• 제목/요약/키워드: Initial sale

검색결과 28건 처리시간 0.028초

데이터 마이닝을 이용한 아파트 초기계약 예측모형 개발: 위례 신도시 미분양 아파트 단지를 사례로 (Development of Forecasting Model for the Initial Sale of Apartment Using Data Mining: The Case of Unsold Apartment Complex in Wirye New Town)

  • 김지영;이상경
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제16권12호
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    • pp.217-229
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    • 2018
  • 이 연구에서는 미분양 아파트 단지의 세대별 계약 자료에 데이터 마이닝 기법인 의사결정나무, 신경망, 로지스틱 모형을 적용하여 세대별 초기계약을 예측하는 모형을 개발한다. 모형 개발에는 위례신도시 미분양 아파트 단지의 계약 자료가 이용되며, 이 자료는 훈련용 자료와 검정용 자료로 분할되어 분석에 투입된다. 훈련용 자료에서는 신경망, 의사결정나무, 로지스틱 모형 순으로 예측력이 뛰어났지만 검정용 자료에서는 로지스틱 모형이 가장 우수하게 나타났다. 이 같은 결과는 신경망이 훈련용 자료에 최적화된 모형으로 구축되면서 검정용 자료에 대한 적응성이 떨어져 나타난 결과로 판단된다. 의사결정나무와 로지스틱 모형을 병행 적용한 결과, 층수, 향, 세대 위치, 전기 및 발전기실의 소음, 청약자 거주지, 청약 종류가 초기계약에 영향을 주는 것으로 나타났다. 이는 두 가지 모형을 같이 사용하는 것이 초기계약 결정요인 발굴에 더 효과적이라는 것을 의미한다. 이 연구는 데이터 마이닝의 적용 범위를 주택 분양 예측까지 확장함으로써 융복합 분야 발전에 기여하고 있다.

아파트 프로젝트의 초기 분양률 예측 회귀모델 (A Regression Model for Forecasting the Initial Sales Ratio of Apartment Building Projects)

  • 손승현;김도영;김선국
    • 한국건축시공학회지
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    • 제19권5호
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    • pp.439-448
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    • 2019
  • 아파트 프로젝트는 사업성패에 영향을 미치는 요인은 매우 다양하다. 그러나 분양단가가 결정되고, 분양이 시작된 이후에는 사업에 가장 큰 영향을 미치는 요인은 분양 후 1개월간의 초기분양률이다. 일반적으로 사업주체는 경제상황, 주택시장의 동향, 사업지 인근의 주택가격 등 다양한 자료에 의해 초기분양률을 예측한다. 그러나 이러한 요인들을 초기분양률과 연계하여 정량적으로 계산하는 것은 매우 어렵다. 따라서 본 연구는 실제 수행된 아파트 프로젝트의 분양결과 자료를 이용하여 초기분양률 예측 회귀모델을 제안하는 것을 목적으로 한다. 본 연구를 위해 기존 분양실적자료 수집, 영향요인들의 상관관계 분석, 초기분양률 예측 회귀모델 작성을 진행한다. 본 연구의 결과는 아파트 프로젝트의 사업성 분석 시 초기 분양률 예측을 위한 기초자료로 활용되며, 사업 리스크 모델 개발의 핵심 자료로 활용된다.

Activation Plan of the Post-Construction Sales through a Perception Survey of Seoul Citizens and Experts

  • YoonHye JUNG;JungSeok OH;SunJu KIM
    • 융합경영연구
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.11-18
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to suggest the activation plan of the post-construction sales through the results of a survey on the perception of Seoul citizens and experts. Research design, data and methodology: The purpose of this study is to suggest the activation plan of the post-construction sales through the results of a survey on the perception of Seoul citizens and experts. Results: According to a survey of Seoul citizens' perceptions, 76.7% of Seoul citizens were well aware of post-construction sales and recognized that post-construction sales would reduce pre-sale speculation and confusion in the real estate market. Second, 73.6% of Seoul citizens were willing to buy houses through post-construction sales, and third, 79.6% of Seoul citizens recognized that a post-sale system was necessary. Experts' opinions generally responded to the expansion of the introduction of post-construction sales, saying, 'It is necessary for both the public and the private sectors'. Second, while experts say that there are also positive effects, negative effects such as polarization centered on large corporations, an increase in sales prices, and a decrease in housing supply are also concerned. Third, experts responded that 'diversification of financing methods' is the most important task in revitalizing the post-sale system. Conclusions: The policy implications are that it is necessary to mandate the post-construction sales in the long term, and that the quality assurance system needs to be supplemented even if the sale is promoted post-construction sales. In addition, private participation is essential to revitalize the post-construction sales, and government support such as initial financing, low-interest rates, and various financing measures should be sought to expand private participation.

