respectively. It will be significant data for decision making to establish inundation trace map for providing basic plan for river maintenance, land use plan, flood protection plan, application plan and getting information of flood expectation area.

Effects of tsunami waveform on overtopping and inundation on a vertical seawall (직립호안에서 지진해일 파형이 월파와 침수에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Woodong;Kim, Jungouk;Park, Jongryul;Hur, Dongsoo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.8
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    • pp.643-654
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    • 2018
  • In order to generate the stable tsunami in a numerical wave tank, a two-dimensional numerical model, LES-WASS-2D has been introduced the non-reflected wave generation system for various tsunami waveforms. And then, comparing to existing experimental results it is revealed that computed results of the LES-WASS-2D are in good agreement with the experimental results on spatial and temporal tsunami waveforms in the vicinity of a seawall. It is shown that the applied model in this study is applicable to the numerical simulations on tsunami overtopping and inundation. Using the numerical results, the characteristics of overtopping and inundation on a seawall are also discussed with volume ratio of tsunami and relative tsunami height. The wider the tsunami waveform, tsunami overtopping quantity and inundation distances are linearly increased. Therefore, the hydraulic characteristics is highly likely to be underestimated against the real tsunami if the solitary wave of approximation theory is applied for the overtopping/inundation simulations due to a tsunami.

An Agent-Based Modeling Approach for Estimating Inundation Areas over Time (행위자 기반 모델링을 활용한 시간에 따른 침수 지역 예상)

  • Kim, Byungil;Shin, Sha Chul;Jung, Jaehoon
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.20-27
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    • 2016
  • Emergency and evacuation planning is critical to reduce potential loss of life from flooding. In order to develop evacuation plans, emergency managers and decision makers require estimates of probable inundation areas and times of inundation. In this paper, we present an agent-based modeling approach that incorporates in a hydrodynamic model to estimate both of these properties. A case study is conducted modeling the failure of a dam located in Andong, South Korea. We estimate flood travel times for Manning's roughness coefficients and discharge using a coupling of the continuity equation and Manning's equation. Using the output from the hydrodynamic model and the flood travel times, the agent-based model produces flood inundation maps at each time interval. The model estimates that for two-thirds of the Andong region the time of inundation is estimated to be slightly less than three minutes. The results of this study can be used to in the development of emergency and evacuation planning for the region.

Development of Strategics for Establishment of Spatial Information by Assessment of GIS-Based Flood Risk (GIS기반 홍수위험도 평가를 통한 공간정보 구축 방안 개발)

  • Sim, Gyoo Seong;Lee, Choon Ho;Lee, Tae Geun;Jee, Gye Hwan
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.39-48
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    • 2015
  • In this study, we evaluated flood risk by applying calculation fomula considering practical risk calculated by inundation analysis information through 2D inundation analysis, suggested a plan that provides a standardized information system. Generally, we evaluated flood risk to people and classified four degrees by using inundation depth, velocity, Debris Factor and Flood Hazard Rating relationship because current flood risk assessment method based inundation depth and area was considered to not fully reflect the actual risk to people on flood. We simulated overflow and levee break scenarios according to 500 year and 200 year floods, respectively, by using Flumen which is a 2D flood inundation model for Geumho river basin in Daegu. The result of this study could contribute to inform practical risk information to people in expected flood area. This study can be useful for the fields of disaster estimatingsuch as information analysis, evaluation, planning by offering Risk information based on standardized information system.

Rainfall Forecasting Using Satellite Information and Integrated Flood Runoff and Inundation Analysis (II): Application and Analysis (위성정보에 의한 강우예측과 홍수유출 및 범람 연계 해석 (II): 적용 및 분석)

  • Choi, Hyuk Joon;Han, Kun Yeun;Kim, Gwangseob
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.6B
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    • pp.605-612
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    • 2006
  • In this study(II), The developed rainfall forecast model was applied to the NakDong River Basin for the heavy rainfall on 6th to 16th of August in 2002. The results demonstrated that the rainfall forecasts of 3 hours lead time showed good agreement with observed data. The inundation aspect of simulation depends on actual levee failure in the same basin. Rainfall forecasts were used for flood amount computation in the target watershed. Also the flood amount in the target watershed was used on boundary condition for flood inundation simulation in a protected lowland and a river. The results of simulation are consistent with actuality inundation traces and flood level data of the target watershed. This study provides practical applicability of satellite data in rainfall forecast of extreme events such as heavy rainfall or typhoon. Also this study presented an advanced integrated model of rainfall, runoff, and inundation analysis which can be applicable for flood disaster prevention and mitigation.