• Title/Summary/Keyword: Initial sale

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Development of Forecasting Model for the Initial Sale of Apartment Using Data Mining: The Case of Unsold Apartment Complex in Wirye New Town (데이터 마이닝을 이용한 아파트 초기계약 예측모형 개발: 위례 신도시 미분양 아파트 단지를 사례로)

  • Kim, Ji Young;Lee, Sang-Kyeong
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.16 no.12
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    • pp.217-229
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    • 2018
  • This paper aims at applying the data mining such as decision tree, neural network, and logistic regression to an unsold apartment complex in Wirye new town and developing the model forecasting the result of initial sale contract by house unit. Raw data are divided into training data and test data. The order of predictability in training data is neural network, decision tree, and logistic regression. On the contrary, the results of test data show that logistic regression is the best model. This means that logistic regression has more data adaptability than neural network which is developed as the model optimized for training data. Determinants of initial sale are the location of floor, direction, the location of unit, the proximity of electricity and generator room, subscriber's residential region and the type of subscription. This suggests that using two models together is more effective in exploring determinants of initial sales. This paper contributes to the development of convergence field by expanding the scope of data mining.

A Regression Model for Forecasting the Initial Sales Ratio of Apartment Building Projects (아파트 프로젝트의 초기 분양률 예측 회귀모델)

  • Son, Seung-Hyun;Kim, Do-Yeong;Kim, Sun-Kuk
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.439-448
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    • 2019
  • There are various factors affecting the success and failure of an apartment building project. However, after the unit sale price has been determined and the sale has started, the most important factor affecting on the project is the initial sales ratio for one month after the sale. Generally, developers predict an initial sales ratio by various data such as economic situation, the trend of the housing market, and the house price near the business place. However, it is very difficult for these factors to be calculated quantitatively in connection with the initial sales ratio. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to develop a regression model for forecasting the initial sales ratio of apartment building projects. For this study, pre-sales data collection, correlation analysis between influencing factors, and regression model development are performed sequentially. The results of this study are used as basic data for predicting the initial sales ratio in the feasibility analysis of apartment building projects and are used as key data for the development of the risk management model.

Activation Plan of the Post-Construction Sales through a Perception Survey of Seoul Citizens and Experts

  • YoonHye JUNG;JungSeok OH;SunJu KIM
    • The Journal of Economics, Marketing and Management
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.11-18
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to suggest the activation plan of the post-construction sales through the results of a survey on the perception of Seoul citizens and experts. Research design, data and methodology: The purpose of this study is to suggest the activation plan of the post-construction sales through the results of a survey on the perception of Seoul citizens and experts. Results: According to a survey of Seoul citizens' perceptions, 76.7% of Seoul citizens were well aware of post-construction sales and recognized that post-construction sales would reduce pre-sale speculation and confusion in the real estate market. Second, 73.6% of Seoul citizens were willing to buy houses through post-construction sales, and third, 79.6% of Seoul citizens recognized that a post-sale system was necessary. Experts' opinions generally responded to the expansion of the introduction of post-construction sales, saying, 'It is necessary for both the public and the private sectors'. Second, while experts say that there are also positive effects, negative effects such as polarization centered on large corporations, an increase in sales prices, and a decrease in housing supply are also concerned. Third, experts responded that 'diversification of financing methods' is the most important task in revitalizing the post-sale system. Conclusions: The policy implications are that it is necessary to mandate the post-construction sales in the long term, and that the quality assurance system needs to be supplemented even if the sale is promoted post-construction sales. In addition, private participation is essential to revitalize the post-construction sales, and government support such as initial financing, low-interest rates, and various financing measures should be sought to expand private participation.