MSC Carla 사례상 선박의 제조물책임 (Product Liability in the Shipbuilding in the "MSC Carla" case)

  • 서정우;조종주
    • 무역상무연구
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    • 제64권
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    • pp.155-185
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    • 2014
  • Liability for the manufacture or supply of defective products can arise in two principle ways, in tort and in contract. English law has long regarded shipbuilding contract as agreement for the sale and purchase of goods. The consequence of which is that unless the Buyer and Builder agree otherwise, terms will automatically be implied into the contract between them as to the quality and performance of the completed vessel. The same principle applies to sub-contracts allied to the shipbuilding contract. On the other hand, one case decisions established that ".... a contract to build a ship, though a contract of sale of goods, has also some characteristics of a building contract", Recently the liability of a manufacturer in tort for physical damage i.e. personal injury and damage to property other than alleged to be defective is now well settled in most countries. Accordingly the Builder may face third party claims in tort more regularly than they have in the past, if the statutory implied terms have not been expressly excluded in contract. In such circumstances, it is necessary for the Builder to be prepared with counter measures to secure the stability of the vessel from its design development, building process, delivery and operation etc. The purpose of this paper is, from the case of "MSC Carla", to review product liability, jurisdiction and the initial date of extinctive prescription, then to suggest counter measures to the Builder.

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Disposition Effect in the Ship Investment Market: A Case Study

  • Kim, Wu-Seok
    • 한국항해항만학회지
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    • 제46권5호
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    • pp.427-434
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze whether the disposition effect, a behavioral finance theory, exists in decision-making for ship investment. A case study was adopted as the research methodology, and data obtained through narrative and questionnaire responses on decision-making for ship sales were analyzed from a behavioral finance perspective. The analysis found that the disposition effect had an impact on the decision to sell a vessel. The narrative responses revealed that some shipping companies tended to miss the opportunity to maximize ship sale profit because they sold their vessels readily and quickly before the price of the vessels had risen sufficiently. The questionnaire survey results indicated that the majority of the survey respondents chose to sell a ship whose price had risen slightly from the initial purchase price. Managers in charge of ship investment should examine whether the disposition effect exists in their decision-making when selling a ship.

9% Nickel강이 적용된 Type-B LNG 연료탱크 선상가열의 물성 변화에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Variation of Physical Properties of Line-heated for Type-B LNG Fuel Tank with 9% Nickel Steel Plate)

  • 최경신;이지한;홍지웅;정원지
    • 한국기계가공학회지
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    • 제19권7호
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    • pp.89-97
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    • 2020
  • Container vessels continue to grow in size, led by global shipowner. Large ships can be loaded more cargo at a time, reducing the cost of transportation per teu. this eventually leads to economies of sale, in which the production cost per unit decreases with increasing output. in accordance with the 70th Convention of the Marine Environment Protection Committee of the International Maritime Organization, as of January 1, 2020, MARPOL Annex VI Regulation 14.1.3 will be effective. All vessels must be meet these criteria to reduce Sox emissions and reduce NOx emissions by reducing the content of manned sulfur oxides from 3.5% to less than 0.5%, otherwise IACS Member States Entry to the port is denied. in order to do that need to LNG storage tank. in this study characteristic of the material after line heating (600℃,700℃,800℃,900℃) of 9% Ni steel used in the manufacture of LNG fuel tank of ship were verified using by mechanical test. In the heating method by line heating. The initial properties of steel are changed by variables such as temperature, time, speed. The experimental data of line heating presented in this paper confirmed that the initial change of 9% Ni steel could be minimized.

택지개발지구의 쓰레기자동집하시설 최적규모 연구 (The Most Suitable Plan of Automatic Domestic Solid Waste Collection System for Land Development Area)

  • 이준영
    • 한국유체기계학회 논문집
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.28-34
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    • 2009
  • The objective of this study was to draw the most suitable plan of an automatic domestic solid waste collection system for land development area. The results of this study indicated that the most suitable plan is identified as a land development area larger than 3,600,000 $m^2$ located in the metropolitan area with an incinerator system (or MBT). There are the cases smaller than the standard area but this may cause additional allotment from the residents. According to a rating method to compute the size of the most suitable plan, installation of an automatic clean network has to be minimized if the rated score is below 2.0. On the other hand, the installation is required if the rated score is above 2.5. For a certain circumstance, a cautious decision has to be made for installation of the automatic domestic solid waste collection system by considering the influence of the initial cost, sale price, residential allotment, and maintenance cost on the land development.

