• Title/Summary/Keyword: Information Criterion

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A Research of Prediction of Photovoltaic Power using SARIMA Model (SARIMA 모델을 이용한 태양광 발전량 예측연구)

  • Jeong, Ha-Young;Hong, Seok-Hoon;Jeon, Jae-Sung;Lim, Su-Chang;Kim, Jong-Chan;Park, Hyung-Wook;Park, Chul-Young
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.82-91
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, time series prediction method of photovoltaic power is introduced using seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA). In order to obtain the best fitting model by a time series method in the absence of an environmental sensor, this research was used data below 50% of cloud cover. Three samples were extracted by time intervals from the raw data. After that, the best fitting models were derived from mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) with the minimum akaike information criterion (AIC) or beysian information criterion (BIC). They are SARIMA (1,0,0)(0,2,2)14, SARIMA (1,0,0)(0,2,2)28, SARIMA (2,0,3)(1,2,2)55. Generally parameter of model derived from BIC was lower than AIC. SARIMA (2,0,3)(1,2,2)55, unlike other models, was drawn by AIC. And the performance of models obtained by SARIMA was compared. MAPE value was affected by the seasonal period of the sample. It is estimated that long seasonal period samples include atmosphere irregularity. Consequently using 1 hour or 30 minutes interval sample is able to be helpful for prediction accuracy improvement.

A study on the effective regulation of user discrimination : focusing on the offering of promotional gifts and exemption of charges (방송통신사업자의 부당한 이용자 차별 행위의 위법성 판단 기준의 타당성 및 효과적 규제 방안 : 경품 제공 및 요금 감면 관련 행위를 중심으로)

  • Lee, Yeong-Ju;Yoo, Soo-Jung
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.27-36
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    • 2012
  • This study aims to find out the effectiveness of regulation of promotional gifts and exemption of charges by analyzing the judgement criterion of illegality and the corrective action taken by regulatory agencies and suggests effective way of regulation. The results show that recently the differences of price-cut is getting bigger. In addition, Fair Trade Commission has considered discounts as unfair predatory price only if price is below the cost. But in the telecommunication business law enacted by Korea Communications Commission, 'expected profits per subscriber' has been applied as a key criterion. KCC's criterion is based not on the expected profit of individual service provider but on the averaged profit of services providers. It doesn't consider differences of service quality and the cost structure between dominant firm and late comers. Prohibition act of user discrimination result in the increase of subscriber and operating profits of late comers but this is not direct purpose of regulation. It can be desirable in the aspect of fair competition but since it may reduce consumer welfare, the criterion needs to be reconsidered.

Channel Capacity of BLAST based on the Zero-Forcing criterion (Zero-Forcing 기반의 BLAST 채널 용량)

  • Lee, Heun-Chul;Kim, Hee-Jin;Lee, In-Kyu
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea TC
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    • v.45 no.12
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    • pp.34-41
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, we present an asymptotical analysis of channel capacity of Bell labs layered space-time (BLAST) architectures based on a zero-forcing (ZF) criterion in the sense of signal-to-noise ratio (SNR). We begin by introducing a new relationship related to multi-input multi-output (MIMO) channel capacity. We prove that Diagonal Bell Labs Space-Time (DBLAST) attains the lower bound for MIMO channels when interference nulling is carried out based on the ZF-criterion. An exact closed-form expression for the probability density function of the channel capacity is analyzed. Based on the asymptotic behavior of the channel capacity of each layer, closed-form expressions for the asymptotic ergodic capacity are derived for BLAST. Based on the analysis presented in this paper, we gain an insight on the channel capacity behavior for a MIMO channel. Computer simulation results have verified the validity and accuracy of the proposed analysis for a wide range of antenna array sizes.

Evaluation of Adequacy of Upper and Lower Tier Qualifying Quantities for the Substance Requiring Preparation for Accidents (사고대비물질 상위 및 하위규정수량의 적정성 평가)

  • Kim, Hyodong;Kim, Haelee;Seo, Cheongmin;Jun, Jinwoo;Park, Kyoshik
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.10-17
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    • 2022
  • Currently, in Korea, lower and upper tier qualifying quantities of the 97 substances requiring preparation for accidents have been designated. The information on the submission of chemical accident prevention management plan varies depending on whether the handling volume is above or below the lower or upper qualifying quantity. Because the criteria of the lower and upper qualifying quantities of substance requiring preparation for accidents are not stipulated in the Chemical Substances Control Act, this study attempted to establish a criterion through significance verification. In addition, the study investigated whether these qualifying quantities are related to the Globally Harmonized System of Classification and Labelling of Chemicals (GHS), toxic concentration endpoint, and National Fire Protection Association (NFPA). Finally, by comparing the risk categorization of the GHS, endpoint, and NFPA, it was evaluated whether the circulation-volume-based risk categorization of the substance requiring preparation for accidents that are in the top 13 is appropriate. The qualifying quantities of benzene, toluene, and sulfuric acid needed to be adjusted upward, while those of methyl alcohol and ammonia were adjusted downward from the current qualifying quantities. It is required to establish a quantified criterion that fully reflects the domestic situations in Korea and various indicators such as toxicity, physicochemical properties, and circulation volume for the qualified criterion of hazardous chemical substances. The study is expected to be helpful in establishing an efficient system by systematizing the criterion for qualifying quantity.