Product Liability in the Shipbuilding in the "MSC Carla" case (MSC Carla 사례상 선박의 제조물책임)

  • Seo, Jeong Woo;Jo, Jong Joo
    • THE INTERNATIONAL COMMERCE & LAW REVIEW
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    • v.64
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    • pp.155-185
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    • 2014
  • Liability for the manufacture or supply of defective products can arise in two principle ways, in tort and in contract. English law has long regarded shipbuilding contract as agreement for the sale and purchase of goods. The consequence of which is that unless the Buyer and Builder agree otherwise, terms will automatically be implied into the contract between them as to the quality and performance of the completed vessel. The same principle applies to sub-contracts allied to the shipbuilding contract. On the other hand, one case decisions established that ".... a contract to build a ship, though a contract of sale of goods, has also some characteristics of a building contract", Recently the liability of a manufacturer in tort for physical damage i.e. personal injury and damage to property other than alleged to be defective is now well settled in most countries. Accordingly the Builder may face third party claims in tort more regularly than they have in the past, if the statutory implied terms have not been expressly excluded in contract. In such circumstances, it is necessary for the Builder to be prepared with counter measures to secure the stability of the vessel from its design development, building process, delivery and operation etc. The purpose of this paper is, from the case of "MSC Carla", to review product liability, jurisdiction and the initial date of extinctive prescription, then to suggest counter measures to the Builder.

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Disposition Effect in the Ship Investment Market: A Case Study

  • Kim, Wu-Seok
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.46 no.5
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    • pp.427-434
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze whether the disposition effect, a behavioral finance theory, exists in decision-making for ship investment. A case study was adopted as the research methodology, and data obtained through narrative and questionnaire responses on decision-making for ship sales were analyzed from a behavioral finance perspective. The analysis found that the disposition effect had an impact on the decision to sell a vessel. The narrative responses revealed that some shipping companies tended to miss the opportunity to maximize ship sale profit because they sold their vessels readily and quickly before the price of the vessels had risen sufficiently. The questionnaire survey results indicated that the majority of the survey respondents chose to sell a ship whose price had risen slightly from the initial purchase price. Managers in charge of ship investment should examine whether the disposition effect exists in their decision-making when selling a ship.

A Study on the Variation of Physical Properties of Line-heated for Type-B LNG Fuel Tank with 9% Nickel Steel Plate (9% Nickel강이 적용된 Type-B LNG 연료탱크 선상가열의 물성 변화에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Kyung-Shin;Lee, Ji-Han;Hong, Ji-Ung;Chung, Won-Jee
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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    • v.19 no.7
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    • pp.89-97
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    • 2020
  • Container vessels continue to grow in size, led by global shipowner. Large ships can be loaded more cargo at a time, reducing the cost of transportation per teu. this eventually leads to economies of sale, in which the production cost per unit decreases with increasing output. in accordance with the 70th Convention of the Marine Environment Protection Committee of the International Maritime Organization, as of January 1, 2020, MARPOL Annex VI Regulation 14.1.3 will be effective. All vessels must be meet these criteria to reduce Sox emissions and reduce NOx emissions by reducing the content of manned sulfur oxides from 3.5% to less than 0.5%, otherwise IACS Member States Entry to the port is denied. in order to do that need to LNG storage tank. in this study characteristic of the material after line heating (600℃,700℃,800℃,900℃) of 9% Ni steel used in the manufacture of LNG fuel tank of ship were verified using by mechanical test. In the heating method by line heating. The initial properties of steel are changed by variables such as temperature, time, speed. The experimental data of line heating presented in this paper confirmed that the initial change of 9% Ni steel could be minimized.

The Most Suitable Plan of Automatic Domestic Solid Waste Collection System for Land Development Area (택지개발지구의 쓰레기자동집하시설 최적규모 연구)

  • Lee, Joon-Young
    • The KSFM Journal of Fluid Machinery
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.28-34
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    • 2009
  • The objective of this study was to draw the most suitable plan of an automatic domestic solid waste collection system for land development area. The results of this study indicated that the most suitable plan is identified as a land development area larger than 3,600,000 $m^2$ located in the metropolitan area with an incinerator system (or MBT). There are the cases smaller than the standard area but this may cause additional allotment from the residents. According to a rating method to compute the size of the most suitable plan, installation of an automatic clean network has to be minimized if the rated score is below 2.0. On the other hand, the installation is required if the rated score is above 2.5. For a certain circumstance, a cautious decision has to be made for installation of the automatic domestic solid waste collection system by considering the influence of the initial cost, sale price, residential allotment, and maintenance cost on the land development.