큰느타리버섯 재배사의 경제성 분석 (Economic Analysis of Pleurotus Eryngii Cultivation Facilities)

  • 서원명;윤용철
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제48권6호
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    • pp.31-41
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    • 2006
  • The analysis used in this work was cost-benefit analysis method. All future costs and returns of a given mushroom house were discounted to the time of initial investment (present) by means of 3.5% discount rate. Then the cost of ownership was compared to the return from the system. This analysis method has been developed and coded into a balance sheet for use on a EXCEL program. Using this programmed analysis,a large number of the case studies were examined using different combinations of economic conditions. These results will be very useful to individuals considering investment in a mushroom house, or any similar production system. By the way of the sensitivity analysis for each important parameter, the change of the marginal cost-benefit period could be finally determined. These parameters were typically construction cost of mushroom house, cost of cooling system, required cooling and heating energy amounts, unit price of mushroom media bottle, growing number of media bottles, production weight per unit bottle, sale price of mushroom, and annual number of growing period, etc.

산림바이오매스의 지역 에너지 이용의 경제성 분석 (Economic Feasibility of Using Forest Biomass as a Local Energy Source)

  • 민경택;안현진;변승연
    • 한국산림과학회지
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    • 제111권1호
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    • pp.177-185
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    • 2022
  • 이 연구의 목적은 산림바이오매스를 이용한 에너지 시설의 경제적 타당성을 검토한 것이다. 산림청 산림에너지자립마을 사업의 자료를 이용하여 에너지 시설의 운영 수지를 분석하였다. 에너지 시설은 열병합 발전기와 목재칩 보일러로 구성되며 목재칩을 연료로 사용한다. 목재칩은 목재펠릿보다 발열량이 낮지만 가격도 낮다. 시설 운영의 수입은 전기, 열, REC로 구성되며 추가로 화석연료 대체에 의한 탄소배출권을 고려하였다. 비용에는 연료비용과 고정비용이 포함되며, 초기 시설투자는 매몰비용으로 간주하였다. 가동률 55%, 목재칩 가격 95,000원/톤의 조건에서 에너지 시설의 연간 순수입은 양으로 나타났다. 시설 운영의 중요한 요소는 가동률과 연료비용이다. 두 요소를 조정하면서 시뮬레이션한 결과 가동률 50%, 목재칩 가격 100,000원/톤의 조건에서 연간순수입은 음으로 나타났다. 운영 수지를 개선하기 위해 가동률을 올리거나 연료 가격을 낮추는 노력이 필요하다. 탄소배출권을 판매한다면 시설 운영의 수익성을 개선한다. 또, 산림바이오매스의 에너지 이용을 촉진하기 위해 재생에너지로 공급한 열에 가격 보조를 할 필요가 있다.

패션아이템에 표현된 그래픽의 특성 (Characteristics of Graphics Expressed on Fashion Items)

  • 나수임
    • 한국의상디자인학회지
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.111-124
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    • 2009
  • Since the graphics of fashion items as a means to deliver messages suggest practical sections of the society while showing individual ideas and identity, they have values of promotion to attract attention by manifesting an effective function during the process of delivering intentions and the signification. Accordingly, this study aims to investigate the characteristics expressed with graphics shown on T-shirts of casual wear out of all the fashion items and analyze the social messages reflected on them. Using the Barthes' system of denotation and connotation, distinguished symbolic functions and meaning among graphics were analyzed through the analysis of expression methods of the graphics as the denotation of initial meaning and connotation of secondary meaning. Each casual brand has led the sale of casual markets by appealing consumers with graphic items with characters printed such as various kinds of animals and symbols or lettering printed such as hieroglyph and logos, as various expressive methods and social significance as well as a effective communicative means of graphics. As examined above, graphics expressed on fashion items have an informative characteristic and a persuasive characteristic in the aspect of contents, which has a single value as a communicative characteristic. Those characteristics have developed into the fashion graphic actively reflecting a designer's conviction, values, feelings and identity by acting on social issues and publicness. That is, in the age of information, effective messages delivered through the fashion graphic to the public have contributed to the establishment of an appropriate atmosphere of visual culture while maximizing the role and function as a social significance.

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