IQ Unbalance Compensation for OPDM Based Wireless LANs (무선랜 시스템에서의 IQ 부정합 보상 기법 연구)

  • Kim, Ji-Ho;Jung, Yun-Ho;Kim, Jae-Seok
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.32 no.9C
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    • pp.905-912
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    • 2007
  • This paper proposes an efficient estimation and compensation scheme of IQ imbalance for OFDM-based WLAN systems in the presence of symbol timing error. Since the conventional scheme assumes perfect time synchronization, the criterion of the scheme used to derive the estimation of IQ imbalance is inadequate in the presence of the symbol timing error and the system performance is seriously degraded. New criterion and compensation scheme considering the effect of symbol timing error are proposed. With the proposed scheme, the IQ imbalance can be almost perfectly eliminated in the presence of symbol timing error. The bit error rate performance of the proposed scheme is evaluated by the simulation. In case of 54 Mbps transmission mode in IEEE 802.11a system, the proposed scheme achieves a SNR gain of 4.3dB at $BER=2{\cdot}10^{-3}$. The proposed compensation algorithm of IQ imbalance is implemented using Verilog HDL and verified. The proposed IQ imbalance compensator is composed of 74K logic gates and 6K bits memory from the synthesis result using 0.18um CMOS technology.

AIC & MDL Algorithm Based on Beamspace, for Efficient Estimation of the Number of Signals (효율적인 신호개수 추정을 위한 빔공간 기반 AIC 및 MDL 알고리즘)

  • Park, Heui-Seon;Hwang, Suk-Seung
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.617-624
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    • 2021
  • The accurate estimation of the number of signals included in the received signal is required for the AOA(: Angle-of-Arrival) estimation, the interference suppression, the signal reception, etc. AIC(: Akaike Information Criterion) and MDL(: Minimum Description Length) algorithms, which are known as the typical algorithms to estimate the signal number, estimate the number of signals according to the minimum of each criterion. As the number of antenna elements increased, the estimation performance is enhanced, but the computational complexity is increased because values of criteria for entire antenna elements should be calculated for finding their minimum. In order to improve this problem, in this paper, we propose AIC and MDL algorithms based on the beamspace, which efficiently estimate the number of signals while reducing the computational complexity by reducing the dimension of an array antenna through the beamspace processing. In addition, we provide computer simulation results based on various scenarios for evaluating and analysing the estimation performance of the proposed algorithms.

Local-step Optimization in Online Update Learning of Multilayer Perceptrons (다충신경망을 위한 온라인방식 학습의 개별학습단계 최적화 방법)

  • Tae-Seung, Lee;Ho-Jin, Choi
    • Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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    • 2004.10b
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    • pp.700-702
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    • 2004
  • A local-step optimization method is proposed to supplement the global-step optimization methods which adopt online update mode of internal weights and error energy as stop criterion in learning of multilayer perceptrons (MLPs). This optimization method is applied to the standard online error backpropagation(EBP) and the performance is evaluated for a speaker verification system.

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Noninformative Priors for the Common Shape Parameter in the Gamma Distributions

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.247-257
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we develop the noninformative priors for the common shape parameter in the gamma distributions. We develop the matching priors and reveal that the second order matching prior does not exist. It turns out that the one-at-a-time reference prior and the two group reference prior satisfy a first order probability matching criterion. Some simulation study is peformed.

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A Fast Algorithm for Real-time Adaptive Notch Filtering

  • Kim, Haeng-Gihl
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • v.1 no.4
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    • pp.189-193
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    • 2003
  • A new algorithm is presented for adaptive notch filtering of narrow band or sine signals for embedded among broad band noise. The notch filter is implemented as a constrained infinite impulse response filter with a minimal number of parameters, Based on the recursive prediction error (RPE) method, the algorithm has the advantages of the fast convergence, accurate results and initial estimate of filter coefficient and its covariance is revealed. A convergence criterion is also developed. By using the information of the noise-to-signal power, the algorithm can self-adjust its initial filter coefficient estimate and its covariance to ensure convergence.

Color Interpolation with Hard-Decision based on Local Cross-Channel Correlation (채널 간 국부 상관도에 기반 한 에지 적응적 컬러 보간)

  • Oh, Hyun-Mook;Kang, Moon-Gi
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 2008.06a
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    • pp.847-848
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, we proposed a novel edge-oriented color interpolation method which determine the edge direction with hard-decision based on high correlation between different channels. The novel edge direction estimation criterion improves the color interpolation method especially on edges by considering high frequencies between channels.

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