• Title/Summary/Keyword: Information Criterion

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Random Forest Method and Simulation-based Effect Analysis for Real-time Target Re-designation in Missile Flight (유도탄의 실시간 표적 재지정을 위한 랜덤 포레스트 기법과 시뮬레이션 기반 효과 분석)

  • Lee, Han-Kang;Jang, Jae-Yeon;Ahn, Jae-Min;Kim, Chang-Ouk
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.35-48
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    • 2018
  • The study of air defense against North Korean tactical ballistic missiles (TBM) should consider the rapidly changing battlefield environment. The study for target re-designation for intercept missiles enables effective operation of friendly defensive assets as well as responses to dynamic battlefield. The researches that have been conducted so far do not represent real-time dynamic battlefield situation because the hit probability for the TBM, which plays an important role in the decision making process, is fixed. Therefore, this study proposes a target re-designation algorithm that makes decision based on hit probability which considers real-time field environment. The proposed method contains a trajectory prediction model that predicts the expected trajectory of the TBM from the current position and velocity information by using random forest and moving window. The predicted hit probability can be calculated through the trajectory prediction model and the simulator of the intercept missile, and the calculated hit probability becomes the decision criterion of the target re-designation algorithm for the missile. In the experiment, the validity of the methodology used in the TBM trajectory prediction model was verified and the superiority of using the hit probability through the proposed model in the target re-designation decision making process was validated.

A Study on the Factors Affecting Land Prices Caused by the Development of Industrial Complex (산업단지 개발에 따른 지가형성요인에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Young-Joon;Sung, Joo-Han;Kim, Hong-Bae
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.47 no.1
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    • pp.143-160
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    • 2017
  • Since officially assessed land price system was introduced, it has functioned as the criterion for establishing and implementing real estate policies. However, there is a controversial issue about the adequacy of the officially assessed land price system. The problem is that it is difficult to establish a statistical model due to too many land characteristics. Also, local economy, macroeconomic environments and development plans are not reflected in the land price evaluation model. Considering longitudinal and cross-sectional variables, a two-way error component panel model was used in this study. This analysis model includes variables reflecting land characteristics, macroeconomic volatility, and development project. The Paju LCD Industrial Complex was selected as a analysis area and an empirical analysis was performed. According to the analysis, the number of significant land characteristic variables were 14(31%) under 5% significance level. Macroeconomic volatility has had an influence on the land price and year variable reflecting development project has consistently been significant since the industrial complex was designated. Therefore, this study suggests that the land price evaluation model should be improved by simplifying land characteristic variables and including macroeconomic and regional economic variables.

Predicting the Concentration of Obesity-related Metabolites via Heart Rate Variability for Korean Premenopausal Obese Women: Multiple Regression Analysis (심박변이도를 통한 폐경 전 한국인 비만 여성의 비만 관련 대사체 농도 예측을 위한 회귀분석)

  • Kim, Jongyeon;Yang, Yo-Chan;Yi, Woon-Sup;Kim, Je-In;Maeng, Tae-Ho;Yoo, Duk-Joo;Shim, Jae-Woo;Cho, Woo-Young;Song, Mi-Yeon;Lee, Jong-Soo
    • Journal of Korean Medicine Rehabilitation
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.155-162
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    • 2014
  • Objectives Advanced researches on the relationship between obesity and heart rate variability (HRV), heretofore, focused on characteristics of HRV depending on the state of obesity. However, the previous researches have not quantified predictive power of HRV toward the obesity-related variables, which is rather more meaningful for clinicians who regularly treat obese patients. Hence, we designed a research to investigate whether HRV could predict serum levels of obesity-related metabolites. Methods Ninety obese premenopausal women meeting the inclusion criteria were recruited. The HRV test, blood sampling, and measurement of physical traits were conducted. Multiple regression analysis of the measurement data was carried out, putting obesity-related metabolites (insulin, glucose, triglyceride, hs-CRP, HDL, LDL, total cholesterol) as outcome variables and the others as predictors. To select appropriate predictive variables, the Akaike's Information Criterion (AIC) was applied. Normality and homoskedasticity of residuals for each model were tested to identify if there were any violations of the regression analysis's basic assumption. Logarithm transformation was used for the values of the concentration of metabolites and the HRV. Results The regression model including Total Power (TP) value and BMI had significant predictive power for serum insulin concentration (F(2, 88)=835.7, p<0.001, $R^2=0.95$). The regression coefficient of ln (TP) was -0.1002. However, it was not sure if the HRV could predict concentrations of other metabolites. Conclusions The results suggest that the Total Power (TP) value of the HRV can predict the level of serum insulin. If the BMI could be assumed as being constant, when the TP value is multiplied by n, the predicted change of insulin could be drawn by multiplying $n^{-0.1002}$. The uncertainty of this model can be assumed as approximately 5%.