Economic Analysis of Pleurotus Eryngii Cultivation Facilities (큰느타리버섯 재배사의 경제성 분석)

  • Suh, Won-Myung;Yoon, Yong-Cheol
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.48 no.6
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    • pp.31-41
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    • 2006
  • The analysis used in this work was cost-benefit analysis method. All future costs and returns of a given mushroom house were discounted to the time of initial investment (present) by means of 3.5% discount rate. Then the cost of ownership was compared to the return from the system. This analysis method has been developed and coded into a balance sheet for use on a EXCEL program. Using this programmed analysis,a large number of the case studies were examined using different combinations of economic conditions. These results will be very useful to individuals considering investment in a mushroom house, or any similar production system. By the way of the sensitivity analysis for each important parameter, the change of the marginal cost-benefit period could be finally determined. These parameters were typically construction cost of mushroom house, cost of cooling system, required cooling and heating energy amounts, unit price of mushroom media bottle, growing number of media bottles, production weight per unit bottle, sale price of mushroom, and annual number of growing period, etc.

Economic Feasibility of Using Forest Biomass as a Local Energy Source (산림바이오매스의 지역 에너지 이용의 경제성 분석)

  • Min, Kyungtaek;An, Hyunjin;Byun, Seungyeon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.111 no.1
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    • pp.177-185
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    • 2022
  • In this study, the economic feasibility of a local energy facility that uses forest biomass as an energy source was assessed. We analyzed profitability using data from the Forest Energy Self-sufficient Village Project financed by the Korea Forest Service. The energy facility has a cogeneration generator and wood chip boiler. Wood chip, which has lower heat value and is cheaper than wood pellets, is used as fuel. Revenue comes from the sale of electricity, heat, and renewable energy certificates. Additionally, we considered the sale of carbon credits as substitutes for fossil fuels. The expenditure consists of fuel costs and fixed costs, and the initial investment is treated as a sunk cost. Under the condition of a 55% operation rate and wood chip price of 95,000 KRW per ton, the annual net revenue is positive. Crucial factors for managing the facility sustainably are operation rate and fuel cost. A simulation in which two factors were changed showed that the annual net revenue is negative with a 50% operation rate and 100,000 KRW per ton of wood chip price. To improve net revenue, an increase in the operation rate or a decrease in the wood chip price is required. Additionally, selling carbon credits will make the operation of the facility more profitable. Furthermore, the payment required to procure wood chips could contribute to the rural economy. To foster the use of forest biomass for energy, the price for heat supplied from renewable energy sources should be subsidized.

Characteristics of Graphics Expressed on Fashion Items (패션아이템에 표현된 그래픽의 특성)

  • Rha, Soo-Im
    • Journal of the Korea Fashion and Costume Design Association
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.111-124
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    • 2009
  • Since the graphics of fashion items as a means to deliver messages suggest practical sections of the society while showing individual ideas and identity, they have values of promotion to attract attention by manifesting an effective function during the process of delivering intentions and the signification. Accordingly, this study aims to investigate the characteristics expressed with graphics shown on T-shirts of casual wear out of all the fashion items and analyze the social messages reflected on them. Using the Barthes' system of denotation and connotation, distinguished symbolic functions and meaning among graphics were analyzed through the analysis of expression methods of the graphics as the denotation of initial meaning and connotation of secondary meaning. Each casual brand has led the sale of casual markets by appealing consumers with graphic items with characters printed such as various kinds of animals and symbols or lettering printed such as hieroglyph and logos, as various expressive methods and social significance as well as a effective communicative means of graphics. As examined above, graphics expressed on fashion items have an informative characteristic and a persuasive characteristic in the aspect of contents, which has a single value as a communicative characteristic. Those characteristics have developed into the fashion graphic actively reflecting a designer's conviction, values, feelings and identity by acting on social issues and publicness. That is, in the age of information, effective messages delivered through the fashion graphic to the public have contributed to the establishment of an appropriate atmosphere of visual culture while maximizing the role and function as a social significance.

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