• Title/Summary/Keyword: Interest Prediction

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Flow rate prediction at Paldang Bridge using deep learning models (딥러닝 모형을 이용한 팔당대교 지점에서의 유량 예측)

  • Seong, Yeongjeong;Park, Kidoo;Jung, Younghun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.8
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    • pp.565-575
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    • 2022
  • Recently, in the field of water resource engineering, interest in predicting time series water levels and flow rates using deep learning technology that has rapidly developed along with the Fourth Industrial Revolution is increasing. In addition, although water-level and flow-rate prediction have been performed using the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) model that can predict time-series data, the accuracy of flow-rate prediction in rivers with rapid temporal fluctuations was predicted to be very low compared to that of water-level prediction. In this study, the Paldang Bridge Station of the Han River, which has a large flow-rate fluctuation and little influence from tidal waves in the estuary, was selected. In addition, time-series data with large flow fluctuations were selected to collect water-level and flow-rate data for 2 years and 7 months, which are relatively short in data length, to be used as training and prediction data for the LSTM and GRU models. When learning time-series water levels with very high time fluctuation in two models, the predicted water-level results in both models secured appropriate accuracy compared to observation water levels, but when training rapidly temporal fluctuation flow rates directly in two models, the predicted flow rates deteriorated significantly. Therefore, in this study, in order to accurately predict the rapidly changing flow rate, the water-level data predicted by the two models could be used as input data for the rating curve to significantly improve the prediction accuracy of the flow rates. Finally, the results of this study are expected to be sufficiently used as the data of flood warning system in urban rivers where the observation length of hydrological data is not relatively long and the flow-rate changes rapidly.

Application of Fourier Transform Near-Infrared Spectroscopy for Prediction Model Development of Total Dietary Fiber Content in Milled Rice (백미의 총 식이섬유함량 예측 모델 개발을 위한 퓨리에변환 근적외선분광계의 적용)

  • Lee Jin-Cheol;Yoon Yeon-Hee;Eun Jong-Bang
    • Food Science and Preservation
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.608-612
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    • 2005
  • Fourier transform-near infrared (FT-NIR) spectroscopy is a simple, rapid, non-destructive technique which can be used to make quantitative analysis of chemical composition in grain. An interest in total dietary fiber (TDF) of grain such as rice has been increased due to its beneficial effects for health. Since measuring methods for TDF content were highly depending on experimental technique and time consumptions, the application of FT-NIR spectroscopy to determine TDF content in milled rice. Results of enzymatic-gravimetric method were $1.17-1.92\%$ Partial least square (PLS) regression on raw NIR spectra to predict TDF content was developed Accuracy of prediction model for TDF content was certified for regression coefficient (r), standard error of estimation (SEE) and standard error of prediction (SEP). The r, SEE and SEP were 0.9705, 0.0464, and 0.0604, respectively. The results indicated that FT-NIR techniques could be very useful in the food industry and rice processing complex for determination of TDF in milled rice on real time analysis.

Hot Topic Prediction Scheme Using Modified TF-IDF in Social Network Environments (소셜 네트워크 환경에서 변형된 TF-IDF를 이용한 핫 토픽 예측 기법)

  • Noh, Yeonwoo;Lim, Jongtae;Bok, Kyoungsoo;Yoo, Jaesoo
    • KIISE Transactions on Computing Practices
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.217-225
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    • 2017
  • Recently, the interest in predicting hot topics has grown significantly as it has become more important to find and analyze meaningful information from a large amount of data flowing in social networking services. Existing hot topic detection schemes do not consider a temporal property, so they are not suitable to predict hot topics that are rapidly issued in a changing society. This paper proposes a hot topic prediction scheme that uses a modified TF-IDF in social networking environments. The modified TF-IDF extracts a candidate set of keywords that are momentarily issued. The proposed scheme then calculates the hot topic prediction scores by assigning weights considering user influence and professionality to extract the candidate keywords. The superiority of the proposed scheme is shown by comparing it to an existing detection scheme. In addition, to show whether or not it predicts hot topics correctly, we evaluate its quality with Korean news articles from Naver.

Analysis of Intra Prediction for Digital Watermarking based on HEVC (HEVC기반의 디지털 워터마킹을 위한 인트라 예측의 분석)

  • Seo, Young-Ho;Kim, Bora;Kim, Dong-Wook
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.1189-1198
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    • 2015
  • Recently, with rapid development of digital broadcasting technology, high-definition video service increased interest and demand. supplied mobile and image device support that improve 4~16 time existing Full HD. Such as high-definition contents supply, proposed compression for high-efficiency video codec (HEVC). Therefore, watermarking technology is necessary applying HEVC for protecting ownership and intellectual property. In this paper, analysis of prediction mode in intra frame and study feasibility of watermarking in re-encoding based HEVC. Proposed detect un-changed blocks in intra frame, using the result of analysis prediction mode.

Performance Evaluation of Price-based Input Features in Stock Price Prediction using Tensorflow (텐서플로우를 이용한 주가 예측에서 가격-기반 입력 피쳐의 예측 성능 평가)

  • Song, Yoojeong;Lee, Jae Won;Lee, Jongwoo
    • KIISE Transactions on Computing Practices
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    • v.23 no.11
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    • pp.625-631
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    • 2017
  • The stock price prediction for stock markets remains an unsolved problem. Although there have been various overtures and studies to predict the price of stocks scientifically, it is impossible to predict the future precisely. However, stock price predictions have been a subject of interest in a variety of related fields such as economics, mathematics, physics, and computer science. In this paper, we will study fluctuation patterns of stock prices and predict future trends using the Deep learning. Therefore, this study presents the three deep learning models using Tensorflow, an open source framework in which each learning model accepts different input features. We expand the previous study that used simple price data. We measured the performance of three predictive models increasing the number of priced-based input features. Through this experiment, we measured the performance change of the predictive model depending on the price-based input features. Finally, we compared and analyzed the experiment result to evaluate the impact of the price-based input features in stock price prediction.