The Physical Restraint Use in Hospital Nursing Situation (병원 간호현장에서의 억제대 사용실태에 관한 연구)

  • 김기숙;김진희;이선희;차혜경;신수정;지성애
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.60-71
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    • 2000
  • This research is a field investigation to collect basic information about the safe and efficient use of physical restraint in hospitals and for the ultimate minimization of restraint use. The objects of this study were sixty-four patients. They were restrained physically. Add their 32 family members, 24 nurses of two university hospitals in Seoul were also involved in the study. From April 16, to May 27, 1999. Research data were collected throughout the observation and interview process. Also, the data was analyzed using frequencies and field study notes that were invented by researchers. Results of this study were as follows: 1. According to the sex and age distinction; male's restraint use was 75%, female's was 25% and pre-schoolage children 39.1%, middle age 26.5%, and senior citizens 20.3%. According to the disease distinction; neuro-system was 35.9%, respiratory system was 21.9%. In the Ward, 40.6% of ICU patients were restrained and 39.0% of pediatric ward children were also to restraint. 70.3% of patients were restrained under 5days, while 10.9% were restrained 10days. 2. Types of physical restraints were wrist restraint (45.21%), arm board (35.62%), leg restraint (8.22%), chest restraint (6.85%), elbow restraint (2.74%) and mitten restraint (1.37%). 3. The percentage was 3.5%, which was in 64 restrained out of 1828 hospitalized people. At 1st investigation, the ratio was 3.5%, the 2nd was 3.0% and the 3rd was 3.9%. 4. The reasons of using the physical restraint were 'to protect implements' (72.84%), 'to protect patients' (18.52%), 'to protect an operative site' (8.64%). 5. The result of the patients; family and nurses' response analysis was: 'It seems to be safe', 'It uses properly', 'It is convenient for relatives and nurses', 'It is helpful to treatment', 'Objective think it is not restraint' were 79.9%. 'It is discomfort and stuffy', 'The implement is ineffective' were 21.1%. However in interview of the patients who can do verbally communication, 6 of 7 was responded that 'It is stuffy and uncomfortable'. 6. When restraint is used, the main decision is usually made by the nurses 42.2% of the time. The statistics read as thus: nurses and the physician in charge 31.3%, nurses and family 12.5%, physician's order 7.8%, only family 6.2%. Although the record of restraint was only 15.6% so that only 10 cases out of all the 26 ICU patients restrained. This study shows that physical restraints which of infringe independent-right of patients, are used without using criterion, explaining the agreement. Also, subjective decision of physician, nurses, and family make the decision of using restraint. So development of practice manuals and rules for restraint implementation is urgent.

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A Scheme for Network Selection and Heterogeneous Handover in Hierarchical Wireless Multiple Access Networks with IMS (IMS를 포함한 계층적 무선 멀티 억세스 네트워크에서의 네트워크 선택 및 핸드오버 기법)

  • Moon, Tae-Wook;Kim, Moon;Cho, Sung-Joon
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea TC
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    • v.46 no.5
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    • pp.146-153
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    • 2009
  • Recently, the research relative to NGN(Next Generation Network) is progressing in 3GPP(The 3rd Generation Partnership Progect), IETF(Internet Engineering Task Force), and so on. Although user needs frequently mobility which is various service pattern, In accordance with the development of these various applications, IMS(IP Multimedia Subsystem) and hierarchical networks ie, Femtocell/WiBro/3G etc is constructed for more user demands which provide service in anytime, anywhere. It is necessary to optimum network selection criterion which consider to wireless signal quality add to user service profile and service network traffic balance. NGN also needs a method to perform heterogeneous handover and to constraint Ping-pong phenomenon when using existing terminal-based handover decision. This paper proposes scheme for network selection and heterogeneous handover procedure in hierarchical wireless multi-access network based on SIP-MIH(Session Initiation Protocol-Media Independent Handover) with IMS by using user service profile that the considerations are dealing with not only selection and registration of various access network but also easy of developing the terminal.

A New Resource Allocation with Rate Proportionality Constraints in OFDMA Systems (OFDMA 시스템에서 비율적 전송률 분배를 위한 자원 할당)

  • Han, Seung-Youp;Oh, Eun-Sung;Han, Myeong-Su;Hong, Dae-Sik
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea TC
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    • v.45 no.1
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    • pp.59-65
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, a new adaptive resource allocation scheme is proposed in orthogonal frequency-division multiple access(OFDMA) systems with rate proportionality constraints. The problem of maximizing the overall system capacity with constraints on bit error rate, total transmission power and rate-proportionality for user requiring different classes of service is formulated. Since the optimal solution to the constrained fairness problem is extremely complex to obtain, a low-complexity suboptimal algorithm that separates subchannel allocation and power allocation is proposed. Firstly, the number of subchannels to be assigned to each user is determined based on the users' average signal-to-noise ratio and rate-proportion. Subchannels are subsequently distributed according to the modified max-min criterion. Lastly, based on the subchannel allocation, the optimal power allocation by solving the Language dual problem is proposed. Additionally, in order to reduce the computational complexity, iterative rate proportionality tracking algorithm is proposed for maximizing the capacity together with maintaining the rate proportionality constraint.

Selecting Representative Views of 3D Objects By Affinity Propagation for Retrieval and Classification (검색과 분류를 위한 친근도 전파 기반 3차원 모델의 특징적 시점 추출 기법)

  • Lee, Soo-Chahn;Park, Sang-Hyun;Yun, Il-Dong;Lee, Sang-Uk
    • Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.828-837
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    • 2008
  • We propose a method to select representative views of single objects and classes of objects for 3D object retrieval and classification. Our method is based on projected 2D shapes, or views, of the 3D objects, where the representative views are selected by applying affinity propagation to cluster uniformly sampled views. Affinity propagation assigns prototypes to each cluster during the clustering process, thereby providing a natural criterion to select views. We recursively apply affinity propagation to the selected views of objects classified as single classes to obtain representative views of classes of objects. By enabling classification as well as retrieval, effective management of large scale databases for retrieval can be enhanced, since we can avoid exhaustive search over all objects by first classifying the object. We demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method for both retrieval and classification by experimental results based on the Princeton benchmark database [16].

Development of Prediction Model on Fruit Width Using Climatic Environmental Factors in 'Fuji' Apple (기후 환경 요인을 이용한 사과 '후지'의 과실 횡경 예측 모델 개발)

  • Han, Hyun Hee;Han, Jeom Hwa;Jeong, Jae Hoon;Ryu, Suhyun;Kwon, YongHee
    • Journal of Bio-Environment Control
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.346-352
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    • 2017
  • In this study, we analyzed environmental factors including annual fruit growth and meteorological conditions in Suwon area from 2000 to 2014 to develop and verify a fruit width prediction model in 'Fuji' apple. The 15-year average of full bloom data was April 28 and that of fruit development period was 181 days. The fruit growth until 36 days after full bloom followed single sigmoid curve. The environmental factors affecting fruit width were BIO2, precipitation in September, the average of daily maximum and minimum temperature in April, minimum temperature in August, and growing degree days (GDD) in April. Among them, the model was constructed by combining BIO2 and precipitation in September, which are not cross-correlated with each other or, with other factors. And then, the final model was selected as 19.33095 + (5.76242 ${\times}$ BIO2) - (0.01891 ${\times}$ September precipitation) + (2.63046 ${\times}$ minimum temperature in April) which was the most suitable model with AICc of 92.61 and the adjusted $R^2$ value of 0.53. The model was compared with the observed values f rom 2000 to 2014. As a result, the mean difference between the measured and predicted values of 'Fuji' apple fruit width was ${\pm}2.9mm$ and the standard deviation was 3.54.