Non-Prior Training Active Feature Model-Based Object Tracking for Real-Time Surveillance Systems (실시간 감시 시스템을 위한 사전 무학습 능동 특징점 모델 기반 객체 추적)

  • 김상진;신정호;이성원;백준기
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SP
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    • v.41 no.5
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    • pp.23-34
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    • 2004
  • In this paper we propose a feature point tracking algorithm using optical flow under non-prior taming active feature model (NPT-AFM). The proposed algorithm mainly focuses on analysis non-rigid objects[1], and provides real-time, robust tracking by NPT-AFM. NPT-AFM algorithm can be divided into two steps: (i) localization of an object-of-interest and (ii) prediction and correction of the object position by utilizing the inter-frame information. The localization step was realized by using a modified Shi-Tomasi's feature tracking algoriam[2] after motion-based segmentation. In the prediction-correction step, given feature points are continuously tracked by using optical flow method[3] and if a feature point cannot be properly tracked, temporal and spatial prediction schemes can be employed for that point until it becomes uncovered again. Feature points inside an object are estimated instead of its shape boundary, and are updated an element of the training set for AFH Experimental results, show that the proposed NPT-AFM-based algerian can robustly track non-rigid objects in real-time.

An Experimental Evaluation of Box office Revenue Prediction through Social Bigdata Analysis and Machine Learning (소셜 빅데이터 분석과 기계학습을 이용한 영화흥행예측 기법의 실험적 평가)

  • Chang, Jae-Young
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.167-173
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    • 2017
  • With increased interest in the fourth industrial revolution represented by artificial intelligence, it has been very active to utilize bigdata and machine learning techniques in almost areas of society. Also, such activities have been realized by development of forecasting systems in various applications. Especially in the movie industry, there have been numerous attempts to predict whether they would be success or not. In the past, most of studies considered only the static factors in the process of prediction, but recently, several efforts are tried to utilize realtime social bigdata produced in SNS. In this paper, we propose the prediction technique utilizing various feedback information such as news articles, blogs and reviews as well as static factors of movies. Additionally, we also experimentally evaluate whether the proposed technique could precisely forecast their revenue targeting on the relatively successful movies.

On the Geometric Anisotropy Inherent In Spatial Data (공간자료의 기하학적 비등방성 연구)

  • Go, Hye Ji;Park, Man Sik
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.755-771
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    • 2014
  • Isotropy is one of the main assumptions for the ease of spatial prediction (named kriging) based on some covariance models. A lack of isotropy (or anisotropy) in a spatial process necessitates that some additional parameters (angle and ratio) for anisotropic covariance model be obtained in order to produce a more reliable prediction. In this paper, we propose a new class of geometrically extended anisotropic covariance models expressed as a weighted average of some geometrically anisotropic models. The maximum likelihood estimation method is taken into account to estimate the parameters of our interest. We evaluate the performances of our proposal and compare it with an isotropic covariance model and a geometrically anisotropic model in simulation studies. We also employ extended geometric anisotropy to the analysis of real data.

Sensitivity Evaluation of Physics and Initial Condition of WRF for Ultra Low Altitude Wind Prediction (초저고도 바람예측을 위한 WRF의 물리과정 및 초기조건 민감도 평가)

  • Kwon, JaeIl;Kim, Ki-Young;Ku, SungKwan;Hong, SeokMin
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.487-494
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    • 2019
  • Recently, interest in and use of drones is increasing. In this study, to provide accurate wind prediction at ultra low altitudes of 150 meters or below, the sensitivity of the physical process parameterization and initial conditions was assessed to select the optimal physical process and initial conditions. For this purpose, GFS and LDAPS data were used as initial and boundary conditions, and 7 experiments were constructed using a combination of PBL schemes such as YSU, RUC, ACM2, and LSM such as Noah, RUC, and Pleim. The experiment conducted for 1 month in April 2018. As a result, the RUC-YSU physical process combination using the GFS initial data showed the best performance. This study is meaningful in establishing an optimal modeling method for ultra low altitude wind prediction through experiments using different initial conditions and combination of physical processes.

Construction of NCAM-LAMP Precipitation and Soil Moisture Database to Support Landslide Prediction (산사태 예측을 위한 NCAM-LAMP 강수 및 토양수분 DB 구축)

  • So, Yun-Yeong;Lee, Su-Jung;Choi, Sung-Won;Lee, Seung-Jae
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.152-163
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    • 2020
  • The present study introduces a procedure to prepare and manage a high-resolution rainfall and soil moisture (SM) database in the LAMP prediction system, especially for landslide researchers. The procedure also includes converting the data into spatial resolution suitable for their interest regions following proper map projection methods. The LAMP model precipitation and SM data are quantitatively and qualitatively evaluated to identify the model prediction characteristics using the ERA5 reanalysis precipitation and observed 10m depth SM data. A detailed process of converting LAMP Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) output data for 10m horizontal resolution is described in a step-wise manner, providing technical convenience for users to easily convert NetCDF data from the WRF model into TIF data in ArcGIS. The converted data can be viewed and downloaded via the LAMP website (http://df.ncam.kr/lamp/index.do) of the National Center for AgroMeteorology. The constructed database will contribute to monitoring and prediction of landslide risk prior to landslide response steps and should be data quality controlled by more observation data.