Inspection of the Nuclear Fuel Rod Deformation using an Image Processing (영상처리를 이용한 핵연료봉의 변형 검사)

  • Cho, Jai-Wan;Choi, Young-Soo
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SP
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    • v.47 no.1
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    • pp.91-96
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, a deformation measurement technology of the nuclear fuel rod is proposed. The deformation measurement system include high definition CCD or CMOS image sensor, lens, semiconductor laser line beam marker, and optical & mechanical accessories. The basic idea of the deformation measurement is to illuminate the outer surface of the fuel rod with collimated laser line beam at an angle of 45 degrees or higher. The relative motion of the fuel rod in the horizontal direction causes the illuminated laser line beam to move vertically along the surface of the fuel rod. The resulting change of laser line beam position in the surface of the fuel rod is imaged as the parabolic beam in the high definition CCD or CMOS image sensor. From the parabolic beam pattern, the ellipse model is extracted. And the slope of the long and the short axis of the ellipse model is found. The crossing point between the saddle point of the parabolic beam and the long & short axis of the ellipse model is taken as the feature of the deformed fuel rod. The vertical offset between feature points before and after fuel rod deformation is calculated. From the experimental results, $50\;{\mu}m$ inspection resolution is acquired using the proposed method, which is three times enhanced than the conventional criterion ($150\;{\mu}m$) of the guide for the inspection of the nuclear fuel rod.

Factors Predicting Early Release of Thyroid Cancer Patients from the Isolation Room after Radioiodine-131 Treatment

  • Fatima, Nosheen;Zaman, Maseeh uz;Zaman, Areeba;Zaman, Unaiza;Tahseen, Rabia;Shahid, Wajiha
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.125-129
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    • 2016
  • Background: Patients with differentiated thyroid cancers (DTC) who receive radioactive iodine-131 (RAI) are released from isolation when their dose rate is below the regulatory requirements. The purpose of this study was establish predicting factors for early release from the isolation facility after RAI administration in patients with DTC. Materials and Methods: This was a prospective study which included 96 (58 females and 38 males) patients with DTC who had received RAI from April 2013 till August 2015. The study was duly approved by the ethical committee of the institute. Patients who had complete information of primary tumor size (PTS), serum TSH, stimulated thyroglobulin level [sTg] with antibodies (IU/ml) at the time of RAI treatment were included. All had a normal serum creatinine level. To attain lower effective half-life good hydration and administration of soft laxative were ensured. Dose rate was measured (immediately, 24 h and 36 h) at 1 meter distance from anterior mid trunk and a dose rate <$50{\mu}Sv/h$ was considered as the releasing criterion. At 24 h 50 patients were released while the remaining 46 patients were released at 36 h. A post-ablative whole body scan (PA-WBIS) was performed 5-8 days after RAI ablation in all patients. Results: Patients released after 24 h were significantly younger, had smaller lesions with higher proportion of papillary cancer, lower sTg, lower sTg/TSH ratio and had received a lower dose of RAI as comapred to those who were discharged after 36 h. Serum TSH and gender were not found to have any significant correlation between two cohorts. ROC and multivariate analysis have shown age ${\leq}37years$, PTS ${\leq}3.8cm$, $RAI{\leq}150mCi$, $sTg{\leq}145ng/ml$ and $sTg/TSH{\leq}1.085$ as strong indepedent predictors for early release. Conclusions: We conclude that younger age (${\leq}37years$), smaller tumor size (${\leq}3.8cm$), lower RAI dose (${\leq}150mCi$), lower sTg (${\leq}145ng/ml$) and a lower sTg/TSH ratio (${\leq}1.085$) are significant independent predictors for release at 24 h after RAI treatment in DTC patients. Effective utilization of these factors could help the treating physicians to use limited number of internment facilities with higher throughput, lower cost and lower psychological stress to patients.